Weather

Winter Weather Forecast For New Jersey: See Predictions

AccuWeather says the return of a La Niña cycle could affect how much snow New Jersey receives and the severity of the polar vortex.

Snow in Hoboken, N.J., Feb. 3, 2021.
Snow in Hoboken, N.J., Feb. 3, 2021. (Caren Lissner/Patch)

NEW JERSEY — With the official start of the 2021-22 winter (Dec. 21) a little more than two months away, some residents of New Jersey may be eager to plan winter activities.

Long-term weather predictions can help with planning events best suited for the cooler temps. To help, the private weather company AccuWeather has released its 2021 winter weather forecast.

Forecasts for each town can be found through the end of December. After that, AccuWeather lists the historical average temperature for the rest of the winter.

Find out what's happening in Hoboken with free, real-time updates from Patch.

Regarding snow, Accuweather says:

North Jersey: For New Jersey residents closer to the New York City area, snowfall could be less than last year but still significant, with 26-32 inches falling in total. That would be less than last year's 38.6 inches total, Accuweather says. (If you remember, the region saw a few significant snowstorms in a short period; see photos here.)

Find out what's happening in Hoboken with free, real-time updates from Patch.

South Jersey: Those living closer to the Philadelphia region may see 20 to 26 inches, similar to the the 23.9 inches that fell last year.

Expect Cold Air Sooner In Northeast

Accuweather's winter forecast for the Northeast says to expect colder air sooner than usual, perhaps in November — but it may let up in December and return in January.

"Residents across the northeastern U.S. might want to dig out their winter coats sooner rather than later," Accuweather says.

"The first waves of cold air are anticipated to chill the Northeast in November, when [Meteorologist Paul] Pastelok said there could be 'a couple of rounds of cold weather and some snow' ... The severity and frequency of the snow and cold air are likely to let up a bit by mid-December before returning with a vengeance in January."

Nationally, AccuWeather predicts an eventful winter similar to the 2020-21 season, which brought record-breaking snowfall and blackouts to some parts of the country.

Accuweather

Meteorologists also expect the return of La Niña, a weather phenomenon
that occurs when the water near the equator of the Pacific Ocean is
cooler than average. It will shape part of the overall weather patterns
this winter, weather experts said.

The upcoming La Niña will be weaker than the one experienced last winter, in turn, opening up the door for other elements to factor into the winter forecast — especially during the second half of the season.

This year, the polar vortex may also be weaker, according to AccuWeather.

This could result in colder air from the Arctic to slide southward into the U.S. before the official start of meteorological winter, which is on Dec. 1. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21.

Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January, which could include a heightened risk for nor'easters and, yes, snowstorms at the tail end of the season.

Meanwhile, the winter weather will take its time arriving in the Southeast, with only mild temps in some place throughout December. Southerners, however, could be in store for a big dip in the temperature with the arrival of 2022, AccuWeather reports. Spells of rain and thunderstorms are expected so keep the rain gear handy.

In the Pacific Northwest, a wet winter is anticipated with plenty of snow in the mountains, AccuWeather reports. The early arrival of the winter storms will also spell an end to the active wildfire season for the region as rain and snow help to douse any flames.

In the Southwest, meteorologists predict that the lack of early-season precipitation will allow the ongoing wildfire season to extend all the way into December, an unusually late end to the season. As we move to January, the prospects for rain will increase for California - good news for areas of the state where wildfires have raged.

To see how the weather is shaping up for the remainder of the country, click here.

The full report is here.

Are you ready for the upcoming winter season? Tell us your plans in the comments section below.

Don't miss breaking news alerts in your New Jersey town when warranted, or get a free daily newsletter each morning at 6 a.m. with news from your town. Sign up with your preferences here.

The rules of replying:

  • Be respectful. This is a space for friendly local discussions. No racist, discriminatory, vulgar or threatening language will be tolerated.
  • Be transparent. Use your real name, and back up your claims.
  • Keep it local and relevant. Make sure your replies stay on topic.
  • Review the Patch Community Guidelines.