PAGASA: --El Niño in the tropical Pacific continues to weaken but impacts (hotter and drier conditions) continue; --A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is expected in April-May-June (AMJ) 2024 season (85% chance); --Probability of La Nina (60% chance) in June-July-August (JJA) 2024 season. (updated 20 March 2024) ******************************************************************************************** Pre-developing La Niña historically, is characterized by below normal rainfall, therefore, the possibility of a slight delay on the onset of rainy season is likely with the combined effects of the ongoing El Niño.