Opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to navigation Jump to search

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election in Florida, contested by Hillary Clinton (Democratic Party), Donald Trump (Republican Party), Gary Johnson (Libertarian Party) and Jill Stein (Green Party). The state was won by Donald Trump with 49.02% of the vote against 47.82% for Hillary Clinton.

September–November[edit]

Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[1] November 3–6, 2016 46% 46% Tied 884 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[2] October 27 – November 1, 2016 50% 49% 1 773 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[3] October 27 – November 1, 2016 47% 45% 2 626 ± 3.9%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[4] October 31, 2016 51% 49% 2 1,995 ± 2.2%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[5] October 25–27, 2016 45% 48% 3 814 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 25–26, 2016 46% 46% Tied 779 ± 3.5%
University of North Florida[7] October 20–25, 2016 46% 44% 2 836 ± 3.4%
Bloomberg/Selzer[8] October 21–24, 2016 45% 46% 1 953 ± 3.2%
Quinnipiac University[9] October 10–16, 2016 49% 45% 4 660 ± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling[10] October 12–13, 2016 49% 44% 5 985 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[11] October 5–12, 2016 42% 40% 2 1,532 ± 2.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[12] October 3–5, 2016 46% 44% 2 700 ± 3.7%
University of North Florida[13] September 27 – October 4, 2016 47% 40% 7 696 ± 3.8%
Quinnipiac University[14] September 27 – October 2, 2016 49% 44% 5 545 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Polling[15] September 27–28, 2016 48% 45% 3 826 ± 3.4%
Florida Chamber Political Institute[16] September 15–20, 2016 45% 42% 3 617 ± 4.0%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[17] September 10–14, 2016 43% 43% Tied 867 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[18] September 7–12, 2016 46% 50% 4 788 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[19] September 4–6, 2016 47% 46% 1 744 ± 3.6%
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[20] November 1–2, 2016 45% 48% 2% 3 2,352 ± 2.02%
Remington Research/Axiom Strategies[21] October 23–30, 2016 44% 48% 2% 4 989 ± 3.11%
Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies[22] October 20–22, 2016 46% 46% 2% Tied 1,646 ± 2.41%
Florida Chamber Political Institute[16] September 15–20, 2016 43% 41% 8% 2 617 ± 4.0%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Trafalgar Group[23] November 6, 2016 46% 50% 2% 1% 4 1,100 ± 2.89%
Quinnipiac University[1] November 3–6, 2016 46% 45% 2% 1% 1 884 ± 3.3%
CBS News/YouGov[24] November 2–4, 2016 45% 45% 4% 2% Tied 1,188 ± 3.6%
Fox 13/Fox 35/Opinion Savvy[25] November 1–2, 2016 49% 45% 3% 1% 4 603 ± 4.0%
CNN/ORC[2] October 27 – November 1, 2016 49% 47% 3% 1% 2 773 ± 3.5%
Quinnipiac University[3] October 27 – November 1, 2016 46% 45% 2% 2% 1 626 ± 3.9%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[4] October 31, 2016 49% 46% 2% 1% 3 1,995 ± 2.2%
Trafalgar Group[26] October 27–31, 2016 45% 49% 2% 1% 4 1,150 ± 2.9%
TargetSmart/William & Mary[27] October 25–30, 2016 48% 40% 3% 2% 8 718 N/A
Emerson College[28] October 26–27, 2016 46% 45% 4% 0% 1 500 ± 4.3%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[5] October 25–27, 2016 42% 46% 4% 2% 4 814 ± 3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[6] October 25–26, 2016 45% 44% 5% 2% 1 779 ± 3.5%
Dixie Strategies[29] October 25–26, 2016 42% 46% 2% 1% 4 698 ± 3.7%
Saint Leo University[30] October 22–26, 2016 50% 37% 5% 1% 13 1,028 ± 3.0%
University of North Florida[7] October 20–25, 2016 43% 39% 6% 3% 4 836 ± 3.4%
Bloomberg/Selzer[8] October 21–24, 2016 43% 45% 4% 2% 2 953 ± 3.2%
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[31] October 20–24, 2016 48% 45% 2% 1% 3 1,251 ± 2.8%
Florida Atlantic University[32] October 21–23, 2016 46% 43% 3% 2% 3 500 ± 4.3%
CBS News/YouGov[33] October 20–21, 2016 46% 43% 3% 2% 3 1,042 ± 3.6%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35[34] October 20, 2016 49% 45% 3% 2% 4 538 ± 4.2%
Florida Chamber Political Institute[35] October 16–19, 2016 46% 42% 5% 1% 4 507 ± 4.4%
Quinnipiac University[9] October 10–16, 2016 48% 44% 4% 1% 4 660 ± 3.8%
Public Policy Polling[10] October 12–13, 2016 46% 42% 5% 1% 4 985 ± 3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[11] October 5–12, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,532 ± 2.9%
Opinion Savvy[36] October 10–11, 2016 47% 44% 5% 1% 3 533 ± 4.2%
Florida Atlantic University[37] October 5–9, 2016 49% 43% 1% 0% 6 400 ± 4.9%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[12] October 3–5, 2016 45% 42% 5% 3% 3 700 ± 3.7%
Emerson College[38] October 2–4, 2016 44% 45% 4% 3% 1 600 ± 3.90%
University of North Florida[13] September 27 – October 4, 2016 41% 38% 6% 3% 3 696 ± 3.8%
Quinnipiac University[14] September 27 – October 2, 2016 46% 41% 5% 2% 5 545 ± 4.2%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Fox 35[39] September 28–29, 2016 47% 46% 4% 2% 1 619 ± 4.0%
Mason-Dixon[40] September 27–29, 2016 46% 42% 7% 1% 4 820 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[15] September 27–28, 2016 45% 43% 3% 1% 2 826 ± 3.4%
Suffolk University[41] September 19–21, 2016 44% 45% 3% 1% 1 500 ± 4.4%
Monmouth University[42] September 16–19, 2016 46% 41% 6% 1% 5 400 ± 4.9%
Saint Leo University[43] September 10–16, 2016 49% 44% 6% 2% 5 502 ± 4.5%
New York Times Upshot/Siena College[17] September 10–14, 2016 41% 40% 9% 2% 1 867 ± 3.3%
CNN/ORC[18] September 7–12, 2016 44% 47% 6% 1% 3 788 ± 3.5%
CBS News/YouGov[44] September 7–9, 2016 44% 42% 5% 2% 2 1,193 ± 3.5%
JMC Analytics[45] September 7–8, 2016 42% 46% 3% 1% 4 781 ± 3.5%
Public Policy Polling[19] September 4–6, 2016 43% 44% 5% 1% 1 744 ± 3.6%

January–August 2016[edit]

Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[46] August 27 – September 7, 2016 47% 47% Tied 761 ± 3.6%
Florida Chamber Political Institute[47] August 17–22, 2016 43% 44% 1 608 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[48] August 4–10, 2016 44% 39% 5 862 ± 3.3%
Public Policy Polling[49] August 5–7, 2016 46% 43% 3 938 ± 3.2%
Quinnipiac University[50] July 30 – August 7, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,056 ± 3.0%
Suffolk University[51] August 1–3, 2016 48% 42% 6 500 ± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[52] July 5–11, 2016 44% 37% 7 871 ± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University[53] June 30 – July 11, 2016 39% 42% 3 1,015 ± 3.1%
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[54] June 27–28, 2016 45% 49% 4 1,619 ± 2.4%
OnMessage[55] June 26–28, 2016 45% 47% 2 800 ± 3.46%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[56] June 11–20, 2016 52% 39% 13 300 ± 5.66%
Quinnipiac University[57] June 8–19, 2016 47% 39% 8 975 ± 3.1%
45% 39% 6
Public Policy Polling[58] June 2–5, 2016 44% 45% 1 737 ± 3.6%
46% 43% 3
CBS News/YouGov[59] May 16–19, 2016 43% 42% 1 995 ± 4%
44% 44% Tied
Gravis Marketing[60] May 17–18, 2016 46% 42% 4 2,542 ± 2%
Quinnipiac University[61] April 27 – May 8, 2016 43% 42% 1 1,051 ± 3.0%
44% 42% 2
Associated Industries of Florida[62] April 25–27, 2016 49% 36% 13 604 ± 5%
48% 39% 9
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[63] March 4–10, 2016 49% 41% 8 2,422 ± 2.0%
48% 43% 5
47% 46% 1
50% 42% 8
48% 41% 7
CNN/ORC[64] March 2–6, 2016 50% 43% 7 854 3.5%
44% 48% 4
46% 47% 1
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[65] March 4–6, 2016 44% 45% 1 1961 2.3%
46% 44% 2
45% 44% 1
Public Policy Polling[66] February 24–25, 2016 44% 46% 2 1012 3.1%
47% 39% 8
45% 43% 2
44% 47% 3
46% 39% 7
44% 42% 2
Florida Southern College Center[67] January 30 – February 6, 2016 44.56% 37.56% 7 608 4%
42.67% 45.17% 2.5
44.9% 41.69% 3.21
41.68% 44.97% 3.29
47.99% 38.78% 9.21
44.27% 43% 1.27
46.07% 36.73% 9.34
45.21% 40.77% 4.44
Florida Atlantic University[68] January 15–18, 2016 42% 45% 3 1008 3.0%
44% 47% 3
42% 47% 5
46% 46% Tied
42% 47% 5
47% 42% 5
43% 43% Tied
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Florida Chamber Political Institute[47] August 17–22, 2016 41% 44% 9% 3 608 ± 4.0%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[69] July 6–10, 2016 45% 40% 6% 5 1,000 ± 4.1%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner[56] June 11–20, 2016 49% 38% 9% 11 300 ± 5.66%
Mason-Dixon[70] May 31 – June 2, 2016 45% 42% 6% 3 625 ± 4%
42% 42% 8% Tied
50% 40% 6% 10
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[46] August 29 – September 7, 2016 43% 43% 8% 2% Tied 761 ± 3.6%
Mason-Dixon[71] August 22–24, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 625 ± 4.0%
ICITIZEN[72] August 18–24, 2016 42% 37% 8% 2% 5 600 ± 4.0%
Florida Atlantic University[73] August 19–22, 2016 41% 43% 8% 2% 2 1,200 ± 3.0%
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[74] August 14–18, 2016 52% 38% 8% 2% 14 1,380 ± 3.0%
Monmouth University[75] August 12–15, 2016 48% 39% 6% 1% 9 402 ± 4.9%
CBS News/YouGov[76] August 10–12, 2016 45% 40% 5% 2% 5 1,194 ± 3.6%
Fox 13 Tampa Bay/Opinion Savvy[77] August 10, 2016 45% 44% 6% 1% 1 622 ± 4.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[48] August 4–10, 2016 41% 36% 9% 4% 5 862 ± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University[50] July 30 – August 7, 2016 43% 43% 7% 3% Tied 1,056 ± 3.0%
Suffolk University[51] August 1–3, 2016 43% 39% 4% 3% 4 500 ± 4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[52] July 5–11, 2016 41% 36% 7% 4% 5 871 ± 3.3%
Quinnipiac University[53] June 30 – July 11, 2016 36% 41% 7% 4% 5 1,015 ± 3.1%
JMC Analytics[78] July 9–10, 2016 42% 47% 2% 1% 5 700 ± 3.7%
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[79] June 25–27, 2016 46% 42% 2% 1% 4 1,873 ± 2.4%
CBS News/YouGov[80] June 21–24, 2016 44% 41% 3% 1% 3 1,192 ± 3.6%
Quinnipiac University[57] June 8–19, 2016 42% 36% 7% 3% 6 975 ± 3.1%
Public Policy Polling[81] June 2–5, 2016 40% 41% 4% 2% 1 737 ± 3.6%
40% 40% 5% 1% Tied


2013–2015[edit]

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Quinnipiac University[82] September 25 – October 5, 2015 Joe Biden 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1173 2.9%
Joe Biden 45% Ben Carson 42% 3
Joe Biden 49% Carly Fiorna 38% 11
Joe Biden 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Joe Biden 52% Donald Trump 38% 14
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ben Carson 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Carly Fiorna 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 46% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Carly Fiorna 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 41% 5
Public Policy Polling[83] September 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 45% 3 814 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 40% Ben Carson 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% Carly Fiorina 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Mike Huckabee 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 48% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 48% 6
Hillary Clinton 43% Scott Walker 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 33% Ben Carson 48% 15
Bernie Sanders 37% Carly Fiorina 44% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 40% Scott Walker 42% 2
Joe Biden 42% Jeb Bush 45% 3
Joe Biden 43% Donald Trump 47% 4
Quinnipiac University[84] August 7–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 43% 2 1,093 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 38% Jeb Bush 49% 11
Hillary Clinton 39% Marco Rubio 51% 12
Joe Biden 45% Donald Trump 42% 3
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 51% 13
Joe Biden 42% Marco Rubio 48% 6
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 35% Jeb Bush 54% 19
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 52% 16
Quinnipiac University[85] June 4–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 42% 4 1,147 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 48% Scott Walker 38% 10
Mason-Dixon[86] April 14–16, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 47% 4 625 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 49% 6
Quinnipiac University[87] March 17–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 45% 3 1,087 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Chris Christie 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Scott Walker 40% 6
Public Policy Polling[88] March 19–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 44% 3 923 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 41% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Chris Christie 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 42% 7
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 44% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 42% 8
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 49% Scott Walker 41% 8
Joe Biden 43% Scott Walker 43% Tied
Elizabeth Warren 42% Scott Walker 41% 1
Quinnipiac University[89] January 22 – February 1, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 43% 1 936 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 33% 18
Hillary Clinton 51% Mike Huckabee 34% 17
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 39% 10
Gravis Marketing[90] October 22–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1 861 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 39% 7
Gravis Marketing[91] October 11–12, 2014 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 36% 1 1,023 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 35% 8
Public Policy Polling[92] September 4–7, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% 2 818 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 36% 15
Hillary Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 40% 9
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 42% 7
Gravis Marketing[93] August 14–24, 2014 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 37% 2 859 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 35% 9
SurveyUSA[94] August 15–18, 2014 Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 41% 7 852 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 39% Mitt Romney 47% 8
SurveyUSA[95] July 31 – August 1, 2014 Hillary Clinton 50% Rick Perry 40% 10 859 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 43% Rick Perry 44% 1
Quinnipiac University[96] July 17–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 42% 7 1,251 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 54% Chris Christie 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 37% 16
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Hillary Clinton 51% Paul Ryan 38% 13
SurveyUSA[97] July 17–21, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 41% 6 836 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Chris Christie 38% 11
Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 47% 9
Joe Biden 39% Chris Christie 48% 9
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 47% 8
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA[98] June 30 – July 2, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Rand Paul 42% 4 849 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 39% Rand Paul 47% 8
SurveyUSA[99] June 20–23, 2014 Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 39% 14 834 ± 3.5%
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA[100] June 5–10, 2014 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 41% 6 850 ± 3.4%
Joe Biden 38% Jeb Bush 47% 9
Public Policy Polling[101] June 6–9, 2014 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 45% 1 672 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% 8
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Mike Huckabee 41% 7
Hillary Clinton 48% Rand Paul 42% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 44% 4
Saint Leo University[102] May 28 – June 4, 2014 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 46% 2 500 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 47% Chris Christie 40% 7
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 40% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Rand Paul 38% 12
Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 41% 8
Quinnipiac University[103] April 23–28, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 41% 8 1,413 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 52% Chris Christie 34% 18
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 31% 26
Hillary Clinton 53% Mike Huckabee 35% 18
Hillary Clinton 55% Rand Paul 37% 18
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 40% 12
Hillary Clinton 56% Paul Ryan 36% 20
Quinnipiac University[104] January 22–27, 2014 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 43% 6 1,565 ± 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 51% Chris Christie 35% 16
Hillary Clinton 54% Ted Cruz 34% 20
Hillary Clinton 53% Rand Paul 38% 15
Hillary Clinton 51% Marco Rubio 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 52% Paul Ryan 39% 13
Quinnipiac University[105] November 12–17, 2013 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 45% 2 1,646 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 41% 4
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 36% 16
Hillary Clinton 51% Rand Paul 41% 10
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 43% 7
Hillary Clinton 50% Paul Ryan 42% 8
Gravis Marketing[106] November 8–10, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Marco Rubio 45% 4 932 ± 3%
Quinnipiac University[107] June 11–16, 2013 Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 43% 7 1,176 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 53% Marco Rubio 41% 12
Joe Biden 43% Jeb Bush 47% 4
Joe Biden 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Public Policy Polling[108] March 15–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 53% Jeb Bush 40% 13 500 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 40% 16
Hillary Clinton 54% Paul Ryan 41% 13
Quinnipiac University[109] March 13–18, 2013 Hillary Clinton 51% Jeb Bush 40% 11 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 52% Marco Rubio 41% 11
Public Policy Polling[110] January 11–13, 2013 Hillary Clinton 49% Jeb Bush 44% 5 501 ± 4.4%
Hillary Clinton 50% Marco Rubio 46% 4

Three-way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling[83] September 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 39% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 27% 10 814 3.4%
Quinnipiac University[84] August 7–18, 2015 Hillary Clinton 37% Jeb Bush 36% Donald Trump 19% 1 1093 3%

See also[edit]

General election polling
Democratic primary polling
Republican primary polling
Older polling

References[edit]

  1. ^ a b "FLORIDA AND NORTH CAROLINA TOO CLOSE TO CALL, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS; RUBIO UP IN FLORIDA, NORTH CAROLINA SENATE RACE TIED". Quinnipiac University. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  2. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll Florida" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  3. ^ a b "Clinton Up In Pennsylvania, As Trump Moves Up In Ohio, With Florida And North Carolina Too Close To Call, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds". Quinnipiac University. November 2, 2016. Retrieved November 2, 2016.
  4. ^ a b "Florida Polling Results" (PDF). Gravis Marketing. One America News Network. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
  5. ^ a b "The New York Times - Siena College Poll" (PDF). Siena College. October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2016.
  6. ^ a b "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll October 30, 2016 Florida Questionnaire". Marist College. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. October 30, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2016.
  7. ^ a b "UNF poll: Clinton leads Trump in four-way race". Public Opinion Research Laboratory. University of North Florida. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016.
  8. ^ a b "Bloomberg Politics Florida Poll". Selzer & Company. Bloomberg. October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016.
  9. ^ a b "INDEPENDENTS PUT CLINTON UP IN FLORIDA, COLORADO, PENNSYLVANIA AND TIED IN OHIO, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 18, 2016.
  10. ^ a b "Clinton's Florida Lead Continues to Grow" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. October 14, 2016. Retrieved October 15, 2016.
  11. ^ a b "State Poll: FLORIDA". Ipsos. Reuters. October 14, 2016. Archived from the original on October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  12. ^ a b "Polls: Clinton Ahead in Florida, Pennsylvania". Marist College. NBC News/Wall Street Journal. October 9, 2016. Retrieved October 10, 2016.
  13. ^ a b "Poll of Likely Voters Shows that Florida Swings Towards Hillary Clinton". Public Opinion Research Laboratory. University of North Florida. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016.
  14. ^ a b "CLINTON WON DEBATE; UP IN FLORIDA, DOWN IN OHIO, ON PLUS SIDE OF CLOSE RACES IN NORTH CAROLINA, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FIND" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. October 3, 2016. Retrieved October 4, 2016.
  15. ^ a b "Clinton Leads in Key Battlegrounds; Seen As Big Debate Winner" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Vote Vets.org Action Fund. September 29, 2016. Retrieved September 29, 2016.
  16. ^ a b "New Florida Chamber of Commerce Statewide Poll Shows Presidential Race Too Close to Call in Florida". Florida Chamber Political Institute. September 26, 2016. Retrieved September 26, 2016.
  17. ^ a b "New York Times Upshot - Siena College Poll" (PDF). Siena College. September 19, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 30, 2016. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
  18. ^ a b "CNN/ORC International Poll Florida" (PDF). ORC International. CNN. September 14, 2016. Retrieved September 14, 2016.
  19. ^ a b "Presidential Race Up for Grabs in Florida" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 7, 2016. Retrieved September 7, 2016.
  20. ^ "FLORIDA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/ Axiom Strategies. Huffington Post. November 4, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  21. ^ "FLORIDA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/Axiom Strategies. Real Clear Politics. October 31, 2016. Retrieved October 31, 2016.
  22. ^ "FLORIDA STATEWIDE 2016" (PDF). Remington Research Group/ Axiom Strategies. Huffington Post. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  23. ^ "FL Presidential Election Survey". Trafalgar Group. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 7, 2016.
  24. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Florida" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  25. ^ "Florida 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Fox 13/ Fox 35. November 3, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  26. ^ "FL Presidential Election Survey". Trafalgar Group. November 1, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016.
  27. ^ "TargetSmart/William & Mary Release Florida Poll of Early and Likely Voters". TargetSmart/William & Mary. November 1, 2016. Retrieved October 2, 2016.
  28. ^ "Emerson Polls: Clinton With Mostly Slim Leads in 4 of 5 Battleground States" (PDF). Emerson College. October 29, 2016. Retrieved October 29, 2016.
  29. ^ "Dixie Strategies Poll: Trump Leading Hillary in Florida". www.newsmax.com. Dixie Strategies. October 27, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2016.
  30. ^ "Saint Leo University Polling Institute October 2016 – FLORIDA Results (without ballot measures)" (PDF). St. Leo University. October 28, 2016. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
  31. ^ "Exclusive Florida Decides Poll: Presidential race to come down to wire". SurveyUSA. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  32. ^ "Trump Closing to Within Three Points of Clinton in Florida". Florida Atlantic University. October 26, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016.
  33. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Florida" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. October 23, 2016. Retrieved October 24, 2016.
  34. ^ "Florida 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Fox 13/Fox35. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016.
  35. ^ "New Florida Chamber of Commerce Statewide Poll Shows Presidential Race Leaning Toward Hillary Clinton in Florida". Florida Chamber Political Institute. October 21, 2016. Retrieved October 21, 2016.
  36. ^ "Florida 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. October 12, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.
  37. ^ "Clinton Opens Six-Point Lead over Trump in Florida". Florida Atlantic University. October 13, 2016. Retrieved October 13, 2016.
  38. ^ "Emerson College Poll Clinton and Trump Keep It Close in Florida, Nevada and Arizona but Clinton Surges in Rhode Island. GOP Could Lock Up Three Senate Seats" (PDF). Emerson College. October 6, 2016. Retrieved October 6, 2016.
  39. ^ "Florida 2016 General Election Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Fox 13/Fox35. September 30, 2016. Retrieved October 1, 2016.
  40. ^ "POST-DEBATE: CLINTON HOLDS NARROW LEAD IN FLORIDA". Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Politico. September 30, 2016. Retrieved September 30, 2016.
  41. ^ "Suffolk University Poll Shows a Statistical Tie in Florida". Suffolk University. September 22, 2016. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
  42. ^ "Clinton Maintains Lead; Tight Race for Senate". Monmouth University. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
  43. ^ "New Saint Leo Survey Shows Presidential Race between Clinton and Trump Narrowing in Florida and Across U.S." Saint Leo University. September 20, 2016. Retrieved September 20, 2016.
  44. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Florida" (PDF). YouGov. CBS News. September 11, 2016.
  45. ^ "Florida Poll Results" (PDF). JMC Analytics. September 12, 2016.
  46. ^ a b "CLINTON-TRUMP CLOSE IN FLORIDA, NORTH CAROLINA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. September 8, 2016. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  47. ^ a b "Politicians, Parties and Plaintiff Trial Lawyers are Unknown or Unliked in New Florida Chamber of Commerce Statewide Poll". Florida Chamber Political Institute. August 24, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
  48. ^ a b "Polls: Clinton Running The Table in Key Battlegrounds". Marist. NBC News. August 12, 2016. Retrieved August 12, 2016.
  49. ^ "Candidates out of touch on gun violence prevention could be in trouble on Election Day; Stronger gun laws among top concerns this year for voters" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. August 11, 2016. Retrieved August 12, 2016.
  50. ^ a b "CLINTON TIED IN FLORIDA, UP IN OHIO, SURGING IN PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. August 9, 2016. Retrieved August 9, 2016.
  51. ^ a b "Suffolk University Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 6 Points in Florida". Suffolk University. August 4, 2016. Retrieved August 4, 2016.
  52. ^ a b "Clinton Leads Trump in Diverse Battleground States in New Polls". Marist College. NBC News. July 15, 2016. Retrieved July 15, 2016.
  53. ^ a b "CLINTON LOSING ON HONESTY IN FLORIDA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
  54. ^ "Florida Polling Results" (PDF). Gravis Marketing. Real Clear Politics. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
  55. ^ "FL STATEWIDE SURVEY" (PDF). OnMessage Inc. Retrieved July 11, 2016.
  56. ^ a b "Battleground 2016: new game" (PDF). Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. Democracy Corps/Women’s Vote Action Fund. June 30, 2016. Retrieved July 9, 2016.
  57. ^ a b "CLINTON INCHES UP IN FLORIDA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. June 21, 2016. Retrieved June 25, 2016.
  58. ^ "As One of the Least Popular Senators in the Country, Rubio Would Face a Tough General Election" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved June 8, 2016.
  59. ^ "CBS Battleground Tracker Poll: Ohio and Florida show tight races". Retrieved May 23, 2016.
  60. ^ "Florida General Election Poll, Marijuana, and Trans Bathroom". Retrieved May 23, 2016.
  61. ^ "CLINTON-TRUMP CLOSE IN FLORIDA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. May 10, 2016. Retrieved June 25, 2016.
  62. ^ "2016 Statewide General Survey" (PDF). Associated Industries of Florida. Retrieved June 12, 2016.
  63. ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Florida Adults, Registered Voters & Potential Electorates" (PDF). Marist. Retrieved June 12, 2016.
  64. ^ "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). March 9, 2016.
  65. ^ "Exclusive Florida Decides Poll: Trump, Clinton lead Florida's presidential primaries". SurveyUSA. Retrieved March 9, 2016.
  66. ^ "Trump Leads Rubio in Florida- Even Head to Head" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. February 28, 2016.
  67. ^ "Florida Presidential Primary Preference Poll" (PDF). Florida Southern College. Retrieved June 12, 2016.
  68. ^ "January 2016". Florida Atlantic University. January 21, 2016.
  69. ^ "In Florida, Clinton has 5 point lead over Trump". Greenberg Quinlan Rosner. July 14, 2016. Retrieved July 16, 2016.
  70. ^ "CLINTON NARROWLY LEADS TRUMP IN FLORIDA--GOP THIRD PARTY DEFECTIONS & HISPANIC VOTERS CREATING THE CURRENT GAP" (PDF). Mason-Dixon. Retrieved June 3, 2016.
  71. ^ "PRESIDENTIAL RACE CLOSE IN FLORIDA--SO WHAT ELSE IS NEW?". Mason-Dixon. August 26, 2016. Retrieved August 26, 2016.
  72. ^ "Florida Poll – August 2016 Topline Results August 25, 2016" (PDF). ICITIZEN. August 26, 2016. Retrieved August 26, 2016.
  73. ^ "FAU Poll Finds Trump Edging Out Clinton in Florida" (PDF). Florida Atlantic University. August 24, 2016. Retrieved August 24, 2016.
  74. ^ "Survey: Florida Looks Like It Will Support Clinton for President". Saint Leo University Polling Institute. August 23, 2016. Retrieved August 23, 2016.
  75. ^ "Clinton Leads for Prez, Rubio Leads for Senate". Monmouth University. August 16, 2016. Retrieved August 17, 2016.
  76. ^ "Poll: Clinton up in Florida, New Hampshire; extends lead on electoral map". YouGov. CBS News. August 14, 2016. Retrieved August 15, 2016.
  77. ^ "Poll: Clinton Edges Past Trump in FL". Opinion Savvy. Fox 13 Tampa Bay. Retrieved August 11, 2016.
  78. ^ "Florida Poll Results" (PDF). JMC. JMC Analytics and Polling. Retrieved July 11, 2016.
  79. ^ "Exclusive Florida Decides Poll: Clinton holds lead over Trump". SurveyUSA. June 29, 2016. Retrieved June 29, 2016.
  80. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Florida". YouGov. Retrieved June 26, 2016.
  81. ^ "As One of the Least Popular Senators in the Country, Rubio Would Face a Tough General Election" (PDF). Retrieved June 8, 2016.
  82. ^ "BIDEN, CARSON ARE HOT IN FLORIDA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). October 7, 2015. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  83. ^ a b "Florida Down on Bush, Rubio Campaigns" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 15, 2015. Retrieved August 20, 2015.
  84. ^ a b University, Quinnipiac (August 20, 2015). "BIDEN TOPS TRUMP IN FLORIDA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  85. ^ "Clinton, Rubio Close in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds" (PDF). www.quinnipiac.edu. June 17, 2015. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  86. ^ "BUSH & RUBIO BOTH LEAD CLINTON IN FLORIDA" (PDF). Mason-Dixon. April 17, 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 4, 2016. Retrieved August 20, 2015.
  87. ^ "CLINTON DOWN BUT STILL UP IN FLORIDA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. March 31, 2015. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  88. ^ "Floridians Not Big On Bush, Rubio White House Bids" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. March 24, 2015. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  89. ^ "GOP IN FLUX IN FLORIDA, OHIO, PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARIES, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY SWING STATE POLL FINDS; CLINTON SWEEPS DEM PACK, WITH BIDEN AS SECOND CHOICE" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. February 4, 2015. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  90. ^ "Current Florida Polling". Gravis Marketing. October 26, 2014. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  91. ^ "October Florida Polling of Likely Voters". Gravis Marketing. October 13, 2014. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  92. ^ "Crist, Scott continue to be closely matched" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. September 9, 2014. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  93. ^ "Race for Florida Gov a DEAD HEAT – Growing Support for Medical Marijuana Highlight Recent Gravis Marketing Florida Poll". Gravis Marketing. August 29, 2014. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  94. ^ "With Libertarian Wyllie on the Ballot in Florida, Republican Scott Now Leads Democrat Crist by 3:". SurveyUSA. August 15, 2014. Retrieved August 20, 2016.
  95. ^ "Florida Teeter-Totter Tips Back Towards Scott, As News Novelty of Crist's Running Mate Announcement Wears Off:". SurveyUSA. August 5, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  96. ^ "OBAMA IN SLUMP, BUT CLINTON SCORES IN FLORIDA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; RUBIO NARROWS GOP GAP AS JEB BUSH SAGS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. July 24, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  97. ^ "In FL Governor's Duel, Democrat Crist Now In the Spotlight, Democrat Crist Now In The Lead - Newly Atop Republican Scott in Dramatic Swing:". SurveyUSA. July 22, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  98. ^ "In FL, Steady As She Goes: Scott 2 Atop Crist for Gov; For POTUS in 2016, FL Stays Blue if Clinton Runs; FL Turns Red if Biden Runs:". SurveyUSA. July 3, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  99. ^ "In Florida, Scott and Crist Now Nose-to-Nose in WFLA-TV Tracking Poll:". SurveyUSA. June 24, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  100. ^ "Democrat Crist Back on Top in Florida See-Saw; Does It Have to Do With His Intention to Visit Cuba?". SurveyUSA. June 10, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  101. ^ "Bush Leads Republicans, Neck and Neck with Clinton" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. June 11, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  102. ^ "Florida Presidential Primary Preview: Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush Florida Favorites". Saint Leo University. June 5, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  103. ^ "JEB BUSH IS TOP DOG IN FLORIDA 2016 GOP PACK, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; BUT CLINTON ON TOP, DESPITE BAD OBAMA GRADE" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. May 1, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  104. ^ "BRIDGEGATE DRIVES CHRISTIE TO THE CURB IN FLORIDA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; JEB BUSH LEADS GOP, BUT CLINTON IS TOPS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. January 31, 2014. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  105. ^ "JEB BUSH, CLINTON TOPS IN FLORIDA IN 2016 RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; OBAMA APPROVAL NEAR ALL-TIME LOW IN STATE" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. November 22, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  106. ^ "Florida Governor Poll/Gravis Marketing/Rick Scott and Charlie Crist". Gravis Marketing. Human Events. November 14, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  107. ^ "FLORIDA VOTERS LIKE RUBIO, BUT NOT ON GUNS, IMMIGRATION, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON TOPS RUBIO, JEB BUSH IN 2016 MATCHUPS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. June 19, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  108. ^ "Clinton's popularity soars in Florida while Rubio stumbles" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. March 21, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  109. ^ "CLINTON TOPS FLORIDA FAVORITE SONS IN 2016 RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; 91% BACK UNIVERSAL GUN BACKGROUND CHECKS" (PDF). Quinnipiac University. March 21, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2016.
  110. ^ "Clinton could beat Bush and Rubio in Florida in 2016" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. January 17, 2013. Retrieved August 21, 2016.