Historical Estimates of World Population
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Historical Estimates of World Population

(Population in millions. When lower and upper estimates are the same they are shown under "Lower.")

Year Summary Biraben Durand Haub McEvedy
and Jones
Thomlinson UN, 1973 UN, 1999 USCB
Lower Upper Lower Upper Lower Upper Lower Upper
10000 BC 1 10



4 1 10



8000 BC 5



5






6500 BC 5 10






5 10

5000 BC 5 20



5 5 20



4000 BC 7




7





3000 BC 14




14





2000 BC 27




27





1000 BC 50




50





500 BC 100




100





400 BC 162
162









200 BC 150 231 231


150





1 AD 170 400 255 270 330 300 170 200
200 400 300
200 AD 190 256 256


190





400 AD 190 206 206


190





500 AD 190 206 206


190





600 AD 200 206 206


200





700 AD 207 210 207


210





800 AD 220 224 224


220





900 AD 226 240 226


240





1000 AD 254 345 254 275 345
265



310
1100 AD 301 320 301


320





1200 AD 360 450 400

450 360





1250 AD 400 416 416







400
1300 AD 360 432 432


360 400




1340 AD 443
443









1400 AD 350 374 374


350





1500 AD 425 540 460 440 540
425



500
1600 AD 545 579 579


545





1650 AD 470 545


500 545 500
470 545

1700 AD 600 679 679


610 600




1750 AD 629 961 770 735 805 795 720 700
629 961 790
1800 AD 813 1,125 954


900 900
813 1,125 980
1850 AD 1,128 1,402 1,241

1,265 1,200 1,200
1,128 1,402 1,260
1900 AD 1,550 1,762 1,633 1,650 1,710 1,656 1,625 1,600
1,550 1,762 1,650
1910 AD 1,750









1,750
1920 AD 1,860









1,860
1930 AD 2,070









2,070
1940 AD 2,300









2,300
1950 AD 2,400 2,558 2,527

2,516 2,500 2,400
2,486
2,520 2,558

Sources

Biraben, Jean-Noel, 1980, An Essay Concerning Mankind's Evolution,
Population, Selected Papers, December, table 2.

Durand, John D., 1974, "Historical Estimates of World Population: An Evaluation,"
University of Pennsylvania, Population Center,
Analytical and Technical Reports, Number 10, table 2.

Haub, Carl, 1995, "How Many People Have Ever Lived on Earth?"
Population Today, February, p. 5.

McEvedy, Colin and Richard Jones, 1978, "Atlas of World Population History,"
Facts on File, New York, pp. 342-351.

Thomlinson, Ralph, 1975, "Demographic Problems, Controversy Over Population Control,"
Second Edition, Table 1.

United Nations (UN), 1973, The Determinants and Consequences of
Population Trends, Population Studies, No. 50., p.10.

United Nations, 1999, The World at Six Billion, Table 1, "World Population From
Year 0 to Stabilization," p. 5,

International Database (IDB) Data Tool: https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/international-programs/about/idb.html

Page Last Revised - December 5, 2022
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