United States Senate elections, 2022

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2022 U.S. Senate Elections

Election Date
November 8, 2022

U.S. Senate Elections by State
AlabamaAlaskaArizonaArkansasCalifornia (regular)California (special)ColoradoConnecticutFloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMarylandMissouriNevadaNew HampshireNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaOhioOklahoma (regular)Oklahoma (special)OregonPennsylvaniaSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaUtahVermontWashingtonWisconsin

U.S. House Elections

As a result of the 2022 U.S. Senate elections, Democrats retained control of the U.S. Senate, gaining 51 seats to Republicans' 49.[1]

Heading into Election Day, the U.S. Senate was evenly divided at 50-50 with Vice President Kamala Harris (D) casting tie-breaking votes, giving Democrats an effective majority.[2] Republicans needed a net pickup of one seat to gain control.

Democrats gained a seat Republicans formerly held, as John Fetterman (D) defeated Mehmet Oz (R) in the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania. Incumbent Senator Pat Toomey (R) did not seek re-election.

The U.S. Senate election in Georgia advanced to a Dec. 6 runoff. Incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) defeated Herschel Walker (R) in the runoff.

Two special elections also took place on November 8, 2022. Markwayne Mullin (R) won the special election held to fill the final four years of Sen. Jim Inhofe's (R-Okla.) six-year term that began in 2021. Inhofe announced he would resign from office effective January 3, 2023.[3] The other special election was held to fill the final weeks of the six-year term that Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) was elected to in 2016 before becoming vice president. That U.S. Senate seat was also up for regular election in 2022. Incumbent Sen. Alex Padilla (D), who replaced Harris in the Senate, won both the special election and the regular election.

Thirty five seats — 14 held by Democrats and 21[4] held by Republicans — were up for election in 2022. Republicans were defending two Senate seats in states Joe Biden (D) won in the 2020 presidential election: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Democrats gained the seat in Pennsylvania after Fetterman defeated Oz, while Republicans held the seat in Wisconsin after incumbent Sen. Ron Johnson (R) defeated Mandela Barnes (D). Democrats were not defending any Senate seats in states Donald Trump (R) won in 2020.

Seven of the seats up for election were open[5], meaning the incumbents were not running for re-election. Ahead of the election, Democrats held one of those seats while Republicans held five, including Pennsylvania, the only seat to change party hands.

All twenty-eight incumbents who ran for re-election won. This was the first time since 1914 that no Senate incumbent who ran lost re-election.[6]

Thirty-two of the 34 seats up for regular election in 2022 were last up for election in 2016. Georgia and Arizona had seats up for election in 2022 that were up for special election in 2020.

On this page, you will find information on the following:


Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. Senate election results.

Partisan balance

Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 49 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. After the elections, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. Sinema said she would not caucus with Republicans and kept the committee assignments she had as a member of the Democratic caucus.[7]

U.S. Senate Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 8, 2022 After the 2022 Election
     Democratic Party 48[8] 48
     Republican Party 50 49
     Independent 2[8] 3[8][9]
     Vacancies 0 0
Total 100 100

Election results

This table shows the results of the U.S. Senate elections on November 8, 2022. There were 35 U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2022—14 seats held by Democrats and 21 held by Republicans. Of those, Democrats won 15 seats and Republicans won 20 seats. In 2022, Democrats had a net gain of one seat.

Results of United States Senate elections, 2022
State Incumbent Winner Partisan change Incumbent status
Alabama Republican Party Richard Shelby Republican Party Katie Britt No Incumbent didn't seek re-election
Alaska Republican Party Lisa Murkowski Republican Party Lisa Murkowski No Won
Arizona Democratic Party Mark Kelly Democratic PartyMark Kelly No Won
Arkansas Republican Party John Boozman Republican Party John Boozman No Won
California Democratic Party Alex Padilla Democratic Party Alex Padilla No Won
Colorado Democratic Party Michael Bennet Democratic Party Michael Bennet No Won
Connecticut Democratic Party Richard Blumenthal Democratic Party Richard Blumenthal No Won
Florida Republican Party Marco Rubio Republican Party Marco Rubio No Won
Georgia Democratic Party Raphael Warnock Democratic Party Raphael Warnock No Won
Hawaii Democratic Party Brian Schatz Democratic Party Brian Schatz No Won
Idaho Republican Party Mike Crapo Republican Party Mike Crapo No Won
Illinois Democratic Party Tammy Duckworth Democratic Party Tammy Duckworth No Won
Indiana Republican Party Todd Young Republican Party Todd Young No Won
Iowa Republican Party Chuck Grassley Republican Party Chuck Grassley No Won
Kansas Republican Party Jerry Moran Republican Party Jerry Moran No Won
Kentucky Republican Party Rand Paul Republican Party Rand Paul No Won
Louisiana Republican Party John Neely Kennedy Republican Party John Neely Kennedy No Won
Maryland Democratic Party Chris Van Hollen Democratic Party Chris Van Hollen No Won
Missouri Republican Party Roy Blunt Republican Party Eric Schmitt No Incumbent didn't seek re-election
Nevada Democratic Party Catherine Cortez Masto Democratic Party Catherine Cortez Masto No Won
New Hampshire Democratic Party Maggie Hassan Democratic Party Maggie Hassan No Won
New York Democratic Party Chuck Schumer Democratic Party Chuck Schumer No Won
North Carolina Republican Party Richard Burr Republican Party Ted Budd No Incumbent didn't seek re-election
North Dakota Republican Party John Hoeven Republican Party John Hoeven No Won
Ohio Republican Party Rob Portman Republican Party J.D. Vance No Incumbent didn't seek re-election
Oklahoma (regular) Republican Party James Lankford Republican Party James Lankford No Won
Oklahoma (special) Republican Party James Inhofe Republican Party Markwayne Mullin No Incumbent announced his resignation
before the end of his term
Oregon Democratic Party Ron Wyden Democratic Party Ron Wyden No Won
Pennsylvania Republican Party Pat Toomey Democratic Party John Fetterman Yes Incumbent didn't seek re-election
South Carolina Republican Party Tim Scott Republican Party Tim Scott No Won
South Dakota Republican Party John Thune Republican Party John Thune No Won
Utah Republican Party Mike Lee Republican Party Mike Lee No Won
Vermont Democratic Party Patrick Leahy Democratic Party Peter Welch No Incumbent didn't seek re-election
Washington Democratic Party Patty Murray Democratic Party Patty Murray No Won
Wisconsin Republican Party Ron Johnson Republican Party Ron Johnson No Won


The map below shows what seats were up for election, the incumbent heading into the election in each state, the 2022 winner in each state, whether each seat was open, and race ratings before the election.

Margins of victory

See also: United States Senate elections, 2022 and U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2022

The following table details the margins of victory in U.S. Senate elections in 2022.

The average margin of victory for U.S. Senate races was 19.8 percentage points, larger than the 18.1 percentage points average margin in 2020. The average MOV was 22.9 percentage points for Republicans and 16.68 percentage points for Democrats.

The narrowest margin in any U.S. Senate election in 2022 was 0.78 percentage points in the U.S. Senate election in Nevada between Catherine Cortez Masto (D) and Adam Laxalt (R). The largest MOV was in Hawaii, where Brian Schatz (D) defeated Bob McDermott (R) by a margin of 45.17 percentage points.


U.S. Senate margins of victory, 2022
State Votes cast Winner Winner votes Runner-up Runner-up votes Margin Margin (%)
U.S. Senate, Alabama 1,414,238 Republican Party Katie Britt 942,154 Democratic Party Will Boyd 436,746 505,408 35.74%
U.S. Senate, Alaska 291,573 Republican Party Lisa Murkowski 20,571 Republican Party Kelly Tshibaka 2,224 18,347 6.29%
U.S. Senate, Arizona 2,572,294 Democratic Party Mark Kelly 1,322,027 Republican Party Blake Masters 1,196,308 125,719 4.89%
U.S. Senate, Arkansas 901,306 Republican Party John Boozman 592,437 Democratic Party Natalie James 280,187 312,250 34.64%
U.S. Senate, California 10,843,650 Democratic Party Alex Padilla 6,621,621 Democratic Party Mark Meuser 4,222,029 2,399,592 22.13%
U.S. Senate, Colorado 2,500,201 Democratic Party Michael Bennet 1,397,170 Republican Party Joe O'Dea 1,031,693 365,477 14.62%
U.S. Senate, Connecticut 1,259,887 Democratic Party Richard Blumenthal 723,864 Republican Party Leora Levy 535,943 187,921 14.92%
U.S. Senate, Florida 7,758,014 Republican Party Marco Rubio 4,474,847 Democratic Party Val Demings 3,201,522 1,273,325 16.41%
U.S. Senate, Georgia 3,541,877 Democratic Party Raphael Warnock 1,820,633 Republican Party Herschel Walker 1,721,244 99,389 2.81%
U.S. Senate, Hawaii 408,517 Democratic Party Brian Schatz 290,894 Republican Party Bob McDermott 106,358 184,536 45.17%
U.S. Senate, Idaho 590,890 Republican Party Mike Crapo 358,539 Democratic Party David Roth 169,808 188,731 31.94%
U.S. Senate, Illinois 4,098,896 Democratic Party Tammy Duckworth 2,329,136 Republican Party Kathy Salvi 1,701,055 628,081 15.32%
U.S. Senate, Indiana 1,860,154 Republican Party Todd Young 1,090,390 Democratic Party Thomas McDermott Jr. 704,480 385,910 20.75%
U.S. Senate, Iowa 1,216,646 Republican Party Chuck Grassley 681,501 Democratic Party Michael Franken 533,330 148,171 12.18%
U.S. Senate, Kansas 1,004,956 Republican Party Jerry Moran 602,976 Democratic Party Mark Holland 372,214 230,762 22.96%
U.S. Senate, Kentucky 1,478,830 Republican Party Rand Paul 913,326 Democratic Party Charles Booker 564,311 349,015 23.62%
U.S. Senate, Louisiana 1,383,290 Republican Party John Neely Kennedy 851,568 Democratic Party Gary Chambers 246,933 604,636 43.71%
U.S. Senate, Maryland 2,002,336 Democratic Party Chris Van Hollen 1,316,897 Republican Party Chris Chaffee 682,293 634,604 31.69%
U.S. Senate, Missouri 2,069,130 Republican Party Eric Schmitt 1,146,966 Democratic Party Trudy Busch Valentine 872,694 274,272 13.26%
U.S. Senate, Nevada 1,020,850 Democratic Party Catherine Cortez Masto 498,316 Republican Party Adam Laxalt 490,388 7,928 0.78%
U.S. Senate, New Hampshire 620,975 Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 332,193 Republican Party Don Bolduc 275,928 56,265 9.06%
U.S. Senate, New York 5,852,707 Democratic Party Chuck Schumer 3,320,561 Republican Party Joe Pinion 2,501,151 819,410 14.00%
U.S. Senate, North Carolina 3,773,924 Republican Party Ted Budd 1,905,786 Democratic Party Cheri Beasley 1,784,049 121,737 3.23%
U.S. Senate, North Dakota 240,140 Republican Party John Hoeven 135,474 Democratic Party Katrina Christiansen 59,995 75,479 31.43%
U.S. Senate, Ohio 4,133,342 Republican Party J.D. Vance 2,192,114 Democratic Party Tim Ryan 1,939,489 252,625 6.11%
U.S. Senate, Oklahoma (Special election) 1,150,481 Republican Party Markwayne Mullin 710,643 Democratic Party Kendra Horn 405,389 305,254 26.52%
U.S. Senate, Oklahoma 1,150,732 Republican Party James Lankford 739,960 Democratic Party Madison Horn 369,370 370,590 32.20%
U.S. Senate, Oregon 1,927,949 Democratic Party Ron Wyden 1,076,424 Republican Party Jo Rae Perkins 788,991 287,433 14.91%
U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania 5,368,021 Democratic Party John Fetterman 2,751,012 Republican Party Mehmet Oz 2,487,260 263,752 4.91%
U.S. Senate, South Carolina 1,695,702 Republican Party Tim Scott 1,066,274 Democratic Party Krystle Matthews 627,616 438,658 25.87%
U.S. Senate, South Dakota 348,020 Republican Party John Thune 242,316 Democratic Party Brian Bengs 91,007 151,309 43.48%
U.S. Senate, Utah 1,076,068 Republican Party Mike Lee 571,974 Democratic Party Evan McMullin (Independent) 459,958 112,016 10.41%
U.S. Senate, Vermont 287,100 Democratic Party Peter Welch 196,575 Republican Party Gerald Malloy 80,468 116,107 40.44%
U.S. Senate, Washington 3,047,900 Democratic Party Patty Murray 1,741,827 Republican Party Tiffany Smiley 1,299,322 442,505 14.52%
U.S. Senate, Wisconsin 2,652,477 Republican Party Ron Johnson 1,337,185 Democratic Party Mandela Barnes 1,310,467 26,718 1.01%


Incumbents who didn't seek re-election

See also: List of U.S. Congress incumbents who are not running for re-election in 2022

The following table lists incumbents who didn't seek re-election in 2022.

In 2020, 40 incumbent members of Congress—36 representatives and four senators—didn't seek re-election.

Senate

  • Democratic Party 1 Democrat
  • Republican Party 5 Republicans
Retired from public office, 2022
Name Party State Date announced
Richard Burr Republican Party Republican North Carolina July 20, 2016[10]
Pat Toomey Republican Party Republican Pennsylvania Oct. 5, 2020[11]
Rob Portman Republican Party Republican Ohio Jan. 25, 2021[12]
Richard Shelby Republican Party Republican Alabama Feb. 8, 2021[13]
Roy Blunt Republican Party Republican Missouri March 8, 2021[14]
Patrick Leahy Democratic Party Democratic Vermont November 15, 2021[15]


Battlegrounds

See also: U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2022

Battleground elections

The following map displays all states that held U.S. Senate elections in 2022 shaded by the incumbent's or most recent incumbent's political affiliation. Battleground races are highlighted in brighter colors. Hover over a state for more information.

Battleground U.S. Senate elections, 2022
State Incumbent Open seat? 2016 margin 2020 presidential margin
Alaska Republican Party Lisa Murkowski No R+15.2 R+10.0
Arizona Democratic Party Mark Kelly No D+2.4 D+0.3
Florida Republican Party Marco Rubio No R+7.7 R+3.3
Georgia Democratic Party Raphael Warnock No D+2.1 D+0.2
Missouri Republican Party Roy Blunt Yes R+2.8 R+15.4
Nevada Democratic Party Catherine Cortez Masto No D+2.4 D+2.4
New Hampshire Democratic Party Maggie Hassan No D+0.1 D+7.3
North Carolina Republican Party Richard Burr Yes R+5.7 R+1.3
Ohio Republican Party Rob Portman Yes R+20.8 R+8.1
Pennsylvania Republican Party Pat Toomey Yes R+1.5 D+1.2
Utah Republican Party Mike Lee No R+41.0 R+20.5
Wisconsin Republican Party Ron Johnson No R+3.4 D+0.7


Outside ratings

The following table compared U.S. Senate race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections prior to the November 2022 elections.

Overviews

Alaska

See also: United States Senate election in Alaska, 2022

Incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R) defeated Kelly Tshibaka (R), and Patricia Chesbro (D) in the general election for U.S. Senate in Alaska on November 8, 2022.

The three candidates advanced from the top-four primary held on August 16, 2022, the first time Alaska used such a system in a Senate race since voters there approved it in 2020. All candidates, regardless of party affiliation, ran in a single primary. Murkowski, Tshibaka, Chesbro, and Buzz Kelley (R) received the most votes and advanced to the general election, where the winner was decided using ranked-choice voting.

On September 12, 2022, Kelley withdrew from the race and endorsed Tshibaka.[16] His name still appeared on the ballot.

Murkowski and Tshibaka led in media attention and together won more than 80% of the primary vote, with Murkowski receiving 45% and Tshibaka receiving 38.6%. In July 2022, FiveThirtyEight's Geoffrey Skelley and Zoha Qamar wrote, "the ranked choice voting process seems likely to set up a contest between the two leading Republicans, [Murkowski and Tshibaka]".[17]

Murkowski first took office in 2002. Lisa Murkowski's father, Frank Murkowski (R), was a senator from 1981 to 2002, when he resigned to become governor of Alaska. After taking office, the elder Murkowski appointed his daughter to the U.S. Senate seat. After losing the Republican Senate primary in 2010, Lisa Murkowski successfully ran for re-election as a write-in candidate, becoming the second senator in U.S. history to do so. In 2016, Murkowski was re-elected after defeating second-place finisher Joe Miller (L) 44.4% to 29.2%.[18][19]

Murkowski highlighted her seniority and said her willingness to work with Democrats helped steer federal funding to Alaska. Murkowski said, "This race is about who can deliver best for Alaska. Through my seniority and ability to work across party lines, I’m getting real results for Alaska."[20] Murkowski also highlighted her support for energy development in the state and said her vote for the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act had already brought billions to Alaska.[21]

Tshibaka, a former commissioner at the Alaska Department of Administration, accused Murkowski of not using her seniority to block more of President Joe Biden's (D) agenda. Tshibaka said, "Lisa Murkowski has enabled Biden’s agenda by casting the tie-breaking deciding vote to advance his anti-energy Interior Secretary nominee and confirming over 90% of his radical nominees."[22][23] Tshibaka also focused on economic issues and said she supports a Parental Bill of Rights that would give parents "a right to be fully informed and to approve of any sex education, gender identification, or race theory material being presented or discussed with their child."[23]

In February 2021, Murkowski voted to convict then-President Donald Trump (R) after the U.S. House impeached him over the events surrounding the January 6 breach of the Capitol.Cite error: Closing </ref> missing for <ref> tag In June 2021, Trump endorsed Tshibaka. [24] The Republican Party of Alaska also endorsed Tshibaka. [25]

U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and fellow Alaska U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) endorsed Murkowski. Murkowski also had the endorsements of several Democratic elected officials, including Alaska's At-Large U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola (D), Sen. Joe Manchin (D) and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D).Cite error: Closing </ref> missing for <ref> tagCite error: Closing </ref> missing for <ref> tag[26][27]

Ballotpedia tracked all noteworthy endorsements related to this race.[28] To view a full list of these endorsements, click here.

Chesbro, a retired educator, highlighted her support for renewable energy. In her responses to Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, Chesbro said, “We cannot turn off the spigot on fossil fuels. We can invest in our future through developing our renewable resources to create the energy on which we depend.” Chesbro also focused on her support for abortion rights.[29]

Arizona

See also: United States Senate election in Arizona, 2022

Incumbent Mark Kelly (D) defeated Blake Masters (R) in the general election for one of Arizona's U.S. Senate seats on November 8, 2022.

Kelly won a November 2020 special election following the death of U.S. Sen. John McCain (R). Before joining Congress, Kelly served as a U.S. Navy pilot and a NASA astronaut. Kelly and his wife, former U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D), founded Americans for Responsible Solutions (known at the time of the 2022 election as Giffords) in 2013. Kelly said he was "focused on representing Arizonans – all Arizonans – and I’ll keep working with Republicans and Democrats to support hardworking families and get our economy back on track."[30] Kelly's campaign website highlighted affordable health care, providing competitive educational opportunities, increasing wages to cover the cost of living, and funding federal benefits like Social Security and Medicare as policy goals in Washington.[31] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), Kelly cumulatively raised $81.8 million and spent $75.9 million.

Masters, a venture capitalist, became president of the Thiel Foundation in 2015 and served as COO of Thiel Capital from 2018 to 2022. Masters' campaign website said he ran "because the same old establishment politicians and the same old establishment candidates have failed us. [Masters] brings a wealth of experience to the table on how to defeat not just the progressive Democrats, but also the weak and compromised RINO Republicans." Masters' campaign website listed public safety as his top priority. He wrote, "I am so sick of this crime and chaos. It’s time to turn this ship around. We need to get control of our border. We need to punish criminals severely. And we need to project strength and competence abroad."[32] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the FEC, Masters cumulatively raised $12.3 million and spent $9.7 million.

The previous two Senate elections—held in 2018 and 2020—were both decided by 2.4 percentage points. In 2020, Kelly defeated incumbent Sen. Martha McSally (R) in a special election 51.2% to 48.8%.[33] In 2018, Kyrsten Sinema (D) defeated McSally 50.0% to 47.6%.

The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Arizona were similarly close. Joe Biden (D) won the state of Arizona by 0.3 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Donald Trump (R) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 3.6 percentage points.

Florida

See also: United States Senate election in Florida, 2022

Incumbent Marco Rubio (R) defeated Val Demings (D) and seven other candidates in the general election for U.S. Senate in Florida on November 8, 2022.

The Hill's Caroline Vakil said, "Florida’s Senate race is considered one of the most competitive this November."[34] In 2018, the last U.S. Senate race in the state before this one, Rick Scott (R) defeated incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson (D) by 0.2 percentage points. In 2016, incumbent Marco Rubio won re-election by a margin of 7.7 percentage points.

Rubio was first elected to the Senate in 2010 to replace retiring incumbent Mel Martinez (R). In the general election, Rubio defeated Kendrick B. Meek (D) and Gov. Charlie Crist (I) with 49% of the vote. Rubio was a member of the Florida House of Representatives from 2000 to 2008, serving as majority leader from 2003 to 2006 and House speaker from 2006 to 2008. Rubio emphasized his Senate career; according to his campaign website, "As a U.S. Senator, Marco has advanced commonsense, conservative ideas that address the issues Americans face."[35]

Demings was elected to the U.S. House in 2016, representing Florida's 10th Congressional District. Demings served on the Committee on Homeland Security and the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform. Before her time in office, Demings worked in law enforcement for nearly three decades. From 2007 to 2012, Demings was the chief of police in Orlando, Florida.[36] Demings said she was "running for U.S. Senate to fight for every Floridian to have that same opportunity to live the American Dream."[37]

Dennis Misigoy (L), Steven B. Grant, Tuan Nguyen, Uloma Ekpete, Edward A. Gray, Howard Knepper, and Moses Quiles also ran.

The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections in Florida were both decided by less than 4 percentage points. Incumbent President Donald Trump (R) won the state over Joe Biden (D) by 3.3 percentage points in 2020. Trump won the state over Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016 by 1.2 percentage points.

Georgia

See also: United States Senate election in Georgia, 2022

Incumbent Raphael Warnock (D) and Herschel Walker (R) advanced to a runoff election on December 6, 2022. Warnock, Walker, and Chase Oliver (L) ran to represent Georgia in the U.S. Senate.

In Georgia, a general election advances to a runoff between the two top finishers if no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote. Since none of the candidates received this level of support on November 8 in the general election, a runoff was scheduled to take place on December 6. Warnock won his 2021 special runoff election by a margin of 2 percentage points.

After former U.S. Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) resigned for health reasons in 2019, Gov. Brian Kemp (R) appointed Kelly Loeffler (R) to this seat until a special election could be held to replace Isakson. Since no candidate won a majority of the vote in the special election on November 3, 2020, Loeffler and Warnock advanced to a runoff on January 5, 2021. Warnock defeated Loeffler in the runoff election, becoming the first Democrat to represent Georgia in the U.S. Senate since 2005.[38][39][40]

Warnock served as the senior pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church, where Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. also served as pastor. Warnock co-sponsored the Warnock-Cruz Amendment, which provided support for a bipartisan infrastructure project connecting Georgia and Texas. Warnock explained his decision to work with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), saying, “There is a road that runs through our humanity…that is larger than politics, bigger than partisan bickering, certainly bigger than race…and my job as a legislator, and our job as citizens, is to find our way to that road that connects us to one another…so that every child can have access to a good, quality education, so that everybody can have affordable health care…Our job is to build out that road!”[41] As of November 2022, Warnock’s campaign had raised more than $123 million.[42]

Walker was a Hall of Fame professional football player who attended the University of Georgia, represented the U.S. in the 1992 Olympics, and owned two food-supply businesses. Former President Donald Trump (R) appointed Walker to the Council on Sports, Fitness, and Nutrition in 2018. Walker said he also ran to save "our country and the great state of Georgia from President Biden’s disastrous agenda which has led to higher prices, out-of-control crime, dangerous open borders, and ‘America Last’ foreign policy. Weak leaders create bad results — and we are sick and tired of politicians not being held accountable for their actions."[43] As of November 2022, Walker’s campaign had raised nearly $38 million.[44][45]


Missouri

See also: United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022

Eric Schmitt (R) defeated Trudy Busch Valentine (D), Paul Venable (Constitution Party), and Jonathan Dine (L) in the general election for one of Missouri's U.S. Senate seats on November 8, 2022. Sen. Roy Blunt (R), who first took office in 2011, did not seek re-election.[46]

Busch Valentine, the heiress of the Anheuser-Busch beer company, worked as a nurse.[47] Busch Valentine said she wanted to fight the opioid epidemic, improve access to quality healthcare, and advocate for women's rights.[48] She also criticized the state of politics in Missouri and called it divisive. "Our communities are strong, but our politics are broken. Too often neighbors and families just stop talking to each other, and the politicians in Washington continue to divide us even further," she said.[49] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), Busch Valentine cumulatively raised $12.0 million and spent $11.7 million.

Schmitt was appointed attorney general of Missouri in January 2019. He was treasurer of Missouri from 2017 to 2019, and a member of the Missouri State Senate from 2008 to 2016. Schmitt ran on his record as attorney general and the lawsuits he filed against the federal government. Schmitt said, "[I have] taken a blow torch to Biden’s unconstitutional and unlawful policies to protect the America First Agenda." He also said that he was a "proven Conservative [who will] take the fight to the Senate and save our values, our culture, and our country."[50] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the FEC, Schmitt cumulatively raised $5.7 million and spent $5.5 million.

At the time of the election, three independent election forecasters rated the general election as Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Donald Trump (R) won the state in the 2020 presidential election by a 15.4% margin. At the time of the 2022 election, the last time a Democratic candidate won a statewide election in Missouri was in 2012, when U.S. Sen. Claire McCaskill and Gov. Jay Nixon (D) both won re-election. Missouri's other U.S. senator, Josh Hawley (R), won the 2018 election by a 5.8% margin.

Nevada

See also: United States Senate election in Nevada, 2022

Incumbent U.S. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) defeated former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R) and three others in the general election for U.S. Senate in Nevada on November 8, 2022.

Time's Philip Elliott wrote, "The match-up [between Cortez Masto and] Republican Adam Laxalt is seen as a two-point race at best—and one that could decide if the Democrats hold their narrow majority in the Senate."[51]

Sen. Harry Reid (D) held the seat from 1987 to 2017. Statewide elections in Nevada in 2016 and 2018 were decided by five percentage points or fewer.

In the Nevada 2018 U.S. senate race, Jacky Rosen defeated incumbent Sen. Dean Heller (R) by five percentage points. In 2016, Cortez Masto defeated then-incumbent Joe Heck (R) by 2.4 percentage points. The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Nevada were similarly close. Joe Biden (D) won the state of Nevada by 2.4 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Hillary Clinton (D) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 2.4 percentage points.

The Cook Political Report’s Jessica Taylor said demographic shifts were one reason for the state's competitiveness. "Nevada is a uniquely transient state: half of those on the state's voter rolls have registered since 2016, when Cortez Masto was first elected," Taylor said. "Unaffiliated voters became the largest bloc in the state last fall," Taylor also said.[52]

Time's Elliott said the state's Latino population would play an important role in the election's outcome. "Strategists anticipate about 15% to 20% of the electorate to identify as Hispanic or Latino—and could be even bigger as both sides are working to register new voters," Elliot said.[51]

Cortez Masto, the first Latina elected to the U.S. Senate, took office in 2017 after defeating Heck (R) 47.1% to 44.7%. Before taking office, Cortez Masto served as Nevada’s attorney general from 2007 to 2015.[53]

Laxalt succeeded Cortez Masto as state attorney general, serving from 2015 to 2019. Laxalt was the Republican gubernatorial nominee in 2018. Steve Sisolak (D) defeated Laxalt 49.4% to 45.3% in the general election. Laxalt is the grandson of former Nevada governor and U.S. Senator Paul Laxalt (R), and is the son of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici (R-N.M.).[54][55]

Cortez Masto focused on her support for abortion rights and criticized Laxalt for past comments he made about the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision.[56] Cortez Masto also said that if Laxalt was elected, Senate Republicans would seek to implement a national ban on abortion. "If Mitch McConnell retakes the Senate, he won’t hesitate to bring a national abortion ban bill to a vote," Cortez Masto said.[57] Cortez Masto also highlighted her vote for the Inflation Reduction Act of 2021 (IRA), a measure she said would reduce healthcare costs for Nevadans. [58][59]

Laxalt focused on economic issues and said Cortez Masto's support for President Biden's economic initiatives contributed to the rise in inflation.[60] Laxalt said that, as senator, he would "work quickly to restore fiscal sanity by stopping the spending spree that has led to record-breaking inflation."[61] Laxalt also focused on immigration. Laxalt said he supported finishing the wall on the U.S.-Mexico border and said "there [was] nothing humane about an open border policy that encourages caravans of desperate people to risk their lives only to encounter overwhelmed border facilities."[62]

Minor party, independent, and write-in candidates included Barry Rubinson (Independent American Party), Neil Scott (Libertarian), and Barry Lindemann (Independent).

New Hampshire

See also: United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2022

Incumbent Maggie Hassan (D) defeated Don Bolduc (R) and Jeremy Kauffman (L) in the general election for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire on November 8, 2022.

Hassan took office in 2017. Hassan said she worked with Republicans to end surprise medical billing and expand broadband access. She emphasized her support for a gas tax holiday through 2022 and said she worked to lower costs for residents. Hassan said Bolduc "[was] running on an extreme, anti-choice agenda and would be a clear yes vote to ban abortion in all fifty states."[63][64]

Bolduc, a retired Army brigadier general, said the election "[was] about the economy, fiscal responsibility and the safety and security of this nation." He attributed inflation and high gas prices to Hassan and other Democrats. Bolduc's campaign ads emphasized his military background and called Hassan a career politician. Bolduc said he'd support allowing states to set abortion policy.[65]

For more on candidates' backgrounds and key messages, see below.

As of October 19, 2022, Hassan spent $36.7 million. Bolduc spent $1.9 million.[66] In 2020, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) spent $19 million on her re-election bid, and challenger Bryant Messner (R) spent $7 million.[67] In Hassan's first Senate bid in 2016, she spent $19 million to incumbent Sen. Kelly Ayotte's (R) $16 million.[68]

In the state's 2020 Senate election, Shaheen defeated Messner by a margin of 15.6 percentage points. In 2016, Hassan defeated Ayotte by 0.1 percentage points.

President Joe Biden (D) won New Hampshire by 7.3 percentage points in 2020. Hillary Clinton (D) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 0.3 percentage points.

North Carolina

See also: United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2022

U.S. Rep. Ted Budd (R) defeated former state supreme court justice Cheri Beasley (D) and seven other candidates in the general election for U.S. Senate in North Carolina on November 8, 2022.

Budd was first elected to North Carolina's 13th Congressional District in 2016 and was re-elected in 2018 and 2020. Prior to serving in the U.S. House, Budd worked as an investment analyst and owner of a gun range and store.[69] Budd said he was running because he was "gravely concerned about our country’s future, because North Carolina families, our values, and our jobs are under attack every day in Washington."[70]

Beasley served as a North Carolina district court justice from 1999 to 2008 and as a judge on the North Carolina Court of Appeals from 2008 to 2012. Gov. Bev Perdue (D) appointed Beasley to the North Carolina Supreme Court in 2012, where she was chief justice from 2019 to 2020. Beasley also worked as an assistant public defender and a partner at McGuireWoods LLP.[71][72] Beasley said she was running to "fight to lower costs, create good-paying jobs and expand access to affordable, quality health care in every part of North Carolina."[73]

Incumbent Sen. Richard Burr (R)—who first took office in 2005—did not seek re-election, which made this an open seat race. In 2020, incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis (R) defeated Cal Cunningham (D), 49% to 47%. In 2016, Burr defeated Deborah Ross (D), 51% to 45%.

The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in North Carolina were both decided by less than 4 percentage points. In the 2020 election, incumbent President Donald Trump (R) won the state over President Joe Biden (D), 49.9% to 48.6%. In the 2016 election, Trump carried North Carolina with 49.8% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 46.2%. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.[74]

Ohio

See also: United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022

J.D. Vance (R) defeated Tim Ryan (D) in the November 8 general election for U.S. Senate in Ohio. Incumbent Rob Portman (R), who was first elected in 2010, did not run for re-election.[75]

Ryan was elected to the U.S. House in 2002. He was re-elected to represent District 13 in 2020 following an unsuccessful presidential campaign. Ryan campaigned on a range of economic issues, including revitalizing the state's manufacturing industry, a federal $15 minimum wage, the PRO Act, renegotiating existing foreign trade deals, and expanding affordable healthcare.[76] According to the Dayton Daily News, Ryan's campaign focused on blue-collar workers and issues.[77] Ryan said, "You know, I think the last thing that the United States Senate needs is another millionaire who got funded by a billionaire to the tune of $15 million or who comes out of Silicon Valley."[78] Sherrod Brown (D), Ohio's other U.S. senator, endorsed Ryan.[79]

Vance served in the U.S. Marine Corps from 2003 to 2007, before working in venture capital in San Francisco. In 2016, he wrote Hillbilly Elegy, a memoir about growing up in Middletown, Ohio. Vance campaigned on bringing manufacturing back to Ohio, fixing the country's immigration system and completing the wall along the southern border, and breaking up large technology companies.[80] Vance said, "We really need people who are solving the big problems. We’ve had way too much time of politicians trying to tinker around the edges just trying to fix the superficial."[78] Former President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Vance.[81]

Donald Trump won Ohio by eight percentage points in 2016 and 2020. Portman won re-election in 2016 by 19 percentage points. Sherrod Brown (D), Ohio's other U.S. Senator at the time of the election, last won re-election in 2018 by seven percentage points.

Pennsylvania

See also: United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022

John Fetterman (D) defeated Mehmet Oz (R) and six other candidates in Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate election on November 8, 2022. Incumbent Senator Pat Toomey (R) did not seek re-election.

Fetterman served as Pennsylvania’s lieutenant governor. In 2018, he was elected 58% to 41% on a joint ticket with incumbent Governor Tom Wolf (D). In a campaign ad, Fetterman said, "Our economy is a mess because of Washington, [and] the rich, powerful, the insiders, and the lobbyists. [...] We must make more stuff in America, cut taxes for working families, [and] Congress shouldn't play in the stock market."[82] To read more about Fetterman's key messages, click here.

This race was Oz’s first run for political office. Oz was a retired surgeon and hosted The Dr. Oz Show on daytime television from 2009 to 2022.[83] In a campaign ad, Oz said, "We're facing rising crime, crushing inflation, lives unraveling. [...] I'll heal us, and bring change to our divided nation. Doctors fix big things. I fixed hearts and fought for every last one of them."[84] To read more about Oz's key messages, click here.

CBS News' Sarah Ewall-Wice wrote, "The Senate race in Pennsylvania is a crucial battleground for both parties fighting over who will control the Senate after the November elections. Democrats see it as a possible pickup, with GOP Senator Pat Toomey retiring."[85] Roll Call's Niels Lesniewski wrote, "Keeping the seat in Republican hands is an important part of the party's effort to flip control of the 50-50 Senate."[86]

The Philadelphia Inquirer's Julia Terruso wrote about the candidates' campaigns, saying, "Fetterman’s campaign holds large, energetic rallies, [while] Oz stages smaller community-based events." Terruso also wrote, "Both candidates have slammed the other’s events as evidence of the other’s weaknesses. Fetterman’s campaign tweets out crowd photos, claiming Oz can’t fill big rooms. Oz’s campaign points to Fetterman’s 10-minute speeches and refusal to take reporter or audience questions afterward in an attempt to cast doubt on Fetterman’s health."[87] Fetterman had a stroke on May 15, 2022.

In Pennsylvania's 2018 senate race, incumbent Bob Casey Jr. (D) defeated Lou Barletta (R) 56% to 43%. In 2016, Toomey won re-election against Katie McGinty (D) 49% to 47%. The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections in Pennsylvania were decided by less than 2 percentage points. Pennsylvania was one of two states in 2022, along with Wisconsin, where Republicans defended a seat in a state that Joe Biden (D) won in 2020.

Minor party, independent, and write-in candidates included Ronald Johnson (Constitution Party), Richard Weiss (G), Daniel Wassmer (Keystone Party of Pennsylvania), Erik Gerhardt (L), and Quincy Magee (Independent). Everett Stern (Independent) withdrew from the race on October 25 and endorsed Fetterman.

Wisconsin

See also: United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022

Incumbent U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson (R) defeated Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes (D) and write-in candidate Scott Aubart (American Independent Party) in the general election on November 8, 2022, to represent Wisconsin in the U.S. Senate.

Johnson was first elected in 2010, defeating then-incumbent Sen. Russ Feingold (D), 52% to 47%. Johnson won re-election in 2016 in a rematch with Feingold, 50% to 47%. In 2018, incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) defeated Leah Vukmir (R), 55% to 45%. Before his election to the Senate, Johnson worked as the chief executive officer for a specialty plastics company and as an accountant at Jostens.[88] Johnson said that his campaign was "focused on growing our economy and creating good jobs and economic opportunity for all."[89]

Barnes served in the Wisconsin State Assembly from 2013 to 2017 and was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. Before his time in the legislature, Barnes worked for the city of Milwaukee and as a community organizer for the Milwaukee Inner-City Congregations Allied for Hope.[90][91] Barnes said he would "fight to create opportunity in every corner of Wisconsin, bring manufacturing back, create jobs by tackling climate change, and stand up for Wisconsin’s family farmers."[90]

Wisconsin was one of two states that held a U.S. Senate election in 2022 with a Republican incumbent that President Joe Biden carried in the 2020 presidential election. Wisconsin was also one of six states with one Democratic and one Republican U.S. senator as of the 2022 U.S. Senate elections.[92]

The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Wisconsin were both decided by less than one percentage point. In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden (D) won the state over then-incumbent President Donald Trump (R), 49.5% to 48.8%. In the 2016 election, Trump carried Wisconsin with 47.2% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 46.5%. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.[74]


Candidate lists by state

The following table provides an overview of the incumbent and candidates in 2022 Senate races. Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed.

2022 Senate elections
State Incumbent Candidate list
Alabama Republican Party Richard Shelby

Democratic

  1. Will Boyd

Republican

  1. Katie Britt

Other

  1. John Sophocleus (Libertarian Party)
Alaska Republican Party Lisa Murkowski

Democratic

  1. Patricia Chesbro

Republican

  1. Buzz Kelley
  2. Lisa Murkowski (i)
  3. Kelly Tshibaka

Independent

  1. Joe Stephens

Other

  1. Ted Gianoutsos (Nonpartisan)
  2. Shoshana Gungurstein (Nonpartisan)
  3. Sid Hill (Nonpartisan)
  4. Joe Stephens (Nonpartisan)
Arizona Democratic Party Mark Kelly

Democratic

  1. Mark Kelly (i)

Republican

  1. Edward Davida
  2. Blake Masters

Independent

  1. Lester Ralph Maul Jr.

Other

  1. Marc Victor (Libertarian Party)
Arkansas Republican Party John Boozman

Democratic

  1. Natalie James

Republican

  1. John Boozman (i)

Independent

  1. Richard Gant
  2. James Garner

Other

  1. Kenneth Cates (Libertarian Party)
California Democratic Party Alex Padilla[93]

Democratic

  1. Alex Padilla (i)

Republican

  1. Mark Meuser
Colorado Democratic Party Michael Bennet

Democratic

  1. Michael Bennet (i)

Republican

  1. Joe O'Dea

Other

  1. Frank Atwood (Approval Voting Party)
Connecticut Democratic Party Richard Blumenthal

Democratic

  1. Richard Blumenthal (i)

Republican

  1. Leora Levy

Other

  1. Richard Blumenthal (i) (Working Families Party)
Florida Republican Party Marco Rubio

Democratic

  1. Val Demings

Republican

  1. Marco Rubio (i)

Other

  1. Steven B. Grant (No Party Affiliation)
  2. Uloma Ekpete Kama (No Party Affiliation)
  3. Howard Knepper (No Party Affiliation)
  4. Dennis Misigoy (Libertarian Party)
  5. Tuan Nguyen (No Party Affiliation)
  6. Moses Quiles (No Party Affiliation)
Georgia Democratic Party Raphael Warnock

Democratic

  1. Raphael Warnock (i)

Republican

  1. Herschel Walker

Other

  1. Chase Oliver (Libertarian Party)
Hawaii Democratic Party Brian Schatz

Democratic

  1. Brian E. Schatz (i)

Republican

  1. Bob McDermott

Other

  1. Feena Bonoan (Libertarian Party)
  2. Dan Decker (Aloha Aina Party)
  3. Emma Pohlman (Green Party)
Idaho Republican Party Mike Crapo

Democratic

  1. David Roth

Republican

  1. Mike Crapo (i)

Independent

  1. Scott Cleveland

Other

  1. Ray Writz (Constitution Party)
Illinois Democratic Party Tammy Duckworth

Democratic

  1. Tammy Duckworth (i)

Republican

  1. Kathy Salvi

Independent

  1. Lowell Seida
  2. Connor VlaKancic

Other

  1. Bill Redpath (Libertarian Party)
Indiana Republican Party Todd Young

Democratic

  1. Thomas McDermott Jr.

Republican

  1. Todd C. Young (i)

Independent

  1. Phillip Beachy
  2. Haneefah Khaaliq
  3. Danny Niederberger

Other

  1. James Sceniak (Libertarian Party)
Iowa Republican Party Chuck Grassley

Democratic

  1. Michael Franken

Republican

  1. Chuck Grassley (i)
Kansas Republican Party Jerry Moran

Democratic

  1. Mark R. Holland

Republican

  1. Jerry Moran (i)

Other

  1. David Graham (Libertarian Party)
Kentucky Republican Party Rand Paul

Democratic

  1. Charles Booker

Republican

  1. Rand Paul (i)

Independent

  1. Charles Lee Thomason
  2. Billy Ray Wilson
Louisiana Republican Party John Neely Kennedy

No candidates


Maryland Democratic Party Chris Van Hollen

Democratic

  1. Scottie Griffin
  2. Chris Van Hollen (i)

Republican

  1. Chris Chaffee

Independent

  1. Andrew Wildman
Missouri Republican Party Roy Blunt

Democratic

  1. Trudy Busch Valentine

Republican

  1. Eric Schmitt

Independent

  1. Theodis Brown Sr.
  2. Steve Price

Other

  1. Jonathan Dine (Libertarian Party)
  2. Paul Venable (Constitution Party)
Nevada Democratic Party Catherine Cortez Masto

Democratic

  1. Catherine Cortez Masto (i)

Republican

  1. Adam Laxalt

Independent

  1. Barry Lindemann
New Hampshire Democratic Party Maggie Hassan

Democratic

  1. Maggie Hassan (i)

Republican

  1. Don Bolduc

Independent

  1. Tejasinha Sivalingam

Other

  1. Jeremy Kauffman (Libertarian Party)
New York Democratic Party Charles Schumer

Democratic

  1. Chuck Schumer (i)

Republican

  1. Joe Pinion

Other

  1. Joe Pinion (Conservative Party)
  2. Diane Sare (LaRouche)
  3. Chuck Schumer (i) (Working Families Party)
North Carolina Republican Party Richard Burr

Democratic

  1. Cheri Beasley

Republican

  1. Ted Budd

Independent

  1. Michelle Lewis

Other

  1. Shannon Bray (Libertarian Party)
  2. Matthew Hoh (Green Party)
North Dakota Republican Party John Hoeven

Democratic

  1. Katrina Christiansen

Republican

  1. John Hoeven (i)

Independent

  1. Rick Becker
Ohio Republican Party Rob Portman

Democratic

  1. Tim Ryan

Republican

  1. J.D. Vance

Independent

  1. Stephen Faris
  2. LaShondra Tinsley
Oklahoma Republican Party James Lankford

Democratic

  1. Kendra Horn
  2. Madison Horn

Republican

  1. James Lankford (i)
  2. Markwayne Mullin

Independent

  1. Michael Delaney
  2. Ray Woods

Other

  1. Kenneth Blevins (Libertarian Party)
  2. Robert Murphy (Libertarian Party)
Oregon Democratic Party Ron Wyden

Democratic

  1. Ron Wyden (i)

Republican

  1. Jo Rae Perkins

Other

  1. Chris Henry (Progressive Party)
  2. Jo Rae Perkins (Constitution Party)
  3. Dan Pulju (Pacific Green Party)
  4. Ron Wyden (i) (Independent Party)
Pennsylvania Republican Party Pat Toomey

Democratic

  1. John Fetterman

Republican

  1. Mehmet Oz

Independent

  1. Quincy Magee

Other

  1. Erik Chase Gerhardt (Libertarian Party)
  2. Ronald Johnson (Constitution Party)
South Carolina Republican Party Tim Scott

Democratic

  1. Krystle Matthews

Republican

  1. Tim Scott (i)

Other

  1. Jesse Harper (Independent American Party)
South Dakota Republican Party John Thune

Democratic

  1. Brian Bengs

Republican

  1. John Thune (i)

Other

  1. Tamara Lesnar (Libertarian Party)
Utah Republican Party Mike Lee

Republican

  1. Mike Lee (i)

Independent

  1. Laird Hamblin
  2. Evan McMullin
  3. Michael Seguin

Other

  1. James Arthur Hansen (Libertarian Party)
  2. Tommy Williams (Independent American Party of Utah)
Vermont Democratic Party Patrick Leahy

Democratic

  1. Peter Welch

Republican

  1. Gerald Malloy

Independent

  1. Mark Coester
  2. Cris Ericson
  3. Kerry Patrick Raheb
Washington Democratic Party Patty Murray

Democratic

  1. Patty Murray (i)

Republican

  1. Tiffany Smiley
Wisconsin Republican Party Ron Johnson

Democratic

  1. Mandela Barnes

Republican

  1. Ronald Harold Johnson (i)

Other

  1. Scott Aubart (American Independent Party)
  2. Adam Nicholas Paul (Logic Party)

Political context

Seats that changed party hands in previous election cycles

Four of the 34 seats up for election in 2022 changed party control the last time they were up for election.

2020-2021 special elections

See also: Special elections to the 116th United States Congress (2019-2020)

In 2020-2021, special elections took place in Georgia and Arizona. Democrats picked up both seats. The seats were up for election in 2022.

Senate seats that changed party hands, 2020-2021 special elections
State Pre-election incumbent 2020-2021 winner Margin of victory (% points)
Arizona Republican Party Martha McSally Democratic Party Mark Kelly 2.4
Georgia Republican Party Kelly Loeffler Democratic Party Raphael Warnock 2.1

2016

See also: United States Senate elections, 2016

In 2016—the last time these 34 seats were up for regular election—two seats changed party hands. Democrats picked up both seats.

Senate seats that changed party hands, 2016
State Pre-election incumbent 2016 winner Margin of victory (% points)
Illinois Republican Party Mark Kirk Democratic Party Tammy Duckworth 15.1
New Hampshire Republican Party Kelly Ayotte Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 0.1


Presidential election results in 2022 Senate states

  • Democrats were not defending any Senate seats in states Trump won in 2020.
  • In the 2020 Senate elections, Democrats and Republicans each defended two seats won by the other party's presidential candidate in 2016. Click here for more information.

The following table shows the 2020 presidential election margin of victory in percentage points for each state with a Senate election in 2022. Click [show] on the right to expand the table.


See also:

Senator's party vs. governor's party

In 11 states with Senate seats up for election in 2022, the seat going into the election was held by a senator of a different party than the governor. Six seats held by Republican senators in states with Democratic governors were up. Five seats held by Democratic senators in states with Republican governors were up.

Senator's vs. Governor's party, 2022
State Pre-election Senate incumbent Last election MoV[95] Pre-election Governor Last election MoV[95]
Arizona Democratic Party Mark Kelly 2.4 Republican Party Doug Ducey 14.2
Georgia Democratic Party Raphael Warnock 2.1 Republican Party Brian Kemp 1.4
Kansas Republican Party Jerry Moran 30.0 Democratic PartyLaura Kelly 5.0
Kentucky Republican Party Rand Paul 14.6 Democratic Party Andy Beshear 0.4
Louisiana Republican Party John Neely Kennedy 21.4 Democratic Party John Bel Edwards 2.6
Maryland Democratic Party Chris Van Hollen 25.2 Republican Party Larry Hogan 11.9
New Hampshire Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 0.1 Republican Party Chris Sununu 31.7
North Carolina Republican Party Richard Burr 5.7 Democratic Party Roy Cooper 4.5
Pennsylvania Republican Party Pat Toomey 1.5 Democratic Party Tom Wolf 17.1
Vermont Democratic Party Patrick Leahy 28.3 Republican Party Phil Scott 41.1
Wisconsin Republican Party Ron Johnson 3.4 Democratic Party Tony Evers 1.1

States with senators from different parties

Seven states had senators from different parties in the 117th Congress: Maine, Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Vermont, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Four of those seven states had Senate seats up for election in 2022. Vermont had one Democratic senator and one independent senator who caucused with Democrats, so three states with seats up for election had senators in different caucuses: Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

States with split Senate delegations
State Pre-2022 election incumbent Other incumbent
Ohio Republican Party Rob Portman Democratic Party Sherrod Brown
Pennsylvania Republican Party Pat Toomey Democratic Party Bob Casey Jr.
Wisconsin Republican Party Ron Johnson Democratic Party Tammy Baldwin


The 117th Congress had the fewest number of states with split Senate delegations in history, according to Eric Ostermeier of the University of Minnesota: "Prior to the 117th, only one congress has convened with fewer than 10 split-delegation states [since the start of the direct election era] – the 84th Congress following the Election of 1954. That cycle produced nine states with one Democratic and Republican U.S. Senator."[96]

2021 impeachment votes

See also: Impeachment of Donald Trump, 2021 and State party censures and Republican primary challenges in response to Trump impeachment, 2021

On February 13, 2021, former President Donald Trump (R) was acquitted of incitement of insurrection. Fifty-seven senators voted to convict and 43 voted to acquit. Conviction requires a two-thirds vote of senators present.[97]

Of the seven Republican senators who voted guilty, three held seats up for elections in 2022:

Republican Party Richard Burr, N.C.
Republican Party Lisa Murkowski, Alaska
Republican Party Pat Toomey, Penn.

Burr and Toomey did not seek re-election.

2020 election party changes

In the 2020 Senate election cycle, Democrats flipped four seats and Republicans flipped one:

Media analysis of 2022 U.S. Senate elections

This section includes commentary on the 2022 U.S. Senate elections both before and after November 8.

Post-election


Effect of Biden's approval ratings

These results are unusual for a midterm election: Coming into the 2022 election, the president’s party had lost Senate seats in 13 of the last 19 midterm elections, with an average loss of roughly five seats. But Democrats will suffer no net losses in the Senate, and after picking up an open seat in Pennsylvania previously held by a Republican, could achieve a net gain of one seat if Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock defeats Republican Herschel Walker in Georgia’s Dec. 6 runoff. Democrats managed this despite President Biden’s mediocre approval rating and the tendency for voters to sour on the president’s party in midterms. And while Democrats are headed for some losses in the House, they may lose an unusually small number of seats there, too.[98]

—Geoffrey Skelley, FiveThirtyEight (November 12, 2022)[99]


In an unusual midterm twist, those who "somewhat disapproved" of President Biden nonetheless mostly broke in favor his party. In six of seven key Senate races, the Democratic nominee won over those who somewhat disapproved of Biden.

There was no more eye-popping spread than in New Hampshire, though. While Biden’s low numbers in the state (and even some softness with Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan’s approval) gave Republicans late hope they could stun with a victory, these “somewhat disapprovers” broke for Hassan over weak, MAGA candidate Don Bolduc by an astonishing 47 points.

...

In the end, Biden’s approval in exit polling among voters who turned out to be higher than polling predicted, and every Democratic candidate ran ahead of him. But that edge was much more pronounced among incumbent Democrats. Hassan had the largest margin, outpacing Biden’s approval by 12 points, the only double digit lead. In Georgia, Warnock was next, running ahead by 8.4 points—but a warning sign for him in the runoff is that Biden’s approval was its lowest at 41 percent across the competitive states. He’ll need to come close to those numbers again, though it’s still a question of GOP turnout given Walker’s severe underperformance versus Kemp. In Arizona, Kelly ran ahead of Biden by 8 points. The smallest incumbent margin was Cortez Masto, though Biden’s 45% approval was the highest for any incumbent on the defense.

While in the GOP-held open seats in North Carolina and Ohio, Beasley and Ryan, respectively, outran Biden, they couldn’t match the larger numbers the incumbents had that they needed, with 4 and 6 points being insufficient in the red-leaning states.

Biden’s best numbers came in exit polling in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, where the president's approval was at 46% in each. While the five points Fetterman ran ahead by was sufficient to lift him to a victory and to flip a seat, the 3.5 points that Barnes ran ahead of Biden – the lowest of any candidate in a competitive race – wasn’t enough.[98]

—Jessica Taylor and Matthew Klein, The Political Report (November 22, 2022)[100]


Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and the party in power was coming up short. Just 17 percent of Americans said they were satisfied with the way things were going in the country, 68 percent of voters said the condition of the nation’s economy was either “not so good” or “poor,” and a majority of Americans disapproved of President Joe Biden’s job performance.

...

Voters were primed for change but chose the status quo instead. They didn’t punish Democrats for Biden’s job performance and were uncomfortable putting the GOP in control. Overall Democratic performance in the face of Biden’s standing and midterm history is remarkable.

...

The final Inside Elections’ projection in the Senate was anything from a Democratic gain of one seat to a Republican gain of two seats. The final outcome — either no net change or a Democratic gain of a seat — will be within that range, pending the outcome of the Dec. 6 runoff election in Georgia. And the final Senate result will be within a seat or two of our earliest Senate projection.

The Senate map was relatively favorable for Democrats, considering Biden won six of the eight initial battleground states. But Democrats remained in a precarious position as the president’s approval ratings in these states remained underwater throughout most of the cycle. In the end, the 2020 Biden coalition not only held in enough key places, but some Democrats, including John Fetterman in Pennsylvania and Sen. Mark Kelly in Arizona, overperformed Biden.[98]

—Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales, Inside Elections (November 28, 2022)[101]

Independents

It really does come down to the swing voters. In almost every single Senate race with an incumbent, Independents backed the eventual winner—some by a significant margin. In the first round in Georgia, Sen. Raphael Warnock won independents by 11 points over Republican challenger Herschel Walker, who will need to narrow that margin to prevail in the runoff.

The largest margin came in Pennsylvania, which (so far) has been the only Senate seat to change hands. Democrat John Fetterman won independents by a whopping 18-point margin over Republican Mehmet Oz, who was consistently unpopular with voters. The next biggest gap came in Arizona, where Sen. Mark Kelly defeated GOP challenger Blake Masters by 16 points with the crucial voting bloc. A three-point edge in Nevada helped Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, long thought to be the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent, defeat her rival Adam Laxalt.

Independents narrowly broke for Democrats as well in GOP-held competitive open seats in North Carolina and Ohio, by six and three points, respectively. However, in those red-tinged states, it wasn’t enough to hoist Democrats to the upset. In Wisconsin, Sen. Ron Johnson was the only Republican in a race we rated as competitive who won independent voters, besting Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes by a three-point margin.[98]

—Jessica Taylor and Matthew Klein, The Political Report (November 22, 2022)[102]


Democrats would not have had such a good election night without the support of independent voters.

...

Despite plenty of polling this year showing that independents were, like Republicans, primarily concerned with the state of the economy and inflation, they ended up making nuanced decisions in key statewide races — and that worked to benefit Democrats.

...

State by state, those numbers come through in news networks’ exit polling (which provides an incomplete but early look at how an electorate behaved during an election) and other post-election surveys. In Arizona, for example, Sen. Mark Kelly’s win over Blake Masters in the state’s US Senate contest was boosted by the support of 55 percent of independents — who made up the largest share of the electorate (about 40 percent). The Associated Press’s midterm survey also found that independents broke in favor of Democrats by nearly 20 points.

In Georgia, Sen. Raphael Warnock won 53 percent of independents according to exit polls, though they made up a smaller share (24 percent) of that electorate. That contest is headed to a December runoff. Sen. Maggie Hassan, the Democrat who won reelection in New Hampshire, meanwhile, won a similar share of independents: 54 percent of the group that made up a plurality of voters. And John Fetterman in Pennsylvania, who won his race by a 5 percent vote margin, garnered the support of 58 percent of independents.

...

In data provided to Vox from Navigator’s midterm voters survey, those numbers show that for independent men, inflation was a top concern for half of them, while abortion was the top concern for 23 percent. Among women, inflation was the top concern for 46 percent of respondents, while abortion was close behind at 34 percent. Though the numbers differ slightly between Navigator’s finding and exit polls, the same 17-percent gender gap shows up: Independent men supported Republicans slightly more than Democrats, but independent women backed Democrats by a much bigger margin. In Nevada’s Senate race, Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto was able to win the support of 48 percent of independents, compared to the 45 percent of independents who supported Republican Adam Laxalt, exit polls show. That included strong independent support in the swing Washoe County, which Cortez Masto won in this contest (she lost it during her first election in 2016). The AP VoteCast survey shows a nearly 10 percent gap in favor of Democrats.[98]

—Christian Paz, Vox (November 26, 2022)[103]

Candidate quality

This year, Republicans nominated a series of inexperienced Senate candidates, and such candidates tend to underperform statewide benchmarks. And although the incumbency advantage is smaller than it once was, some of the strongest-performing candidates, such as Rubio and New Hampshire Democrat Maggie Hassan, were incumbents. And candidate quality almost certainly matters less than it once did, given the high partisanship of the modern political era. We’ve even made some changes to our forecast model to reflect this.

Still, another feature of modern American politics is exceptionally close races. So a candidate who underperforms by even 2 or 3 percentage points — let alone 5, 10 or more points — will often cost their party the election. Sometimes, quality has a big effect on quantity.[98]

—Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight (November 9, 2022)[104]


[...] Plenty of independent voters felt off put by Trump-aligned Republican candidates. Some disliked GOP candidates’ positions on abortion; others were repelled by other social and economic stances.

...

Election denying candidates, and candidates aligned with Donald Trump, might have actually turned independents off from other Republican candidates on the ticket.

In Pennsylvania, for example, Attorney General Josh Shapiro won the gubernatorial race by winning independents (by 29 points) and political moderates (by 40 points) by historic margins against the far-right, election-denying, Christian fundamentalist Republican Doug Mastriano. Mehmet Oz, the more moderate Republican candidate for US Senate, was dragged down both by Mastriano and his own poorly run campaign, losing independents by 20 points and moderates by 30 points. Those varying levels of support also suggest a degree of split-ticket voting, which meant that independent and Republican voters were even more selective in the Republican candidates they did end up supporting.

In that way, poor Republican candidate quality hurt other Republicans, especially with independents and moderates, as my colleague Andrew Prokop has reported.[98]

—Christian Paz, Vox (November 26, 2022)[105]


[Trump's] preferred candidates underperformed last week, helping Democrats hold the Senate and helping keep the race for House control close. (Republicans, who had been heavy favorites, are expected to prevail narrowly as mail ballots continue to be counted in California.)

Overall, his preferred primary candidates underperformed other G.O.P. candidates by about five percentage points.

...

A penalty of five points is a big number in today’s polarized era. Five of the last six presidential elections have been decided by a margin less than that. As findings like these are revealed, they may add to the consternation of some Republicans who in recent days have blamed Mr. Trump for the party’s poor performance.

...

On paper, Republican Senate candidates ought to have been fairly competitive in Arizona and Pennsylvania. What did Blake Masters and Dr. Mehmet Oz lose by instead? Four to five points.

In Georgia, the Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker underperformed Gov. Brian Kemp by eight points. Not all eight of those points can necessarily be attributed to the MAGA penalty. Mr. Kemp was an incumbent; Mr. Walker was a challenger. Still, it’s a weak performance by a candidate endorsed by Mr. Trump.

With the results in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania all within the margin of one MAGA penalty, it’s entirely plausible that Mr. Trump’s candidates cost the Republicans control of the Senate.[98]

—Nate Cohn, The New York Times (November 16, 2022)[106]

Pre-election

Primary elections

Battleground primaries

See also: U.S. Senate battleground primaries, 2022

Democratic Party battleground primaries

There were 4 U.S. Senate Democratic battleground primaries in 2022.

The following map shows each state with a Democratic battleground primary for U.S. Senate in 2022. Hover over or tap a state to view the incumbent's name.


Republican Party battleground primaries

There were 11 U.S. Senate Republican battleground primaries in 2022.

The following map shows each state with a Republican battleground primary for U.S. Senate in 2022. Hover over or tap a state to view the incumbent's name.


Primary competitiveness

Click here for primary election competitiveness statistics, including the number of open seats and contested incumbents in 2022.

Further analysis

Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report, 2020

See also: Annual Congressional Competitiveness Report, 2020

Ballotpedia's Annual Congressional Competitiveness report for 2020 includes information on the number of elections featuring candidates from both major parties, the number of open seats, and more.

Click here to view the full report.

Wave elections

In a July 2018 report, Ballotpedia defined wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in the last 100 years resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Click here to view the full report.

Special elections

See also: Special elections to the 117th United States Congress (2021-2022)

Special elections to United States Senate are often required in the event of vacancies. As of April 2024, there has been one special election for U.S. Senate scheduled for the 117th Congress.

Special elections, 2013-2022

From 2013 to 2022, 67 special elections to the United States Congress were called during the 113th through 117th Congresses. During that time, special elections were called for 23 seats vacated by Democrats and 44 vacated by Republicans.

The table below details how many congressional seats changed parties as the result of a special election between 2013 and 2022. The numbers on the left side of the table reflect how many vacant seats were originally held by each party, while the numbers on the right side of the table show how many vacant seats each party won in special elections.

Congressional special election vacancies and results, 113th Congress to 117th Congress
Congress Total elections held Vacancies before elections Seats held after elections Net change
Democratic Party Democrats Republican Party Republicans Democratic Party Democrats Republican Party Republicans
117th Congress 17 7 10 7 10 No change
116th Congress 10 3 7 4 6 +1D, -1R
115th Congress 17 4 13 8 9 +4 D, -4 R
114th Congress 7 2 5 2 5 No change
113th Congress 16 7 9 7 9 No change
Averages 13 4 8 5 7 N/A


U.S. Senate special election partisan change from special elections, 113th Congress to 117th Congress
Party As of special election After special election
Democratic Party Democrats 5 8
Republican Party Republicans 7 4
Total 12 12
U.S. House special election partisan change from special elections, 113th Congress to 117th Congress
Party As of special election After special election
Democratic Party Democrats 18 20
Republican Party Republicans 37 35
Total 55 55


Special elections, 1986-2012

The table below presents the results of special elections to Congress from 1986 to 2012. Contact Ballotpedia at editor@ballotpedia.org for access to earlier data.

Results of special elections to Congress (1986-2012)
Election cycle Total special elections U.S. House elections Seats changing partisan control U.S. Senate elections Seats changing partisan control
2011-2012 11 11 None None None
2009-2010 15 10 3 (2 Democratic gains; 1 Republican gain) 5 2 (all Republican gains)
2007-2008 14 12 3 (2 Republican gains; 1 Democratic gain) 2 None
2005-2006 12 12 3 (all Democratic gains) None None
2003-2004 6 6 None None None
2001-2002 6 5 2 (all Democratic gains) 1 1 (Republican gain)
1999-2000 9 8 1 (Republican gain) 1 1 (Democratic gain)
1997-1998 3 3 None None None
1995-1996 11 9 1 (Republican gain) 2 1 (Democratic gain)
1993-1994 9 6 1 (Republican gain) 3 3 (all Republican gains)
1991-1992 10 7 2 (all Republican gains) 3 1 (Democratic gain)
1989-1990 10 8 1 (Democratic gain) 2 None
1987-1988 12 12 3 (2 Democratic gains; 1 Republican gain) None None
1985-1986 8 8 1 (Republican gain) None None
Total 136 117 21 (11 Democratic gains; 10 Republican gains) 19 9 (6 Republican gains; 3 Democratic gains)

Party committee fundraising

See also: Party committee fundraising, 2021-2022

Democratic fundraising

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2021-22 election cycle:

Monthly fundraising for the DSCC for the 2021-22 election cycle
Month
(Dates covered)
Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand (end of month) Debts owed (end of month) FEC document
Year-End 2022
(November 29-December 31, 2022)
$9,865,360.61 $14,916,360.74 $8,595,217.87 $20,000,000.00 Filing
Post-General 2022
(October 20-November 28, 2022)
$35,320,088.66 $55,785,192.43 $13,646,218.00 $20,000,000.00 Filing
Pre-General 2022
(October 1-19, 2022)
$37,191,286.44 $39,542,256.21 $34,111,521.77 $20,000,000.00 Filing
October 2022
(September 1-30, 2022)
$28,769,311.90 $38,151,774.31 $36,459,491.54 $0.00 Filing
September 2022
(August 1-31, 2022)
$12,578,749.01 $20,881,341.49 $45,841,953.95 $0.00 Filing
August 2022
(July 1-31, 2022)
$10,102,351.75 $9,496,094.09 $54,144,546.43 $0.00 Filing
July 2022
(June 1-30, 2022)
$12,566,902.59 $11,167,743.78 $53,538,288.77 $0.00 Filing
June 2022
(May 1-31, 2022)
$11,900,623.32 $6,599,838.15 $52,139,129.96 $0.00 Filing
May 2022
(April 1-30, 2022)
$8,269,244.48 $5,995,292.65 $45,983,531.45 $0.00 Filing
April 2022
(March 1-31, 2022)
$12,524,106.59 $6,681,395.51 $43,709,579.62 $0.00 Filing
March 2022
(Feb. 1-28, 2022)
$15,012,444.42 $6,401,962.44 $37,866,868.54 $0.00 Filing
February 2022
(Jan. 1-31, 2022)
$10,666,141.34 $5,104,332.75 $29,256,386.56 $0.00 Filing
Year-End 2021
(Dec. 1-31, 2021)
$10,128,189.49 $4,646,697.73 $23,694,577.97 $0.00 Filing
December 2021
(Nov. 1-30, 2021)
$6,846,254.23 $4,523,655.04 $18,213,086.21 $0.00 Filing
November 2021
(Oct. 1-31, 2021)
$6,981,887.03 $4,481,716.90 $15,890,487.02 $0.00 Filing
October 2021
(Sept. 1-30, 2021)
$8,037,630.15 $5,145,998.03 $13,390,316.89 $0.00 Filing
September 2021
(Aug. 1-31, 2021)
$6,153,202.01 $5,922,536.51 $10,498,684.77 $0.00 Filing
August 2021
(July 1-31, 2021)
$6,473,053.97 $7,770,185.85 $10,268,019.27 $2,000,000.00 Filing
July 2021
(June 1-30, 2021)
$10,123,541.88 $11,190,766.21 $11,565,151.15 $5,000,000.00 Filing
June 2021
(May 1-31, 2021)
$7,168,163.64 $7,258,068.33 $12,632,375.48 $8,000,000.00 Filing
May 2021
(April 1-30, 2021)
$6,642,177.58 $7,100,453.56 $12,722,280.17 $11,000,000.00 Filing
April 2021
(March 1-31, 2021)
$9,292,748.21 $6,315,393.50 $13,180,556.15 $15,000,000.00 Filing
March 2021
(Feb. 1-28, 2021)
$7,265,921.55 $6,108,300.17 $10,203,201.44 $18,000,000.00 Filing
February 2021
(Jan. 1-31, 2021)
$6,094,399.76 $6,833,277.29 $9,045,580.06 $20,000,000.00 Filing


Republican fundraising

The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2021-22 election cycle:

Monthly fundraising for the NRSC for the 2021-22 election cycle
Month
(Dates covered)
Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand (end of month) Debts owed (end of month) FEC document
Year-End 2022
(November 29-December 31, 2022)
$3,372,124.04 $5,784,107.36 $8,177,735.85 $20,000,000.00 Filing
Post-General 2022
(October 20-November 28, 2022)
$12,054,403.63 $15,155,797.37 $10,589,719.17 $20,000,000.00 Filing
Pre-General 2022
(October 1-19, 2022)
$15,468,969.33 $15,452,555.70 $13,691,112.91 $20,000,000.00 Filing
October 2022
(September 1-30, 2022)
$25,016,489.17 $27,341,833.7 $13,674,699.28 $0.00 Filing
September 2022
(August 1-31, 2022)
$12,613,097.87 $19,778,682.06 $16,000,043.81 $0.00 Filing
August 2022
(July 1-31, 2022)
$8,050,263.06 $13,337,920.86 $23,165,628.00 $0.00 Filing
July 2022
(June 1-30, 2022)
$9,456,309.22 $17,006,565.16 $28,453,285.80 $0.00 Filing
June 2022
(May 1-31, 2022)
$8,018,426.36 $17,132,632.32 $36,003,541.74 $0.00 Filing
May 2022
(April 1-30, 2022)
$8,146,970.56 $7,164,015.84 $45,117,747.70 $0.00 Filing
April 2022
(March 1-31, 2022)
$13,280,793.52 $10,790,212.26 $44,134,792.98 $0.00 Filing
March 2022
(Feb. 1-28, 2022)
$11,707,886.37 $9,172,518.56 $41,644,211.72 $0.00 Filing
February 2022
(Jan. 1-31, 2022)
$18,019,008.84 $11,692,567.55 $39,108,843.91 $0.00 Filing
Year-End 2021
(Dec. 1-31, 2021)
$11,236,079.02 $8,541,350.07 $32,782,402.62 $0.00 Filing
December 2021
(Nov. 1-30, 2021)
$8,389,156.42 $7,985,767.53 $30,087,673.67 $0.00 Filing
November 2021
(Oct. 1-31, 2021)
$9,001,481.07 $7,089,100.08 $29,684,284.78 $0.00 Filing
October 2021
(Sept. 1-30, 2021)
$9,531,613.39 $6,998,909.18 $27,771,903.79 $0.00 Filing
September 2021
(Aug. 1-31, 2021)
$8,004,299.83 $6,902,129.94 $25,239,199.58 $0.00 Filing
August 2021
(July 1-31, 2021)
$7,467,414.93 $8,404,026.26 $24,137,029.69 $0.00 Filing
July 2021
(June 1-30, 2021)
$10,523,491.53 $6,153,766.10 $25,073,641.02 $0.00 Filing
June 2021
(May 1-31, 2021)
$10,375,900.98 $3,921,710.51 $20,703,915.59 $0.00 Filing
May 2021
(April 1-30, 2021)
$7,206,465.03 $5,290,732.63 $14,249,725.12 $0.00 Filing
April 2021
(March 1-31, 2021)
$8,336,221.77 $11,153,372.57 $12,333,992.72 $0.00 Filing
March 2021
(Feb. 1-28, 2021)
$6,427,393.63 $8,492,567.28 $15,151,143.52 $5,400,000.00 Filing
February 2021
(Jan. 1-31, 2021)
$8,340,640.22 $5,536,186.82 $17,216,317.17 $9,000,000.00 Filing


Congressional approval rating

See also: Ballotpedia's Polling Index: Congressional approval rating and Ballotpedia's Polling Indexes

The congressional approval rating indicates public satisfaction in the job performance of the members of the United States Congress. It is the percentage of people polled who responded favorably toward the work of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives.

The following chart includes the congressional approval rating over time, in addition to the presidential approval rating and direction of country rating.

To learn more about Ballotpeddia's Polling Indexes, click here.

Important dates and deadlines

The table below lists important dates throughout the 2022 congressional election cycle, including filing deadlines and primary dates.

Primary dates and filing deadlines, 2022
State Primary date Primary runoff date Filing deadline for primary candidates Source
Alabama 5/24/2022 6/21/2022 1/28/2022
2/11/2022 (congressional)
Source
Alaska 8/16/2022 N/A 6/1/2022 Source
Arizona 8/2/2022 N/A 4/4/2022 Source
Arkansas 5/24/2022 6/21/2022 3/1/2022 Source
California 6/7/2022 N/A 3/11/2022 Source
Colorado 6/28/2022 N/A 3/15/2022 Source
Connecticut 8/9/2022 N/A 6/7/2022 Source
Delaware 9/13/2022 N/A 7/12/2022 Source
Florida 8/23/2022 N/A 6/17/2022 Source
Georgia 5/24/2022 6/21/2022 3/11/2022 Source
Hawaii 8/13/2022 N/A 6/7/2022 Source
Idaho 5/17/2022 N/A 3/11/2022 Source
Illinois 6/28/2022 N/A 3/14/2022 Source
Indiana 5/3/2022 N/A 2/4/2022 Source
Iowa 6/7/2022 N/A 3/18/2022 Source
Kansas 8/2/2022 N/A 6/1/2022 Source
Kentucky 5/17/2022 N/A 1/25/2022 Source
Louisiana 11/8/2022 N/A 7/22/2022[128] Source
Maine 6/14/2022 N/A 3/15/2022 Source
Maryland 7/19/2022 N/A 4/15/2022 Source
Massachusetts 9/6/2022 N/A 5/31/2022
6/7/2022 (Congress and statewide office)
Source
Michigan 8/2/2022 N/A 4/19/2022 Source
Minnesota 8/9/2022 N/A 5/31/2022 Source
Mississippi 6/7/2022 6/28/2022 3/1/2022 Source
Missouri 8/2/2022 N/A 3/29/2022 Source
Montana 6/7/2022 N/A 3/14/2022 Source
Nebraska 5/10/2022 N/A 2/15/2022 Source
Nevada 6/14/2022 N/A 3/18/2022 Source
New Hampshire 9/13/2022 N/A 6/10/2022 Source
New Jersey 6/7/2022 N/A 4/4/2022 Source
New Mexico 6/7/2022 N/A 3/24/2022 Source
New York 6/28/2022; 8/23/2022 (congressional and state senate only) N/A 4/7/2022; 6/10/2022 (congressional and state senate only) Source
North Carolina 5/17/2022 7/5/2022 (if no federal office is involved); 7/26/2022 (if a federal office is involved) 3/4/2022 Source
North Dakota 6/14/2022 N/A 4/11/2022 Source
Ohio 5/3/2022 (Congress and statewide offices)
8/2/2022 (state legislative offices)
N/A 2/2/2022 (U.S. House candidates: 3/4/2022) Source
Oklahoma 6/28/2022 8/23/2022 4/15/2022 Source
Oregon 5/17/2022 N/A 3/8/2022 Source
Pennsylvania 5/17/2022 N/A 3/15/2022 (Congress and statewide offices only)
3/28/2022 (state legislative candidates)
Source
Source
Rhode Island 9/13/2022 N/A 7/15/2022 Source
South Carolina 6/14/2022 6/28/2022 3/30/2022 Source
South Dakota 6/7/2022 N/A 3/29/2022 Source
Tennessee 8/4/2022 N/A 4/7/2022 Source
Texas 3/1/2022 5/24/2022 12/13/2021 Source
Utah 6/28/2022 N/A 3/4/2022 Source
Vermont 8/9/2022 N/A 5/26/2022 Source
Virginia[129] 6/21/2022 N/A 4/7/2022 Source
Washington 8/2/2022 N/A 5/20/2022 Source
West Virginia 5/10/2022 N/A 1/29/2022 Source
Wisconsin 8/9/2022 N/A 6/1/2022 Source
Wyoming 8/16/2022 N/A 5/27/2022


The table below lists changes made to election dates and deadlines in the 2022 election cycle. Items are listed in reverse chronological order by date of change, with the most recent change appearing first.

Record of date and deadline changes, 2022
State Date of change Description of change Source
Louisiana 6/6/2022 A federal district court, in striking down the state's congressional redistricting plan, postponed the deadline for candidates qualifying by petition in lieu of paying the filing fee from June 22, 2022, to July 8, 2022. The court's order did not affect the July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee. Source
Ohio 5/28/2022 Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) called for the state legislative primary to be held on August 2, 2022 (the primary was originally scheduled for May 3, 2022). Source
New York 5/10/2022 A federal district court judge affirmed the decision of a state-level judge to postpone the primaries for congressional and state senate offices to August 23, 2022 (the primary was originally scheduled for June 28, 2022). The state court then issued an order establishing new candidate filing deadlines. Source; Source
Pennsylvania 3/16/2022 The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania fixed March 28, 2022, as the filing deadline for General Assembly candidates. Source
Maryland 3/15/2022 The Maryland Court of Appeals postponed the primary election from June 28, 2022, to July 19, 2022. The court also extended the filing deadline from March 22, 2022, to April 15, 2022. Source
Massachusetts 2/14/2022 Governor Charlie Baker (R) signed a bill into law that rescheduled the state's primary election from September 20, 2022, to September 6, 2022. Source
Ohio 5/28/2022 Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R), in response to a federal court order, directed that the primary for state legislative offices be held on August 2, 2022. Source
Utah 2/14/2022 Governor Spencer Cox (R) signed SB170 into law, moving the candidate filing deadline to March 4, 2022. The original filing deadline was set for March 11, 2022. Source
Maryland 2/11/2022 The Maryland Court of Appeals extended the candidate filing deadline from February 22, 2022, to March 22, 2022. Source
Pennsylvania 2/9/2022 The Supreme Court of Pennsylvania suspended the candidate filing period for the primary election, pending resolution of a redistricting dispute. The original filing deadline was set for March 8, 2022. The court later fixed March 15, 2022, as the filing deadline for statewide offices and the U.S. Congress. Source
Alabama 1/24/2022 The U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Alabama postponed the filing deadline for primary congressional candidates from January 28, 2022, to February 11, 2022. Source
Kentucky 1/6/2022 Governor Andy Beshear (D) signed HB172 into law, extending the filing deadline for partisan candidates from January 7, 2022, to January 25, 2022. Source
North Carolina 12/8/2021 The Supreme Court of North Carolina ordered the postponement of the statewide primary, originally scheduled for March 8, 2022, to May 17, 2022. The court also suspended candidate filing, which subsequently resumed on February 24, 2022, and concluded on March 4, 2022. Source
North Carolina 2/9/2022 The North Carolina State Board of Elections announced that candidate filing, having been suspended by the state supreme court in December 2021, would resume on February 24, 2022, and conclude on March 4, 2022. Source


See also

External links


Footnotes

  1. On December 9, 2022, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. Politico reported that Sinema would not caucus with Republicans, and said she intended "to vote the same way she [had] for four years in the Senate."Politico, "Sinema switches to independent, shaking up the Senate," December 9, 2022
  2. Note: Independent Sens. Angus King (Maine) and Bernie Sanders (Vt.) caucus with Democrats and are counted among Democrats here.
  3. Tulsa World, "U.S. Sen. Jim Inhofe announces retirement after 35 years in Congress representing Oklahoma," February 25, 2022
  4. This number includes Sen. Jim Inhofe's (R-Okla.) seat, up for a special election on November 8, 2022.
  5. This number includes Sen. Jim Inhofe's (R-Okla.) seat, up for a special election on November 8, 2022.
  6. The New York Times, "Despite Discontent, Midterm Voters Did Not Kick Out Incumbents," November 11, 2022
  7. Politico, "Sinema switches to independent, shaking up the Senate," December 9, 2022
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party.
  9. Sen. Kyrsten Sinema changed her affiliation from Democrat to independent after the 2022 elections. She announced she would not caucus with Republicans.
  10. Charlotte Observer, "US Sen. Richard Burr says 2016 will be his last run for elected office," July 20, 2016
  11. The Hill, "Toomey announces retirement at end of 2022," October 5, 2020
  12. Cleveland.com, "U.S. Sen. Rob Portman says he won’t run for re-election: Capitol Letter," January 25, 2021
  13. WAAY, "ALABAMA U.S. SEN. RICHARD SHELBY CONFIRMS HE WON'T RUN FOR RE-ELECTION IN 2022," February 8, 2021
  14. Politico, "GOP Sen. Roy Blunt will not run for reelection," February 8, 2021
  15. Casper Star Tribune, "Vermont Democratic Sen. Patrick Leahy won’t seek reelection," November 15, 2021
  16. AP News, "Alaska US Senate hopeful drops bid, backs fellow Republican," September 13, 2022
  17. FiveThirtyEight, "What It Will Take For Lisa Murkowski To Win Reelection In Alaska," July 29, 2022
  18. NPR, "Murkowski and her Trump-backed challenger advance in Alaska Senate race," August 17, 2022
  19. History, Art & Archives, United States House of Representatives, "MURKOWSKI, Lisa," accessed September 6, 2022
  20. Twitter, "Lisa Murkowski," July 14, 2022
  21. Lisa Murkowski for U.S. Senate, "Issues," accessed September 6, 2022
  22. Linkedin, "Kelly T.," accessed September 6, 2022
  23. 23.0 23.1 Kelly for Alaska, "Kelly's Plan," accessed September 6, 2022
  24. CNN, "Donald Trump endorses Kelly Tshibaka for Senate in race against Lisa Murkowski," June 18, 2021
  25. Alaska News Source, "Alaska Republican Party endorses Kelly Tshibaka in the 2022 race for the US Senate seat held by Murkowski," July 11, 2021
  26. Politico, "Democrats for Murkowski: Alaska Republican counts her fans across the aisle," July 18, 2022
  27. Washington Examiner, "Murkowski and Peltola buck party lines to endorse each other against Trump-backed challengers," October 24, 2022
  28. For more information about which endorsements Ballotpedia defines as noteworthy, click here.
  29. MATANUSKA-SUSITNA BOROUGH, "Boards > Planning Commission," accessed September 6, 2022
  30. Mark Kelly's 2022 campaign website, "Mark Kelly for Senate Launches 'Republicans for Kelly,'" July 15, 2022
  31. Mark Kelly's 2022 campaign website, "Why I'm Running," accessed August 9, 2022
  32. Blake Masters' 2022 campaign website, "Home," accessed October 19, 2022
  33. McSally had been appointed to fill the seat left vacant by the resignation of Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) and death of Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.).
  34. The Hill, "Demings up by 4 points in challenge to Rubio: poll," August 16, 2022
  35. Marco Rubio for Senate, "Meet Marco," accessed August 22, 2022
  36. House.gov, "Congresswoman Val Demings," accessed January 31, 2019
  37. Val Demings for Senate, "Issues," accessed August 22, 2022
  38. Newsweek, “Walker's Chances of Beating Warnock With 100 Days to Midterm: Polls,” August 11, 2022
  39. CNN, “ In Georgia Senate race, Walker and Warnock engage in debate over debates,” August 11, 2022
  40. Politico, “‘Nobody wants a runoff’: Georgia braces for chance of overtime — again,” August 11, 2022
  41. Politico, “‘There’s Never Been Anybody Like Him in the United States Senate,’” August 11, 2022
  42. Raphael Warnock campaign website, “Meet Raphael,” August 11, 2022
  43. Herschel Walker campaign website, “Home,” August 11, 2022
  44. Herschel Walker campaign website, “About Herschel,” August 11, 2022
  45. USA Today, “Who is Herschel Walker? The former football star is running for Senate in Georgia as a Republican,” August 11, 2022
  46. Politico, "GOP Sen. Roy Blunt will not run for reelection," March 8, 2021
  47. Trudy Busch Valentine's 2022 campaign website, "About," accessed August 16, 2022
  48. Missouri Independent, "Beer heiress Trudy Busch Valentine captures Missouri Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate," August 2, 2022
  49. Trudy Busch Valentine's 2022 campaign website, "Trudy Busch Valentine Announces Campaign for U.S. Senate," March 28, 2022
  50. Eric Schmitt's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed August 16, 2022
  51. 51.0 51.1 Time, "Control of the Senate May Come Down to Nevada’s ‘Politically Curious’ Hispanics," August 3, 2022
  52. The Cook Political Report, "2022 Nevada Senate Overview," May 27, 2022
  53. Biographical Directory of the United States Congress "CORTEZ MASTO, Catherine Marie," accessed August 4, 2022
  54. Reno Gazette-Journal, "Nevada primary election voter guide: Veterans, painter, pageant winner among Senate hopefuls," May 11, 2022
  55. Laxalt for U.S. Senate, "About Adam, accessed May 23, 2022; Adam Laxalt for Attorney General, "About," accessed May 23, 2022
  56. Twitter, "Catherine Cortez Masto," June 30, 2022
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  92. This included Sen. Angus King (Maine), an independent who caucused with Democrats.
  93. Padilla was appointed to the seat in January 2021 to succeed Kamala Harris (D).
  94. Padilla was appointed to the seat in January 2021 to succeed Kamala Harris (D).
  95. 95.0 95.1 Margin of victory
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  98. 98.00 98.01 98.02 98.03 98.04 98.05 98.06 98.07 98.08 98.09 98.10 98.11 98.12 98.13 98.14 98.15 98.16 98.17 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  99. FiveThirtyEight, "A Blue Nevada Means Democrats Will Keep Control Of The Senate," November 12, 2022
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  101. Inside Elections, "2022 Election Results Summary (Nov. 28 2022)," November 28, 2022
  102. https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-charts/senate-governors-charts-chew-how-independents-and-meh-voters-split The Cook Political Report, "Senate & Governors Charts To Chew On: How Independents and ‘Meh’ Voters Split for Democrats," November 22, 2022]
  103. Vox, "How independent voters saved Democrats," November 26, 2022
  104. FiveThirtyEight, "Candidate Quality Mattered," November 9, 2022
  105. Vox, "How independent voters saved Democrats," November 26, 2022
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  108. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "The Outlook for the 2022 Senate Elections: A State-by-State Analysis," June 1, 2022
  109. The Washington Post, "Opinion: The House looks like a GOP lock in 2022, but the Senate will be much harder," March 28, 2021
  110. CNN, "Biden states will decide who controls the Senate," March 15, 2022
  111. FiveThirtyEight, "Why The President’s Party Almost Always Has A Bad Midterm," January 3, 2022
  112. New York Magazine, "2022 Won’t Be Another 1994 Republican Tidal Wave," July 27, 2021
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  114. FiveThirtyEight, "What All Those GOP Retirements Mean For The 2022 Senate Map," January 25, 2021
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  116. Roll Call, "Senate 2022: Few opportunities as parties battle for control," April 1, 2021
  117. Both general election candidates were Republicans.
  118. This race was unopposed.
  119. 119.0 119.1 Both general election candidates were Democrats.
  120. Lamb won by a margin of 0.4 percentage points.
  121. Wild won by a margin of 0.2 percentage points.
  122. The state Board of Elections declined to certify the results of the 2018 election following allegations of absentee ballot fraud.
  123. Collins won by 0.3 percentage points.
  124. This special election was called to fill the vacancy left by 2020 Congressman-elect Luke Letlow (R), who died before being sworn in to Congress.
  125. Runoff MOV between two Republican candidates.
  126. Runoff MOV between two Democratic candidates.
  127. Runoff MOV between two Republican candidates.
  128. A federal district court, in striking down the state's congressional redistricting plan, postponed the deadline for candidates qualifying by petition in lieu of paying the filing fee from June 22, 2022, to July 8, 2022. The court's order did not affect the July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee.
  129. In Virginia, the Democratic and Republican parties form committees to decide on the method of nomination used for congressional races. These non-primary methods of nomination may take place on a date other than the statewide primary.