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The Return of Depression Economics Paperback – 4 Dec. 2008
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Paul Krugman, winner of the 2008 Nobel Prize in economics, shows how today's crisis parallels the events that caused the Great Depression - and explains what it will take to avoid catastrophe.
In 1999, in The Return of Depression Economics, Paul Krugman surveyed the economic crises that had swept across Asia and Latin America, and warned that those crises were a warning for all of us: like diseases that have become resistant to antibiotics, the economic maladies that caused the Great Depression were making a comeback.In the years that followed, as Wall Street boomed and financial wheeler-dealers made vast profits, the international crises of the 1990s faded from memory. But now depression economics has come to America: when the great housing bubble of the mid-2000s burst, the U.S. financial system proved as vulnerable as those of developing countries caught up in earlier crises - and a replay of the 1930s seems all too possible.
In this new, greatly updated edition of The Return of Depression Economics, Krugman shows how the failure of regulation to keep pace with an increasingly out-of-control financial system set the United States, and the world as a whole, up for the greatest financial crisis since the 1930s. He also lays out the steps that must be taken to contain the crisis, and turn around a world economy sliding into a deep recession. Brilliantly crafted in Krugman's trademark style-lucid, lively, and supremely informed - this new edition of The Return of Depression Economics will become an instant cornerstone of the debate over how to respond to the crisis.
- Print length208 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- PublisherAllen Lane
- Publication date4 Dec. 2008
- Dimensions12.9 x 1.19 x 19.81 cm
- ISBN-101846142393
- ISBN-13978-1846142390
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- Publisher : Allen Lane; 2nd Revised ed. edition (4 Dec. 2008)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 208 pages
- ISBN-10 : 1846142393
- ISBN-13 : 978-1846142390
- Dimensions : 12.9 x 1.19 x 19.81 cm
- Best Sellers Rank: 156,141 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- 244 in Macroeconomics (Books)
- 267 in Economic Theory & Philosophy
- 357 in Economic Conditions (Books)
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About the author
Paul Krugman writes a twice-weekly column for the op-ed page of the New York Times. A winner of the John Bates Clark Medal who was also named Columnist of the Year by Editor and Publisher magazine, he teaches economics at Princeton University.
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For a short, book Krugman is certainly ambitious in terms of the period and number of countries that he covers. He sets his arguments in the context of politics, reminding us of the now old fashion academic discipline known as political economy. Although it could be said that Krugman's economics is of a left leaning brand, he does not shirk from admitting that with the collapse of the Soviet Union the overall economic situation is nonetheless one in which capitalism has won out over socialism. That victory, however, comes with a caveat: "if the current economic crisis persists and deepens capitalism victor won't last forever other ideologies will emerge."
To return to my set question, I am not so sure that Krugman has anything new to say. What I particularly admire about the book was its avoidance of economic jargon and where possible technical and abstract economic concepts. Instead what we get from the book is a plain speaking narrative with Krugman doing his best to explain things by extended analogies for the uninitiated. I was fascinated by the analogy of the baby sitting coop which Krugman used to explain a number of important economic ideas such as the reason for increasing or decreasing interest rates, inflation and the lack of demand in an economy - just to mention a few.
The book attempts to examine most of the significant economic crises of recent times. To that effect it sometimes reads like an economic tour of some far flung countries such as Mexico, Argentina, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, etc. In respect of these countries, along with the well established economies, Krugman gives a good explanation of boom and bust. He quite rightly castigates politicians and economist for not learning lessons from the past, for making poor decisions and for not being bold enough to make decisions in a timely manner.
To some extent the book reads like a political polemic. It is broadly a one-sided account of the problems faced by the world's major economies. Whilst Krugman does not explicitly acknowledge that it is a one-sided account he nevertheless implicitly does so. A subsection at the end of chapter states: "Most commentators on The Asian crisis would probably find some detail of the account in this chapter to quarrel with. Some would argue that the damage done by moral hazard-driven lending was greater than I suggest. Some would argue, on the contrary, that the economies were really in good shape, and that the crisis was wholly gratuitous."
For those of us who lack the ability to quickly grasp some of the economic ideas we hear in the daily news or miss the details of some of the interesting stories, Krugman provides brief but good explanations - for example, the workings of hedge funds. Then there are the interesting stories such as how George Soros managed to undermine the pound's position in the European Exchange Rate Mechanism. He also provides a good explanation of the development of banks and the coming into being of central banks.
The Return of Depression Economics is a short, highly readable book about the economic problems faced by a number of countries in recent years. The book is a little one-sided perhaps but nonetheless a book that I would recommend.
From the 1980s on, capitalism ruled the world unchallenged. But, its greatest enemies are as always, wars and depressions (`the Great Depression in the US in the 1930s came close to destroying both capitalism and democracy and led more or less directly to war.') `The Great Depression was brought to an end by a massive deficit-financed public works program, known as World War II.'
The Asian and Latin-American crises showed the dangers of foreign currency debts (countries are completely dependent on the goodwill of foreign investors), of use and abuse of the printing press (inflation), of rigid exchange rate systems, of cronyism and of economic policies based on `political connections'. Loss of market confidence led to self-fulfilling speculations and self-fulfilling economic panics.
In Japan, the main reason for the economic slump was a real estate bubble.
For Paul Krugman, the main culprit for the debacle in the US was the shadow banking system (not regulated non-bank banks) and the unacceptable risks these corporations took while betting on the concept of moral hazard (heads I win - the private investor, tails you lose - the government = the tax payers).
Actually we are confronted with failures on the demand side (insufficient private spending) together with a credit crunch. Through real and massive Keynesian anti-depression policies (public works), spending should be propped up and credit should be flowing again.
There is a real free lunch available because there are unemployed resources that could be put to work.
Concerning the Soros legend, as Gene G. Marcial unveils in his book `Secrets of the Street', G. Soros had a mole in the Bank of England. By the way, who was the second party in the monstrous anti-pound speculation and who lost the billions? The National Bank of Malaysia?
This eminent crash course for economists is a must read for all those who want to understand the world we live in.
What this book really does is look at a few recessionary events (Russia crisis, Mexico Brazil & Argentina crises, Asia crisis, LTCM crisis, trust crisis of 1907 & finally 2008...) and explain them using the example of a baby sitting club in Washington DC. What has gone wrong is usually either politicians over ruling economists or financiers getting greedy. The sub prime crash and its subsequent horrors (which we are still going through in 2011!!) seems to be particularly bad as both financiers and politicians have been involved.
I wish I could rate this book more highly. In some ways it is better than others (e.g. "How the West was Lost"), but I was really looking for details and answers. here I found none. Someone recommended "All the devils are here", so I may give that a try.
That said if you want to know what went wrong read this. Excellent writer for the non expert. An enjoyable romp through our recent financial foolishness . This is why it all went wrong.