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New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2024

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2022
New York's 18th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 4, 2024
Primary: June 25, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. (general elections); primary times vary by county
Voting in New York
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
New York's 18th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th
New York elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 18th Congressional District of New York, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary is June 25, 2024. The filing deadline was April 4, 2024. The outcome of this race will affect the partisan balance of the U.S. House in 2025.

All 435 seats are up for election. Republicans have a 217 to 213 majority with five vacancies.[1] As of May 2024, 44 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 53.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 44.7%.[2]

New York conducted redistricting between the 2022 and 2024 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. To review how redistricting took place in New York and to see maps of the new districts, click here. For a list of all states that drew new district lines between 2022 and 2024, click here.

New York's 18th Congressional District is one of 37 congressional districts with a Democratic incumbent or an open seat the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) is targeting in 2024. To read about NRCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of NRCC targeted districts, click here.

This is one of 12 elections across the country within Ballotpedia's coverage scope in which Speaker of the U.S. House Mike Johnson endorsed a Republican candidate in a primary race. Four endorsees advanced in the primary election. Eight of these races have not occurred. To see a full list of these endorsements click here.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list of candidates is unofficial. The filing deadline for this election has passed, and Ballotpedia is working to update this page with the official candidate list. This note will be removed once the official candidate list has been added.

General election

The primary will occur on June 25, 2024. The general election will occur on November 5, 2024. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Pat Ryan and Alexander Saulino are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18 on June 25, 2024.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Alison Esposito is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18 on June 25, 2024.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Conservative Party primary election

Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Alison Esposito is running in the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18 on June 25, 2024.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Working Families Party primary election

Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Pat Ryan is running in the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18 on June 25, 2024.

Candidate
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Pat-Ryan.PNG
Pat Ryan

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.

Voting information

See also: Voting in New York

Election information in New York: June 25, 2024, election.

What is the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: June 15, 2024
  • By mail: Received by June 15, 2024
  • Online: June 15, 2024

Is absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: June 24, 2024
  • By mail: Received by June 15, 2024
  • Online: June 15, 2024

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: June 25, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by June 25, 2024

Is early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What are the early voting start and end dates?

June 15, 2024 to June 23, 2024

Are all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, is a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When are polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m.


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Pat Ryan Democratic Party, Working Families Party $4,056,476 $1,323,260 $2,768,926 As of March 31, 2024
Alexander Saulino Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Alison Esposito Republican Party, Conservative Party $675,441 $238,314 $437,127 As of March 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]

Race ratings: New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
May 14, 2024May 7, 2024April 30, 2024April 23, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in New York in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New York, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
New York U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 1,062, or 4.25% of the number of enrolled members of the party in the district, whichever is less N/A 4/4/2024 Source
New York U.S. House Unaffiliated 3,500 N/A 5/28/2024 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2024 election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map used in the 2022 election next to the map in place for the 2024 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.

2022

2023_01_03_ny_congressional_district_018.jpg

2024

2025_01_03_ny_congressional_district_018.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024
This section will contain primary election competitiveness information for this state's U.S. House elections. It will be updated after the candidate filing deadline. For more information about Ballotpedia's Competitiveness Analysis of state legislative elections, please click here.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is . This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were the national average. This made New York's 18th the district nationally.[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in New York's 18th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
53.8% 44.7%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[8] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
52.5 45.8 D+6.6

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in New York, 2020

New York presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 18 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R R D D D D R R R D D D R D R R D D D D D D D D D

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of New York's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New York
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 16 18
Republican 0 10 10
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 26 28

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in New York's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in New York, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Kathy Hochul
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Antonio Delgado
Secretary of State Democratic Party Robert Rodriguez
Attorney General Democratic Party Letitia James

State legislature

New York State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 42
     Republican Party 21
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 63

New York House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 102
     Republican Party 48
     Independence 0
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 150

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.

New York Party Control: 1992-2024
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D
Assembly D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Pat Ryan defeated Colin Schmitt in the general election for U.S. House New York District 18 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Pat-Ryan.PNG
Pat Ryan (D / Working Families Party)
 
50.6
 
135,245
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/cschmitt.png
Colin Schmitt (R / Conservative Party) Candidate Connection
 
49.3
 
131,653
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
155

Total votes: 267,053
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Pat Ryan defeated Aisha Mills and Moses Mugulusi in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18 on August 23, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Pat-Ryan.PNG
Pat Ryan
 
83.8
 
30,093
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/AishaMills.jpeg
Aisha Mills Candidate Connection
 
13.2
 
4,730
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mugulusi.jpg
Moses Mugulusi
 
2.8
 
993
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.3
 
108

Total votes: 35,924
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Colin Schmitt advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Conservative Party primary election

The Conservative Party primary election was canceled. Colin Schmitt advanced from the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Working Families Party primary election

The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Pat Ryan advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

2020

See also: New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Sean Maloney defeated Chele Farley and Scott Smith in the general election for U.S. House New York District 18 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Sean_Patrick_Maloney_113th_Congress.jpg
Sean Maloney (D / Working Families Party / Independence Party)
 
55.8
 
187,444
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BBA795CE-7F45-4A85-B2A7-193F2BE52247.jpeg
Chele Farley (R / Conservative Party)
 
43.2
 
145,145
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Scott-Smith.jpg
Scott Smith (Serve America Movement Party / L)
 
0.9
 
3,164
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
118

Total votes: 335,871
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Sean Maloney advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Chele Farley advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Conservative Party primary election

The Conservative Party primary election was canceled. Chele Farley advanced from the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Independence Party primary election

The Independence Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Sean Maloney advanced from the Independence Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Libertarian primary election

The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Scott Smith advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Serve America Movement Party primary election

The Serve America Movement Party primary election was canceled. Scott Smith advanced from the Serve America Movement Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Working Families Party primary election

The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Sean Maloney advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

2018

See also: New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Sean Maloney defeated James O'Donnell in the general election for U.S. House New York District 18 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Sean_Patrick_Maloney_113th_Congress.jpg
Sean Maloney (D)
 
55.5
 
139,564
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/James_O_Donnell-min_fixed.jpg
James O'Donnell (R)
 
44.5
 
112,035

Total votes: 251,599
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Sean Maloney advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Sean_Patrick_Maloney_113th_Congress.jpg
Sean Maloney

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18

James O'Donnell advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/James_O_Donnell-min_fixed.jpg
James O'Donnell

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates



See also

New York 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  3. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  7. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  8. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


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