Maine gubernatorial election, 2022
← 2018
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Governor of Maine |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 15, 2022 |
Primary: June 14, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 Pre-election incumbent(s): Janet T. Mills (Democratic) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Maine |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Lean Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2022 Impact of term limits in 2022 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
Maine executive elections |
Governor |
Incumbent Janet Mills (D) defeated Paul LePage (R) and Sam Hunkler (I) in the general election for governor of Maine on November 8, 2022.
Mills was first elected in 2018, becoming Maine's first female governor. She sought a second term in 2022. LePage served as governor from 2011 to 2019 and sought a third term.[1][2]
Mills was elected governor after serving as Maine’s attorney general for eight years during LePage’s administration. Mills also served four terms as the district attorney for Androscoggin, Franklin, and Oxford counties. She was the first woman elected to each of these positions. Mills said she had worked across the aisle to deliver progress as governor and would continue to address the following issues in a second term: expanding health care, fully funding Maine’s public schools, preserving Maine’s lands and waters, and fighting climate change.[3]
LePage was elected governor after serving as the mayor of Waterville, Maine, for seven years. He also served two terms on the Waterville City Council. LePage said that his vision for Maine was “to create prosperity through a lower overall tax burden for residents and businesses; a smaller, more efficient state government that we can all afford; protecting our most vulnerable populations (our children, our seniors and persons with disabilities), empowering parents’ rights to decide their children’s future, and managing a welfare system that serves as a safety net for the truly needy – not a free for all.”[4][5][2]
Both candidates responded to the Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization Supreme Court decision on abortion by clarifying their positions on the issue. Mills said, “Maine, our only chance at defending the right to safe and legal abortion will be this November at the ballot box. If given a chance, my opponent will dismantle reproductive rights across Maine. We must vote like our freedom to choose is on the line — because it is.”[6][3]
LePage said, “As the child of a severely dysfunctional family, with domestic abuse that left me homeless, I know my mother faced difficult decisions and I am glad she chose life. The federal government has regularly prohibited taxpayer abortion funding, except in cases of rape, incest, or when the mother’s life is in danger; and I have supported that policy and would continue to do so.”[7]
As of November 2022, Mills consistently led the field in several polls that are detailed below. Campaign finance reports from the Maine Ethics Commission were released in November 2022 showing Mills raised more than $5.5 million, LePage raised more than $2.5 million, and Hunkler raised more than $4,000 for this race.[8][9][10][11]
This was one of 36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. The governor serves as a state's top executive official and is the only executive office that is elected in all 50 states. At the time of the 2022 elections, there were 28 Republican governors and 22 Democratic governors. Click here for a map with links to our coverage of all 50 states' responses to the pandemic and here for an overview of all 36 gubernatorial elections that took place in 2022.
Heading into the 2022 elections, there were 23 Republican trifectas, 14 Democratic trifectas, and 13 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control. There were 23 Republican triplexes, 18 Democratic triplexes, and nine divided governments where neither party held triplex control.
A state government trifecta refers to a situation where one party controls a state's governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. A state government triplex refers to a situation where the governor, attorney general, and secretary of state are all members of the same political party.
Maine had both a Democratic trifecta and a Democratic triplex since 2019.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Maine gubernatorial election, 2022 (June 14 Democratic primary)
- Maine gubernatorial election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary)
Election news
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.
- November 8, 2022: Mills defeated LePage and Hunkler in the general election.
- November 2, 2022: Campaign finance reports from the Maine Ethics Commission were released showing Mills raised more than $5.5 million, LePage raised more than $2.5 million, and Hunkler raised more than $4,000.[11]
- October 7-15, 2022: Pan Atlantic Research published a poll showing Mills with 49% support and LePage with 39% support. 12% of respondents either planned to vote for other candidates or remained undecided. The margin of error for this poll is 3.5 percentage points.[8]
- September 27, 2022: Campaign finance reports from the Maine Ethics Commission were released showing Mills raised nearly $5 million, LePage raised more than $2 million, and Hunkler raised more than $4,000.[11]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for Governor of Maine
Incumbent Janet T. Mills defeated Paul LePage and Sam Hunkler in the general election for Governor of Maine on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Janet T. Mills (D) | 55.7 | 376,934 | |
Paul LePage (R) | 42.4 | 287,304 | ||
Sam Hunkler (Independent) | 1.9 | 12,581 |
Total votes: 676,819 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine
The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Janet T. Mills in round 1 .
Total votes: 69,422 |
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= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Glowa (D)
Republican primary election
Republican Primary for Governor of Maine
The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Paul LePage in round 1 .
Total votes: 59,713 |
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= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. |
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Maine
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- Maine House of Representatives Districts 78 and 89 (2002-2009)
- Maine attorney general (2009-2011) and (2013-2019)
- Governor of Maine (2019 - Present)
Biography: Mills received a B.A. from the University of Massachusetts at Boston and a J.D. from the University of Maine School of Law. Mills worked as an assistant U.S. attorney and was elected district attorney for Androscoggin, Franklin, and Oxford counties. She served in the Maine House of Representatives from 2002 to 2009. Mills also served as Maine’s attorney general from 2009-2011 and from 2013-2019. From 2011-2013, she served in the leadership of the Maine Democratic Party. Mills is a founder of the Maine Women's Lobby, which says its mission is to fight domestic violence.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Maine in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Mayor of Waterville (2004 to 2011)
- Governor of Maine (2011 to 2019)
Biography: LePage received a B.S. in finance from Husson University and an M.B.A. from the University of Maine. He worked as a business executive, consultant, and advisor before entering politics. LePage served two terms on the Waterville, Maine City Council. He later served as mayor of Waterville from 2004 to 2011 and the governor of Maine from 2011 to 2019.
Show sources
Sources: LePage for Governor 2022, “Agenda,” accessed September 2, 2022; Twitter, “Paul LePage 2022,” September 5, 2022; State of Maine: Office of Governor Paul R. LePage, "About Governor Paul R. LePage," accessed September 2, 2022; LePage for Governor 2022, “Meet Paul,” accessed September 2, 2022; LinkedIn, "Paul LePage," accessed May 3, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Maine in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Janet Mills
August 2, 2022 |
August 2, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Paul LePage
View more ads here:
Sam Hunkler
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Sam Hunkler while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Debates and forums
This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.
- October 27, 2022: Mills and LePage participated in a debate in Portland organized by the Maine State Chamber of Commerce and News Center Maine.[15] Click here to watch.
- October 24, 2022: Mills and LePage participated in a debate in Portland organized by the Bangor Daily News and WGME-TV.[16] Click here to watch.
- October 6, 2022: Mills and LePage participated in a debate in Portland organized by the Portland Regional Chamber of Commerce.[17] Click here to watch.
- October 4, 2022: Mills, LePage, and Hunkler participated in a debate in Lewiston organized by Maine Public, the Portland Press, and the Sun Journal.[18] Click here to watch.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[19] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[20] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
Maine gubernatorial election, 2022: General election polls | |||||||
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Poll | Date | Mills | LePage | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[21] | Sponsor[22] |
Pan Atlantic Research | October 7-15, 2022 | 49% | 39% | 12%[23] | ± 3.5 | 800 LV | |
Emerson College | September 19-20, 2022 | 53% | 41% | 6% | ± 2.8 | 1,164 LV | |
University of New Hampshire | September 15-19, 2022 | 53% | 39% | 6%[24] | ± 3.6 | 752 LV | |
MPRC | September 1-9, 2022 | 49% | 38% | 13%[25] | ± 3.4 | 814 RV | |
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | May 10-13, 2022 | 51% | 46% | 3%[26] | ± 4.4 | 500 LV | AARP |
Click [show] to see older poll results | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Date | Mills | LePage | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[27] | Sponsor[28] |
Pan Atlantic Research | April 21-May 5, 2022 | 46.4% | 42.4% | 11.3%[29] | ± 3.4 | 824 LV | |
SurveyUSA | May 13-19, 2021 | 45% | 38% | 15%[30] | ± 5.3 | 514 RV |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[31]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[32][33][34]
Race ratings: Maine gubernatorial election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Noteworthy endorsements
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from candidates submitted to the Maine Ethics Commission in this election. It does not include information on spending by satellite groups. Click here to access the reports.
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[35][36][37]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
The Maine Ethics Commission provides a list of all independent expenditure filings in the state. To view filings for this race, click here.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Maine, 2022 | |||
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District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Maine's 1st | Chellie Pingree | Democratic | D+9 |
Maine's 2nd | Jared Golden | Democratic | R+6 |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Maine[38] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | ||
Maine's 1st | 60.0% | 37.2% | ||
Maine's 2nd | 45.5% | 51.6% |
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
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Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 53.0% of Mainers lived in one of the state's seven Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 36.6% lived in one of seven Trending Republican counties. Overall, Maine was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Maine following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
Maine county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
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Solid Democratic | 7 | 53.0% | |||||
Trending Republican | 7 | 36.6% | |||||
Battleground Democratic | 1 | 9.1% | |||||
Solid Republican | 1 | 1.2% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 8 | 62.1% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 8 | 37.9% |
Historical voting trends
Maine presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 11 Democratic wins
- 20 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Maine.
U.S. Senate election results in Maine | ||
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Race | Winner | Runner up |
2020 | 51.0% | 42.4% |
2018 | 54.3% (Independent) | 35.2% |
2014 | 68.5% | 31,5% |
2012 | 52.9% (Independent) | 30.7% |
2008 | 61.3% | 38.6% |
Average | 57.6 | 36.7 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Maine
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Maine.
Gubernatorial election results in Maine | ||
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Race | Winner | Runner up |
2018 | 50.9% | 43.2% |
2014 | 48.2% | 43.4% |
2010 | 37.6% | 35.9% (Independent) |
2006 | 38.1% | 30.2% |
2002 | 47.1% | 41.5% |
Average | 44.4 | 38.8 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Maine's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Maine, November 2022 | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Republican | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Independent | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Maine's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Maine, November 2022 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Janet T. Mills |
Secretary of State | Shenna Bellows |
Attorney General | Aaron Frey |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Maine State Legislature as of November 2022.
Maine State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 22 | |
Republican Party | 13 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 35 |
Maine House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 77 | |
Republican Party | 63 | |
Independent | 2 | |
Independent for Maine Party | 1 | |
Libertarian Party | 0 | |
Vacancies | 8 | |
Total | 151 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Maine was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Maine Party Control: 1992-2022
Twelve years of Democratic trifectas • Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
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Governor | R | R | R | I | I | I | I | I | I | I | I | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Maine and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Maine | ||
---|---|---|
Maine | United States | |
Population | 1,362,359 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 30,844 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 93.7% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 1.4% | 12.6% |
Asian | 1.1% | 5.6% |
Native American | 0.7% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 2.8% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 1.7% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 93.2% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 32.5% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $59,489 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 11.1% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Maine in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Maine, click here.
Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source | Notes |
Maine | Governor | Ballot-qualified party | 2,000 | N/A | 3/15/2022 | Source | |
Maine | Governor | Unaffiliated | 4,000 | N/A | 6/1/2022 | Source |
Election history
2018
- See also: Maine gubernatorial election, 2018
General election
General election for Governor of Maine
The ranked-choice voting election was won by Janet T. Mills in round 1 .
Total votes: 630,667 |
||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Richard Light (L)
- Betsy Marsano (G)
- Karmo Sanders (Independent)
- Ken A. Capron (Independent)
- John Jenkins (Independent)
- Jay Parker Dresser (G)
- Ethan Alcorn (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine
The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Janet T. Mills in round 4 . The results of Round are displayed below. To see the results of other rounds, use the dropdown menu above to select a round and the table will update.
Total votes: 126,139 |
||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Cynthia Soma-Hernandez (D)
- J. Martin Vachon (D)
- Patrick Eisenhart (D)
- Sean Faircloth (D)
- James Boyle (D)
Republican primary election
Republican Primary for Governor of Maine
The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Shawn Moody in round 1 .
Total votes: 94,382 |
||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. |
2014
- See also: Maine gubernatorial election, 2014
Governor of Maine, 2014 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Republican | Paul LePage Incumbent | 48.2% | 294,519 | |
Democratic | Mike Michaud | 43.4% | 265,114 | |
Independent | Eliot Cutler | 8.4% | 51,515 | |
Nonpartisan | Write-in votes | 0% | 79 | |
Total Votes | 611,227 | |||
Election results via Maine Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions |
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary runoff)
- Georgia gubernatorial election, 2022
- Michigan Attorney General election, 2022
- North Carolina's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022
See also
Maine | State Executive Elections | News and Analysis |
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External links
Footnotes
- ↑ PBS, "Republican Paul LePage looks ahead to Main’s November governor race against Gov. Janet Mills," September 2, 2022
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 NPR, "Paul LePage tries to make a comeback in Maine. Will independent voters bite?" September 2, 2022
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Janet Mills for Maine, “Meet Janet,” September 2, 2022
- ↑ LePage for Governor 2022, "Agenda," September 5, 2022
- ↑ State of Maine: Office of Governor Paul R. LePage, "About Governor Paul R. LePage," September 2, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, “Janet Mills for ME,” September 4, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, “Paul LePage 2022,” September 5, 2022
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Spectrum News, “Mills leads LePage by 10 percentage points in new poll,” October 20, 2022
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 Emerson College Polling, “Maine Poll: Mills Leads LePage by 12,” September 23, 2022
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 University of New Hampshire Survey Center, “The Pine Tree State Poll,” September 27, 2022
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 11.3 Maine Ethics Commission, “Individual Filings Search,”accessed November 3, 2022
- ↑ Beacon, “Poll: Mills leads LePage as majority of Mainers oppose Supreme Court’s abortion ruling,” September 16, 2022
- ↑ AARP, “Maine: 2022 Elections (18+),”accessed November 3, 2022
- ↑ Pan Atlantic Research, “58th Omnibus Poll May, 2022,” accessed November 3, 2022
- ↑ News Center Maine, “LePage and Mills face off in Voice of the Voter forum. Here's what they said,” October 27, 2022
- ↑ Maine Public, “Behind in the polls, LePage ratchets up attacks on Mills during second TV debate,” October 25, 2022
- ↑ Portland Press Herald, “Mills and LePage take on economic issues, and each other, in Portland debate,” October 6, 2022
- ↑ Maine Public, “Mills, LePage spar over abortion, immigration and economy in first televised debate,” October 5, 2022
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Breakdown: "Other candidate" (2%), "Undecided" (10%)
- ↑ Breakdown: "Other candidate" (3%), "Undecided" (5%)
- ↑ Breakdown: "Other Candidate" (3%), "Undecided" (10%)
- ↑ Breakdown: "Undecided" (3%)
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Breakdown: "Other candidate" (7.0%), "Undecided" (4.3%)
- ↑ Breakdown: "Other candidate" (3%), "Undecided" (12%)
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
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