Maine gubernatorial election, 2022

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2018
Governor of Maine
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 15, 2022
Primary: June 14, 2022
General: November 8, 2022

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Janet T. Mills (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Maine
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2022
Impact of term limits in 2022
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Maine
executive elections
Governor

Incumbent Janet Mills (D) defeated Paul LePage (R) and Sam Hunkler (I) in the general election for governor of Maine on November 8, 2022.

Mills was first elected in 2018, becoming Maine's first female governor. She sought a second term in 2022. LePage served as governor from 2011 to 2019 and sought a third term.[1][2]

Mills was elected governor after serving as Maine’s attorney general for eight years during LePage’s administration. Mills also served four terms as the district attorney for Androscoggin, Franklin, and Oxford counties. She was the first woman elected to each of these positions. Mills said she had worked across the aisle to deliver progress as governor and would continue to address the following issues in a second term: expanding health care, fully funding Maine’s public schools, preserving Maine’s lands and waters, and fighting climate change.[3]

LePage was elected governor after serving as the mayor of Waterville, Maine, for seven years. He also served two terms on the Waterville City Council. LePage said that his vision for Maine was “to create prosperity through a lower overall tax burden for residents and businesses; a smaller, more efficient state government that we can all afford; protecting our most vulnerable populations (our children, our seniors and persons with disabilities), empowering parents’ rights to decide their children’s future, and managing a welfare system that serves as a safety net for the truly needy – not a free for all.”[4][5][2]

Both candidates responded to the Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization Supreme Court decision on abortion by clarifying their positions on the issue. Mills said, “Maine, our only chance at defending the right to safe and legal abortion will be this November at the ballot box. If given a chance, my opponent will dismantle reproductive rights across Maine. We must vote like our freedom to choose is on the line — because it is.”[6][3]

LePage said, “As the child of a severely dysfunctional family, with domestic abuse that left me homeless, I know my mother faced difficult decisions and I am glad she chose life. The federal government has regularly prohibited taxpayer abortion funding, except in cases of rape, incest, or when the mother’s life is in danger; and I have supported that policy and would continue to do so.”[7]

As of November 2022, Mills consistently led the field in several polls that are detailed below. Campaign finance reports from the Maine Ethics Commission were released in November 2022 showing Mills raised more than $5.5 million, LePage raised more than $2.5 million, and Hunkler raised more than $4,000 for this race.[8][9][10][11]

This was one of 36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. The governor serves as a state's top executive official and is the only executive office that is elected in all 50 states. At the time of the 2022 elections, there were 28 Republican governors and 22 Democratic governors. Click here for a map with links to our coverage of all 50 states' responses to the pandemic and here for an overview of all 36 gubernatorial elections that took place in 2022.

Heading into the 2022 elections, there were 23 Republican trifectas, 14 Democratic trifectas, and 13 divided governments where neither party held trifecta control. There were 23 Republican triplexes, 18 Democratic triplexes, and nine divided governments where neither party held triplex control.

A state government trifecta refers to a situation where one party controls a state's governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. A state government triplex refers to a situation where the governor, attorney general, and secretary of state are all members of the same political party.

Maine had both a Democratic trifecta and a Democratic triplex since 2019.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Election news

This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.

  • November 8, 2022: Mills defeated LePage and Hunkler in the general election.
  • November 2, 2022: Campaign finance reports from the Maine Ethics Commission were released showing Mills raised more than $5.5 million, LePage raised more than $2.5 million, and Hunkler raised more than $4,000.[11]
  • October 7-15, 2022: Pan Atlantic Research published a poll showing Mills with 49% support and LePage with 39% support. 12% of respondents either planned to vote for other candidates or remained undecided. The margin of error for this poll is 3.5 percentage points.[8]
  • September 27, 2022: Campaign finance reports from the Maine Ethics Commission were released showing Mills raised nearly $5 million, LePage raised more than $2 million, and Hunkler raised more than $4,000.[11]

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for Governor of Maine

Incumbent Janet T. Mills defeated Paul LePage and Sam Hunkler in the general election for Governor of Maine on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Janet_Mills.jpg
Janet T. Mills (D)
 
55.7
 
376,934
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Paul-LePage.PNG
Paul LePage (R)
 
42.4
 
287,304
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/IMG_0500.jpg
Sam Hunkler (Independent)
 
1.9
 
12,581

Total votes: 676,819
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine

The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Janet T. Mills in round 1 .


Total votes: 69,422
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican Primary for Governor of Maine

The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Paul LePage in round 1 .


Total votes: 59,713
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Maine

Election information in Maine: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 18, 2022
  • Online: N/A

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 3, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 3, 2022
  • Online: Nov. 3, 2022

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 9, 2022 to Nov. 3, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6 a.m. to 8 p.m.


Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Janet T. Mills

FacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 


Biography:  Mills received a B.A. from the University of Massachusetts at Boston and a J.D. from the University of Maine School of Law. Mills worked as an assistant U.S. attorney and was elected district attorney for Androscoggin, Franklin, and Oxford counties. She served in the Maine House of Representatives from 2002 to 2009. Mills also served as Maine’s attorney general from 2009-2011 and from 2013-2019. From 2011-2013, she served in the leadership of the Maine Democratic Party. Mills is a founder of the Maine Women's Lobby, which says its mission is to fight domestic violence.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Mills said that she is proud to be a trailblazer who was the first woman district attorney in Maine, the first woman attorney general in Maine, and Maine’s first woman Governor.


Mills said that she has “worked across the aisle to deliver historic, unprecedented progress as governor” and said that she “expanded health care, fully funded Maine’s public schools for the first time, preserved Maine’s lands and waters, and is fighting climate change” while in office.


Discussing her position on abortion, Mills tweeted, “Maine, our only chance at defending the right to safe and legal abortion will be this November at the ballot box. If given a chance, my opponent will dismantle reproductive rights across Maine. We must vote like our freedom to choose is on the line — because it is.”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Maine in 2022.

Image of Paul LePage

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  LePage received a B.S. in finance from Husson University and an M.B.A. from the University of Maine. He worked as a business executive, consultant, and advisor before entering politics. LePage served two terms on the Waterville, Maine City Council. He later served as mayor of Waterville from 2004 to 2011 and the governor of Maine from 2011 to 2019.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


LePage said that his vision for Maine is “to create prosperity through a lower overall tax burden for residents and businesses; a smaller, more efficient state government that we can all afford; protecting our most vulnerable populations (our children, our seniors and persons with disabilities), empowering parents’ rights to decide their children’s future, and managing a welfare system that serves as a safety net for the truly needy – not a free for all.”


LePage said that as Maine’s governor, he lowered the unemployment rate, reduced wasteful spending, cut the pension debt, cut taxes, reformed welfare, raised awareness about domestic violence, and increased K-12 education spending while holding college tuition stable.


Discussing his position on abortion, LePage said, “As the child of a severely dysfunctional family, with domestic abuse that left me homeless, I know my mother faced difficult decisions and I am glad she chose life. The federal government has regularly prohibited taxpayer abortion funding, except in cases of rape, incest, or when the mother’s life is in danger; and I have supported that policy and would continue to do so.”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Maine in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Janet Mills

August 2, 2022
August 2, 2022

View more ads here:


Republican Party Paul LePage

View more ads here:


Grey.png Sam Hunkler

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Sam Hunkler while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.


Debates and forums

This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.

  • October 27, 2022: Mills and LePage participated in a debate in Portland organized by the Maine State Chamber of Commerce and News Center Maine.[15] Click here to watch.
  • October 24, 2022: Mills and LePage participated in a debate in Portland organized by the Bangor Daily News and WGME-TV.[16] Click here to watch.
  • October 6, 2022: Mills and LePage participated in a debate in Portland organized by the Portland Regional Chamber of Commerce.[17] Click here to watch.
  • October 4, 2022: Mills, LePage, and Hunkler participated in a debate in Lewiston organized by Maine Public, the Portland Press, and the Sun Journal.[18] Click here to watch.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[19] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[20] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


Maine gubernatorial election, 2022: General election polls
Poll Date Democratic Party Mills Republican Party LePage Undecided/Other Margin of error Sample size[21] Sponsor[22]
Pan Atlantic Research October 7-15, 2022 49% 39% 12%[23] ± 3.5 800 LV
Emerson College September 19-20, 2022 53% 41% 6% ± 2.8 1,164 LV
University of New Hampshire September 15-19, 2022 53% 39% 6%[24] ± 3.6 752 LV
MPRC September 1-9, 2022 49% 38% 13%[25] ± 3.4 814 RV
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research May 10-13, 2022 51% 46% 3%[26] ± 4.4 500 LV AARP


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[31]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[32][33][34]

Race ratings: Maine gubernatorial election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Noteworthy endorsements

Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.


Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from candidates submitted to the Maine Ethics Commission in this election. It does not include information on spending by satellite groups. Click here to access the reports.


Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[35][36][37]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

The Maine Ethics Commission provides a list of all independent expenditure filings in the state. To view filings for this race, click here.


Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Maine and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Maine, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Maine's 1st Chellie Pingree Electiondot.png Democratic D+9
Maine's 2nd Jared Golden Electiondot.png Democratic R+6


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Maine[38]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Maine's 1st 60.0% 37.2%
Maine's 2nd 45.5% 51.6%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 53.0% of Mainers lived in one of the state's seven Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 36.6% lived in one of seven Trending Republican counties. Overall, Maine was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Maine following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Maine presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 11 Democratic wins
  • 20 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R D D D D D D D D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Maine

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Maine.

U.S. Senate election results in Maine
Race Winner Runner up
2020 51.0%Republican Party 42.4%Democratic Party
2018 54.3%Grey.png (Independent) 35.2%Republican Party
2014 68.5%Republican Party 31,5%Democratic Party
2012 52.9%Grey.png (Independent) 30.7%Republican Party
2008 61.3%Republican Party 38.6%Democratic Party
Average 57.6 36.7

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Maine

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Maine.

Gubernatorial election results in Maine
Race Winner Runner up
2018 50.9%Democratic Party 43.2%Republican Party
2014 48.2%Republican Party 43.4%Democratic Party
2010 37.6%Republican Party 35.9%Grey.png (Independent)
2006 38.1%Republican Party 30.2%Democratic Party
2002 47.1%Democratic Party 41.5%Republican Party
Average 44.4 38.8

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Maine's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Maine, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 2 2
Republican 1 0 1
Independent 1 0 1
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 2 4

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Maine's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Maine, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Janet T. Mills
Secretary of State Democratic Party Shenna Bellows
Attorney General Democratic Party Aaron Frey

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Maine State Legislature as of November 2022.

Maine State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 13
     Vacancies 0
Total 35

Maine House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 77
     Republican Party 63
     Independent 2
     Independent for Maine Party 1
     Libertarian Party 0
     Vacancies 8
Total 151

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Maine was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Maine Party Control: 1992-2022
Twelve years of Democratic trifectas  •  Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R I I I I I I I I D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D
Senate D D D R R D D D D S S D D D D D D D D R R D D R R R R D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Maine and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Maine
Maine United States
Population 1,362,359 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 30,844 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 93.7% 70.4%
Black/African American 1.4% 12.6%
Asian 1.1% 5.6%
Native American 0.7% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Two or more 2.8% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 1.7% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 93.2% 88.5%
College graduation rate 32.5% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $59,489 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 11.1% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Maine in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Maine, click here.

Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source Notes
Maine Governor Ballot-qualified party 2,000 N/A 3/15/2022 Source
Maine Governor Unaffiliated 4,000 N/A 6/1/2022 Source

Election history

2018

See also: Maine gubernatorial election, 2018

General election

General election for Governor of Maine

The ranked-choice voting election was won by Janet T. Mills in round 1 .


Total votes: 630,667
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine

The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Janet T. Mills in round 4 . The results of Round are displayed below. To see the results of other rounds, use the dropdown menu above to select a round and the table will update.


Total votes: 126,139
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican Primary for Governor of Maine

The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Shawn Moody in round 1 .


Total votes: 94,382
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

2014

See also: Maine gubernatorial election, 2014
Governor of Maine, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPaul LePage Incumbent 48.2% 294,519
     Democratic Mike Michaud 43.4% 265,114
     Independent Eliot Cutler 8.4% 51,515
     Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0% 79
Total Votes 611,227
Election results via Maine Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions

2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

Maine State Executive Elections News and Analysis
Seal of Maine.png
StateExecLogo.png
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Maine State Executive Offices
Maine State Legislature
Maine Courts
202420232022202120202019201820172016
Maine elections: 202420232022202120202019201820172016
Party control of state government
State government trifectas
State of the state addresses
Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. PBS, "Republican Paul LePage looks ahead to Main’s November governor race against Gov. Janet Mills," September 2, 2022
  2. 2.0 2.1 NPR, "Paul LePage tries to make a comeback in Maine. Will independent voters bite?" September 2, 2022
  3. 3.0 3.1 Janet Mills for Maine, “Meet Janet,” September 2, 2022
  4. LePage for Governor 2022, "Agenda," September 5, 2022
  5. State of Maine: Office of Governor Paul R. LePage, "About Governor Paul R. LePage," September 2, 2022
  6. Twitter, “Janet Mills for ME,” September 4, 2022
  7. Twitter, “Paul LePage 2022,” September 5, 2022
  8. 8.0 8.1 Spectrum News, “Mills leads LePage by 10 percentage points in new poll,” October 20, 2022
  9. 9.0 9.1 Emerson College Polling, “Maine Poll: Mills Leads LePage by 12,” September 23, 2022
  10. 10.0 10.1 University of New Hampshire Survey Center, “The Pine Tree State Poll,” September 27, 2022
  11. 11.0 11.1 11.2 11.3 Maine Ethics Commission, “Individual Filings Search,”accessed November 3, 2022
  12. Beacon, “Poll: Mills leads LePage as majority of Mainers oppose Supreme Court’s abortion ruling,” September 16, 2022
  13. AARP, “Maine: 2022 Elections (18+),”accessed November 3, 2022
  14. Pan Atlantic Research, “58th Omnibus Poll May, 2022,” accessed November 3, 2022
  15. News Center Maine, “LePage and Mills face off in Voice of the Voter forum. Here's what they said,” October 27, 2022
  16. Maine Public, “Behind in the polls, LePage ratchets up attacks on Mills during second TV debate,” October 25, 2022
  17. Portland Press Herald, “Mills and LePage take on economic issues, and each other, in Portland debate,” October 6, 2022
  18. Maine Public, “Mills, LePage spar over abortion, immigration and economy in first televised debate,” October 5, 2022
  19. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  20. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  21. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  22. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  23. Breakdown: "Other candidate" (2%), "Undecided" (10%)
  24. Breakdown: "Other candidate" (3%), "Undecided" (5%)
  25. Breakdown: "Other Candidate" (3%), "Undecided" (10%)
  26. Breakdown: "Undecided" (3%)
  27. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  28. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  29. Breakdown: "Other candidate" (7.0%), "Undecided" (4.3%)
  30. Breakdown: "Other candidate" (3%), "Undecided" (12%)
  31. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  32. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  33. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  34. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  35. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  36. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  37. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  38. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022