They were getting rightfully clowned for giving Boston a 65% chance after 0-2 and a 12% (I believe) chance after 3, but now it looks like they were onto something. Lucky coincidence, or will you put a little more faith into their dumber-sounding numbers?
Does Boston's series comeback unironically make you respect ESPN's analytics team/algorithm more?
Hell no lmao
No makes me respect the Miami Heat less
An ESPN truther! Get him!
statistical probability is the exact opposite of hindsight.
Admittedly, was the first thing that popped in my mind…
No, it’s still ludicrous that they favored Boston after they were down 0-3
I hate results-based analysis.
If someone told you that rolling a 1 had an 80% chance and a 1 was rolled, does that mean it was true?
They had Memphis as the best odds in the West for a long time and we've been sitting for months. Last year we also had top two odds in the West.
If you played 100 games between these teams you'd probably end up like 70/30 boston. In a 7 game series there's still a lot of random chance and the heat got lucky to get up 3-0, and unlucky to drop 3 since then
I am a math respecter so I don’t respect it anymore than I already did
ESPN don’t actually have an analytics team
Just an AI generating controversial posts
boston on paper is the far superior team. models can't really account for "losing game 3 in a total blowout and looking like you've thrown in the towel".
analytics & predictive modeling is no substitute for just opening your eyes and watching basketball
Maybe the 3% chance Miami had was a hint of 3 games followed by a collapse. ESPN leaking the script
this man does not number
99% of people on this sub have never taken a calculus-based probability and/or statistics course