Florida's 4th Congressional District election, 2024

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Florida's 4th Congressional District
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: April 26, 2024
	Primary: August 20, 2024; General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
	Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.; Voting in Florida
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Solid Republican; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican; Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
	Florida's 4th Congressional District; U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 19th • 20th • 21st • 22nd • 23rd • 24th • 25th • 26th • 27th • 28th; Florida elections, 2024; U.S. Congress elections, 2024; U.S. Senate elections, 2024; U.S. House elections, 2024; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Florida 2024 elections

U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State Senate • State House • Special state legislative • Supreme court • Appellate courts • State ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • Recalls • How to run for office

All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Florida, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary is August 20, 2024. The filing deadline was April 26, 2024. The outcome of this race will affect the partisan balance of the U.S. House in 2025.

All 435 seats are up for election. Republicans have a 217 to 212 majority with six vacancies.^[1] As of May 2024, 44 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 46.0% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 52.7%.^[2]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list of candidates is unofficial. The filing deadline for this election has passed, and Ballotpedia is working to update this page with the official candidate list. This note will be removed once the official candidate list has been added.

General election

The primary will occur on August 20, 2024. The general election will occur on November 5, 2024. Additional general election candidates will be added here following the primary.

General election for U.S. House Florida District 4

Todd Schaefer is running in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 4 on November 5, 2024.

		Candidate
		Todd Schaefer (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in)

	There are no incumbents in this race.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 4

LaShonda Holloway is running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 4 on August 20, 2024.

		Candidate
		LaShonda Holloway

	There are no incumbents in this race.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 4

Incumbent Aaron Bean is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 4 on August 20, 2024.

		Candidate
		Aaron Bean

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Robert Alvero (R)

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Todd Schaefer

Do you have a photo that could go here? Click here to submit it for this profile!

Party: No Party Affiliation

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography: "I'm Todd Schaefer and I am running as an independent for US House FL-04. I'm retired Navy, and my service to my country isn't quite done. There are widely popular issues that are being overlooked by our bought politicians on both sides. Our country is at an inflection point and people are starting to wake up to the realization that the two party system isn't working for us. It is time to send a message that enough is enough."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

We need to end government corruption through publicly funded elections and stopping the DC revolving door. Without this no sweeping policy has a chance of passing.

We need to pass a fair minimum wage. It has been 15 years since it was raised, and I propose that we can pass an annually adjusted minimum wage to prevent this happening again.

We need to provide healthcare to every American. Whether that is Medicare for All or a public option or whatever you'd like to call it, we need to remove the middle man between Americans and their doctors.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Florida

Election information in Florida: Aug. 20, 2024, election.

What is the voter registration deadline?

In-person: July 22, 2024
By mail: Received by July 22, 2024
Online: July 22, 2024

Is absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

In-person: Aug. 8, 2024
By mail: Received by Aug. 8, 2024
Online: Aug. 8, 2024

What is the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

In-person: Aug. 20, 2024
By mail: Received by Aug. 20, 2024

Is early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What are the early voting start and end dates?

Aug. 10, 2024 to Aug. 17, 2024

Are all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, is a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When are polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Please list below 3 key messages of your campaign. What are the main points you want voters to remember about your goals for your time in office?

Todd Schaefer (No Affiliation)

We need to end government corruption through publicly funded elections and stopping the DC revolving door. Without this no sweeping policy has a chance of passing.

We need to pass a fair minimum wage. It has been 15 years since it was raised, and I propose that we can pass an annually adjusted minimum wage to prevent this happening again.

We need to provide healthcare to every American. Whether that is Medicare for All or a public option or whatever you'd like to call it, we need to remove the middle man between Americans and their doctors.

What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about?

Todd Schaefer (No Affiliation)

I served this country for 21 years in the Navy. In this time. I truly believed that it was for the protection of Americans and our way of life. The reality of our country doesn't reflect our ideals. We allow half a million Americans to sleep on the streets. We allow more than 40k Americans die each year for lack of health insurance. We are raising a generation that for the first time in our history will have a lower standard of living than their parents. These are policy decisions. We need to take our country back from special interests and put the power back in the people's hands.

What characteristics or principles are most important for an elected official?

Todd Schaefer (No Affiliation)

Understanding their role as a public servant. You don't run for office to get rich, you run to serve. If politicians spent as much time with voters as on fundraising calls, perhaps we'd live in a better country.

What qualities do you possess that you believe would make you a successful officeholder?

Todd Schaefer (No Affiliation)

I retired as a Senior Chief, but the first hanger in my closet to this day is my 1st Class Dress Blues. When I made Chief in 2010, this was suggested to me and I have done it since. It stays there so that each and every day that I reach for any other uniform or outfit I am reminded of where I came from. The leaders that had taught me both good and bad lessons, and the leader I choose to be each and every day. I will never forget those that need my service and leadership the most.

What do you perceive to be the United States’ greatest challenges as a nation over the next decade?

Todd Schaefer (No Affiliation)

We are at a very divisive time in our country. Both parties are trying to convince us that our neighbor is our enemy to distract from the core rot of the system. If we don't wake up and realize that we have more in common than they'd have us argue about, more people will be disenfranchised from participating in the system consolidating even more power at the top. The world is watching as this is happening. We're already losing our influence on the world stage and US foreign policy will lead to our isolation if not worse.

What are your thoughts on term limits?

Todd Schaefer (No Affiliation)

I think the only reason term limits were not included in the Constitution is the lower life expectancy of the time. I support term limits so that we can continually bring new leadership and vision to the country. Fresh leadership that hasn't been influenced by the monied interests in DC to the point of taking for granted the constituents they serve.

Do you believe that compromise is necessary or desirable for policymaking?

Todd Schaefer (No Affiliation)

Absolutely. That is the one of our biggest hurdles with the two party system. If you are seen 'working with the other side' you are ostracized. That is even more true in our divided times. That is why we need independent voices in the halls of power.

Campaign finance

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Aaron Bean	Republican Party	$879,552	$427,552	$538,667	As of March 31, 2024
LaShonda Holloway	Democratic Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Todd Schaefer	No Party Affiliation	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election. * Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[3]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[4]^[5]^[6]

Race ratings: Florida's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	April 30, 2024	April 23, 2024	April 16, 2024	April 9, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe Republican	Safe Republican	Safe Republican	Safe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Florida in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Florida	U.S. House	Ballot-qualified party	2,568^[7]	$10,440.00	4/26/2024	Source
Florida	U.S. House	Unaffiliated	2,568^[8]	$6,960.00	4/26/2024	Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Competitiveness
Presidential elections

State party control

Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section will contain primary election competitiveness information for this state's U.S. House elections. It will be updated after the candidate filing deadline. For more information about Ballotpedia's Competitiveness Analysis of state legislative elections, please click here.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is . This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were the national average. This made Florida's 4th the district nationally.^[9]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Florida's 4th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
46.0%	52.7%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[10] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
41.8	57.2	R+15.4

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Florida, 2020

Florida presidential election results (1900-2020)

17 Democratic wins
14 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	D	R	R	D	R	R	R	R	D	R	R	D	D	R	R

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Florida's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Florida
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	0	8	8
Republican	2	20	22
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	28	30

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Florida's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Florida, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Ron DeSantis
Lieutenant Governor	Jeanette Nuñez
Secretary of State	Cord Byrd
Attorney General	Ashley B. Moody

State legislature

Florida State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	12
	Republican Party	28
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		40

Florida House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	36
	Republican Party	84
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.

Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twenty-five years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	I	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
Senate	D	S	S	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.