Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2022
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Connecticut's 4th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 7, 2022 |
Primary: August 9, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Connecticut |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Connecticut elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Connecticut, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for August 9, 2022. The filing deadline was June 7, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 64.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 33.8%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 9 Democratic primary)
- Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 9 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 4
Incumbent Jim Himes defeated Jayme Stevenson in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 4 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Himes (D) | 59.4 | 140,262 | |
Jayme Stevenson (R / Independent Party) | 40.6 | 95,822 |
Total votes: 236,084 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jim Himes advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4
Jayme Stevenson defeated Michael Goldstein in the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4 on August 9, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jayme Stevenson | 60.3 | 9,962 | |
Michael Goldstein | 39.7 | 6,555 |
Total votes: 16,517 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Connecticut
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Americans deserve economic stability, domestic energy independence and ‘peace through strength’ foreign policy.
All children deserve high quality education & parents must be honored as the central influence their children’s life.
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Jayme Stevenson (Republican, Independent)
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jim Himes | Democratic Party | $1,695,712 | $1,859,613 | $1,659,299 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Michael Goldstein | Republican Party | $235,844 | $235,844 | $0 | As of December 1, 2022 |
Jayme Stevenson | Republican Party, Independent Party | $553,805 | $336,548 | $217,257 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Connecticut in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Connecticut, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Connecticut | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 2% of registered party members in the district | N/A | 6/7/2022 | Source |
Connecticut | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1% of votes cast for the office in the last election, or 7,500, whichever is less | N/A | 8/10/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Connecticut District 4
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Connecticut District 4
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Connecticut | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |
Connecticut's 1st | 63.3% | 35.2% | 63.3% | 35.3% |
Connecticut's 2nd | 54.7% | 43.3% | 54.5% | 43.5% |
Connecticut's 3rd | 59.2% | 39.5% | 59.9% | 38.8% |
Connecticut's 4th | 64.8% | 33.8% | 64.2% | 34.5% |
Connecticut's 5th | 54.6% | 43.9% | 54.6% | 43.9% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Connecticut.
Connecticut U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2022 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2020 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2018 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2016 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2014 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Connecticut in 2022. Information below was calculated on July 21, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eleven candidates filed to run for Connecticut's five U.S. House districts, including five Democrats and six Republicans. That's 2.2 candidates per district, down from 2.6 in 2020 and 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Connecticut was apportioned five districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The 11 candidates who filed to run this year were the fewest since 2014, when 10 candidates ran, and down from 13 in 2020 and 2018.
All incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open seats this year. The 5th district was the only Connecticut U.S. House seat to have opened up this past decade. It was open in 2012 after incumbent Rep. Chris Murphy (D) decided to run for the U.S. Senate, and again in 2018, when incumbent Rep. Elizabeth Esty (D) didn’t file for re-election.
The Republican primary in the 4th district was the only contested primary this year. That was down from two in 2020 and 2018. No incumbents faced primary challengers. Republican and Democratic candidates filed to run in all five districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Connecticut's 4th the 109th most Democratic district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Connecticut's 4th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
64.8% | 33.8% |
Presidential voting history
Connecticut presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 16 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Connecticut and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Connecticut | ||
---|---|---|
Connecticut | United States | |
Population | 3,605,944 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 4,842 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 74.2% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 10.7% | 12.6% |
Asian | 4.6% | 5.6% |
Native American | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more | 4.8% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 16.4% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 90.9% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 40% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $79,855 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 9.8% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Connecticut's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Connecticut, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Republican | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 5 | 7 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Connecticut's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Connecticut, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Ned Lamont |
Lieutenant Governor | Susan Bysiewicz |
Secretary of State | Mark Kohler |
Attorney General | William Tong |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Connecticut General Assembly as of November 2022.
Connecticut State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 23 | |
Republican Party | 13 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 36 |
Connecticut House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 97 | |
Republican Party | 54 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 151 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Connecticut was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Connecticut Party Control: 1992-2022
Twelve years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
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Governor | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
2020
See also: Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 11 Republican primary)
Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 11 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 4
Incumbent Jim Himes defeated Jonathan Riddle, Brian Merlen, and Yusheng Peng in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 4 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Himes (D) | 62.2 | 224,432 | |
Jonathan Riddle (R) | 36.2 | 130,627 | ||
Brian Merlen (Independent Party) | 1.6 | 5,647 | ||
Yusheng Peng (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 10 |
Total votes: 360,716 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jim Himes advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brian Merlen (D)
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Jonathan Riddle advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Michael Goldstein (R)
- TJ Elgin (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 4
Incumbent Jim Himes defeated Harry Arora in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 4 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Himes (D) | 61.2 | 168,726 | |
Harry Arora (R) | 38.8 | 106,921 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 4 |
Total votes: 275,651 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Jim Himes (D) defeated John Shaban (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Both candidates won their nomination at a party convention and did not face a primary election in August. Himes won re-election in the November 8 election.[11][12][13]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Himes Incumbent | 59.9% | 187,811 | |
Republican | John Shaban | 40.1% | 125,724 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 5 | |
Total Votes | 313,540 | |||
Source: Connecticut Secretary of State |
Convention results:[14] |
Democratic |
Republican |
2014
The 4th Congressional District of Connecticut held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Jim Himes (D) defeated Dan Debicella (R) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jim Himes Incumbent | 53.8% | 106,873 | |
Republican | Dan Debicella | 46.2% | 91,922 | |
Total Votes | 198,795 | |||
Source: Connecticut Secretary of the State |
Out in convention
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ The CT Mirror, "Clay Cope wins landslide in 5th, Daria Novak a squeaker in 2nd," May 9, 2016
- ↑ The CT Mirror, "CT GOP backs Carter for Senate, denies Wolf primary margin," May 9, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Connecticut House 04 Results," November 8, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ The CT Mirror, "Clay Cope wins landslide in 5th, Daria Novak a squeaker in 2nd," May 9, 2016
- ↑ The Redding Pilot, "Redding State Rep. John Shaban will run for U.S. Congress seat," August 19, 2015
- ↑ The CT Mirror, "CT GOP backs Carter for Senate, denies Wolf primary margin," May 9, 2016
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Carlton Milo Hible IV 2014 Summary reports," accessed December 9, 2013
- ↑ Joe Bentivegna campaign website, accessed April 30, 2014
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