Next United Kingdom general election

Next United Kingdom general election

No later than 28 January 2025
All 650 seats in the House of Commons 326 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats Conservative Rishi Sunak Labour Keir Starmer SNP Humza Yousaf Liberal Democrats Ed Davey DUP Jeffrey Donaldson Sinn Féin Mary Lou McDonald Plaid Cymru Adam Price Alba Alex Salmond SDLP Colum Eastwood Green Carla Denyer & Adrian Ramsay Alliance Naomi Long Independent n/a Speaker Lindsay Hoyle
Incumbent Prime Minister Rishi Sunak Conservative

The Next United Kingdom general election must be held no later than Tuesday 28 January 2025, after the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 repealed the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011.

Polling data

Pollster	Client	Dates conducted	Area	Sample size	Con	Lab	Lib Dem	SNP	Green	Others	Lead
Opinium	The Observer	11 - 12 Feb	UK	2,006	42%	37%	6%	5%	5%	5% Plaid Cymru on 1% UKIP on 1% Reform UK on 0% Other on 3%	5%
YouGov	The Times	9-10 Feb	GB	1,660	41%	36%	6%	5%	7%	7% Reform UK on 3% Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	N/A	8th Feb	GB	2,000	43%	38%	7%	5%	4%	3% Plaid Cymru on 0% Reform UK on 2% Other on 1%	5%
SavantaComRes	N/A	5 - 7 Feb	UK	TBC	41%	37%	8%	4%	4%	7%	4%
Survation	N/A	5 - 6 Feb	UK	1,003	39%	33%	9%	5%	7%	6% Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 5%	6%
Ipsos MORI Archived 2021-02-14 at the Wayback Machine	Evening Standard	29 Jan - 4 Feb	GB	1,056	42%	38%	7%	5%	8%	0% Plaid Cymru on 0% Reform UK on 0% Other on 0%	4%
YouGov	The Times	2 - 3 Feb	GB	1,684	41%	37%	6%	5%	6%	6% Plaid Cymru on 1% Reform UK on 3% Other on 2%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	N/A	1 Feb	GB	2,000	40%	38%	8%	5%	4%	4% Plaid Cymru on 0% Reform UK on 3% Other on 1%	2%
Number Cruncher Politics	ITV	25 Jan - 1 Feb	UK	2,001	43%	37%	5%	5%	5%	5% Reform UK on 3% Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 1%	6%
SavantaComRes	N/A	29 - 31 Jan	UK	2,070	41%	38%	6%	5%	3%	7%	3%
Opinium Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine	The Observer	28 - 29 Jan	UK	2,002	41%	38%	7%	5%	4%	5% Plaid Cymru on 1% UKIP on 2% Reform UK on 1% Other on 1%	3%
YouGov	The Times	26 - 27 Jan	GB	1,721	37%	41%	6%	5%	4%	7% Plaid Cymru on 1% Reform UK on 3% Other on 3%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	N/A	25 Jan	GB	2,000	42%	37%	8%	5%	4%	5% Plaid Cymru on 0% Reform UK on 3% Other on 2%	5%
Kantar Public	N/A	21 - 25 Jan	GB	1,100	40%	37%	10%	4%	5%	4% Reform UK on 2% UKIP on 1% Other on 1%	3%
SavantaComRes	N/A	22 - 24 Jan	UK	2,070	40%	37%	8%	5%	3%	6% Plaid Cymru on 0% Reform UK on 2% Other on 4%	3%
Deltapoll	N/A	21 - 23 Jan	GB	1,632	41%	39%	7%	4%	3%	6% Reform UK on 2% UKIP on 3% Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 1%	2%
YouGov	The Times	21 - 22 Jan	GB	1,703	39%	38%	5%	5%	6%	7% Plaid Cymru on 1% Reform UK on 4% Other on 2%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	N/A	18 Jan	GB	2,000	40%	38%	8%	4%	5%	4% Plaid Cymru on 0% Reform UK on 2% Other on 2%	2%
SavantaComRes Archived 2021-01-29 at the Wayback Machine	N/A	15 - 17 Jan	UK	1,914	39%	37%	7%	5%	3%	7% Reform UK on 2% Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 5%	2%
Opinium Archived 2021-01-22 at the Wayback Machine	The Observer	14 - 15 Jan	UK	2,003	37%	41%	6%	6%	4%	5% Plaid Cymru on 1% UKIP on 1% Other on 3%	4%
YouGov	The Times	13 - 14 Jan	GB	1,702	38%	39%	5%	5%	6%	6% Plaid Cymru on 1% Reform UK on 3% Other on 2%	1%
Survation	N/A	12 - 13 Jan	UK	1,033	40%	38%	7%	4%	5%	7% Brexit Party on 1% Plaid Cymru on 0% Other on 6%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	N/A	11 Jan	GB	2,000	41%	37%	8%	5%	5%	3% Plaid Cymru on 0% Reform UK on 2% Other on 1%	4%
SavantaComRes Archived 2021-01-15 at the Wayback Machine	N/A	8 - 10 Jan	UK	1,550	40%	37%	8%	4%	4%	7% Reform UK on 2% Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 4%	3%
Opinium	The Observer	6 - 7 Jan	UK	2,003	39%	40%	6%	5%	4%	6% UKIP on 2% Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 3%	1%
		Jan 6	The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UK
YouGov	The Times	4 - 5 Jan	GB	1,704	39%	39%	6%	5%	6%	6% Brexit Party on 3% Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%	Tie

Most of the polling data says it will be a very narrow election. Some polls don't include Northern Ireland because their parties are different to the UK's. Current polling data from the electionpolling.co.uk website says the Conservatives will get a 2 seat majority

Most polling is similar to that of this graph, showing a gradual decrease in Conservative support. It fell to it's lowest in December, and then went up slightly. The other parties have mostly stayed the same.