Missouri's 2nd Congressional District

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Missouri's 2nd Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2013

Missouri's 2nd Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Ann Wagner (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Missouri representatives represented an average of 770,035 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 751,435 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)

Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)

General election

The primary will occur on August 6, 2024. The general election will occur on November 5, 2024. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Ray Hartmann, John Kiehne, and Chuck Summers are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 6, 2024.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Incumbent Ann Wagner and Peter Pfeifer are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 6, 2024.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Brandon Daugherty is running in the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 6, 2024.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2022

See also: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Incumbent Ann Wagner defeated Trish Gunby and Bill Slantz in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ann_Wagner.jpg
Ann Wagner (R)
 
54.9
 
173,277
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Trish_Headshot.jpg
Trish Gunby (D) Candidate Connection
 
43.1
 
135,895
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bill-Slantz.PNG
Bill Slantz (L)
 
2.1
 
6,494

Total votes: 315,666
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Trish Gunby defeated Raymond Reed in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Trish_Headshot.jpg
Trish Gunby Candidate Connection
 
85.2
 
50,457
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/May162022836PM_104500298_ReedForMissouriHeadshot.jpeg
Raymond Reed Candidate Connection
 
14.8
 
8,741

Total votes: 59,198
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Incumbent Ann Wagner defeated Tony Salvatore, Wesley Smith, and Paul Berry in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ann_Wagner.jpg
Ann Wagner
 
67.1
 
54,440
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Tony_Salvatore.jpeg
Tony Salvatore Candidate Connection
 
15.4
 
12,516
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/wsmith.jpeg
Wesley Smith Candidate Connection
 
9.0
 
7,317
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Paul_Berry.jpg
Paul Berry
 
8.5
 
6,888

Total votes: 81,161
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Bill Slantz advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bill-Slantz.PNG
Bill Slantz
 
100.0
 
384

Total votes: 384
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2020

See also: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Incumbent Ann Wagner defeated Jill Schupp, Martin Schulte, and Gina Bufe in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ann_Wagner.jpg
Ann Wagner (R)
 
51.9
 
233,157
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jill-Schupp.jpg
Jill Schupp (D)
 
45.5
 
204,540
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MartinSchulte.jpg
Martin Schulte (L)
 
2.6
 
11,647
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/GinaBufe.jpg
Gina Bufe (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
4

Total votes: 449,348
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Jill Schupp advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jill-Schupp.jpg
Jill Schupp
 
100.0
 
102,592

Total votes: 102,592
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Incumbent Ann Wagner advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ann_Wagner.jpg
Ann Wagner
 
100.0
 
63,686

Total votes: 63,686
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Martin Schulte advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MartinSchulte.jpg
Martin Schulte
 
100.0
 
737

Total votes: 737
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Incumbent Ann Wagner defeated Cort VanOstran, Larry Kirk, and David Justus Arnold in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ann_Wagner.jpg
Ann Wagner (R)
 
51.2
 
192,477
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Cort_VanOstran.jpg
Cort VanOstran (D)
 
47.2
 
177,611
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/head_shot-1.jpg
Larry Kirk (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.1
 
4,229
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/David_Justus_Arnold.jpg
David Justus Arnold (G)
 
0.5
 
1,740
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
9

Total votes: 376,066
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Cort VanOstran defeated Mark Osmack, Bill Haas, John Messmer, and Robert Hazel in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Cort_VanOstran.jpg
Cort VanOstran
 
41.7
 
45,248
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mark_Osmack.jpg
Mark Osmack
 
25.2
 
27,389
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bill_Haas.jpg
Bill Haas
 
19.5
 
21,151
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/John_Messmer_Pic.jpg
John Messmer
 
9.7
 
10,503
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Robert Hazel
 
4.0
 
4,321

Total votes: 108,612
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Incumbent Ann Wagner defeated Noga Sachs in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ann_Wagner.jpg
Ann Wagner
 
89.9
 
72,173
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Noga_Sachs_US_Represemtative_Candidate_Headshot.jpeg
Noga Sachs
 
10.1
 
8,115

Total votes: 80,288
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Green primary election

Green primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

David Justus Arnold advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/David_Justus_Arnold.jpg
David Justus Arnold
 
100.0
 
177

Total votes: 177
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2

Larry Kirk advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/head_shot-1.jpg
Larry Kirk Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
905

Total votes: 905
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2016

See also: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Ann Wagner (R) defeated Bill Otto (D), Jim Higgins (L), and David Justus Arnold (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Wagner defeated Greg Sears in the Republican primary on August 2, 2016. Wagner won re-election in the November 8 election.[1][2][3]

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAnn Wagner Incumbent 58.5% 241,954
     Democratic Bill Otto 37.7% 155,689
     Libertarian Jim Higgins 2.8% 11,758
     Green David Arnold 0.9% 3,895
Total Votes 413,296
Source: Missouri Secretary of State


U.S. House, Missouri District 2 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAnn Wagner Incumbent 82.6% 77,084
Greg Sears 17.4% 16,263
Total Votes 93,347
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

2014

See also: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Missouri held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Ann Wagner (R) defeated Arthur Lieber (D) and Bill Slantz (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAnn Wagner Incumbent 64.1% 148,191
     Democratic Arthur Lieber 32.6% 75,384
     Libertarian Bill Slantz 3.3% 7,542
Total Votes 231,117
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

2012

See also: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

The 2nd Congressional District of Missouri held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Republican Ann Wagner won the election in the district.[4]

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Glenn Koenen 37.1% 146,272
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngAnn Wagner 60.1% 236,971
     Libertarian Bill Slantz 2.3% 9,193
     Constitution Anatol Zorikova 0.5% 2,012
Total Votes 394,448
Source: Missouri Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Primary Results

The primary took place on August 7.[5]

Democratic Primary

Missouri's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngGlenn Koenen 28.4% 7,893
Harold Whitfield 28.2% 7,844
George (Boots) Weber 27.1% 7,545
Marshall Works 16.3% 4,531
Total Votes 27,813

Republican Primary

Missouri's 2nd Congressional District Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAnn Wagner 65.8% 53,583
Randy Jotte 22.9% 18,644
John Morris 7.4% 6,041
James O. Baker 3.9% 3,185
Total Votes 81,453

2010

On November 2, 2010, W. Todd Akin won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Arthur Lieber (D), Steve Mosbacher (L) and Patrick M. Cannon (write-in) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngW. Todd Akin incumbent 67.9% 180,481
     Democratic Arthur Lieber 29.2% 77,467
     Libertarian Steve Mosbacher 2.9% 7,677
     Write-in Patrick M. Cannon 0% 7
Total Votes 265,632

2008

On November 4, 2008, W. Todd Akin won re-election to the United States House. He defeated William C. "Bill" Haas (D) and Thomas L. Knapp (L) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngW. Todd Akin incumbent 62.3% 232,276
     Democratic William C. "Bill" Haas 35.4% 132,068
     Libertarian Thomas L. Knapp 2.3% 8,628
Total Votes 372,972

2006

On November 7, 2006, W. Todd Akin won re-election to the United States House. He defeated George D. Weber (D) and Tamara A. Millay (L) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngW. Todd Akin incumbent 61.3% 176,452
     Democratic George D. Weber 36.6% 105,242
     Libertarian Tamara A. Millay 2.1% 5,923
Total Votes 287,617

2004

On November 2, 2004, W. Todd Akin won re-election to the United States House. He defeated George D. Weber (D), Darla Maloney (L) and David Leefe (Constitution) in the general election.[9]

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngW. Todd Akin incumbent 65.4% 228,725
     Democratic George D. Weber 33% 115,366
     Libertarian Darla Maloney 1.4% 4,822
     Constitution David Leefe 0.3% 954
Total Votes 349,867

2002

On November 5, 2002, W. Todd Akin won re-election to the United States House. He defeated John Hogan (D) and Darla R. Maloney (L) in the general election.[10]

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngW. Todd Akin incumbent 67.1% 167,057
     Democratic John Hogan 31% 77,223
     Libertarian Darla R. Maloney 1.8% 4,548
Total Votes 248,828

2000

On November 7, 2000, Todd Akin won election to the United States House. He defeated Ted House (D), Mike Odell (Green), James Higgins (L) and Richard J. Gimpelson (Reform) in the general election.[11]

U.S. House, Missouri District 2 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTodd Akin 55.3% 164,926
     Democratic Ted House 42.4% 126,441
     Green Mike Odell 1% 2,907
     Libertarian James Higgins 0.8% 2,524
     Reform Richard J. Gimpelson 0.4% 1,264
Total Votes 298,062

District map

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Missouri after the 2020 census

Missouri enacted new congressional district boundaries on May 18, 2022, when Gov. Mike Parson (R) signed them into law. According to Rudi Keller of the Missouri Independent, "No change in the partisan makeup of the Missouri delegation, currently six Republicans and two Democrats, is expected as a result of the map." Keller also wrote, "nine counties that have shifted almost wholly or entirely into new districts. Boundaries shifted in the five large-population counties that were previously split and a new split was introduced in Boone County in central Missouri."[12] This map took effect for Missouri’s 2022 congressional elections.

The Missouri House of Representatives approved the final version of the new congressional districts on May 9, 2022, by a vote of 101-47. Eighty-six Republicans and 15 Democrats approved the new map and 28 Democrats and 19 Republicans voted against it.[13] The state Senate approved the legislation (known as HB 2909) on May 11, 2022, by a vote of 22-11. Sixteen Republicans and six Democrats voted to approve the new map and seven Republicans and four Democrats voted against.[14]

After the Senate passed the maps, Keller wrote, "The first plan, released in December with backing from the Republican leaders of both chambers, essentially kept the partisan breakdown of the state’s delegation unchanged, with six safe Republican districts and two Democratic districts in Kansas City and St. Louis. The House passed that bill in January and, after weeks of on-and-off debate, the Senate passed a significantly altered version in late March. The seven members of the Senate’s conservative caucus demanded a map that cracked the Kansas City district and combined it with a huge swath of rural counties to make it possible for the GOP to capture the seat. The “6-2” vs. “7-1” debate came to a head in February when the conservative caucus began a filibuster that blocked progress not only on the redistricting plan but also on basically every other bill. At one point, two Republican Senators got into a shouting match and had to be physically separated."[15]

How does redistricting in Missouri work? In Missouri, congressional district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. These lines are subject to veto by the governor.[16]

In 2018, the voters passed a citizens’ initiative called Amendment 1 that reshaped the redistricting process; in 2020, the voters narrowly passed a legislatively referred initiative called Amendment 3 that reshaped the process again.

Two distinct politician commissions are ultimately responsible for state legislative redistricting, one for the Missouri State Senate and another for the Missouri House of Representatives. Membership on these commissions is determined as follows:[16]

Missouri’s congressional districts are drawn by the state legislature, as a regular statute, subject to gubernatorial veto. The state legislative lines are drawn by two separate politician commissions — one for state Senate districts, one for state House districts. For each commission, each major party’s congressional district committee nominates 2 members per congressional district, and the state committee nominates 5 members; the Governor chooses 1 per district per party and two per party from the statewide lists, for a total commission of 20.[17]

Missouri District 2
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Missouri District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


2010-2011

This is the 2nd Congressional District of Missouri after the 2001 redistricting process. The current district is displayed in the infobox at the top of the page.
See also: Redistricting in Missouri after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Missouri State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Missouri's 2nd the 173rd most Republican district nationally.[18]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 45.3% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 53.0%.[19]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Missouri's 2nd Congressional District the 158th most Republican nationally.[20]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[21]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Missouri Secretary of State, "UNOFFICIAL Candidate Filing List," accessed March 30, 2016
  2. Politico, "Missouri House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
  3. CNN, "Missouri House 02 Results," November 8, 2016
  4. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Missouri," accessed November 7, 2012
  5. Missouri Secretary of State, "August 2012 Primary Election," accessed September 5, 2012
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. Missouri Independent, "Missouri Gov. Mike Parson signs new congressional redistricting plan," May 18, 2022
  13. Missouri House of Representatives, "101st General Assembly, 2nd Regular Session (HB2909)," accessed May 24, 2022
  14. Missouri Senate, "Journal of the Senate, May 11, 2022," accessed May 24, 2022
  15. Missouri Independent, "Missouri Senate adjourns early after passing congressional redistricting map," May 12, 2022
  16. 16.0 16.1 All About Redistricting, "Missouri," accessed April 16, 2024
  17. Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  18. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  19. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  20. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  21. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
Cori Bush (D)
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Republican Party (8)
Democratic Party (2)