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Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary)

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Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 1, 2022
Primary: May 24, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in Arkansas
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+15
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th
Arkansas elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Democratic Party primary took place on May 24, 2022, in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 8, 2022.

Lauren Mallett-Hays advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 1, 2022
May 24, 2022
November 8, 2022


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Arkansas utilizes an open primary system. Registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-Dem-Ad-1-small.png

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Lauren Mallett-Hays advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arkansas District 3.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arkansas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arkansas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arkansas U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A Fixed by party 3/1/2022 Source
Arkansas U.S. House Unaffiliated 3% of qualified voters in the district, or 2,000, whichever is less N/A 5/2/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Arkansas District 3
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Arkansas District 3
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Arkansas after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[3] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[4]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Arkansas
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Arkansas' 1st 28.1% 69.0% 27.9% 69.1%
Arkansas' 2nd 42.1% 55.2% 44.3% 53.1%
Arkansas' 3rd 36.8% 60.2% 35.2% 61.9%
Arkansas' 4th 31.0% 66.2% 29.6% 67.7%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arkansas.

Arkansas U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022
Office Districts/
offices 		Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2022 4 4 0 12 8 0 3 37.5% 3 75.0%
2020 4 4 0 7 8 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
2018 4 4 0 13 8 1 2 37.5% 2 50.0%
2016 4 4 0 6 8 0 1 12.5% 1 25.0%
2014 4 4 2 10 8 0 2 25.0% 0 0.0%


Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arkansas in 2022. Information below was calculated on April 8, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 16 candidates filed to run for Arkansas' four U.S. House districts, including eight Republicans, four Democrats, three Libertarians, and one independent. That's an average of 4 candidates per district, more than the 2.3 candidates per district in 2020 and fewer than the 5.5 in 2018.

This was the first candidate filing deadline under new district lines adopted during the redistricting process following the 2020 Census. Arkansas was apportioned the same number of congressional districts as after the 2010 census.

Incumbents filed to run in every election. The last time Arkansas had an open U.S. House district was during the 2014 elections when two incumbents didn't run. Of the four incumbents who filed for re-election, one—Rep. Bruce Westerman (R)—did not draw any primary challengers. As of the filing deadline, the three remaining incumbents faced contested primaries, marking the highest number of incumbents in contested primaries (3, or 75%) since at least 2012. The second-highest was in 2018 when two incumbents (50% of those seeking re-election) faced contested primaries. No incumbents had primary challengers in 2020.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arkansas' 3rd the 87th most Republican district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arkansas' 3rd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
36.8% 60.2%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arkansas, 2020

Arkansas presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 20 Democratic wins
  • 10 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D AI[6] R D R R R D D R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Arkansas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Arkansas
Arkansas United States
Population 3,011,524 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 51,992 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 75.4% 70.4%
Black/African American 15.2% 12.6%
Asian 1.5% 5.6%
Native American 0.6% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.3% 0.2%
Two or more 4% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 7.6% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 87.2% 88.5%
College graduation rate 23.8% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $49,475 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 16.1% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arkansas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arkansas, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 4 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 4 6

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arkansas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Arkansas, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Asa Hutchinson
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Tim Griffin
Secretary of State Republican Party John Thurston
Attorney General Republican Party Leslie Rutledge

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arkansas State Legislature as of November 2022.

Arkansas State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 7
     Republican Party 27
     Independent 1
     Vacancies 0
Total 35

Arkansas House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 78
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Arkansas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Arkansas Party Control: 1992-2022
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed April 3, 2023
  2. ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  3. ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  4. ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  6. ↑ American Independent Party


Arkansas' current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
John Boozman (R)
Tom Cotton (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (6)


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