Joe Biden won in Georgia, flipping a state Donald Trump won in 2016.

We're not likely to get a call out of Georgia.

Alex's sources are likely right, and it's going to be a long wait. Now that California is in Biden's column, he's at 209 electoral votes, to Trump's 119. Let's assume Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas are going to Trump. Give him Hawaii, Biden needs to find 58 electoral votes somewhere — some combination of Minnesota (10), Arizona (11), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Pennsylvania (20), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), Maine (3), ME-02 (1), NE-02 (1), Georgia (16). He can lose Georgia, but then he needs to win EVERYTHING ELSE if he also lost Pennsylvania.

One thing to keep in mind about Georgia is that it looks like there are still a lot of votes to come from the big suburbs around Atlanta. So I think the current margin there is going to shrink

Getting at the “red mirage” idea, if we don’t get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania it’s easy to see Trump’s lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Same for GA senate races Charlie 

I don’t know Georgia as well as Florida, but considering how whites performed in Florida, it’s difficult to see how they don’t do the same in Georgia 

For example, Holly, one example from Jen O’Malley Dillon, Biden’s campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. “If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoral votes.”

Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. That’s a point that they made. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something big elsewhere.

GOP strategist just made this point to me: If Florida goes red in 2020, while Georgia, NC, Texas are seen as more/just as competitive for Dems, it could totally change Florida's role in presidential politics. It's big, expensive and complicated, so what if Dems stop challenging it and focus on other SEC-type states?

If I may interject in this Florida talk real quick. Temper your expectations on the timeline for when to expect to have definitive results in Georgia because of this: 

Charlie Yes! That's why I wrote about it not too long ago: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/georgia-swing-states-428528

Yes, Charlie. It's definitely a big lift. But a GOP pollster told me that for Trump to win in Georgia, he'll have to win at least 58 percent of election day vote in order to catch up to the lead Dems built in early/absentee voting.

One thing I've thought about today in Georgia: Hillary Clinton lost the state by about 230,000 votes in 2016. Nearly 800,000 new voters have registered since 2018. That could be enough to put Biden over the top, depending on which way they lean.

In any case, Georgia will be a heavy lift for Dems, even if the Atlanta suburbs are bolting the GOP. The state hasn't voted for a Dem presidential nominee since 1992.

Polls close at 7 p.m. in Georgia, but polls in some counties are staying open until as late as 9 p.m. because of issues earlier in the day.

One note about the travel to Georgia: obviously it's being done in an effort to flip the state for Biden. But it's also hugely important for the Senate races. The special election there is almost certain to go to a runoff. But the race between Republican Sen. David Perdue and Dem Jon Ossoff is going to be really close. Dems had expressed some confidence to me in Ossoff's path to 50% of the vote and avoiding a Jan runoff. But he'd need a pretty strong W from Biden to do that. Senate Dems were ecstatic that Biden, Harris and Obama visited the state in the closing stretch

Charlie, Look no further than who's shown up there in the last week! Obama, Biden, Harris... and Trump. It's clearly a battleground. And the stakes are so high: Two Senate races, a state House that could flip, several competitive House races.

Charlie don't sleep on Georgia! The 2018 gubernatorial election was super duper close.

Speaking of surprise swing states this year, there's Georgia. I still have a hard time believing the Democratic nominee has a shot of picking up its 16 electoral votes, but there's plenty of evidence to suggest that it's in play.

Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. (PA, GA, MI)" 

Happy Election Day! No surprise, I'm watching the battle for Senate control. Republicans go into the night with a 53-47 majority. There are a huge number of potentially competitive races. The likeliest flip for Republicans is Alabama. The likeliest flips for Democrats are Colorado and Arizona, followed by tight races in Maine, North Carolina and Iowa. If Democrats can flip two of those three, they'll likely win back the majority six years after losing it. There are also races in Montana, South Carolina, Kansas, Alaska and Texas that could flip if Democrats are having a REALLY good night. And if Republicans are having a really strong night, Michigan is their next best opportunity. The possibilities are a little dizzying.

But one thing to keep a close eye on: Georgia. Two races in that state, and one is almost certain to head to a January 5 runoff, while the other is going to be extremely close and could potentially also go to a runoff. So the majority could be won tonight. Or... it could be won in January.

Helllo from DC! I am watching Georgia tonight. I went to high school in Atlanta and it's been fascinating to watch the massive demographic shifts that have been happening there, from people of color moving to the suburbs to the fast-growing immigrant population. Voter enthusiasm has been high there, setting records, and I'm curious to see if this is the year Georgia turns blue.

Hey, all! Reporting live from my couch, which is where I’ve been since … Super Tuesday. (Remember Super Tuesday?) To your question, Charlie, is ‘everything’ too broad of an answer? Ok, fine, I’ll specify slightly more. I got to cover the 2018 House midterms, and the themes for that election (suburban flight from GOP, deeper party polarization in suburban/urban vs. rural/exurban, gender gap between the two parties) are now, likely, to come into fuller view. For that reason, I’m keeping a close eye on the Sunbelt, especially Georgia and NC, for signs of what started in 2018 is now extending into 2020.

Two counties where we might be able to see that these trends converge are: Gwinnett County in Georgia and Wilson County, NC. Starting with Gwinnett, this northern Atlanta suburban county used to be solidly Republican territory. Now, it’s one of those quintessential 2020 examples of a place that’s booming, diversifying and turning away from Trump. If Democrats can run up a big, big score here, that’s how Biden manages to pull off a victory in Georgia, a state that hasn’t voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1992.

Wilson County, a suburban/exurban county in eastern NC, voted for Clinton in 2016, but barely. This is a spot where if Republicans can dig up some new non-college educated white voters, they might show up here. The Trump campaign recognized that – sending VP Mike Pence here last week to rally support. If Republicans can flip this county, that’s a very good sign that they’ll be able to hold on to NC.