United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2022
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May 17, 2022 |
November 8, 2022 |
2022 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were on November 8, 2022. Voters elected six candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's six U.S. House districts. The primary was scheduled for May 17, 2022. The filing deadline was January 25, 2022.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Kentucky -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2022 | After the 2022 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 1 | 1 | |
| Republican Party | 5 | 5 | |
| Total | 6 | 6 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- James Comer Jr. (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Jimmy Ausbrooks (Democratic Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:
- James Comer Jr. (Incumbent) ✔
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 2
General election candidates
- Brett Guthrie (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Hank Linderman (Democratic Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
- Brett Guthrie (Incumbent) ✔
- Brent Feher
- Lee Watts
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 3
General election candidates
- Morgan McGarvey (Democratic Party) ✔
- Stuart Ray (Republican Party)
- Daniel Cobble (Independent) (Write-in)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Daniel Cobble
- Mike Craven
- Justin Gregory
- Darien Barrios Moreno
- Rhonda Palazzo
- Gregory Puccetti
- Stuart Ray ✔
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 4
General election candidates
- Thomas Massie (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Matthew Lehman (Democratic Party)
- Ethan Osborne (Independent)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 5
General election candidates
- Hal Rogers (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Conor Halbleib (Democratic Party)
- Stephan Mazur (Independent) (Write-in)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 6
General election candidates
- Andy Barr (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Geoff M. Young (Democratic Party)
- Randy Cravens (Democratic Party) (Write-in)
- Maxwell Froedge (Independent) (Write-in)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey Republican primary candidates
- Andy Barr (Incumbent) ✔
- Derek Leonard Petteys
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
- Kentucky's 1st Congressional District
- Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District
- Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District
- Kentucky's 4th Congressional District
- Kentucky's 5th Congressional District
- Kentucky's 6th Congressional District
Ballot access
For information on candidate ballot access requirements in Kentucky, click here.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District maps - A map of the state's districts before and after redistricting.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below were the district maps in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the maps in place before the election.
Kentucky Congressional Districts
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Kentucky Congressional Districts
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Kentucky.
| Kentucky U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2022 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2022 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 66.7% | 4 | 80.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 58.3% | 4 | 66.7% | ||||
| 2018 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 66.7% | 2 | 33.3% | ||||
| 2016 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 41.7% | 2 | 40.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 16.7% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Kentucky in 2022. Information below was calculated on Feb. 22, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Thirty-one candidates filed to run for Kentucky's six U.S. House districts in 2022, including nine Democrats and 22 Republicans. This equals 5.2 candidates per district, the most candidates per district since 2014.
This was the first candidate filing deadline under new district lines adopted during the state's decennial redistricting process. Kentucky was apportioned six districts, the same number it received after the 2010 census.
One district—Kentucky's 3rd—was left open with Rep. John Yarmuth (D) retiring from politics. Yarmuth first won election in 2006 after defeating Rep. Anne Northup (R). The 2022 filing deadline marked the first time since 1994 that the district had been left open. The 3rd District drew the largest number of major party candidate filings overall: two Democrats and seven Republicans.
The remaining five incumbents—all Republicans—filed for re-election. Of those five, four drew primary challengers, the same number as 2020.
Eight of the 12 possible major party primaries (67%) drew more than one candidate leaving them contested. This represents more contested primaries than in 2020 and the same number as 2018.
Presidential elections
As a result of redistricting following the 2020 census, many district boundaries changed. As a result, analysis of the presidential vote in each of these new districts is not yet available. Once that analysis is available, it will be published here.
Kentucky presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Kentucky's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Kentucky, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Republican | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 6 | 8 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Kentucky's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Kentucky, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Andy Beshear
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Jacqueline Coleman
|
| Secretary of State | Michael Adams
|
| Attorney General | Daniel Cameron
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Kentucky General Assembly as of November 2022.
Kentucky State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 8 | |
| Republican Party | 29 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 38 | |
Kentucky House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 25 | |
| Republican Party | 75 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 100 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Kentucky was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2022
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Redistricting following the 2020 census
Kentucky adopted new state House district boundaries on January 20, 2022, after the general assembly overrode Gov. Andy Beshear’s (D) veto of the plan. The vote to override the governor’s veto was 24-10 in the state Senate with all votes in favor by Republicans and eight Democrats and two Republicans voting against. The override vote was 69-23 in the state House, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 22 Democrats and one Republican voting to sustain Beshear’s veto.[5] Gov. Beshear allowed the redistricting proposal for new state Senate districts to become law without his signature on January 21, 2022. That legislation had passed the state Senate on January 6, 2022, 28-4, and the state House on January 8, 2022, 67-23.[6]
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Kentucky General Assembly, "House Bill 2," accessed January 21, 2022
- ↑ Kentucky General Assembly, "Senate Bill 2," accessed January 21, 2022
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