EM ASIA FX-Indonesian rupiah, Indian rupee firm most as oil prices drop
* Rupiah gains as much as 1.1 pct
* U.S. dollar near 1-wk low on speculation of dovish Fed
* Thai central bank's rate decision due later in the day
(Adds text, updates prices)
By Niyati Shetty
Dec 19 (Reuters) - The Indonesian rupiah and the Indian
rupee led gains among Asian currencies on Wednesday, as oil
prices plunged overnight and the dollar languished near one-week
lows.
The rupiah strengthened as much as nearly 1.1 percent
in early trade but trimmed some gains by 0440 GMT, while the
rupee firmed about half a percent against the
greenback.
Oil prices slumped more than 5 percent on Tuesday on fears
of a supply glut amidst slackening demand, extending a sell-off
that has taken major crude benchmarks down more than 30 percent
from an October peak.
India and Indonesia are net oil importing countries.
"The rupee benefits from lower oil prices since lower oil
prices will ease India's inflationary pressure and also
eliminate market fears about the nation's current account
deficit," said Gao Qi, FX Strategist (EM Asia) at Scotiabank.
The rupiah's improved performance is also expected to give
Indonesia's central bank more leeway to keep interest rates
unchanged at its policy meeting on Thursday.
The rupiah fell to 20-year lows against the dollar this year
on a widening current account deficit before it rebounded
sharply in November due to foreign inflows.
Elsewhere in the region, the Korean won and the
Taiwan dollar gained 0.4 percent and 0.2 percent,
respectively.
The U.S. dollar weakened on rising anticipation the Federal
Reserve will strike a dovish tone at its policy meeting later in
the day, against the backdrop of slowing global growth.
A Reuters poll also showed a significant shift in
expectations toward fewer Fed interest rate rises next year as
risks of a U.S. recession in the next two years jumped.
"Emerging market currencies' appreciation may continue if
the Fed does deliver a dovish sentiment," said Gao.
Meanwhile, the region was also buoyed by some signs of
easing in U.S.-China tensions after U.S. Treasury Secretary
Steven Mnuchin told Bloomberg that the two countries are
planning to hold meetings in January to "document an agreement"
on trade.
The Chinese yuan and the Singapore dollar
were marginally stronger against the greenback.
BAHT FIRMS ON EXPECTED TIGHTENING
The Thai baht strengthened 0.2 as investors await
the central bank's interest rate decision due later in the day.
Bank of Thailand (BOT) is expected to raise its key rate by
25 basis points from near-record lows for the first time since
2011, according to economists polled by Reuters.
Mizuho Bank said in a note: "Given that both growth and
inflation continue to evolve around projection, this reduces the
need for an excessive loose monetary policy on the back of
slightly expansionary fiscal policy ahead of the general
election."
BOT Governor Veerathai Santiprabhob said last month the
policy rate would still be low, even if there is policy
tightening, which will be data-dependent.
Thailand's general election, the first since a May 2014
military coup, is scheduled for Feb. 24
The following table shows rates for Asian currencies against
the dollar at 0440 GMT.
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 112.280 112.51 +0.20
Sing dlr 1.369 1.3700 +0.08
Taiwan dlr 30.811 30.870 +0.19
Korean won 1124.700 1129.6 +0.44
Baht 32.690 32.74 +0.15
Peso 53.010 52.964 -0.09
Rupiah 14385.000 14495 +0.76
Rupee 70.075 70.44 +0.52
Ringgit 4.178 4.175 -0.07
Yuan 6.890 6.8959 +0.09
Change so far in 2018
Currency Latest bid End 2017 Pct Move
Japan yen 112.280 112.67 +0.35
Sing dlr 1.369 1.3373 -2.31
Taiwan dlr 30.811 29.848 -3.13
Korean won 1124.700 1070.50 -4.82
Baht 32.690 32.58 -0.34
Peso 53.010 49.93 -5.81
Rupiah 14385.000 13565 -5.70
Rupee 70.075 63.87 -8.85
Ringgit 4.178 4.0440 -3.21
Yuan 6.890 6.5069 -5.56
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
(Reporting by Niyati Shetty in Bengaluru
Editing by Jacqueline Wong)