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The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity Pasta dura – Illustrated, 24 marzo 2020
Plazo | Por mes | costo de financiamiento | Total |
---|---|---|---|
24 meses | $30.06* | $209.08 | $721.54 |
18 meses | $37.15* | $156.30 | $668.76 |
12 meses | $52.01* | $111.72 | $624.18 |
9 meses | $66.50* | $86.09 | $598.55 |
6 meses | $95.91* | $63.03 | $575.49 |
3 meses | $184.31* | $40.48 | $552.94 |
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If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Our species could survive for billions of years - enough time to end disease, poverty, and injustice, and to flourish in ways unimaginable today. But this vast future is at risk. With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, where we face existential catastrophes - those from which we could never come back. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pathogens and artificial intelligence. If we do not act fast to reach a place of safety, it will soon be too late.
Drawing on over a decade of research, The Precipice explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity.
An Oxford philosopher committed to putting ideas into action, Toby Ord has advised the US National Intelligence Council, the UK Prime Minister's Office, and the World Bank on the biggest questions facing humanity. In The Precipice, he offers a startling reassessment of human history, the future we are failing to protect, and the steps we must take to ensure that our generation is not the last.
"A book that seems made for the present moment." --New Yorker
- Número de páginas480 páginas
- IdiomaInglés
- EditorialHachette Books
- Fecha de publicación24 marzo 2020
- Dimensiones16.51 x 4.57 x 23.75 cm
- ISBN-100316484911
- ISBN-13978-0316484916
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"The Precipice may be the Silent Spring that the futurists have been waiting for."--Los Angeles Review of Books
"The Precipice separates science from hype and will remain the definitive work on existential risk for a long time to come."--Max Tegmark, author of Life 3.0 and Our Mathematical Universe
"A book that seems made for the present moment."--New Yorker
"A fascinating and persuasive guide to the most important topic of all: how our species will survive the risks we pose to our continued existence."--Stuart Russell, author of Human Compatible and Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach
"A powerfully-argued book that alerts us to what is perhaps the most important-and yet also most neglected-problem we will ever face."--Peter Singer, author of Animal Liberation and The Life You Can Save
"Many people have recently found that they want to read books offering the grandest perspectives possible on human existence, such as Sapiens . . . Toby Ord's new book is a startling and rigorous contribution to this genre that deserves to be just as widely read."--Evening Standard
"Ord's analysis of the science is exemplary . . . Thrillingly written"--Sunday Times
"Ord's map of the existential risk landscape is an engaging read for anyone who wants to learn more about this important and interdisciplinary research."--Science
"Splendid....The Precipice is a powerful book, written with a philosopher's eye for counterarguments so that he can meet them in advance. And Ord's love for humanity and hope for its future is infectious, as is his horrified wonder at how close we have come to destroying it."--The Spectator
"This book is a wake-up call to the existential threats of nuclear and biological weapons and the urgent need for action. A must-read that galvanizes us to play a role in addressing these risks."
--Angela Kane, former UN High Representative for Disarmament Affairs
"Toby Ord is today's Carl Sagan. Clear and inspiring, this book leaves us hopeful for a flourishing human future."--Christine Peterson, co-founder of the Foresight Institute
Biografía del autor
Detalles del producto
- Editorial : Hachette Books; Edición Illustrated (24 marzo 2020)
- Idioma : Inglés
- Pasta dura : 480 páginas
- ISBN-10 : 0316484911
- ISBN-13 : 978-0316484916
- Dimensiones : 16.51 x 4.57 x 23.75 cm
- Clasificación en los más vendidos de Amazon: nº133,058 en Libros (Ver el Top 100 en Libros)
- nº21 en Desastres Naturales (Libros)
- nº25 en Filantropía y Caridad (Libros)
- nº144 en Ensayos y Comentarios Sobre Ciencia (Libros)
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Our young people rarely learn about the consequences of making minor changes to personal, group or country wide thoughts. Increasingly, as adults, we don't have the time to 'think' a lot about the consequences of our life styles, our political decisions or what we allow our elected representatives to do in our names for - and to us.
Toby Ord is an extraordinary scientist, and philosopher; he is also a relatively young person who has, on our behalf, done an extraordinary amount of work and research to make complex ideas accessible to most of us, regardless of age, education or culture. Increasingly his analysis is being sought by governments, corporations and Think Tanks pondering the consequences facing Humanity, Planet Earth, Communities everywhere, Families and each of us, as 8 billion people and corporations introduce technology quicker and quicker - all while our climate changes are happening with unpredictable aggregate effect.
The Precipice is a 400+ resource that is accessible, readable and compelling; it's a book that each of us can read slowly and it has useful ideas and information that may help all of us, and our children, lead more peaceful and productive lives.
On the subject of the AI technology, and how it may move us, help us or control us, he has this to say (p. 146-147): For the most damaging people in history have not been the strongest. Hitler, Stalin and Genghis Khan achieved absolute control over large parts of the world using words to convince millions of people to win the requisite physical contests. So long as an AI system can entice or coerce people to do its physical bidding, it wouldn't need robots at all......The most realistic scenarios may involve subtle and non-human behaviors which we can neither predict, nor truly grasp. And these behaviors may be aimed at weak points in our civilization to which we are currently blind...
The AI section is interestingly shedding much needed light on how complex commercial systems already are bending entire countries to their will by controlling and monitoring our media, purchase habits and cell phone use. Mr. Ord has shown us that philosophy may need to be re-introduced into our schools and Book Clubs, as a matter of survival of the species.
L'humanité, va-t-elle réaliser son magnifique potentiel dans les millénaires à venir ?
Des éléments sérieux pour comprendre les différents risques et amener chacun à contribuer à les réduire.