Georgia's 10th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Georgia's 10th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 6, 2020
Primary: June 9, 2020
Primary runoff: August 11, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
General runoff: January 5, 2021

Pre-election incumbent:
Jody Hice (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Georgia
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Georgia's 10th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
Georgia elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 10th Congressional District of Georgia, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Jody Hice won election in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 10.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 6, 2020
June 9, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Jody Hice, who was first elected in 2014. The election was one of 56 U.S. House rematches from 2018.


Georgia's 10th Congressional District is located in the northeastern part of the state. The district includes the Baldwin, Barrow, Butts, Glascock, Greene, Hancock, Jasper, Jefferson, Johnson, Lincoln, McDuffie, Morgan, Oconee, Oglethorpe, Putnam, Taliaferro, Walton, Warren, Washington, and Wilkes counties. It also includes portions of Clarke, Columbia, Gwinnett, Henry, and Newton counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Georgia's 10th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 39.2 37.7
Republican candidate Republican Party 59.6 62.3
Difference 20.4 24.6

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Georgia modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Candidate filing procedures: The petitioning deadline for minor-party and unaffiliated candidates was extended to August 14, 2020. The petition signature requirement for independent and minor-party candidates was reduced to 70 percent of their original numbers.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Georgia District 10

Incumbent Jody Hice defeated Tabitha Johnson-Green in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 10 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jody_Hice_official_portrait.jpg
Jody Hice (R)
 
62.3
 
235,810
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Tabitha-JohnsonGreen.PNG
Tabitha Johnson-Green (D)
 
37.7
 
142,636

Total votes: 378,446
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 10

Tabitha Johnson-Green defeated Andrew Ferguson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 10 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Tabitha-JohnsonGreen.PNG
Tabitha Johnson-Green
 
65.7
 
48,069
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Oct102022740PM_130794425_Candidate1Headshot.jpg
Andrew Ferguson
 
34.3
 
25,048

Total votes: 73,117
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 10

Incumbent Jody Hice advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 10 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jody_Hice_official_portrait.jpg
Jody Hice
 
100.0
 
93,506

Total votes: 93,506
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Five of 159 Georgia counties—3.14 percent—are pivot counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Baker County, Georgia 8.68% 0.57% 1.07%
Dooly County, Georgia 2.05% 6.98% 3.53%
Peach County, Georgia 2.91% 7.48% 6.75%
Quitman County, Georgia 10.92% 9.04% 7.90%
Twiggs County, Georgia 1.58% 8.64% 6.97%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Georgia with 50.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 45.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Georgia voted Democratic 63.33 percent of the time and Republican 36.67 percent of the time. Georgia voted Republican in every presidential election from 2000 to 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Georgia. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 64 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 45.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 74 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won 14 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 116 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 36.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 106 out of 180 state House districts in Georgia with an average margin of victory of 36.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+15, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Georgia's 10th Congressional District the 86th most Republican nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.81. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.81 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Jody Hice Republican Party $600,997 $462,698 $249,916 As of December 31, 2020
Tabitha Johnson-Green Democratic Party $15,058 $12,464 $-8 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: Georgia's 10th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District election history

2018

See also: Georgia's 10th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Georgia District 10

Incumbent Jody Hice defeated Tabitha Johnson-Green in the general election for U.S. House Georgia District 10 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jody_Hice_official_portrait.jpg
Jody Hice (R)
 
62.9
 
190,396
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Tabitha-JohnsonGreen.PNG
Tabitha Johnson-Green (D)
 
37.1
 
112,339

Total votes: 302,735
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 10

Tabitha Johnson-Green defeated Chalis Montgomery and Richard Dien Winfield in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Georgia District 10 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Tabitha-JohnsonGreen.PNG
Tabitha Johnson-Green
 
50.2
 
17,020
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Chalis_Montgomery.jpg
Chalis Montgomery
 
26.5
 
8,971
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/fullsizeoutput_1205.jpeg
Richard Dien Winfield
 
23.3
 
7,911

Total votes: 33,902
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 10

Incumbent Jody Hice defeated Bradley Griffin and Joe Hunt in the Republican primary for U.S. House Georgia District 10 on May 22, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Jody_Hice_official_portrait.jpg
Jody Hice
 
78.9
 
42,960
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bradley_Griffin.jpg
Bradley Griffin
 
10.7
 
5,846
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/P1140145.jpg
Joe Hunt
 
10.4
 
5,644

Total votes: 54,450
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Georgia's 10th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Jody Hice (R) defeated Leonard Ware (Write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No Democrats filed to run.[12][13]

U.S. House, Georgia District 10 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJody Hice Incumbent 100% 243,725
Total Votes 243,725
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

2014

See also: Georgia's 10th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 10th Congressional District of Georgia held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Jody Hice (R) defeated challenger Ken Dious (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Georgia District 10 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Ken Dious 33.48% 65,777
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJody Hice 66.52% 130,703
Total Votes 196,480
Source: Georgia Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
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