Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election

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The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the EU election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.

List of polling[edit]

There are no pan-European polls for the European elections. However, several organizations calculate the theoretical seat distribution in the European Parliament in advance to the EP election based on national polls in all member states. The table below displays these different projections. The projections prior to 31 January 2020 still include the United Kingdom, which left the EU on that date.[1]

Seats[edit]

361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.

Organisation Release
date 		Area Number of seats The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others Lead
EM Analytics[2] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 139 51 86 181 86 77 61 42
election.de[3] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 138 52 90 173 80 87 61 35
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[4] 16 Apr 2024 EU27 720 40 139 52 84 184 82 84 52 3 45
election.de[5] 8 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 138 55 86 176 81 85 60 38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[6] 28 Mar 2024 EU27 720 47 135 52 87 184 81 82 48 4 49
election.de[7] 22 Mar 2024 EU27 720 40 139 54 89 176 84 83 55 37
Ipsos for Euronews[8] 19 Mar 2024 EU27 720 42 136 55 85 177 76 81 68 41
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[9] 18 Mar 2024 EU27 720 46 135 50 86 183 84 89 43 4 48
Politico Europe[10] 9 Mar 2024 EU27 720 33 141 48 90 180 87 89 52 39
election.de[11] 8 Mar 2024 EU27 720 39 142 51 86 171 86 86 59 29
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[12] 1 Mar 2024 EU27 720 45 140 49 82 181 83 92 44 4 41
Der Föderalist[13] 26 Feb 2024 EU27 720 35 135 48 85 176 78 85 36 42 41
37 137 48 89 183 82 101 43 46
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[14] 19 Feb 2024 EU27 720 44 140 48 85 180 83 92 43 6 40
election.de[15] 7 Feb 2024 EU27 720 42 138 49 78 176 88 94 55 38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[16] 1 Feb 2024 EU27 720 42 140 51 82 180 80 91 49 5 40
ECFR[17] 23 Jan 2024 EU27 720 44 131 61 86 173 85 98 42 42
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[18] 15 Jan 2024 EU27 720 37 143 50 84 178 80 93 49 6 35
election.de[19] 9 Jan 2024 EU27 720 41 141 45 80 179 86 95 53 38
Politico Europe[20] 9 Jan 2024 EU27 720 33 145 43 86 178 89 96 50 33
Der Föderalist[21] 8 Jan 2024 EU27 720 33 141 45 86 169 75 89 43 39 28
35 143 47 91 177 85 108 34 34
Europe Elects[22] 30 Dec 2023 EU27 720 36 142 49 84 179 81 93 50 6 37
Politico Europe[23] 11 Dec 2023 EU27 720 33 145 47 87 175 91 91 51 30
Europe Elects[24] 30 Nov 2023 EU27 720 38 141 52 89 175 82 87 52 4 35
Politico Europe[25] 9 Nov 2023 EU27 720 38 143 49 91 179 90 85 45 36
Der Föderalist[26] 6 Nov 2023 EU27 720 43 137 43 90 170 78 76 37 45 33
46 138 47 96 178 89 92 34 40
Europe Elects[27] 31 Oct 2023 EU27 720 45 139 51 92 173 80 76 53 11 34
12 Oct 2023 PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the controversial SNS party.[28]
Politico Europe[29] 9 Oct 2023 EU27 720 40 151 49 89 172 93 82 44 21
Europe Elects[30] 30 Sep 2023 EU27 720 43 145 52 90 165 86 74 56 10 21
22 Sep 2023 The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.[31]
Der Föderalist[32] 11 Sep 2023 EU27 720 43 147 46 91 162 77 74 36 43 15
45 147 50 96 171 90 89 32 24
705 42 144 46 90 157 77 72 35 41 13
44 144 50 95 165 89 87 31 21
Politico Europe[33] 7 Sep 2023 EU27 705 42 146 46 91 167 93 76 44 21
Europe Elects[34] 31 Aug 2023 EU27 720 38 149 53 90 164 83 75 58 10 15
Politico Europe[35] 9 Aug 2023 EU27 705 45 145 48 89 165 89 77 47 20
Europe Elects[36] 31 Jul 2023 EU27 705 45 143 49 90 157 82 82 55 12 14
Der Föderalist[37] 17 Jul 2023 EU27 705 41 136 48 94 160 79 70 36 41 24
43 137 52 99 167 89 87 31 30
Der Föderalist[38] 22 May 2023 EU27 705 49 137 50 92 162 79 67 33 36 25
50 137 54 99 172 82 83 28 35
Europe Elects[39] 28 Apr 2023 EU27 705 51 141 49 89 163 85 64 51 11 22
Der Föderalist[40] 27 Mar 2023 EU27 705 44 137 42 94 162 78 68 38 42 25
46 141 46 102 170 81 84 35 29
Der Föderalist[41] 1 Feb 2023 EU27 705 50 135 42 96 168 78 65 37 34 33
52 138 47 103 172 82 80 31 34
Der Föderalist[42] 6 Dec 2022 EU27 705 51 136 44 93 166 79 64 37 35 30
53 139 50 100 170 83 80 30 31
Europe Elects[43] 7 Dec 2022 EU27 705 49 142 56 100 158 84 63 46 7 16
Europe Elects[44] 1 Nov 2022 EU27 705 55 135 53 106 162 81 66 41 6 27
Der Föderalist[45] 12 Oct 2022 EU27 705 52 127 42 100 169 79 63 35 38 42
54 130 48 108 174 84 80 27 44
Der Föderalist[46] 20 Aug 2022 EU27 705 52 134 47 98 170 75 63 27 39 36
54 137 53 107 175 80 76 23 38
Der Föderalist[47] 22 Jun 2022 EU27 705 54 133 44 101 165 77 64 31 36 32
56 136 54 106 168 81 79 25 32
Der Föderalist[48] 25 Apr 2022 EU27 705 59 139 39 97 157 78 64 37 35 18
60 143 49 102 159 84 76 32 16
Der Föderalist[49] 1 Mar 2022 EU27 705 53 139 36 98 158 78 62 45 36 19
55 142 44 105 160 109 62 28 18
Europe Elects[50] 8 Jan 2022 EU27 705 49 152 55 99 158 78 62 35 17 6
Der Föderalist[51] 4 Jan 2022 EU27 705 51 142 39 99 165 73 62 34 40 23
53 146 43 105 166 102 62 28 20
Europe Elects[52] 7 Dec 2021 EU27 705 50 155 55 103 146 81 75 36 4 9
Der Föderalist[53] 8 Nov 2021 EU27 705 50 144 42 96 155 75 72 36 35 11
52 148 48 107 156 23 120 51 8
Europe Elects[54] 4 Nov 2021 EU27 705 50 155 51 102 151 81 75 35 5 4
Europe Elects[55] 8 Oct 2021 EU27 705 50 154 47 94 156 78 75 36 15 2
Der Föderalist[56] 13 Sep 2021 EU27 705 54 141 42 98 160 70 75 33 32 19
56 145 48 107 160 22 116 51 15
Der Föderalist[57] 21 Jul 2021 EU27 705 52 133 45 97 167 71 74 31 35 34
54 138 49 108 168 23 117 48 30
Europe Elects[58] 9 Jul 2021 EU27 705 52 144 55 94 156 75 77 34 18 12
Europe Elects[59] 5 Jun 2021 EU27 705 51 146 58 92 155 76 74 35 18 9
Der Föderalist[60] 24 May 2021 EU27 705 50 125 50 95 167 74 73 33 38 42
52 130 54 109 167 87 74 32 37
Europe Elects[61] 2 May 2021 EU27 705 52 144 56 93 158 75 74 34 19 14
Europe Elects[62] 2 Apr 2021 EU27 705 51 151 52 93 159 74 74 32 19 8
Der Föderalist[63] 29 Mar 2021 EU27 705 52 136 46 96 164 71 73 34 33 28
54 141 49 109 164 85 73 30 23
3 Mar 2021 Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[64]
Der Föderalist[65] 2 Feb 2021 EU27 705 52 135 45 94 184 70 71 21 33 49
53 141 48 107 184 73 71 28 49
Europe Elects[66] 5 Jan 2021 EU27 705 55 138 47 97 190 73 72 22 11 52
Der Föderalist[67] 9 Dec 2020 EU27 705 52 136 47 93 188 67 73 20 29 52
53 140 40 103 188 73 73 25 48
Europe Elects[68] 2 Dec 2020 EU27 705 55 136 48 95 195 68 73 23 12 59
Europe Elects[69] 31 Oct 2020 EU27 705 54 136 48 93 197 70 74 24 9 61
Der Föderalist[70] 12 Oct 2020 EU27 705 51 127 49 96 193 67 71 21 30 66
52 136 52 102 193 71 71 28 – 57
Europe Elects[71] 4 Oct 2020 EU27 705 55 136 49 95 195 71 77 23 4 59
Europe Elects[72] 31 Aug 2020 EU27 705 55 134 49 96 196 71 75 24 5 62
Europe Elects[73] 14 Aug 2020 EU27 705 54 134 49 97 198 70 75 23 5 64
Europe Elects[74] 24 Jul 2020 EU27 705 54 133 48 97 198 71 77 24 3 65
Europe Elects[75] 28 May 2020 EU27 705 55 135 47 98 197 70 77 23 3 62
Europe Elects[76] 30 Apr 2020 EU27 705 55 140 46 94 193 72 78 23 4 53
Europe Elects[77] 31 Mar 2020 EU27 705 57 135 51 92 188 72 83 21 6 53
Europe Elects[78] 29 Feb 2020 EU27 705 56 133 55 99 184 68 85 21 6 51
Europe Elects[79] 31 Jan 2020 EU27 705 55 130 53 101 182 70 85 23 6 52
31 Jan 2020 The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[80]
Europe Elects[81] 31 Dec 2019 EU27 705 54 131 52 102 182 70 86 25 3 51
Europe Elects[82] 31 Dec 2019 EU28 751 53 153 52 103 177 103 82 25 3 24
Europe Elects[1] 30 Nov 2019 EU28 751 49 157 61 107 176 95 80 25 1 19
Europe Elects[1] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 751 46 151 62 115 175 92 78 30 2 24
Europe Elects[1] 30 Sep 2019 EU28 751 48 151 63 118 170 87 79 32 3 19
Europe Elects[1] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 751 47 154 64 116 166 89 80 32 3 12
Europe Elects[1] 31 Jul 2019 EU28 751 48 153 65 117 168 85 79 33 3 15
Europe Elects[1] 30 Jun 2019 EU28 751 46 145 74 119 167 64 80 54 2 22
Redistribution of seats after Brexit 1 Feb 2020 EU27 705 40 148 68 97 187 62 76 27 – 39
2019 European Parliament election 26 May 2019 EU28 751 41 154 74 108 182 62 73 57 – 28

Popular vote[edit]

The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.

Organisation Release
date 		Area The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others Lead
EM Analytics[83] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 7.0% 18.5% 7.9% 10.3% 22.0% 11.1% 12.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.5%
Europe Elects[43] 7 Dec 2022 EU27 7.2% 18.8% 8.1% 11.7% 21.2% 11.2% 8.9% 5.5% 7.2% 2.4%
Europe Elects[44] 1 Nov 2022 EU27 8.0% 18.3% 8.1% 12.0% 21.6% 11.3% 8.7% 5.7% 6.1% 3.3%
Europe Elects[50] 8 Jan 2022 EU27 6.7% 20.6% 7.2% 11.9% 20.7% 10.3% 8.8% 5.0% 8.8% 0.1%
Europe Elects[52] 7 Dec 2021 EU27 7.0% 20.4% 7.4% 13.6% 17.9% 10.3% 10.4% 4.8% 6.9% 1.2%
Europe Elects[54] 4 Nov 2021 EU27 6.9% 20.7% 7.2% 13.0% 19.5% 10.7% 10.2% 5.3% 6.5% 1.2%
Europe Elects[55] 8 Oct 2021 EU27 7.3% 20.3% 7.2% 12.0% 20.3% 10.5% 10.3% 5.3% 6.8% Tie
Europe Elects[58] 9 Jul 2021 EU27 7.2% 17.9% 8.0% 11.8% 21.2% 10.3% 10.6% 5.0% 8.0% 3.3%
Europe Elects[59] 5 Jun 2021 EU27 7.8% 18.0% 9.1% 11.4% 20.6% 10.5% 10.4% 5.0% 7.1% 2.6%
Europe Elects[76] 2 May 2021 EU27 7.9% 18.3% 8.5% 11.3% 20.3% 10.5% 10.6% 5.1% 7.4% 2.0%
Europe Elects[77] 2 Apr 2021 EU27 8.0% 18.7% 8.2% 11.2% 21.6% 10.2% 10.8% 4.9% 6.3% 2.9%
3 Mar 2021 Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[64]
Europe Elects[66] 2 Mar 2021 EU27 7.9% 18.9% 7.5% 11.1% 23.1% 10.3% 10.8% 3.8% 6.6% 4.2%
Europe Elects[66] 2 Feb 2021 EU27 8.2% 18.6% 7.5% 10.9% 24.4% 10.1% 10.5% 3.8% 6.0% 5.8%
Europe Elects[66] 31 Dec 2020 EU27 8.4% 18.9% 7.5% 10.9% 24.1% 10.2% 10.5% 3.6% 5.9% 5.2%
Europe Elects[68] 2 Dec 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.5% 7.7% 10.9% 24.8% 9.5% 10.5% 3.8% 6.0% 6.3%
Europe Elects[69] 31 Oct 2020 EU27 7.6% 18.4% 7.7% 10.8% 25.0% 9.9% 10.6% 4.0% 6.1% 6.6%
Europe Elects[71] 4 Oct 2020 EU27 7.9% 17.9% 7.8% 11.4% 24.4% 9.7% 11.0% 4.1% 5.7% 6.5%
Europe Elects[72] 31 Aug 2020 EU27 8.1% 18.3% 7.4% 11.5% 25.0% 9.6% 10.9% 4.1% 5.2% 6.7%
Europe Elects[73] 14 Aug 2020 EU27 8.0% 18.0% 7.2% 11.5% 25.3% 9.4% 10.8% 3.8% 6.0% 7.3%
Europe Elects[74] 24 Jul 2020 EU27 8.3% 17.9% 7.4% 11.6% 25.7% 9.5% 10.9% 4.1% 4.6% 7.8%
Europe Elects[75] 28 May 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.0% 7.2% 11.3% 25.2% 9.6% 11.1% 4.0% 5.4% 7.2%
Europe Elects[76] 30 Apr 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.5% 7.2% 10.9% 25.3% 9.8% 11.4% 3.9% 4.7% 6.8%
Europe Elects[77] 31 Mar 2020 EU27 8.5% 18.2% 8.0% 10.7% 24.1% 10.0% 11.8% 3.8% 4.9% 5.9%
Europe Elects[78] 29 Feb 2020 EU27 9.1% 18.0% 8.4% 10.9% 22.7% 9.7% 12.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.7%
Europe Elects[79] 31 Jan 2020 EU27 8.0% 18.6% 8.4% 12.4% 20.5% 12.1% 12.1% 4.0% 3.9% 1.9%
31 Jan 2020 The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[80]
Europe Elects[1] 31 Dec 2019 EU28 8.1% 18.8% 8.2% 11.8% 20.9% 12.4% 11.9% 4.2% 3.7% 2.1%
Europe Elects[1] 30 Nov 2019 EU28 8.0% 18.4% 8.4% 12.3% 20.3% 12.0% 12.0% 4.0% 3.8% 1.9%
Europe Elects[1] 31 Oct 2019 EU28 6.5% 17.8% 8.3% 13.1% 20.3% 10.0% 11.3% 4.8% 7.9% 2.5%
Europe Elects[1] 30 Sep 2019 EU28 6.6% 19.5% 8.3% 12.3% 19.6% 9.7% 11.3% 4.8% 7.9% 0.1%
Europe Elects[1] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 6.9% 19.0% 8.7% 12.9% 20.0% 9.6% 11.4% 5.6% 5.9% 1.0%
Europe Elects[1] 31 Jul 2019 EU28 6.6% 19.0% 9.4% 12.8% 19.3% 9.3% 11.5% 5.3% 6.7% 0.3%
Europe Elects[1] 30 Jun 2019 EU28 6.9% 18.9% 10.3% 13.3% 19.1% 9.8% 11.4% 5.1% 5.2% 0.2%
2019 European Parliament election[84] 26 May 2019 EU27 7.0% 18.9% 11.2% 12.3% 22.6% 8.1% 11.5% 4.3% 4.1% 3.7%
2019 European Parliament election[1] EU28 6.5% 18.5% 11.7% 13.0% 21.0% 8.2% 10.8% 4.8% 5.5% 2.5%

National opinion polling[edit]

Austria[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Austria#Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size ÖVP
EPP 		SPÖ
S&D 		FPÖ
ID 		Grüne
G/EFA 		NEOS
Renew 		KPÖ
Left 		Others Lead
Ipsos 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 1,000 21.0
4 		22.0
5 		28.2
6 		13.0
3 		11.8
2 		2.1
0 		1.9
0 		6.2
Lazarsfeld Society 26–28 Feb 2024 1,000 20
4 		22
4 		26
5 		14
3 		16
3 		2
0 		— 4
Market 5–7 Feb 2024 800 24
5 		23
5 		27
6 		11
2 		12
2 		2
0 		1
0 		3
Lazarsfeld Society 29–31 Jan 2024 1,000 24
5 		20
4 		27
6 		13
2 		14
3 		2
0 		— 3
OGM 22–31 Jan 2024 2,076 22
5 		21
4 		26
6 		14
3 		12
2 		2
0 		3
0 		4
IFDD 25–28 Jan 2024 1,000 21
4 		24
5 		27
6 		14
3 		9
2 		3
0 		2
0 		3
Lazarsfeld Society 11–13 Dec 2023 1,000 22
5 		22
5 		30
6 		13
2 		9
2 		2
0 		2
0 		8
Peter Hajek 22–29 Nov 2023 1,600 23
5 		24
5 		30
7 		12
2 		7
1 		3
0 		1
0 		6
IFDD 1–4 Oct 2023 837 25
5/6 		25
5/6 		25
5/6 		14
3 		8
1 		3
0 		Tie
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 – 37.5
8 		21.2
5 		16.2
3 		13.9
3 		8.1
1 		0.7
0 		2.5
0 		16.3
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 34.6
7 		23.9
5 		17.2
3 		14.1
3 		8.4
1 		0.8
0 		1.0
0 		9.7

Belgium[edit]

This section is transcluded from Opinion polling for the 2024 Belgian elections#European Parliament election

Dutch-speaking[edit]

Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size N‑VA
ECR 		VB
ID 		Open Vld
Renew 		cd&v
EPP 		Groen
G/EFA 		Vooruit
S&D 		PVDA
Left 		Others Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos Euronews[85] 1,500 18.7%
3 		23.5%
3 		12,7%
2 		11.5%
1 		9.7%
1 		13.8%
2 		9.3%
1 		0.8%
0 		4.8%
26 May 2019 European election 22.4%
3 		19.1%
3 		15.9%
2 		14.5%
2 		12.4%
1 		10.2%
1 		4.9%
0 		0.5%
0 		3.3%

French-speaking[edit]

Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size PS
S&D 		Ecolo
G/EFA 		MR
Renew 		PTB
Left 		LE
EPP 		DéFI
NI 		Others Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos Euronews[85] 1,500 26.7%
2 		12.8%
1 		22.8%
2 		19.2%
2 		11.0%
1 		2.8%
0 		4.7%
0 		3.9%
26 May 2019 European election 26.7%
2 		19.9%
2 		19.3%
2 		14.6%
1 		8.9%
1 		5.9%
0 		4.7%
0 		6.8%

Bulgaria[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Bulgaria#Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample GERB—SDS
EPP 		BSPzB
S&D 		DPS
Renew 		VMRO
ECR 		PP–DB
EPP[a] 		Revival
ID 		ITN
NI[b] 		Others NOTA Lead
TREND 12 Apr–19 Apr 2024 1002 27.2
5 		9.4
2 		15.4
3 		— 17.2
4 		15.3
3 		5.1
0 		10.1[c] — 10.1
Gallup 28 Mar-5 Apr 2024 805 28.7
5 		10.1
2 		15.3
3 		— 18.2
4 		15.1
3 		5.5
0 		9.8 — 6.2
IPSOS N/A N/A 27.1
5 		8.8
2 		13.0
2 		— 20.9
4 		15.1
3 		6.1
1 		8.9[d] — 6.2
Alpha Research 1-7 Mar 2024 1000 27.0
5 		10.6
2 		10.0
2 		— 23.8
5 		15.8
3 		5.9
0 		6.9 — 3.2
Market Links 24 Feb-3 Mar 2024 1058 26.4
5 		9.7
2 		14.0
3 		— 22.7
4 		13.5
3 		3.8
0 		6.1 3.9 3.7
2019 election 26 May 2019 — 30.4
6 		23.5
5 		16.1
3 		7.1
2 		5.9[e]
1 		1.0
0 		— 2.6 4.1 6.9

Cyprus[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Cyprus#Opinion polling
Date Polling firm DISY
EPP 		AKEL
Left 		ELAM
ECR 		DIKO
S&D 		EDEK
S&D 		DIPA
Renew 		KOSP
G/EFA 		APC
Left 		EP
NI 		VOLT
G/EFA 		Others Lead
08-19 Apr 2024 CYMAR Market Research Ltd 28.1 25.0 15.6 12.5 6.3 1.6 1.6 - - 3.1 6.3 3.1
14–23 Mar 2024 SIGMA 28.1 28.1 15.1 13.7 4.1 2.7 2.7 - - 2.7 2.7 0
20–26 Feb 2024 Pulse Market Research 31.3 25.8 14.7 12.9 5.5 0.5 3.7 - - - 5.5 5.5
12–16 Feb 2024 SIGMA 29.0 27.5 14.5 11.6 4.3 4.3 2.9 1.4 – 1.4 2.9 1.5
11 Feb 2024 Symmetron 30.7 29 13.7 10.9 3.8 3.8 3.4 - - 3 1.6 1.7
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 Interview 31.7 31.8 15 9.0 2.4 2.2 6.8 - - - 1.1 0.1
22–26 Jan 2024 L.S.Prime 26.4 26.4 13.8 11.1 4.2 4.2 2.8 - - - 11.1 0
03–11 Jan 2024 IMR 25.7 27.8 17.4 9.7 3.2 3.3 4.9 - - 1.8 3.5 2.1
30 May Election 2021 27.8% 22.3% 6.8% 11.3% 6.7% 6.1% 4.4% 1.0% 3.3% - 10.3% 5.5
26 May Election 2019 29.0% 27.5% 8.2% 13.8% 10.6% 3.8% - 0.8% - - 3.0% 1.5

Czech Republic[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in the Czech Republic#Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		SPOLU
ECR–EPP 		ANO
Renew 		Piráti
G/EFA 		STAN
EPP 		SPD–
Trikolóra
ID 		Stačilo!
Left 		SOCDEM
S&D 		Svobodní
NI 		Přísaha
NI 		Zelení
EGP 		PRO
NI 		Others Lead
STEM/Mark 28 Mar–8 April 2024 1,009 20.0 27.5 10.1 10.4 10.4 6.7 3.4 2.5 6.0 0.9 — 1.9 7.5
Data Collect 25 Mar 2024 20.9 27.3 10.8 9.3 10.9 7.1 2.9 1.5 2.5 2.5 1.9 2.4 6.4
IPSOS 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,517 21.6 26.3 11.3 13.4 7.9 6.1 2.7 2.8 4.9 — — — 4.7
IPSOS Dec 2023 TBA 25.2 26.3 10.0 12.0 7.7 6.0 — — — — — 12.8 1.1
STEM/MARK 23–28 Nov 2023 1,010 15.0 33.8 11.4 7.3 14.7 5.4 3.6 2.9 — — — 6.0 18.8
2021 parliamentary election 8–9 Oct 2021 – 27.8 27.1 15.6 9.6 3.6 4.7 2.8[f] 4.7 1.0 — 0.9 0.7
2019 European election 24–25 May 2019 – 21.8[g] 21.2 14.0 11.7[h] 9.1 6.9 4.0 0.7 — — — 10.6 0.6

Denmark[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Denmark#Opinion polling
Polling execution Parties Alliances
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

V
Renew 		A
S&D 		F
G/EFA 		O
ID 		B
Renew 		C
EPP 		Ø
Left 		Å
G/EFA 		I
EPP 		M
Renew 		Æ
ECR 		Others AFÅ BMV CI
Epinion 6–13 Mar 2024 1,074 12
2 		24
4 		14
2 		7
1 		5
1 		5
1 		7
1 		3
0 		9
1 		7
1 		7
1 		— 41
6 		24
4 		14
2
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 10.5
2 		21.0
4 		12.0
2 		5.0
0 		6.0
1 		6.0
1 		8.0
1 		2.0
0 		13.0
2 		7.0
1 		8.5
1 		— 35.0
6 		23.5
4 		19.0
3
Epinion 24–31 Jan 2024 1,051 11
2 		22
4 		12
2 		7
1 		6
1 		6
1 		7
1 		1
0 		10
1 		7
1 		9
1 		— 35
6 		24
4 		16
2
2022 general election 13.3
(3) 		27.5
(6) 		8.3
(1) 		2.6
(0) 		3.8
(0) 		5.5
(1) 		5.1
(0) 		3.3
(0) 		7.9
(1) 		9.3
(2) 		8.1
(1) 		5.2
(0) 		39.1
(7) 		26.4
(4) 		13.4
(2)
2021 municipal elections 21.2
(4) 		28.4
(5) 		7.6
(1) 		4.1
(0) 		5.6
(1) 		15.2
(3) 		7.3
(1) 		0.7
(0) 		1.4
(0) 		— 8.5
(0) 		36.7
(6) 		26.8
(5) 		16.6
(3)
2019 general election 23.4
(5) 		25.9
(6) 		7.7
(1) 		8.7
(1) 		8.6
(0) 		6.6
(1) 		6.9
(1) 		3.0
(0) 		2.3
(0) 		— 6.9
(0) 		36.6
(7) 		32.0
(5) 		9.0
(1)
2019 EP election 23.5
(4) 		21.5
3 		13.2
2 		10.8
1 		10.1
2 		6.2
1 		5.5
1 		3.4
0 		2.2
0 		— 3.7
0 		—

Estonia[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Estonia#Opinion polling
Polling execution Parties Lead
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size


Renew
S&D
Renew
ID
EPP 		Others Party EP group
Kantar Emor 8-17 Apr 2024 1,484 18.8
2 		20
2 		13.8
1 		13.8
1 		16.8
1 		4.7
0 		1.5
0 		6
0 		4.5
0 		1.2 12.6
Norstat 11-15 Apr 2024 3,500 20.1
2 		22.0
2 		11.0
1 		17.2
1 		17.6
1 		5.0
0 		1.2
0 		4.7
0 		1.2
0 		1.9 9.1
Kantar Emor 14-20 Mar 2024 1,135 18.9
2 		21.4
2 		13.9
1 		15.4
1 		16.7
1 		5.6
0 		—[i] 5.9
0 		2.1
0 		2.5 11.4
2023 parliamentary election 31.2
3 		9.3
1 		15.3
1 		16.1
1 		8.2
0 		13.3
1 		1.0
0 		2.3
0 		3.3
0 		15.1 30.4
2019 EP election 26.2
2 		23.3
2 		14.4
1 		12.7
1 		10.3
1 		3.2
0 		1.8
0 		— 8.0
0 		2.9 17.3

European Parliament polling in Estonia is candidate-oriented as opposed to party-oriented due to the short length of the electoral lists.[89][90]

Finland[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Finland#Opinion polls
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		KOK
EPP 		VIHR
G/EFA 		SDP
S&D 		PS
ECR 		KESK
Renew 		VAS
Left 		SFP
Renew 		KD
EPP 		LIIK
NI 		Others Lead
Verian[91] 18–25 Mar 2024 1,372 22
4 		11
2 		17
3 		14
2 		12
2 		9
1 		5
0 		6
1 		4 5
Ipsos[92] 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 22.5
4 		9.0
1 		20.0
4 		19.0
3 		10.5
2 		8.5
1 		3.5
0 		3.5
0 		3.5
0 		2.5
2023 parliamentary election 20.8
4 		7.0
1 		19.9
3 		20.1
4 		11.3
2 		7.1
1 		4.3
0 		4.2
0 		2.4
0 		2.9
0 		0.7
2019 EP election 20.8
3 		16.0
3 		14.6
2 		13.8
2 		13.5
2 		6.9
1 		6.3
1 		4.9
0 		3.1
0 		4.8

France[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in France#Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		LO
NI 		NPA
Left 		PCF
Left 		LFI
Left 		ND
S&D 		PS–PP
S&D 		EELV
G/EFA 		GE
NI 		PRG
G/EFA[j] 		PS
diss. 		EAC
G/EFA 		ÉPT
Renew 		PP
G/EFA 		PA
Left 		Ens.
Renew 		AR NE
EPP 		LR
EPP 		DLF
ECR 		UPR
NI 		LP
NI 		RN
ID 		REC
ECR 		Others Lead
FNC [fr]
NI 		R!
NI
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,335 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 0.5 12.5 7.5 – <0.5 – 1.5 – – 1.5 17.5 1.5 0.5 8.5 – <0.5 0.5 31 5.5 1 13.5
Ifop 19–23 Apr 2024 1,335 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 0.5 12 7.5 – 0.5 – 2 – – 1.5 17 1 0.5 8 – 0.5 0.5 31.5 5.5 1 14.5
Harris Interactive 19–22 Apr 2024 2,319 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 13 6 – 0.5 – 0.5 0.5 – 1 16 2 0.5 7 – 1 1 31 6 1.5 15
Ifop 18–22 Apr 2024 1,339 0.5 0.5 2 7 0.5 12 7.5 – 0.5 – 2 – – 2 17 1 1 8 – <0.5 1 31.5 5.5 0.5 14.5
Ifop 16–19 Apr 2024 1,371 0.5 0.5 2 8 0.5 11.5 7.5 – 0.5 – 1.5 – – 2 17.5 1 0.5 8 – <0.5 1 31.5 5.5 0.5 14
OpinionWay 17–18 Apr 2024 1,021 <1 – 3 7 <1 13 7 – <1 – 2 – – 1 19 1 <1 7 – 1 1 29 7 2 10
Ifop 15–18 Apr 2024 1,376 1 0.5 2.5 8 <0.5 11.5 7.5 – 0.5 – 1.5 – – 1.5 17.5 0.5 0.5 8 – <0.5 1 32 5.5 0.5 14.5
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2024 1,002 1 – 4 8 <1 12 6 – <1 – 1 – – 1 19 2 <1 7 – 1 1 29 6 2 10
Ifop 13–17 Apr 2024 1,364 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 11.5 7.5 – <0.5 – 2 – – 1.5 17.5 0.5 0.5 8 – <0.5 1 32.5 5.5 0.5 15
Ifop 12–16 Apr 2024 1,349 0.5 <0.5 3 7 <0.5 12 7.5 – <0.5 – 1.5 – – 1.5 18 1 0.5 8 – <0.5 0.5 32.5 6 0.5 14.5
Harris Interactive 12–15 Apr 2024 2,005 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 14 6 – 0.5 – 0.5 0.5 – 1 16 2 0.5 7 – 0.5 1 30 6 2.5 14
Ifop 11–15 Apr 2024 1,326 0.5 <0.5 3 7.5 <0.5 12 7 – <0.5 – 1 – – 1.5 18 1 0.5 8 – <0.5 1 32.5 6 0.5 14.5
Ifop 9–12 Apr 2024 1,347 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 12.5 6.5 – 0.5 – 1 – – 1 18 1 <0.5 8.5 – 0.5 0.5 31.5 6 0.5 13.5
Ipsos 10–11 Apr 2024 1,500 1 0.5 3 7 0.5 13 7 – 0.5 – 1 – – 1.5 16 0.5 0.2 6.5 – 1 1 32 6.5 1.5 16
Cluster17 9–11 Apr 2024 1,164 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 1 12 6 – 1 – 0.5 1 – 1.5 17 1 0.5 6 – 1.5 1.5 29 6 2 12
Ifop 8–11 Apr 2024 1,355 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 12.5 6 – 0.5 – 1 – – 1.5 18 0.5 <0.5 8.5 – 0.5 0.5 31 6.5 0.5 13
Ifop 6–10 Apr 2024 1,343 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 0.5 12 5.5 – 0.5 – 1.5 – – 1 18.5 1 <0.5 8.5 – 0.5 0.5 31.5 6.5 0.5 13
Ifop 5–9 Apr 2024 1,335 1 0.5 3 7.5 <0.5 12 5.5 – 0.5 – 1.5 – – 1 18.5 0.5 <0.5 8 – 0.5 1 32 6.5 0.5 13.5
YouGov 3–9 Apr 2024 1,028 2 – 2 5 – 12 6 – 1[k] 1 – – 1 19 <1 – – 7 2[l] – – 29 9 2 10
Harris Interactive 5–8 Apr 2024 2,018 1 – 3 9 – 12 6 – 0.5 – 1 1 – 1 17 1 0.5 7 – 0.5 0.5 30 6 3.5 13
Ifop 4–8 Apr 2024 1,343 1 0.5 3 7.5 0.5 11 6.5 – <0.5 – 1 – – 2 19 <0.5 <0.5 7.5 – 0.5 1 32 6 1 13
OpinionWay 3–5 Apr 2024 1,509 1 – 2 7 – 12 7 – <1[k] 1 – – 2 19 2 <1 8 – 1 – 29 7 2 10
Elabe 2–4 Apr 2024 1,504 1.5 – 2.5 7.5 – 12 8.5 – 0.5 – 2 – – 1 16.5 1 – <0.5 7 – 0.5 0.5 30 5.5 3.5 13.5
Harris Interactive 28–29 Mar 2024 2,220 1 – 3 8 – 13 6 – 0.5 – 0.5 0.5 – 1 17 1 0.5 7 – 0.5 1 31 6 2.5 14
BVA 27–28 Mar 2024 1,518 1 0.5 2.5 7 – 11 6 – <0.5 – 0.5 – <0.5 1 20 1 <0.5 8 3[l] 1 1 30 5.5 1 10
Harris Interactive 22–25 Mar 2024 2,027 1 – 3 7 – 12 7 – 0.5 – 0.5 0.5 – 1 18 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 2 12
Ifop 19–20 Mar 2024 1,112 0.5 – 3 6 – 11 7 – 0.5 – 1.5 – – 1.5 21 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 0.5 9
Harris Interactive 15–18 Mar 2024 2,124 1 – 2 8 – 13 7 – 0.5 – 0.5 1 0.5 1 18 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 1 12
OpinionWay 13–14 Mar 2024 1,008 1 – 2 6 – 11 8 – 1[k] 1 – – 1 20 1 – <1 8 3 1 – 27 6 3 7
Cluster17 8–9 Mar 2024 1,016 0.5 – 3 8 – 10 8 – 0.5 – 1.5 – – 1 17 2 0.5 7 3 1 – 29 6 2 12
Elabe 5–7 Mar 2024 1,504 2 – 3 7.5 – 8.5 9.5 – <0.5 – 1.5 – – 1.5 17 1 – – 7 3 0.5 – 29.5 4.5 3 12.5
YouGov 26 Feb – 7 Mar 2024 1,008 1 – 2 6 – 10 7 – <1[k] 1 – – 2 20 1 – – 6 3 – – 33 5 3 13
Ipsos 1–6 Mar 2024 11,700 1 3.5 7 – 11.5 8.5 – 0.5 – – – – 1.5 18 0.5 – – 7 2.5 0.5 0.5 31 5 1.5 13
Ipsos 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 2,000 – – 3.0 7 – 12.2 8.1 – – – – – – – 18.1 – – – 7.6 2.5 – – 30.7 5.5 5.4 12.6
Ifop 29 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 1,348 1 3.5 8 – 9 8 – 1[k] 1 – – 2 19 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 8 1.5 0.5 <0.5 29 6 1 10
BVA 27–28 Feb 2024 1,344 2 – 3 7 – 11 7 – <0.5 – 1.5 – <0.5 1.5 18[m] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 8 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 1 12
Odoxa 21–22 Feb 2024 1,005 1.5 – 1.5 6 – 11 8.5 – <0.5 – – – – – 19[n] 1 – – 8.5 4 – – 30 7 2 11
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb 2024 744 0.5 3.1 9.9 – 9.9 5.6 – 2.8[k] – – – – 15[o] – 1.3 – 4.7 3.1 – – 31.0 6.5 5.0 16.0
OpinionWay 14–15 Feb 2024 1,009 <1 – 3 7 – 10 8 – 2[k] 1 – – <1 19 1 – <1 8 2 1 – 27 8 3 8
Elabe 7–9 Feb 2024 1,426 1.5 – 2.5 9 – 9 9.5 – <0.5 – 2 – – 2 16.5 1 – – 8 3 0.5 – 27.5 5 3 11
Ifop 7–8 Feb 2024 1,356 1.5 3.5 7 – 9.5 8 – 1.5[k] 1.5 – – 1.5 19[n] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 7 1 0.5 0.5 29 6.5 1.5 10
1 3 7.5 – 10.5 8.5 – 1[k] 1 – – 1 19[o] 1 1 <0.5 7.5 1.5 1 <0.5 28.5 6 1.5 9.5
1 3.5 8 – 10.5 8 – 1.5[k] 1.5 – – 1.5 18[m] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 28 6 1.5 10
YouGov 29 Jan – 7 Feb 2024 1,001 1 – 2 8 – 8 8 – 1[k] 1 – – 1 19[p] 1 – – 6 2 – – 32 8 3 13
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 469 2 – 3 6 – 9 9 – 1 – – – – – 14 1 – – 8 3 – – 33 6 5 19
OpinionWay 17–18 Jan 2024 1,019 1 – 4 8 – 10 6 – 2[k] 1 – – 1 20 <1 – <1 8 2 – – 27 7 3 7
Ifop 16–17 Jan 2024 1,348 0.5 4 7.5 – 9.5 7 – 1.5[k] 1.5 – – 1 19[p] <0.5 0.5 <0.5 6.5 2 <0.5 0.5 31 7 1 12
Harris Interactive 12–15 Jan 2024 1,217 1 – 3 7 – 11 8 – 1 – 2 – – 1 19[p] 1 – – 8 2.5 – – 28 6 1.5 9
Ifop 12–15 Jan 2024 875 1 4 6.5 – 9 9 – – – 1 – – – 20[p] 1 – – 7.5 3 – – 30 6 2 10
YouGov 8–15 Jan 2024 1,004 2 2 2 7 – 8 9 – – – – – – – 20[q] – – – 6 4 – – 30 7 3 10
Cluster17 13–14 Jan 2024 1,209 1 – 3 7.5 – 11 8 – 0.5 – 1.5 – – 1 18[p] 1 – – 7 3 – – 28.5 7 2 10.5
Elabe 10–12 Jan 2024 1,400 1.5 – 3 7.5 – 9.5 8.5 – 0.5 – 1.5 – – 1 18[q] 1 – – 8.5 2.5 0.5 – 28.5 5 3 10.5
Ifop 3–5 Jan 2024 1,090 0.5 3 6 – 10 9 – 3[k] 2.5 – – 1.5 17[q] 0.5 0.5 0.5 8 2 0.5 0.5 28 6.5 0.5 11
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2023 1,004 2.5 – 3 6.5 – 9 6 – 0.5 – – – – – 21[q] 0.5 – – 9 2 – – 31 6 3 10
OpinionWay 13–14 Dec 2023 – 1 – 3 6 – 10 8 – 2[k] <1 – – 1 19 <1 – <1 9 3 – – 27 8 3 8
Ipsos 29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023 11,691 1.5 3 7.5 – 10.5 9.5 – 0.5 – – – – – 20[q] 0.5 – – 8 2.5 – – 28 6.5 2 8
Ifop 8–11 Dec 2023 1,062 1.5 4.5 7 – 10 8 – – – 1.5 – – – 18[q] 1 – – 7.5 2.5 – – 30 7.5 1 12
OpinionWay 15–16 Nov 2023 – 2 – 3 7 – 9 8 – 3[k] <1 – – 1 19 <1 – – 8 2 – – 28 7 3 9
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2023 1,412 2 2 8.5 – 10 10 – – – – – – – 22[r] – – – 6 2 – – 29 6 2.5 7
2 2 8.5 – 10.5 10.5 – – – – – – – 20[q] – – – 6.5 2 – – 29 6 3 9
Ifop 12–13 Oct 2023 1,515 1 5 9 – 9 8 – – – 2 – – – 20[q] – – – 8 2 – – 28 6 2 8
1 5 9 – 9 9 – – – 1.5 – – – 20[s] – – – 8.5 2.5 – – 28 5 1 8
Ifop 30–31 Aug 2023 1,126 1 5 10 – 9 8 – – – 2 – – – 21[q] – – – 8 3 – – 25 6.5 1.5 4
2 6 12[t] 10 – – – 2 – – – 23[q] – – – 9 3 – – 25 7 2 2
1 5 9[u] – 10 8 – – – 1.5 – – – 21[q] – – – 9 3 – – 25 6.5 1 4
Cluster17 16–19 Aug 2023 1,713 1.5 – 3 22.5 – 2.5 – 5 – – 2.5 20.5[q] – – – 7 3 – – 23 7 2.5 0.5
1.5 – 20.5 7.5 – 2.5 – 3 – – 2.5 20[q] – – – 7 3 – – 23.5 7 2 3
1.5 – 25[v] – 2.5 – 4 – – 2.5 20[q] – – – 7.5 4 – – 24 7 2 1
1 – 25[w] – 3 – 4 – – 3 20[q] – – – 7.5 3.5 – – 24 7 1.5 1
2 – 23[x] – 3 – 4.5 – – 3 21[q] – – – 7.5 3 – – 24 7 2 1
2 – 25[y] – 2.5 – 4.5 – – 2.5 20[q] – – – 7 4 – – 24 7 1.5 1
Ifop 4–5 Jul 2023 1,008 1 4 8 – 9 9 – – – – – – – 20[q] – – – 11 4 – – 26 7 1 6
Ipsos 16–26 Jun 2023 10,631 1.5 4 8.5 – 10 10 – – – – – – – 21[q] – – – 9 2.5 – – 24 6.5 3 3
2 24 – – – – – – – 24[q] – – – 10 3 – – 25 7 5 1
1.5 5 9.5 – 15 – – – – – – – 23[q] – – – 9 2.5 – – 25 6.5 3 2
Elabe 19–21 Jun 2023 1,397 1.5 2 8.5 – 9.5 11 – – – – – – – 22.5 – – – 8.5 2.5 – – 26 5.5 2.5 3.5
1.5 24.5 – – – – – – – 26 – – – 9 2.5 – – 27 5.5 4 1
Cluster17 17–19 May 2023 1,760 2 4 11 – 9 11 – – – – – – – 19.5[q] – – – 7.5 3 – – 24 6.5 3.5 4.5
2 27 – – – – – – – 23[q] – – – 8.5 4 – – 25.5 7 3 1.5
Ifop 10–11 May 2023 1,310 1 5 10 – 10 10 – – – – – – – 19[q] – – – 8 3 – – 25 6 3 6
2 26[z] – – – – – – – 22[q] – – – 11 3 – – 26 6 4 Tie
Harris Interactive 5–9 May 2023 1,262 2 23[aa] – – – – – – 3 26 – – – 13 2 – – 21 5 5 3
1 19[aa] 5 – 6 – – – 3 24 – – – 12 2 – – 20 5 3 4
1 3 9 – 10 11 – – – – – – 1 23 – – – 12 2 – – 20 5 3 3
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 0.8 [ab] 2.5 6.3 6.2 13.5 1.8[ac] [ad] – [ae] – 0.1 2.2 24.9[af] – – – 8.5 3.5 1.2 0.6 23.3 – 7.1 0.9

Germany[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Germany#Federal level
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Union
EPP 		Grüne
G/EFA 		SPD
S&D 		AfD
ID 		Linke
Left 		FDP
Renew 		PARTEI
NI 		FW
Renew 		Tiersch.
Left 		ÖDP
G/EFA 		FAM
EPP 		Volt
G/EFA 		PIRAT
G/EFA 		BSW
NI–Left 		Others Lead
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2024 1,254 30 15 16 16 3 3 — — — — — — — 5 12 14
INSA 5–8 Apr 2024 2,100 28.5 11.5 16.5 19 4 5 — 3 2 — — — — 6 4 9.5
Ipsos 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 2,613 29 16 17 16 4 4 — — — — — — — 7 4 12
Forsa 12–13 Mar 2024 1,008 34 14 16 15 2 3 — 3 — — — — — 4 9 18
INSA 8–11 Mar 2024 2,100 28.5 11 16 20 4.5 6 1 2.5 2 — 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 1.5 8.5
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 2,613 29 16 17 16 4 4 — 3 — — — — — 7 4[ag] 12
Wahlkreisprognose 24–29 Feb 2024 1,900 31.5 16 12 16 2 3 1.5 3.5 2.5 — — — — 7.5 4.5 15.5
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb 2024 980 25.5 9.8 16.5 15.1 2.7 6.0 3.2 4.1 3.1 — — 1.3 1.2 9.3 3.4 9.0
INSA 8–12 Feb 2024 2,101 27 10.5 16 22 4.5 3 1 3.5 3 — 1 1 1 5.5 1.5 5
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 555 29 13 16 17 3 5 1 3 3 0 0 1 1 6 2 12
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 Jan 2024 1,440 28 13 9 23 3 4.5 1.5 5 1.5 — — — — 7 4.5 5
Wahlkreisprognose 1–7 Dec 2023 1,440 31 12 10 25 3 3 1.5 2.5 2 — — — — 7 3 6
INSA 31 Jul 2023 1,001 26 15 19 23 5 7 — — — — — — — — 6 3
Wahlkreisprognose 7–14 Jul 2023 1,040 23 13.5 15 22 2.5 3.5 2 3 1.5 — — — — 8.5 5.5 1
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Dec 2022 1,100 22 21 21 18.5 3.5 3.5 2 3.5 2.5 — — — — — 2.5 1
Wahlkreisprognose 24–26 Feb 2022 1,722 22 19.5 22.5 12.5 3 7.5 2.5 3 2 — — — — — 5.5 0.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 24.1 14.7 25.7 10.4 4.9 11.4 1.0 2.4 1.5 0.2 — 0.4 0.4 — 2.9 1.6
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 28.9 20.5 15.8 11.0 5.5 5.4 2.4 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 — 3.8 8.4

Greece[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Greece#Opinion polling
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size ND
EPP 		SYRIZA
Left 		PASOK
S&D 		KKE
NI 		XA[ah]
NI 		EL
ECR 		MeRA25
Left 		PE
NI 		R
NI 		Antarsya
NI 		SP
NI 		NIKI
NI 		FL
NI 		NA
Left 		DIMO
Renew 		COS
G/EFA 		Other Lead
Metron Analysis/Mega[93] 10–16 Apr 2024 1,304 32.3 15.4 12.0 9.8 — 8.3 1.6 4.2 — — 2.5 3.6 1.4 3.1 2.0 1.0 2.8 16.9
Prorata/Attica[94] 5–10 Apr 2024 1,000 29.5 15.0 12.7 9.2 — 9.8 2.3 4.6 — — 1.7 3.5 1.7 4.0 1.7 1.2 3.0 14.5
Opinion Poll/Action 24[95] 8–10 Apr 2024 1,006 32.1 15.0 12.4 8.5 — 10.7 1.3 3.7 — — 2.6 3.7 1.4 3.2 3.0 — 2.3 17.1
Interview/Politic[96][97] 4–8 Apr 2024 2,355 27.7 16.1 12.7 6.9 — 11.8 2.4 2.8 1.7 — 1.2 4.3 2.3 4.7 2.2 — 3.2 11.6
Alco/Alpha[98] 2–5 Apr 2024 1,000 29.9 14.3 13.3 9.4 — 9.6 2.3 4.1 — — 2.7 4.2 1.4 3.0 2.2 — 3.5 15.6
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[99] 1–4 Apr 2024 1,008 31.8 14.1 13.0 9.4 — 10.3 — 4.2 — — 3.3 3.5 — 4.0 — — 6.6 17.7
GPO/Parapolitika[100] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,000 33.4 15.9 14.2 9.0 — 9.5 1.8 3.0 — — 2.2 3.3 — 2.2 2.2 — 3.3 17.5
MRB/Open[101] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,000 31.5 15.9 13.4 8.1 — 9.9 1.9 4.3 — — 2.1 3.6 1.8 3.8 1.6 — 2.3 15.6
Pulse RC/Skai[102] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,105 33.0 15.0 12.5 8.5 — 9.0 2.5 3.5 — — 3.0 3.5 1.8 3.0 1.8 — 2.9 18.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[103] 15–20 Mar 2024 1,010 34.4 13.4 12.5 9.4 — 10.1 1.9 2.9 — — 2.5 4.3 — 2.9 2.8 — 2.8 21.0
Metron Analysis/Mega[104] 12–19 Mar 2024 1,317 31.4 15.1 13.0 10.1 — 9.7 1.9 4.3 — 0.6 2.0 3.2 2.4 3.0 1.0 0.6 1.7 16.3
Good Affairs/To Vima[105] 12–14 Mar 2024 3,229 30.8 13.1 12.9 8.2 — 9.8 2.2 2.1 — — 2.2 3.6 — 2.5 2.9 — 1.5 17.7
Marc/Proto Thema[106] 11–14 Mar 2024 1,086 36.2 13.4 12.6 9.4 — 9.2 2.4 3.1 — — 2.6 2.8 — 2.6 2.1 — 3.7 22.8
GPO/Star[107] 11–13 Mar 2024 1,200 34.8 14.3 13.9 9.5 — 8.0 2.3 2.9 — — 1.8 3.4 — 3.0 2.6 — 3.5 20.5
Interview/Politic[108] 7–11 Mar 2024 2,250 29.1 14.4 12.4 7.1 — 12.0 — 2.5 — — 1.8 4.6 — 4.9 — — 11.3 14.7
Alco/Alpha[109] 1–6 Mar 2024 1,000 32.8 12.7 14.1 10.8 — 7.9 2.8 3.6 — — 2.9 4.5 — 3.4 — — 4.0 18.7
Ipsos/Euronews[110] 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 35.0 13.6 13.4 9.0 — 8.7 <3.0 3.2 — — 2.9 4.0 — 3.3 — — 3.9 21.4
Pulse RC/Skai[111] 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 1,106 35.5 14.0 14.0 9.0 — 8.5 2.5 3.0 — — 3.0 4.0 — 3.0 — — 3.5 21.5
GPO/Parapolitika[112] 26–29 Feb 2024 1,000 36.4 13.5 14.4 10.7 — 8.2 2.4 2.7 — — 2.2 3.4 — 2.9 — — 3.2 22.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[113] 21–27 Feb 2024 1,504 33.9 11.9 13.9 10.1 — 10.2 2.6 3.5 — — 2.7 4.2 — 3.3 — — 3.7 20.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[114] 13–16 Feb 2024 1,004 34.3 12.5 14.6 9.4 — 9.5 2.4 3.7 — — 2.7 3.8 — 3.3 — — 3.8 19.7
Interview/Politic[115] 6–12 Feb 2024 2,155 33.3 14.2 12.8 8.3 — 9.1 — 2.6 — — 2.1 5.1 — 5.1 — — 9.7 19.1
Alco/Alpha[116] 1–7 Feb 2024 1,201 34.5 12.6 15.0 11.2 — 7.5 2.2 3.1 — — 2.8 3.9 — 2.6 — — 4.3 19.5
GPO/Star[117] 20–25 Jan 2024 1,100 38.8 14.0 14.2 9.6 — 7.2 2.7 2.6 — — 2.2 3.3 — 3.0 — — 2.4 24.6
MRB/Open[118] 22–24 Jan 2024 1,000 36.1 12.1 12.1 9.3 — 9.5 2.8 4.0 — — 2.8 3.7 — 2.7 — — 4.8 24.0
Marc/Ant1[119] 17–23 Jan 2024 1,092 37.1 12.6 16.8 9.4 — 7.0 2.9 3.0 — — 3.1 3.1 — 2.4 — — 2.6 20.3
Interview/Politic[120] 10–15 Jan 2024 2,388 31.5 14.1 14.2 10.8 — 8.0 — 2.3 — — 2.6 5.2 — 4.1 — — 7.2 17.3
Prorata/Attica[121] 5–9 Jan 2024 1,000 36.6 12.8 15.9 11.0 — 6.1 1.8 3.0 — — 3.7 3.7 — 3.7 — — 1.8 20.7
Alco/Alpha[122] 2–5 Jan 2024 1,002 35.3 13.8 14.3 11.3 — 6.9 2.4 3.3 — — 3.2 3.3 — 2.7 — — 3.6 21.0
Interview/Politic[123] 4–8 Dec 2023 2,356 34.0 16.1 14.4 7.9 — 7.6 — 3.0 — — 2.3 3.8 — 2.9 — — 7.9 17.9
GPO/Parapolitika[124] 5–7 Dec 2023 1,000 41.7 12.1 13.5 10.3 — 6.6 1.9 2.1 — — 3.4 2.4 — 3.7 — — 2.3 28.3
June 2023 parliamentary election 25 June 2023 – 40.6 17.8 11.8 7.7 — 4.4 2.5 3.2 — 0.3 4.7 3.7 0.4 — — — 2.9 22.8
May 2023 parliamentary election 21 May 2023 – 40.8 20.1 11.5 7.2 — 4.4 2.6 2.9 0.8 0.5 — 2.9 — — — — 6.3 20.7
2019 parliamentary election 7 July 2019 – 39.9 31.5 8.3 5.3 2.9 3.7 3.4 1.5 0.7 0.4 1.3[ai] — — — — — 1.3 8.4
2019 election 26 May 2019 – 33.1 23.8 7.7 5.4 4.9 4.2 3.0[aj] 1.6 0.7 0.4 1.5[ai] — — — — — 13.7 9.3

Hungary[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Hungary#Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Fidesz-KDNP
NI–EPP 		Momentum
Renew 		DK
S&D 		MSZP
S&D 		P
G/EFA 		LMP
G/EFA 		Jobbik
NI 		MMN
EPP 		Our Homeland
NI 		MKKP
G/EFA 		MEMO
NI 		NP
NI 		2RK
NI 		TISZA
NI 		Other Lead
Iránytű 17–19 Apr 2024 1,073 50 3 10 – 1 – 3 4 – – 2 26 1 24
9–12 Apr 2024 53 3 9 – 2 – 6 4 – – 1 20 2 33
Závecz Research 4–11 Apr 2024 1,000 33 7 26 3 1 – 8 5 – – – 14 3 7
Nézőpont 2–4 Apr 2024 1,000 47 4 13 1 1 1 6 11 – 2 2 13 2 34
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,025 47.6
13 		7.2
1 		16.5
4 		– – 2.6
0 		2.8
0 		3.0
0 		9.6
2 		4.2
0 		2.0
0 		– – – 4.7 31.1
Nézőpont 26–28 Feb 2024 1,000 47
13 		7
1 		14
3 		2
0 		2
0 		2
0 		2
0 		4
0 		8
2 		8
2 		– 1
0 		4
0 		– – 33
21 Kutatóközpont 22–26 Feb 2024 1,200 44 9 18 2 1 2 3 3 7 8 – 1 2 – – 26[ak]
44 9 17 1 1 3 2 5 5 6 – 3 3 – – 27[al]
Republikon Jun 2023 – 46 7 19 4 6 6 – 9 4 – – – – – 27
Nézőpont 15–17 May 2023 1,000 51 9 16 2 1 3 5 – 6 3 – – – – 4 35
Závecz Research 28 Apr–5 May 2023 1,000 46 8 19 6 2 4 6 – 7 3 – – – – – 27
Nézőpont 2–4 Jan 2023 1,000 56 6 14 2 1 3 2 6 – 4 – – – – 6 42
2022 parliamentary election 3 Apr 2022 – 54.1 34.4 5.9 3.3 1.0 – – – 1.3 19.7
2019 election 26 May 2019 – 52.6 9.9 16.1 6.6 2.2 6.3 – 3.3 2.6 – – – – 0.4 36.5

Italy[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Italy#Vote
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size FdI PD M5S Lega FI SUE A AVS PTD DSP Libertà Others Lead
10–15 Apr SWG 1,200 27.2 19.4 16.0 8.6 8.4 5.2 4.2 4.1 1.8 1.4 1.9 1.8 7.8
13 Apr Tecnè 27.3 19.8 16.2 7.9 10.1 5.5 3.6 3.7 1.6 2.0 2.3 7.5
8–12 Apr Ixè 1,000 26.6 19.9 16.4 8.0 8.4 4.0 3.7 4.2 1.1 1.3 6.4 6.7
9–11 Apr Termometro Politico 3,700 27.8 19.5 15.6 8.8 8.0 5.1 3.9 3.3 2.4 1.8 1.8 2.4 8.3
8–9 Apr Demopolis 2,000 27.0 20.0 15.8 8.0 8.7 4.6 3.5 3.8 2.2 2.1 2.0 7.0
3–8 Apr SWG 1,200 26.9 19.8 15.6 8.8 7.8 5.3 4.0 3.9 1.6 1.4 1.5 3.4 7.1
8 Apr Euromedia 800 26.9 19.7 17.6 8.7 8.5 4.4 3.8 3.7 1.8 3.7 1.2 7.2
4–5 Apr Quorum 801 27.7 19.8 16.0 7.5 7.8 4.6 3.1 3.9 2.2 1.6 4.7 7.9
2–4 Apr EMG 1,000 27.2 20.2 16.7 7.8 9.0 6.2 3.2 3.3 1.2 5.2 7.0
Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Lega
ID 		PD
S&D 		M5S
NI 		FI
EPP 		NM
EPP 		FdI
ECR 		AVS
Left–G/EFA 		PTD[am]
Left 		+E
Renew 		IV
Renew 		A
Renew 		DSP
NI 		Italexit
NI 		Libertà
NI 		Others Lead
5 Apr 2024 EMG – 7.8 20.2 16.7 9.0 1.0 27.2 3.3 1.2 6.2 3.2 4.2 7.0
27 Mar 2024 Euromedia 800 8.8 19.3 17.5 8.0 0.7 27.5 3.5 2.0 4.7 4.0 1.7 2.3 8.2[an]
8.7 19.5 17.5 8.3 0.6 27.9 3.0 2.0 4.8 4.1 1.7 1.9 8.5[ao]
19–25 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,000 8.0 20.5 16.1 8.7 0.7 27.5 3.3 1.5 2.8 3.3 2.5 1.2 1.5 2.4 7.0
20 Mar 2024 Ipsos – 8.2 19.0 17.4 8.2 27.0 4.1 2.6 3.4 3.0 7.1 8.0
19 Mar 2024 Noto – 8.0 19.0 17.0 8.0 2.0 28.0 3.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 5.5 9.0[an]
7.0 20.0 16.0 8.0 2.0 30.0 3.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 5.0 10.0[ao]
11 Mar 2024 Euromedia 800 8.7 19.7 17.2 7.7 0.7 28.0 3.9 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.0 8.3[an]
8.6 20.2 16.9 8.2 0.4 28.7 3.4 1.5 3.8 4.0 3.3 8.5[ao]
7 Mar 2024 Noto – 8.0 19.5 16.5 7.5 2.0 27.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 5.5 7.5[an]
7.5 20.5 16.5 8.0 1.5 29.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 4.0 8.5[ao]
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,503 8.2 19.0 17.4 8.2 27.0 4.1 2.6 3.4 3.0 7.1 8.0
28 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 Quorum 803 8.1 19.9 15.9 6.6 0.7 27.1 4.6 3.4 3.5 3.7 1.6 4.9 7.2
28 Feb 2024 Euromedia 800 8.6 19.6 17.0 7.9 1.4 27.6 4.0 2.6 3.1 4.3 3.9 8.0[an]
8.7 20.0 17.2 8.5 1.2 28.1 3.9 2.5 3.5 4.0 2.4 8.1[ao]
26–28 Feb 2024 Bidimedia 1,000 8.5 20.0 15.5 7.5 0.8 28.1 3.9 1.5 2.4 3.0 4.3 1.2 1.3 2.0 8.1
25–28 Feb 2024 Cluster17 1,022 9.1 19.7 16.0 7.6 0.4 27.3 4.6 0.7 2.1 3.0 4.0 1.6 1.9 2.1 7.6
20–22 Feb 2024 Ipsos 1,000 8.3 18.3 17.0 7.9 1.1 28.2 3.5 1.8 2.2 3.6 3.3 1.0 2.0 1.8 9.9
17–22 Feb 2024 Stack Data Strategy 944 8.7 19.9 15.5 6.6 0.9 27.1 3.7 1.4 4.2 4.9 3.3 1.7 2.1 7.3
21 Feb 2024 Noto – 8.0 19.5 18.0 7.0 2.0 27.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.5 4.5 8.0
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 Termometro Politico 3,800 9.4 19.6 16.2 6.8 29.1 3.0 1.5 2.4 2.6 3.8 1.7 1.4 2.5 9.5
30–31 Jan 2024 Demopolis – 9.0 20.0 15.8 7.2 28.0 3.6 2.0 2.7 3.8 8.1 8.0
24–31 Jan 2024 Portland 502 7.0 21.0 16.0 10.0 28.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0[ap] 7.0
24–27 Jan 2024 BiDiMedia 1,000 9.0 19.3 16.1 6.6 1.0 28.6 3.8 1.3 2.5 3.1 4.2 1.3 1.2 2.0 9.3
25–26 Jan 2024 Quorum 803 9.3 19.2 13.6 6.5 1.6 28.4 4.3 2.6 2.9 3.7 1.5 6.4 9.2
22–24 Jan 2024 Winpoll 1,000 9.1 21.5 14.6 7.8 27.8 3.0 1.5 2.4 2.5 3.2 1.3 5.3[aq] 6.3
12–22 Jan 2024 Euromedia 800 8.4 19.5 17.8 7.5 0.3 28.5 3.4 2.5 2.8 4.3 1.4 3.6 9.0[an]
8.2 19.0 18.1 7.2 0.3 29.3 3.3 2.4 3.3 4.6 1.4 2.9 9.3[ao]
16 Jan 2024 Noto – 8.0 19.5 17.0 7.0 2.0 28.0 3.5 2.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 8.5[ar]
6.5 20.0 17.0 6.5 1.5 32.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 4.5 12.0[ao]
15–16 Jan 2024 Tecnè 800 8.4 19.8 15.6 9.2 29.0 2.9 3.9 11.2 9.2[an]
8.3 19.5 15.6 9.3 29.3 2.9 3.9 11.0 9.8[ao]
4 Jan 2024 IZI 1,068 9.3 19.5 17.0 7.4 27.1 4.2 3.0 3.0 3.5 6.0 7.6
30 Dec – 4 Jan 2024 Lab2101 1,000 10.2 19.8 16.2 5.8 0.7 29.4 4.0 2.3 2.8 3.9 2.3 2.6 9.6
25 Sep 2022 2022 general election – 8.8 19.0 15.4 8.1 0.9 26.0 3.6 1.4 2.8 7.8 1.2 1.9 4.3 7.0
26 May 2019 2019 European election – 34.3 22.7 17.1 8.8 6.4 4.1* w. LS 3.1 0.9 4.5 7.6
(*) Combined results for Green Europe (EV) and The Left (LS).

Ireland[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Ireland#Polls
Last date
of polling 		Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size 		SF
Left 		FF
Renew 		FG
EPP 		GP
G/EFA 		Lab
S&D 		SD PBP–S Aon O/I[as]
7 April 2024 The Journal/Ireland Thinks[125] 1,334 23 17 20 6 3 6 3 5 17
7 February 2024 The Journal/Ireland Thinks[126] 1,255 26 19 19 6 4 4 3 – [at] 19
8 February 2020 2020 general election — 24.5 22.2 20.9 7.1 4.4 2.9 2.6 1.9 13.5
24 May 2019 2019 EP election — 11.7 16.6 29.6 11.4 3.1 1.2 2.3 – [au] 24.1

Latvia[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Latvia#Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		JV S NA LA Par! ZZS AS JKP PRO TZV CP TVS S! LPV SV AJ Lead
SKDS/LTV[127] March 2024 1.505 16.6 (1) 10.1 (1) 17.1 (2) 8.9 (1) 1.5 3.4 6.1 (1) 3.5 9.6 (1) 0.2 2.1 0.6 6.4 (1) 8.2 (1) 3.8 1.9 0.5
SKDS/LTV[128] 10-14 February 2024 1,505 17.9 (2) 9.1 (1) 16.5 (1) 9.2 (1) 0.6 4.0 7.4 (1) 3.5 8.9 (1) 0.8 2.1 0.5 7.5 (1) 6.6 (1) 3.2 2.3 1.4
2019 election 25 May 2019 – 26.4 (2) 17.6 (2) 16.5 (2) 12.5 (1) 5.6 (0) 5.0 4.4 2.9 0.9 6.8 (1)[av] 0.2 8.7

Malta[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Malta#Opinion polling

It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded by Maltese media houses, who typically align with government or opposition. Where it comes to the third parties and independents, they have always outperformed opinion polling.

Dates Conducted Polling firm Sample
size 		PL ABBA IND/
Others 		Lead Not
voting[aw] 		Don't
know/
Invalid[aw]
7 March - 21 March 2024 MaltaToday 657 52.8 42.6 4.6 10.2 23.4 –
27 Feb –12 Mar 2024 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 52.4 39.3 8.3 13.1 33
26 Jan –05 Feb 2024 MaltaToday 647 47.9 41.0 11.1 6.9 37.5
26 Mar 2022 2022 Maltese general election – 55.1 41.7 n/a 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 13.4 24.4 2.9
25 May 2019 2019 European Parliament election in Malta – 54.3 37.9 3.17 2.7[ax] 0.5[ay] n/a 1.2 16.4 27.3 2.6

Netherlands[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands#Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Total GL–PvdA VVD
Renew 		CDA
EPP 		FvD
NI 		D66
Renew 		SGP
ECR 		CU
EPP 		PvdD
Left 		50PLUS
Renew 		PVV
ID 		SP
Left 		Volt
G/EFA 		DENK
NI 		JA21
ECR 		BBB
EPP 		NSC
EPP 		Others Lead Ref
PvdA
S&D 		GL
G/EFA
I&O Research 12–15 Apr 2024 2,182 31 7 5 2 0 3 1 0 1 0 8 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 [129]
I&O Research 22–25 Mar 2024 1,586 31 7 6 2 0 2 1 0 1 0 9 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 [130]
Ipsos 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 1,890 31 6 5 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 9 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 3 [131]
2019 election 23 May 2019 – 26 6 3 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 – – – 0 2
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		GL–PvdA VVD
Renew 		CDA
EPP 		FvD
NI 		D66
Renew 		SGP
ECR 		CU
EPP 		PvdD
Left 		50PLUS
Renew 		PVV
ID 		SP
Left 		Volt
G/EFA 		DENK
NI 		JA21
ECR 		BBB
EPP 		NSC
EPP 		Others Lead Ref
PvdA
S&D 		GL
G/EFA
I&O Research 12–15 Apr 2024 2,182 18.7% 12.6% 5.4% 3.1% 7.8% 3.3% 3.0% 4.6% – 22.0% 3.6% 4.7% – 1.1% 4.3% 4.2% 1.6% 3.3% [129]
I&O Research 22–25 Mar 2024 1,586 18.6% 14.1% 5.5% 3.0% 7.0% 3.8% 3.1% 4.0% – 25.1% 2.9% 5.2% 0.0% 1.0% 3.9% 3.1% – 6.5% [130]
Ipsos 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 1,890 16.0% 12.7% 5.6% 2.3% 6.0% 2.6% 2.4% 3.7% – 22.4% 3.2% 4.9% – – 4.5% 4.7% 8.8% 6.4% [131]
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 535 17% 12% 5% 2% 5% 3% 1% 3% 1% 25% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4% 12% 1% 8% [132]
2023 parliamentary election 22 Nov 2023 – 15.8% 15.2% 3.3% 2.2% 6.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 0.5% 23.5% 3.1% 1.7% 2.4% 0.7% 4.6% 12.9% 1.4% 7.7%
2023 provincial elections 15 Mar 2023 – 8.4%[az] 9.0% 11.2% 6.6% 3.1% 6.3% 2.5% 3.9%[ba] 4.8% 2.3% 5.8% 4.2% 3.0% 0.6% 4.4% 19.2% – 4.7% 8.0%
2021 parliamentary election 15–17 Mar 2021 – 5.7% 5.2% 21.9% 9.5% 5.0% 15.0% 2.1% 3.4% 3.8% 1.0% 10.8% 6.0% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 1.0% – 2.8% 6.9%
2019 election 23 May 2019 – 19.0% 10.9% 14.6% 12.2% 11.0% 7.1% 6.8% 4.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 1.9% 1.1% – – – 0.5% 4.4%

Poland[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Poland#Opinion polling
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		United Right
ECR 		Third Way
EPP–Ren. 		Civic Coalition
EPP–G/EFA–Ren. 		The Left
S&D 		Confederation
NI 		Others Don't know Lead
Law and Justice Kukiz'15 SLD Spring Left Together
Ipsos / Euronews 23 Feb-5 Mar 2024 1,000 29.2 16.5 31.3 8.4 13.9 2.1
Opinia24 / TOK FM 26–28 Feb 2024 1,002 22 11 31 11 10 3[bb] 11 9
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska 2–13 Feb 2024 2,027 29.0 14.0 33.5 8.5 7.5 1.3 6.2 4.5
Portland Communications 24–31 Jan 2024 632 29 16 35 9 8 3 6
Parliamentary election 15 Oct 2023 21,596,674[bc] 35.38 14.40 30.70 8.61 7.16 3.71 4.68
Parliamentary election 13 Oct 2019 18,678,457[bd] 43.59 8.55 27.40 12.56 6.81 1.09 16.19
European election 26 May 2019 13,647,311[be] 45.38
27 		3.69
0 		38.47
22 		6.06
3 		1.24
0 		4.55
0 		0.60 6.91

Portugal[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Portugal#Opinion polling
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PS
Aliança Democrática 2024 (Portugal) logo.png
 CH BE CDU PAN L IL O Lead
PSD CDS–PP PPM
S&D EPP EPP NI ID Left Left G/EFA G/EFA Renew
Aximage 12–16 Apr 2024 805 58.0 31.3
7/8 		24.8
6 		18.4
4 		5.9
1 		4.1
1 		1.8
0 		3.6
0/1 		5.8
1 		4.3
0 		6.5
2024 legislative elections 10 Mar 2024 — 59.8 28.0
(7) 		28.8
(8) 		18.1
(4) 		4.4
(1) 		3.2
(0) 		1.9
(0) 		3.2
(0) 		4.9
(1) 		7.5
(0) 		0.8
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 2,000 ? 29.6
8 		31.0
8 		3.4
0 		– 14.2
3 		4.4
1 		2.3
0 		2.1
0 		3.6
0 		4.5
1 		4.9
0 		1.4
2022 legislative elections 30 Jan 2022 — 51.5 41.4
(10) 		29.1
(7) 		1.6
(0) 		0.0
(0) 		7.2
(1) 		4.4
(1) 		4.3
(1) 		1.6
(0) 		1.3
(0) 		4.9
(1) 		4.7
(0) 		11.5
2019 legislative elections 6 Oct 2019 — 48.6 36.3
(10) 		27.8
(7) 		4.2
(1) 		0.2
(0) 		1.3
(0) 		9.5
(2) 		6.3
(1) 		3.3
(0) 		1.1
(0) 		1.3
(0) 		8.8
(0) 		8.5
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 — 30.7 33.4
9 		21.9
6 		6.2
1 		1.5
0 		9.8
2 		6.9
2 		5.1
1 		1.8
0 		0.9
0 		12.5
0 		11.5

Romania[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Romania#Opinion polling
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		CNR PUSL
S&D 		AUR ADU PRO
S&D 		UDMR
EPP 		AER AD
ECR 		S.O.S.
ID 		REPER
Renew 		Others Lead
PNL
EPP 		PSD
S&D 		PNȚCD
ECR 		AUR
ECR 		FD
EPP 		PMP
EPP 		USR
Renew 		PER
NI 		PV
G/EFA
INSCOP 12–20 April 2024 1,100 46.6 1.5 — 16.7 13.8 2.7 5.1 2.4 2.0 — 4.5 1.8 2.8 29.9
AtlasIntel 5-9 April 2024 1,764 31.6 2.4 0.8 19.9 24.6 3 4.9 2 — — 8 3.3 1.5 7
Sociopol 26 March-2 April 2024 1,002 47 5 — 23 14 1 4 2 — — 3 0 1 24
CURS 19-28 March 2024 1,067 53 4 — 14 14 — 5 — — — 5 — 5 39
CSPS 17-29 March 2024 2,088 37 — — 27 21 — 4 — — — — — 11 10
Euractiv March 2024 — 42 — — 25 14 2 5 — — — 5 1 6 17
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 970 42.4 3.0 — 20.7 14.2 5.1 3.4 — — — 5.9 — 5.2 21.7
INSCOP 22-29 Feb 2024 1,100 43.7 — — 20.6 13.7 3.7 3.9 3.4 — 6.4 0.9 3.7 23.1
Sociopol Feb 2024 – 42 1 — 28 15 2 5 2 — 0 3 1 1[bf] 14
17 31 1 — 24 13 2 5 2 — 0 3 1 1[bg] 14
INSOMAR Feb 2024 1,030 40.8 1.5 — 30.5 11.5 1.7 4.5 — — — 2 — 7.5[bh] 10.3
Avangarde 19–20 Feb 2024 950 20 31 — — 18 15 — 5 — — — 8 2 1 11
CURS 3–14 Feb 2024 1,067 20 31 2 — 20 13 2 4 — — — 4 — 4[bi] 11
INSCOP 16-24 Jan 2024 1,100 18.8 29.5 — — 18.4 12.9 3.0 4.8 3.5 — 6.5 0.5 2 10.7
CURS 15–27 Jan 2024 1,082 19 30 3 — 21 14 — 5 — — — 4 — 4 9
Avangarde 8-22 Jan 2024 1,150 21 31 — — 19 14 — 5 — — — 8 1 1 10
INSOMAR Jan 2024 1,050 21 25 — — 22 — 2 9 1 3 — — — 3 — 9[bj] 3
Sociopol Jan 2024 – 17 29 1 0 23 13 2 5 2 — 1 3 1 1[bk] 6
CIRA Jan 2024 1,000 20 30 — — 18 2 2 14 — 5 — — — 6 2 1 10
CURS 26–30 Dec 2023 852 19 31 4 — 19 1 4 9 2 4 — — — 5 — 2 12
Mercury Research 30 Oct–6 Nov 2023 1,227 16 26 0 — 19 22 — 3 — — — 7 1 5 4
16 28 1 — 19 2 4 15 — 3 — — — 7 1 3 9
Avangarde 20–28 Sep 2023 994 21 31 — — 19 1 3 13 1 5 — — — 5 — 1 10
LARICS 11–25 Sep 2023 1,003 22.9 31.5 1.0 — 14.6 — 4.4 15.2 — 3.2 — — — 4.7 — 2.4 8.6
INSOMAR 28–31 Aug 2023 1,030 15 25 2 — 27 3 3 7 — 4 — — — 4 — 10 2
2020 parliamentary election 6 Dec 2020 6.058.625 25.2 28.9 1.0 — 9.1 — 4.9 15.4 4.1 5.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 — — 4.1 3.7
2019 election 26 May 2019 9.069.822 27.0 22.5 — — 5.8 22.4 6.4 5.3 — — — — — 6.6 4.5

Slovenia[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Slovenia#Opinion polling
Fieldwork date Polling firm Publisher(s) Sample size SDS
EPP 		SLS
EPP 		SD
S&D 		NSi
EPP 		Levica
Left 		GS
Renew 		Resni.ca
NI 		PPS
G/EFA 		Vesna
G/EFA 		Logar
NI 		Prebilič
NI 		Gregorčič
NI 		Rupar
NI 		Others None Und. Abst. Lead Source
5–7 Mar 2024 Mediana Delo 723 20.7 2.4 6.4 6.2 4.5 13.0 4.1 3.3 3.3 – – – 2.7 1.7 6.4 18.6 4.3 7.7 [133]
4–7 Dec 2023 Ninamedia – 700 14.6 – 11.4 6.3 4.0 11.6 – – – 12.4 8.3 3.7 0.9 – – 19.7 7.1 2.2 [134]
24 April 2022 2022 parliamentary election – – 23.48 3.41 6.69 6.86 4.46 34.45 2.86 1.63 1.35 — — — — 14.81 (29.04) 10.97
26 May 2019 2019 election – – 26.25 18.66 11.12 6.43 — — — — — — — — 37.54 (71.11) 7.59

Slovakia[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Slovakia#Opinion polls
Polling firm Date Sample
size 		PS
Renew 		Democrats
EPP 		Smer
NI 		ĽSNS
NI 		Život
NI 		SNS
ID 		KDH
EPP 		SASKA
ECR 		KÚ
ECR 		OĽaNO
EPP 		ZĽ
EPP 		MA
EPP 		SR
ID 		Hlas
S&D 		Republika
NI 		Others Lead
AKO for JOJ 24[135] 9–16 April 2024 1,000 27.2%
5 		2.7%
0 		15.2%
3 		1.0%
0 		4.1%
0 		6.7%
1 		6.5%
1 		0.8%
0 		3.2%
0 		5.0%
1 		— 14.2%
3 		7.5%
1 		5.9%[bl] 12.0
Ipsos for Euronews[136] 23 February – 5 March 2024 1,502 24.6%
5 		2.3%
0 		26.7%
5 		2.1%
0 		4.8%
0 		8.2%
2 		4.6%
0 		4.9%
0 		2.4%
0 		— 11.8%
2 		6.4%
1 		1.2% 2.1
2023 elections 30 Sep 2023 2,967,896 17.96% 2.21% 22.95% 0.84% 5.63% 6.82% 6.32% 8.90% 4.39% 2.93% 14.70% 4.75% 1.60% 4.99
2020 elections 29 Feb 2020 2,881,511 6.97% 18.29% 7.97% 3.16% 4.65% 6.22% 25.03% 5.77% 3.91% 8.24% — — 9.34% 6.74
2019 elections 25 May 2019 985,680 20.11%
4 		15.72%
3 		12.07%
2 		2.07%
0 		4.09%
0 		9.70%
2 		9.62%
2 		3.85%
0 		5.26%
1 		— 4.96%
0 		3.23%
0 		— — 9.32% 4.29

Sweden[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Sweden#Opinion polls
Polling execution Parties
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size V
Left 		S
S&D 		MP
G/EFA 		C
Renew 		L
Renew 		M
EPP 		KD
EPP 		SD
ECR 		Oth. Lead
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,003 9.6
2 		30.4
6 		8.3
2 		7.0
1 		4.7
1 		16.4
4 		4.5
1 		17.5
4 		1.5
0 		12.9
Novus 19 Feb–3 Mar 2024 504 7.3
2 		32.4
7 		8.0
2 		4.6
1 		3.3
0 		18.1
4 		4.2
1 		20.5
4 		1.7
0 		11.9
2022 general election 11 Sep 2022 – 6.8
1 		30.3
7 		5.1
1 		6.7
1 		4.6
1 		19.1
4 		5.3
1 		20.5
5 		1.5
0 		9.8
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 – 6.8
1 		23.5
5 		11.5
3 		10.8
2 		4.1
1 		16.8
4 		8.6
2 		15.3
3 		2.5
0 		6.7

Spain[edit]

This section is transcluded from 2024 European Parliament election in Spain#Opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSOE PP CS
Podemos 		Vox AR Junts CEUS Sumar Lead
SocioMétrica/El Español[137] 9–12 Apr 2024 2,550 ? 26.3
17 		38.1
25 		1.7
1 		2.4
1 		10.9
7 		6.1
4 		2.6
1 		1.8
1 		[bm] 6.7
4 		11.8
GAD3/Mediaset[138] 18–21 Mar 2024 1,017 ? 26.5
18/19 		37.8
25/26 		0.3
0 		3.5
2 		9.2
6 		4.4
3 		2.7
1 		2.4
1 		[bm] 7.2
4 		11.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[139] 5–9 Mar 2024 2,900 ? 24.5
16 		40.1
26 		0.9
0 		1.9
1 		10.6
7 		4.9
3 		3.0
2 		1.2
0 		[bm] 9.3
6 		15.6
Ipsos/Euronews[140][141] 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 2,000 ? 28.6
19 		37.7
25 		– 2.4
1 		10.4
6 		3.8
2 		2.5
1 		2.0
1 		[bm] 9.7
6 		9.1
GAD3/ABC[142] 26–29 Feb 2024 1,005 ? 27.1
18 		38.4
26 		– 3.0
2 		8.6
6 		4.3
2 		2.7
1 		2.4
1 		[bm] 7.3
5 		11.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[143] 5–9 Feb 2024 2,900 ? 28.1
18 		38.3
25 		?
0 		1.0
0 		11.7
7 		3.2
2 		3.4
2 		1.5
1 		[bm] 10.2
6 		10.2
NC Report/La Razón[144] 12–18 Jan 2024 1,000 61.5 28.3
18 		37.5
25 		0.4
0 		1.7
1 		10.4
6 		3.0
2 		3.3
2 		2.1
1 		[bm] 9.1
6 		9.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[145] 25–31 Dec 2023 2,309 ? 28.5
19 		37.1
24 		1.1
0 		3.3
2 		11.0
7 		3.2
2 		4.4
2 		1.3
0 		[bm] 8.8
5 		8.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[146] 15–26 Dec 2023 2,992 ? 29.2
19 		38.1
25 		0.2
0 		2.6
1 		11.8
7 		2.8
1 		2.3
1 		2.0
1 		[bm] 10.1
6 		8.9
SocioMétrica/El Español[147] 20–24 Nov 2023 2,109 ? 29.2
19 		36.8
25 		1.1
0 		2.0
1 		10.2
6 		4.2
2 		5.1
3 		1.3
0 		[bm] 8.0
5 		7.6
2023 general election 23 Jul 2023 — 66.6 31.7
(20) 		33.1
(21) 		– [bm] 12.4
(7) 		3.9
(2) 		1.7
(1) 		1.6
(1) 		[bm] 12.3
(7) 		1.4
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 — 66.2 28.0
(18) 		20.8
(13) 		6.8
(4) 		12.9
(8) 		15.1
(10) 		5.3
(3) 		2.2
(1) 		2.8
(1) 		2.4
(1) 		– 7.2
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 — 60.7 32.9
21 		20.2
13 		12.2
8 		10.1
6 		6.2
4 		5.6
3 		4.5
3 		2.8
1 		1.3
0 		– 12.7

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ PP-DB is an electoral alliance, including parties with different european affiliations. PP has expressed interest in joining Renew Europe,[86] while MEP Radan Kanev from DSB sits in the EPP Group and DaB! is considering applying for EPP membership.[87] The Green Movement is affiliated with the European Green Party.
  2. ^ ITN has announced its intention to join the ECR Group.[88]
  3. ^ Includes BV and Levitsata!, both at 1.8% and winning no seats
  4. ^ Includes BV at 2.9% and Levitsata! at 2.2%, both winning no seats
  5. ^ Democratic Bulgaria only
  6. ^ with Trikolora
  7. ^ ODS 14.6%, KDU-ČSL 7.2%
  8. ^ with TOP 09
  9. ^ Included under Others.
  10. ^ Alliance with R&PS and Volt France
  11. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p PRG and Bernard Cazeneuve's The Convention
  12. ^ a b Dupont-Aignan retires as of March 26
  13. ^ a b RE list led by Valérie Hayer, confirmed as candidate on February 29th
  14. ^ a b RE list led by Clément Beaune
  15. ^ a b RE list led by Julien Denormandie
  16. ^ a b c d e RE list led by Olivier Véran
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y RE list led by Stéphane Séjourné
  18. ^ RE list led by Bruno Le Maire
  19. ^ RE list led by Thierry Breton
  20. ^ LFI–PS list led by Segolène Royal
  21. ^ LFI list led by Segolène Royal
  22. ^ NUPES list led by Marie Toussaint (EELV)
  23. ^ NUPES list led by Manon Aubry (LFI)
  24. ^ NUPES list led by Léon Deffontaines (PCF)
  25. ^ NUPES list led by Olivier Faure (PS)
  26. ^ NUPES list led by LFI and EELV
  27. ^ a b NUPES list led by EELV
  28. ^ endorsed LO
  29. ^ with MEI and MdP
  30. ^ with PS
  31. ^ with EELV
  32. ^ incl. UDI with 2.50%
  33. ^ Die Partei has 2 seats, Tierschutz has one seat.
  34. ^ De facto banned, popular former XA member Ilias Kasidiaris supported Spartans for the 2023 Greek legislative election.
  35. ^ a b Alongside Union of Centrists.
  36. ^ 49 votes below the 3% threshold.
  37. ^ without leaders
  38. ^ with leaders
  39. ^ Polls before 12 March 2024 refer to it as People's Union (UP).
  40. ^ a b c d e f g Without leaders
  41. ^ a b c d e f g h With leaders
  42. ^ SVP 0.0%
  43. ^ PSI 0.8%
  44. ^ With party symbols
  45. ^ The figure for 'Others/Independents' (including Independents 4 Change candidates) is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  46. ^ Not specifically mentioned in the report.
  47. ^ Did not contest this election.
  48. ^ Latvian Russian Union: 6.3% (1); Centre Party: 0.5%
  49. ^ a b Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  50. ^ Combined result of Democratic Alternative and Democratic Party vote shares before party merger
  51. ^ As Alliance for Change
  52. ^ including GL–PvdA joint list in Zeeland
  53. ^ including CU–SGP joint list in North Brabant
  54. ^ KORWiN – 1
  55. ^ Turnout: 74,38%
  56. ^ Turnout: 61,74%
  57. ^ Turnout: 45,69%
  58. ^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  59. ^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  60. ^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 4.2%
  61. ^ Party of the Patriots: 2%
  62. ^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 3%
  63. ^ Independents 2%, ALDE 0%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  64. ^ Common Sense 1.5%, SRDCE 1.2%, SOSK 0.7%, PEL 0.7%, SDKÚ-DS 0.5%, Piráti 0.5%, MySlovensko 0.5%, SĽS 0.3%, SOS 0.1%, Volt 0.1%, Slovak PATRIOT 0.0%, Socialisti.sk 0.0%
  65. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Within Sumar.

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