2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky

November 8, 2016
Turnout	59.10%
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 8 0 Popular vote 1,202,971 628,854 Percentage 62.52% 32.68%
Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90-100% Clinton   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90-100% Tie/No Data
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Although Kentucky was won twice by southern Democrat Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, Trump easily carried the state with 62.52% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's 32.68%, a margin of 29.84%. Trump won Kentucky by the largest margin of any Republican in history, and he swept counties across the state. Clinton only carried the state's two most urban and populous counties: Jefferson County, home to Louisville; and Fayette County, home to Lexington, both of which traditionally vote Democratic. The Bluegrass State was also one of eleven states to have twice voted for Bill Clinton but against his wife Hillary in 2016.

Trump's victory in Kentucky made it his fifth-strongest state in the 2016 election after West Virginia, Wyoming, Oklahoma, and North Dakota. Most notably, Trump ended Elliott County's nearly 150-year tradition of voting Democratic in every presidential election, winning with 2,000 votes to Clinton's 740, or 70%–26%. Nevertheless, he became the first Republican since Warren G. Harding in 1920 to win the White House without carrying Fayette County.

Caucuses

Republican caucus

Republican primary results by county.

  Donald Trump

  Ted Cruz

Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 5% or more of the vote proportionally.

In order to avoid a local law forbidding one candidate to run for two offices in the same primary, Rand Paul paid to have a presidential caucus, which took place on March 5. Paul dropped out prior to this.

Kentucky Republican caucuses, March 2016

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	82,493	35.92%	17	0	17
Ted Cruz	72,503	31.57%	15	0	15
Marco Rubio	37,579	16.36%	7	0	7
John Kasich	33,134	14.43%	7	0	7
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	1,951	0.85%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	872	0.38%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	496	0.22%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	305	0.13%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	174	0.08%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	65	0.03%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	64	0.03%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	31	0.03%	0	0	0
Total:	229,667	100.00%	40	0	40
Source: The Green Papers, Republican Party of Kentucky

Democratic primary

Main article: 2016 Kentucky Democratic primary

Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

• Hillary Clinton
• Bernie Sanders
• Rocky De La Fuente
• Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)

Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	212,534	46.76%	28	2	30
Bernie Sanders	210,623	46.33%	27	0	27
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	5,713	1.26%
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente	1,594	0.35%
Uncommitted	24,104	5.30%	0	3	3
Total	454,568	100%	55	5	60
Source: The Green Papers, Kentucky Secretary of State

General Election

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Kentucky

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Kentucky as of Election Day.

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times	Safe R	November 6, 2016
CNN	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe R	November 7, 2016
NBC	Likely R	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Fox News	Safe R	November 7, 2016
ABC	Safe R	November 7, 2016

Results by county

County	Clinton%	Clinton#	Trump%	Trump#	Johnson%	Johnson#	McMullin%	McMullin#	Stein%	Stein#	Others%	Others#	Totals#
Adair	16.07%	1,323	80.61%	6,637	1.71%	141	1.12%	92	0.43%	35	0.06%	5	8,233
Allen	16.66%	1,349	79.87%	6,466	1.99%	161	0.78%	63	0.57%	46	0.14%	11	8,096
Anderson	23.06%	2,634	72.16%	8,242	2.79%	319	1.44%	165	0.47%	54	0.07%	8	11,422
Ballard	19.90%	816	77.08%	3,161	1.88%	77	0.56%	23	0.49%	20	0.10%	4	4,101
Barren	23.12%	4,275	72.93%	13,483	2.46%	455	0.90%	167	0.50%	93	0.08%	15	18,488
Bath	29.67%	1,361	67.19%	3,082	1.64%	75	0.76%	35	0.52%	24	0.22%	10	4,587
Bell	17.70%	1,720	79.89%	7,764	1.48%	144	0.45%	44	0.43%	42	0.04%	4	9,718
Boone	26.08%	15,026	67.83%	39,082	3.99%	2,299	1.32%	763	0.66%	380	0.12%	68	57,618
Bourbon	31.71%	2,791	63.26%	5,569	3.21%	283	1.09%	96	0.59%	52	0.14%	12	8,803
Boyd	29.44%	6,021	66.45%	13,591	2.42%	496	0.82%	168	0.82%	167	0.05%	11	20,454
Boyle	33.07%	4,281	62.10%	8,040	2.82%	365	1.31%	169	0.56%	73	0.14%	18	12,946
Bracken	19.99%	705	76.86%	2,711	1.45%	51	0.99%	35	0.57%	20	0.14%	5	3,527
Breathitt	26.79%	1,537	69.55%	3,991	2.04%	117	0.84%	48	0.61%	35	0.17%	10	5,738
Breckinridge	22.34%	1,960	73.90%	6,484	2.21%	194	0.91%	80	0.54%	47	0.10%	9	8,774
Bullitt	22.89%	8,255	72.67%	26,210	2.67%	964	0.98%	354	0.70%	253	0.09%	33	36,069
Butler	16.98%	947	79.41%	4,428	2.44%	136	0.95%	53	0.00%	0	0.22%	12	5,576
Caldwell	21.09%	1,260	75.43%	4,507	1.97%	118	0.92%	55	0.54%	32	0.05%	3	5,975
Calloway	29.59%	4,749	64.60%	10,367	3.07%	492	1.75%	281	0.93%	150	0.06%	10	16,049
Campbell	34.48%	14,658	58.93%	25,050	4.21%	1,789	1.30%	552	0.99%	422	0.09%	39	42,510
Carlisle	16.61%	432	80.51%	2,094	1.61%	42	0.73%	19	0.46%	12	0.08%	2	2,601
Carroll	28.69%	1,106	67.13%	2,588	2.59%	100	0.86%	33	0.62%	24	0.10%	4	3,855
Carter	22.14%	2,276	73.82%	7,587	2.31%	237	1.06%	109	0.56%	58	0.11%	11	10,278
Casey	11.91%	767	85.14%	5,482	1.88%	121	0.62%	40	0.43%	28	0.02%	1	6,439
Christian	32.55%	7,188	63.89%	14,108	2.15%	474	0.81%	179	0.54%	120	0.06%	14	22,083
Clark	29.04%	4,706	66.09%	10,710	2.80%	453	1.25%	203	0.75%	121	0.07%	12	16,205
Clay	11.11%	752	86.61%	5,861	1.23%	83	0.59%	40	0.38%	26	0.07%	5	6,767
Clinton	12.26%	547	85.37%	3,809	1.34%	60	0.52%	23	0.34%	15	0.18%	8	4,462
Crittenden	15.28%	617	81.50%	3,290	1.88%	76	0.89%	36	0.42%	17	0.02%	1	4,037
Cumberland	14.97%	459	81.60%	2,502	2.19%	67	0.72%	22	0.36%	11	0.16%	5	3,066
Daviess	30.92%	14,163	63.11%	28,907	3.25%	1,488	1.62%	741	0.99%	453	0.12%	55	45,807
Edmonson	18.67%	979	78.85%	4,135	1.47%	77	0.53%	28	0.38%	20	0.10%	5	5,244
Elliott	25.92%	740	70.05%	2,000	2.35%	67	0.74%	21	0.67%	19	0.28%	8	2,855
Estill	19.98%	1,108	76.39%	4,236	2.33%	129	0.63%	35	0.54%	30	0.13%	7	5,545
Fayette	51.19%	69,778	41.74%	56,894	3.84%	5,230	1.93%	2,636	1.16%	1,580	0.14%	197	136,315
Fleming	21.53%	1,348	75.43%	4,722	1.74%	109	0.81%	51	0.32%	20	0.16%	10	6,260
Floyd	24.27%	4,015	72.51%	11,993	2.16%	357	0.60%	100	0.34%	56	0.11%	19	16,540
Franklin	44.91%	10,717	49.52%	11,819	3.04%	725	1.44%	343	0.99%	236	0.10%	25	23,865
Fulton	32.49%	774	65.03%	1,549	1.47%	35	0.67%	16	0.29%	7	0.04%	1	2,382
Gallatin	22.44%	749	73.19%	2,443	3.00%	100	0.72%	24	0.54%	18	0.12%	4	3,338
Garrard	19.06%	1,453	77.45%	5,904	2.06%	157	0.87%	66	0.43%	33	0.13%	10	7,623
Grant	19.98%	1,910	76.03%	7,268	2.36%	226	0.80%	76	0.74%	71	0.08%	8	9,559
Graves	19.92%	3,308	76.30%	12,671	2.48%	411	0.67%	112	0.48%	80	0.14%	24	16,606
Grayson	18.52%	1,959	77.71%	8,219	2.45%	259	0.77%	81	0.43%	46	0.11%	12	10,576
Green	15.60%	832	81.98%	4,372	1.58%	84	0.36%	19	0.45%	24	0.04%	2	5,333
Greenup	25.47%	4,146	70.93%	11,546	1.96%	319	0.89%	145	0.67%	109	0.07%	12	16,277
Hancock	28.96%	1,244	64.91%	2,788	3.00%	129	2.03%	87	1.02%	44	0.07%	3	4,295
Hardin	32.31%	13,944	62.50%	26,971	3.27%	1,413	1.02%	440	0.80%	346	0.10%	42	43,156
Harlan	12.75%	1,372	84.87%	9,129	1.45%	156	0.45%	48	0.36%	39	0.12%	13	10,757
Harrison	26.10%	2,031	69.85%	5,435	2.36%	184	1.00%	78	0.59%	46	0.09%	7	7,781
Hart	23.82%	1,730	73.24%	5,320	1.93%	140	0.44%	32	0.54%	39	0.04%	3	7,264
Henderson	34.03%	6,707	61.69%	12,159	2.57%	507	0.90%	177	0.72%	142	0.09%	18	19,710
Henry	25.57%	1,828	69.16%	4,944	3.13%	224	1.23%	88	0.81%	58	0.10%	7	7,149
Hickman	20.82%	449	76.82%	1,657	1.21%	26	0.88%	19	0.28%	6	0.00%	0	2,157
Hopkins	21.18%	4,310	75.09%	15,277	2.35%	478	0.80%	163	0.48%	97	0.10%	20	20,345
Jackson	8.76%	482	88.87%	4,889	1.44%	79	0.49%	27	0.36%	20	0.07%	4	5,501
Jefferson	54.05%	190,836	40.72%	143,768	2.89%	10,188	1.36%	4,785	0.91%	3,224	0.08%	298	353,099
Jessamine	26.34%	6,144	66.34%	15,474	3.55%	829	2.89%	675	0.73%	170	0.15%	34	23,326
Johnson	13.06%	1,250	84.03%	8,043	1.70%	163	0.46%	44	0.63%	60	0.13%	12	9,572
Kenton	33.63%	24,214	59.67%	42,958	4.30%	3,093	1.30%	938	0.98%	703	0.13%	92	71,998
Knott	21.60%	1,245	75.60%	4,357	1.77%	102	0.68%	39	0.00%	0	0.35%	20	5,763
Knox	14.66%	1,761	82.29%	9,885	1.57%	189	0.85%	102	0.53%	64	0.09%	11	12,012
LaRue	20.07%	1,278	75.37%	4,799	2.73%	174	1.26%	80	0.44%	28	0.13%	8	6,367
Laurel	13.85%	3,440	82.92%	20,592	1.90%	473	0.77%	192	0.46%	114	0.09%	22	24,833
Lawrence	17.30%	1,045	79.71%	4,816	1.77%	107	0.61%	37	0.53%	32	0.08%	5	6,042
Lee	16.65%	444	80.65%	2,151	1.57%	42	0.71%	19	0.26%	7	0.15%	4	2,667
Leslie	8.90%	400	89.38%	4,015	0.87%	39	0.40%	18	0.33%	15	0.11%	5	4,492
Letcher	16.88%	1,542	79.84%	7,293	2.30%	210	0.54%	49	0.41%	37	0.03%	3	9,134
Lewis	14.82%	785	82.35%	4,363	1.79%	95	0.64%	34	0.30%	16	0.09%	5	5,298
Lincoln	19.51%	1,865	76.75%	7,338	2.36%	226	0.86%	82	0.46%	44	0.06%	6	9,561
Livingston	19.10%	887	76.86%	3,570	2.48%	115	0.99%	46	0.52%	24	0.06%	3	4,645
Logan	25.28%	2,755	71.36%	7,778	2.10%	229	0.83%	91	0.39%	43	0.03%	3	10,899
Lyon	26.38%	1,045	70.39%	2,789	1.87%	74	0.91%	36	0.38%	15	0.08%	3	3,962
Madison	31.56%	11,793	62.70%	23,431	3.18%	1,189	1.48%	552	0.94%	353	0.14%	53	37,371
Magoffin	22.91%	1,172	74.75%	3,824	1.29%	66	0.66%	34	0.33%	17	0.06%	3	5,116
Marion	33.03%	2,679	63.15%	5,122	2.65%	215	0.73%	59	0.41%	33	0.04%	3	8,111
Marshall	21.99%	3,672	73.79%	12,322	2.55%	426	1.04%	174	0.50%	84	0.12%	20	16,698
Martin	9.18%	363	88.62%	3,503	1.32%	52	0.51%	20	0.33%	13	0.05%	2	3,953
Mason	27.29%	1,970	68.49%	4,944	2.40%	173	1.21%	87	0.53%	38	0.10%	7	7,219
McCracken	29.18%	9,134	66.36%	20,774	2.68%	839	1.02%	320	0.69%	217	0.07%	23	31,307
McCreary	11.50%	664	86.77%	5,012	1.02%	59	0.33%	19	0.31%	18	0.07%	4	5,776
McLean	21.64%	988	74.05%	3,381	3.00%	137	0.96%	44	0.33%	15	0.02%	1	4,566
Meade	24.74%	3,026	70.80%	8,660	2.72%	333	0.87%	107	0.79%	97	0.07%	8	12,231
Menifee	25.19%	700	72.33%	2,010	1.55%	43	0.50%	14	0.40%	11	0.04%	1	2,779
Mercer	22.63%	2,395	73.12%	7,740	2.60%	275	0.95%	101	0.64%	68	0.06%	6	10,585
Metcalfe	21.13%	976	75.56%	3,491	1.86%	86	0.89%	41	0.48%	22	0.09%	4	4,620
Monroe	12.04%	601	85.71%	4,278	1.52%	76	0.46%	23	0.26%	13	0.00%	0	4,991
Montgomery	27.58%	3,158	68.60%	7,856	2.31%	264	0.79%	91	0.59%	68	0.13%	15	11,452
Morgan	21.07%	1,006	75.98%	3,628	1.32%	63	0.90%	43	0.54%	26	0.19%	9	4,775
Muhlenberg	25.05%	3,272	71.92%	9,393	1.76%	230	0.82%	107	0.34%	44	0.11%	14	13,060
Nelson	30.93%	6,434	64.57%	13,431	2.72%	565	0.97%	201	0.63%	131	0.19%	40	20,802
Nicholas	27.70%	787	68.88%	1,957	2.29%	65	0.67%	19	0.32%	9	0.14%	4	2,841
Ohio	20.00%	2,080	76.38%	7,942	1.99%	207	1.01%	105	0.62%	64	0.00%	0	10,398
Oldham	31.25%	10,268	62.30%	20,469	3.74%	1,229	1.80%	590	0.86%	282	0.05%	15	32,853
Owen	21.24%	1,062	74.89%	3,745	2.44%	122	0.86%	43	0.50%	25	0.08%	4	5,001
Owsley	14.55%	256	83.80%	1,474	1.36%	24	0.00%	0	0.00%	0	0.28%	5	1,759
Pendleton	19.38%	1,164	76.64%	4,604	2.41%	145	1.10%	66	0.45%	27	0.02%	1	6,007
Perry	20.20%	2,136	77.17%	8,158	1.59%	168	0.54%	57	0.44%	47	0.06%	6	10,572
Pike	17.35%	4,280	80.06%	19,747	1.67%	413	0.50%	124	0.35%	86	0.06%	15	24,665
Powell	25.66%	1,272	70.87%	3,513	2.38%	118	0.44%	22	0.54%	27	0.10%	5	4,957
Pulaski	15.01%	4,208	81.67%	22,902	2.00%	562	0.78%	218	0.45%	127	0.09%	24	28,041
Robertson	21.92%	222	74.93%	759	1.88%	19	0.79%	8	0.49%	5	0.00%	0	1,013
Rockcastle	13.68%	915	83.83%	5,609	1.30%	87	0.75%	50	0.37%	25	0.07%	5	6,691
Rowan	37.24%	3,295	58.48%	5,174	2.34%	207	0.77%	68	0.96%	85	0.21%	19	8,848
Russell	13.37%	1,093	83.96%	6,863	1.87%	153	0.59%	48	0.00%	0	0.21%	17	8,174
Scott	31.88%	7,715	62.20%	15,052	3.52%	853	1.66%	402	0.57%	139	0.16%	39	24,200
Shelby	30.50%	6,276	64.12%	13,196	3.06%	629	1.57%	324	0.67%	138	0.08%	17	20,580
Simpson	28.47%	2,144	67.41%	5,077	2.66%	200	0.86%	65	0.50%	38	0.09%	7	7,531
Spencer	20.19%	1,921	75.63%	7,196	2.49%	237	1.17%	111	0.46%	44	0.06%	6	9,515
Taylor	22.58%	2,553	73.59%	8,320	2.06%	233	1.26%	142	0.47%	53	0.04%	5	11,306
Todd	21.80%	1,042	75.58%	3,612	1.34%	64	0.56%	27	0.54%	26	0.17%	8	4,779
Trigg	23.51%	1,587	73.04%	4,931	1.79%	121	0.87%	59	0.67%	45	0.12%	8	6,751
Trimble	23.14%	879	72.96%	2,771	2.32%	88	0.74%	28	0.53%	20	0.31%	12	3,798
Union	21.43%	1,331	75.69%	4,701	1.85%	115	0.53%	33	0.47%	29	0.03%	2	6,211
Warren	35.01%	16,966	59.18%	28,673	3.31%	1,605	1.56%	757	0.86%	415	0.08%	38	48,454
Washington	25.20%	1,420	71.20%	4,013	1.97%	111	1.06%	60	0.30%	17	0.27%	15	5,636
Wayne	17.91%	1,431	79.72%	6,371	1.45%	116	0.51%	41	0.38%	30	0.04%	3	7,992
Webster	21.36%	1,240	75.75%	4,397	1.91%	111	0.59%	34	0.38%	22	0.02%	1	5,805
Whitley	15.01%	2,067	82.13%	11,312	1.76%	242	0.75%	103	0.30%	41	0.07%	9	13,774
Wolfe	28.58%	753	68.46%	1,804	1.59%	42	0.99%	26	0.34%	9	0.04%	1	2,635
Woodford	36.56%	4,958	56.75%	7,697	3.90%	529	1.81%	246	0.86%	117	0.12%	16	13,563
Totals	32.68%	628,854	62.52%	1,202,971	2.79%	53,752	1.18%	22,780	0.72%	13,913	0.10%	1,879	1,924,149

County Flips:

Democratic

  Hold

Republican

  Hold

  Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Elliot (largest city: Sandy Hook)
• Franklin (largest city: Frankfort)

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	72%	24%	Ed Whitfield
			James Comer
2nd	68%	28%	Brett Guthrie
3rd	40%	55%	John Yarmuth
4th	65%	29%	Thomas Massie
5th	80%	18%	Hal Rogers
6th	55%	39%	Andy Barr

See also

• Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
• Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
• Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
• Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Kentucky