Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers, Game 4 Best Bets: Are the Oilers Hurting Us Again?

We are back in Edmonton as the Oilers look to even the series once again against the Canucks. Vancouver was able to win Game 3 and take a 2-1 series lead, despite being outshot 45-18 in the contest. Stuart Skinner’s goaltending has not helped the Oilers at all, and Arturs Silovs has been incredible in this series.

This series alone, Silovs has stopped 83 of 94 shots sent his way, stopping over 88% of shots from the Oilers. Now, he’s has plenty of help from both his offense, who are finding ways to score despite only putting up 20 shots per game, and his defense, who are blocking 18 shots per game this series. Point being, the Canucks are playing rock solid on all facets of the ice, and it’s showing as they lead the Oilers.

One could argue that Skinner has let down the Oilers a bit, stopping just 49/61 shots for a .803 Save Percentage. Something needs to change for Edmonton, and it needs to happen tonight. The last thing they want to do is go back to Vancouver in a potential elimination game.

Vancouver Holds a 2-1 Series Lead

Matchup Information – Canucks vs Oilers

• Venue & Location: Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB)
• Date: Tuesday, May 13th, 2024
• Puck Drop: 9:30pm Eastern
• Where to Watch: ESPN

Betting Odds, courtesy of BetOnline

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Puck Line

• Canucks +1.5 (-145)
• Oilers -1.5 (+125)

Money Line

• Canucks +172
• Oilers -194

Total

• Over 6.5 (-103)
• Under 6.5 (-113)

How Will Edmonton Respond in Game 4?

I have been burned by the Oilers twice now this series, and gosh darn it, I’ll probably let them do it again. Silovs has been amazing, and I don’t want to take anything away from his performance, but he can’t keep it up, can he?

It took 42 saves for the Canucks to get the win last game, while they somehow slipped 4 by Stuart Skinner on just 18 shots on net. The Canucks are getting out shot by Edmonton 237-172 in 7 total games this season, and outshot 94-61 in three games of this playoffs. That’s not sustainable at all. The Oilers put over 10 more shots per game than Vancouver, yet because of mediocre goaltending, the Canucks lead 2-1. Certainly the tides will turn.

Ultimately, I’ve got to lean with the Oilers. Skinner is due for progression, Silovs is due for regression. When you shoot 10 more shots than the other team, I really like your chances. And that’s a team I’m going to bet on. However, I don’t see much value backing them straight. Instead, I’m going right back to the man we bet on in Game 3.

Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers Best Bets

Best Bet: Connor McDavid Over 3.5 SOGs (-104) BetOnline

Listen, this guy rips the puck, especially at home, and his team needs him now more than ever.

McDavid has 4+ shots in just 38% of games this season, but he’s done it in 56% of his games at home. The dude’s a mad man. In his L12 against the Canucks, McDavid has 4+ SOGs in 8/12, including 4 straight at home, and posting 5+ in 6 of those 12 games as well. Now, let’s talk more recent.

In the three games of this series, McDavid has had 0, 5, and 4 SOGs, on 1, 9 and 7 total attempts. He’s ripped 16 shot attempts in his L2 games, and put 9 of them on net. It’s only a matter of time before the guy scores. Last game, I talked about how McDavid has score 23 of his 32 goals at home this season, and the stats clearly show he prefers to play in Rogers Arena. In his L4 against the Canucks at home, McDavid has 21 SOGs on 30 total attempts, with 5 goals and 2 assists.

As stated above, the Canucks are blocking 18 shots per game this series, which is nearly double what they did during the regular season. I think the Oilers are able to find the windows a bit more and really open up an offensive onslaught on Silovs.

McDavid did not have a point in Game 3, and I don’t think that happens again. Give me him to go on a tear tonight.

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