PSG vs Toulouse prediction, odds & betting tips 12/05/2024

12/05/24 - 20:00

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PSG - Toulouse

France Ligue 1 - Parc des Princes

PSG are already Ligue 1 champions for the 12th time in their history, but this home clash against Toulouse will also be the final one for Kylian Mbappe before he departs as a free agent in the summer. Toulouse, however, will take heart from Le Havre who managed to go there a few weeks ago and draw 3-3.

PSG vs Toulouse prediction: Tough task for the away side

Key stats

• PSG have lost just one home game in Ligue 1 this season
• Toulouse have won six of their last seven away matches
• Les Parisiens have scored in 15 consecutive home league fixtures

Pre-game odds and win probability: PSG overwhelming favourites

Home: 2/5 (1.4) – 71.4%

Draw: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%

Away: 11/2 (6.5) – 15.4%

On paper and also in terms of form, PSG are the overwhelming favourites for this clash and that should come as no surprise. While it looks to be an easy bet to land, we would advise avoiding backing the champions to win.

Instead, we believe that a -2 handicap would be the best value for money given the Parisiens are very likely to win, but by a more comfortable margin may be your best option, something we offer very often on our free betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Clean sheets are key

Three of the last five games have seen PSG keep a clean sheet against Toulouse, which includes a major victory in the France Super Cup earlier this year. Toulouse have only scored two goals in the last five times they've come up against PSG.

France Super Cup 03/01/24

PSG

2

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 19/08/23

Toulouse

1

PSG

1

France Ligue 1 04/02/23

PSG

2

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 31/08/22

Toulouse

0

PSG

3

France Ligue 1 25/08/19

PSG

4

Toulouse

0

PSG preview: Routine win on the cards

Despite some midweek heartbreak in the Champions League, the PSG faithful will be keen to give Mbappe a memorable send-off before he departs – likely for Real Madrid – and that would come at the cost of Toulouse.

Predicted Lineup: Navas (GK) – Beraldo, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Hakimi – Ugarte, Zaire-Emery, Barcola, Lee, Mbappe – Ramos

France Cup 25/05/24

W

Lyon

1

PSG

2

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

W

Metz

0

PSG

2

France Ligue 1 15/05/24

W

Nice

1

PSG

2

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

L

Toulouse

3

PSG

1

UEFA Champions League 07/05/24

L

Borussia Dortmund

1

PSG

0

Toulouse preview: Potential for an upset

While Toulouse's league position may make it look like an easy fixture for PSG, they have tasted defeat in just one of their last six Ligue 1 encounters. Their last away defeat was March 10th, so they will have nothing to fear going into this PSG fixture.

Predicted lineup: Restes (GK) – Diarra, Keben, Costa, Desler – Spierings, Sierro, Schmidt – Gboho, Dallinga, Babicka

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

L

Brest

3

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

W

PSG

1

Toulouse

3

France Ligue 1 03/05/24

L

Montpellier

2

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 28/04/24

W

Lorient

1

Toulouse

2

France Ligue 1 21/04/24

D

Marseille

2

Toulouse

2

Player to watch: Bradley Barcola

Having joined from Lyon in the summer, Bradley Barcola has become one of the shining lights under Luis Enrique despite his tender age of 19 years old. The Frenchman has been entrusted to carry the pressure when more experienced stars have faltered.

Time to impress

Barcola already has 12 goal involvement in his first season with PSG and there is only far more to come. The Frenchman scored in his last appearance in the league against Le Havre and he'll be hoping to do the same in another home fixture this weekend.