Ohio's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
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Ohio's 4th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: December 20, 2023 |
Primary: March 19, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in Ohio |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th Ohio elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Ohio, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary was March 19, 2024. The filing deadline was December 20, 2023. The outcome of this race will affect the partisan balance of the U.S. House in 2025.
All 435 seats are up for election. Republicans have a 218 to 213 majority with four vacancies.[1] As of May 2024, 44 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 31.4% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 67.1%.[2]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Ohio's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Democratic primary)
- Ohio's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 19 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
The candidate list in this election may not be complete.
General election for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Incumbent Jim Jordan and Tamie Wilson are running in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Jim Jordan (R) | ||
Tamie Wilson (D) |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Tamie Wilson defeated Stephen Thomas in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on March 19, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Tamie Wilson | 63.4 | 15,149 | |
Stephen Thomas | 36.6 | 8,748 |
Total votes: 23,897 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Scott Schertzer (D)
- Jeffrey Sites (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Incumbent Jim Jordan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on March 19, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Jordan | 100.0 | 94,294 |
Total votes: 94,294 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here. You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Ohio
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Jim Jordan | Republican Party | $8,661,607 | $6,382,260 | $9,964,662 | As of March 31, 2024 |
Tamie Wilson | Democratic Party | $583,254 | $521,167 | $70,696 | As of March 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Ohio's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
June 4, 2024 | May 28, 2024 | May 21, 2024 | May 14, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Ohio in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Ohio, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Ohio | U.S. House | Major party | 50 | $85.00 | 12/20/2023 | Source |
Ohio | U.S. House | Minor party | 25 | $85.00 | 3/18/2024 | Source |
Ohio | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1% of the vote cast for governor in the district in the last election | $85.00 | 3/18/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Ohio.
Ohio U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 63 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 50.0% | 3 | 23.1% | ||||
2022 | 15 | 15 | 1 | 67 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 60.0% | 6 | 42.9% | ||||
2020 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 67 | 32 | 11 | 11 | 68.8% | 10 | 62.5% | ||||
2018 | 16 | 16 | 2 | 82 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 71.9% | 8 | 57.1% | ||||
2016 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 59 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 | 26.7% | ||||
2014 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 47 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 | 31.3% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Ohio in 2024. Information below was calculated on 2/12/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Seventy candidates filed to run for Ohio's 15 U.S. House districts, including 28 Democrats and 42 Republicans. That was 4.7 candidates per district, the most since 2018.
In 2022, the first election after the number of Congressional districts in Ohio decreased from 16 to 15 following the 2020 census, 4.5 candidates ran. In 2020, when the state still had 16 Congressional districts, 4.2 candidates filed per district. In 2018, 5.1 candidates filed.
The total number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House in 2024 was also higher than any other year this decade besides 2018, when 82 candidates ran.
Two districts—the 2nd and the 6th—were open, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That was more than in 2022, when only one district was open, and 2020, when none were.
Rep. Bill Johnson (R), the incumbent in the 6th District, resigned on Jan. 21 to assume the presidency of Youngstown State University. A special election to fill Johnson’s seat will take place on June 11.
Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R), the incumbent in the 2nd district, retired from public office. Eleven candidates—one Democrat and 10 Republicans—ran to replace Wenstrup, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024.
Fourteen primaries—six Democratic and eight Republican—were contested. That was the fewest contested primaries since 2016, when 10 were. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 17 primaries were contested.
Three incumbents faced primary challengers, a decade-low. The three incumbents—Reps. Bob Latta (5th), Warren Davidson (8th), and David Joyce (14th)—were Republican.
Democratic and Republican candidates filed to run in all districts, meaning none were guaranteed to either party.
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is . This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were the national average. This made Ohio's 4th the district nationally.[7]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Ohio's 4th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
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Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
31.4% | 67.1% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[8] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline | Republican Baseline | Difference | ||
30.1 | 68.5 | D+38.4 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Ohio, 2020
Ohio presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 12 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
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Winning Party | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R |
- See also: Party control of Ohio state government
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Ohio's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Ohio | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Republican | 1 | 9 | 10 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Total | 2 | 15 | 17 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Ohio's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Ohio, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Richard Michael DeWine |
Lieutenant Governor | Jon Husted |
Secretary of State | Frank LaRose |
Attorney General | Dave Yost |
State legislature
Ohio State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 7 | |
Republican Party | 26 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 33 |
Ohio House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 31 | |
Republican Party | 66 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 99 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.
Ohio Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
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Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Incumbent Jim Jordan defeated Tamie Wilson in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Jordan (R) | 69.2 | 200,773 | |
Tamie Wilson (D) | 30.8 | 89,383 |
Total votes: 290,156 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Tamie Wilson defeated Jeffrey Sites in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on May 3, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Tamie Wilson | 51.5 | 10,804 | |
Jeffrey Sites | 48.5 | 10,160 |
Total votes: 20,964 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Incumbent Jim Jordan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on May 3, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Jordan | 100.0 | 86,576 |
Total votes: 86,576 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Incumbent Jim Jordan defeated Shannon Freshour and Steve Perkins in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Jordan (R) | 67.9 | 235,875 | |
Shannon Freshour (D) | 29.3 | 101,897 | ||
Steve Perkins (L) | 2.8 | 9,854 |
Total votes: 347,626 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Chris Gibbs (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Shannon Freshour defeated Jeffrey Sites and Mike Larsen in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on April 28, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Shannon Freshour | 47.5 | 18,078 | |
Jeffrey Sites | 29.0 | 11,037 | ||
Mike Larsen | 23.5 | 8,944 |
Total votes: 38,059 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Incumbent Jim Jordan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on April 28, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Jordan | 100.0 | 64,695 |
Total votes: 64,695 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Steve Perkins advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on April 28, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Steve Perkins | 100.0 | 214 |
Total votes: 214 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Incumbent Jim Jordan defeated Janet Garrett in the general election for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Jordan (R) | 65.3 | 167,993 | |
Janet Garrett (D) | 34.7 | 89,412 |
Total votes: 257,405 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Janet Garrett defeated Cody James Slatzer-Rose in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Janet Garrett | 83.8 | 17,715 | |
Cody James Slatzer-Rose | 16.2 | 3,413 |
Total votes: 21,128 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Leah Sellers (D)
- Norbert Dennerll, Jr. (D)
- Andrew Mackey (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4
Incumbent Jim Jordan defeated Joseph Miller in the Republican primary for U.S. House Ohio District 4 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Jordan | 85.3 | 56,191 | |
Joseph Miller | 14.7 | 9,646 |
Total votes: 65,837 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
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