Michael Bisping's Opponents Records When They First Fought
Someone gave me the great idea to look beyond just the GOAT candidates when doing my projects to gather data to evaluate the strength of schedule of legendary MMA fighters. So, without further ado, I present the opponent win percentage of UFC Hall of Famer and former Middleweight Champion, The Count, Michael Bisping.
Same methodology as before. For those unfamiliar with my previous posts, I calculated the overall win percentage of Bisping's opponents when he fought them by dividing the wins by the total fights, NCs not included. I did this for their record when they fought Bisping and for their record since, which includes the result of the fight with him. I added up the total records of all opponents from before and since they fought him to find these results from over the course of his career.
Over the course of his career, Bisping's opponents when he fought them had a combined 559-117-8 record for a .751 win percentage. Since fighting him, Bisping's opponents have a combined 105-162-1 for a .391 win percentage. Overall, Bisping's opponents have a 664-279-9 record for a .697 win percentage.
As always, would love to hear any feedback, particularly around how I can make this sort of thing better and any ideas around other interesting data projects I can do. If anyone feels like taking the effort to go over the data and correct any mistakes I may have made, I would love to hear from you. Enjoy!
Maybe it's just my perception, but I would expect every top fighter who reaches the highest levels to have a phenomenon like this with their opponents. Guys tend to tear through the lowest levels on huge win streaks, than when they reach the top, their win % either falls off a cliff or levels out because they consistently face top competition from that point on.
I've done this for a few fighters now, and it is definitely a noticeable trend. Probably for the reasons you described.
I gathered some data on this. I looked at all the champs and their win % in every year of their career.
The average win % of all ufc champions across all their active years looks like this:
Year 0: 86%
Year 1: 85%
Year 2: 81%
Year 3: 81%
Year 4: 82%
Year 5: 71%
Year 6: 75%
Year 7: 75%
Year 8: 70%
Year 9: 61%
Year 10: 55%
Year 11: 54%
Year 12: 60%
Year 13: 55%
Year 14: 39%
Year 15: 46%
Year 16: 43%
Year 17: 36%
Year 18: 48%
Year 19: 25%
I also looked at what years they were active, the average looks like this:
Year 0: 100%
Year 1: 91%
Year 2: 93%
Year 3: 96%
Year 4: 96%
Year 5: 97%
Year 6: 91%
Year 7: 89%
Year 8: 81%
Year 9: 75%
Year 10: 65%
Year 11: 63%
Year 12: 51%
Year 13: 44%
Year 14: 35%
Year 15: 29%
Year 16: 20%
Year 17: 12%
Year 18: 12%
Year 19: 10%
Pretty interesting trend, though not unexpected they would decline as they get on in years. Thanks for sharing!
yeah in both data sets you see a pretty clear downward trend after ten years of being a pro fighter, feel free to ask any other questions, I've been collecting mma data for a while now.
Thanks for the kind offer. Would love to know where you source your data from.
Comment deleted by user
Comment removed by moderator
Comment deleted by user
Comment removed by moderator
Comment removed by moderator
not even every top fighter, every fighter in general. almost nobody loses a lot early in their career and halfway through magically start to win.
I'm guessings its because in MMA, especially in UFC, you aren't fighting cans, if you aren't a can. You are fighting your equal.
This is awesome. And I’m gonna look back and read ur others. The only thing I’d maybe add is some context. Compare the w/l percentage to others. Maybe where they rank. If that’s possible. But seriously this is cool as hell. Please keep it up.
Thank you! I'm glad you enjoy it.
You're right, additional context would be great. I'm trying to space it out to not overwhelm anybody, and also because doing several fighters at once requires a lot of work. What I may do is create a post after I've done several and compare them then. It'll be easier since the data will already be available.
So far it looks like Bisping's opponent have the highest win percentage before fighting him and lowest after, among the few fighters you've crunched numbers on so far. Not sure what explanation is in this case. He clearly fought a high caliber of opponents for a long time, however many were older when they fought and past their peaks. I also wonder if fight length and method of victory correlate at all. Do opponents have worse records after facing fast finishers who quickly end fights, or is there a stronger correlation longer fights? What about significat strokes and opponents records afterwards? Is there any relationship there?
Those are all really interesting questions. I may need to do some digging on them and see what correlations can be made. Thanks for the feedback!
Until I see someone talk about Igor Vovchanchyn being a possible GOAT, I cannot take them seriously.
56-10 record over 20 years and mostly while being a professional kickboxer with a 61-2 record with 48 TKOs. He has a slew of championships under him both MMA and kickboxing.
Maybe I'll add him to the list and profile him someday.
This man knows
Comment deleted by user
Whoops, little bit of a malapropism there. Thanks for pointing that out.
This is awesome, never realized this about his career. Obviously, it's not always as simple as put the two most perfectly matched fighters together, but whatever they did to determine his matches would make for a great start to begin the process.
Its "without further ado". You had it right the 1st time.
But the first time I had it "...adieu". I changed it to "ado."
Ah. My bad.
No worries! After making a silly mistake like I did, I'm in no position to criticize.
I really held this opinion too for a long time. The very debatable win over hammill thrown into the mix showed even more favoritism for the count.
He then went on to fight a murderers row and lose an eye for his never say die mentality. By the end of his career bisping won me over massively and his win over Cockhold mighr actually be my favorite moment in the sport. Believe you me Buddeh we won't see another Bisping for a long time if ever.
It's interesting but what conclusion are you trying to come to? I think it's really hard to make comparisons based on this data.
No conclusion really. Just some more illuminating data about a fighter's career. I do this mostly because it's fun.
We appreciate it king
Knowing that makes it all worth it :)
Bisping was the ultimate gatekeeper
What is this?!?? A well researched post!?!? Off with you so we can go back to quoting Brendan Schaub for the billionth time
My bad, didn't mean to disturb the rumor mill/meme-fest.
In all seriousness though, thank you very much for the compliment. Glad you enjoyed it.
Hey you took my suggestion!
That was you! Saved me the trouble of looking through my messages so I could reach out and thank you. Hope you enjoyed it.
Bisping broke all of his opponents 😂
So Bisping broke his oponents, even when they won? From the top of my mind he retired Henderson, GSP and Cung Le
I imagine Anderson and Rockhold play a big part on those stats.
That's one thing I wonder about when I look at this sort of thing. It's a pretty consistent trend to see the post fight records as paltry compared to pre-fight. I've seen it pointed out that a lot of that has to do with post-title contenders having to more consistently fight top notch competition, which is absolutely true. Sometimes though, I can't help but think a brutal loss to a champ does something to a contender that alters the trajectory of the rest of their career.
I mean, with guys like Bisping and Aldo it seems pretty obvious the reason IMO -- the guys they fought have mostly had time to age and become worse, where going into the fights they were routinely closer to their primes (especially Aldo because he was champ for so long)
Like Bisping retired in 2017, which is a long time ago in MMA terms -- Rockhold's declined on his own, Silva's declined further on his own, guys in that Leites/Belcher generation have probably mostly gone 1-4 or something in the years since and retired
Not to mention, they spent their post-title tenures fighting the best of the best.
Seems a bit of a stretch to say he broke them. Henderson was already old, GSP was doing in it for 1 fight, and Cung Le was also old at that point also.
Not saying he didn't break some opponents, but those three I wouldn't pick.
I'd prob give him Cung Le that was a brutal beating.
Really underrated honestly. Bisping beat the shit out of Cung Le.
Yeah, I was joking
Bisping breaks people win or lose
Man pillow fists legacy has been totally rewritten by new fans on here lol
Comment deleted by user
A journeyman who got a lucky undeserved last min replacement fight because he was deemed an easy fight as he had been trashed before by Rockhold, winning one fight even if it's a championship fight doesn't rewrite your whole career, if it did Matt Serra would be held in the same regard. Bisping has like 2 or 3 top 10 wins out of 30 something fights in the UFC, that tells you all you need to know about him lol
I think you can look at this data many ways, but for me it fall into two camps.
He fought dudes in their prime and broke them by beating them or taking them to the edge. Hence the crazy consistent w-l ratio after their fights with him.
OR
2. He was fighting many guys when they were already on the decline, even when he was himself declining or they were up and comers not really ready for top tier opponents (some notable exceptions, so not a hard stance here).
It's always an interesting analysis to see what happens when one guy beats another. If the loser goes on to still have a great career it ages those fights very well. If not you start to ask, well how good was this guy he beat truly? I don't know how to call this and there's probably dozens of other takes that are more on point. but I love bisping and this is an awesome reference point to discuss how great he was. Thanks homie. Makes me wanna go on a bisping fight marathon lol
All great points. Maybe I'm reaching here, but I think the reality is a blend of a few of the above reasons, or in the case of some fighters, maybe all of the above.
I'm sure we can all agree some fighters are not as mentally strong as others, and a bad loss at the top level of competition can rattle them in ways they struggle to recover from. Not to mention, the best of the best often can expose the flaws in their game for the rest of the world to see, and some guys aren't as good as others at fixing those flaws.
It's also true of course that a loss to someone at the top like Bisping could coincide with an overall decline. Those declines could really start anywhere, and it may be corollary in some cases rather than causal.
Lastly, once you've reached the top, the competition is of course going to be the hardest you can expect until you prove you can't hang with the best anymore. Provides more chances to lose.
In any event, I love the thoughtful conversation and am really glad you enjoyed this! Thanks for sharing your thoughts and for the kind words. If you have any ideas around other stats you enjoy, please let me know. I'm always open to considering new ideas.
No recommendations. I'm terrible at stats. I just like trying to draw conclusions from them lol. Even if they're wrong, it's fun to talk about.
That's ultimately what I'm going for. I can't promise everything is 100% accurate, as I can make mistakes and so can the internet I'm sourcing the data from, but I think I'm reasonably close. More than anything, you're right, it's a lot of fun to talk about.
“Someone”
That wasn't you, was it?
Yet another interesting post. I'd be curious to see something similar for Paul Felder. Curse of the Irish Dragon
Thanks for following along. I'll add him to the list. It's getting kind of long now haha.
I find it interesting what their combined records are at the time when they fought. However, comparing "before they fought X" and "after they fought X" is uninteresting to me. Most fighters at the UFC level will win more early and lose more late in their career
Fair point. May decide to drop that and favor some other angles of examination in the future. Thanks for your feedback!