2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map
As of May 31, 2024
This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party.
As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed.
The map is interactive; use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
May 31: No changes
For those interested, we have a separate map that only considers polling. In using that map, keep in mind that polls are a snapshot in time, reflecting public opinion when they are conducted. As such, they may be of limited predictive value until the election gets much closer.
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Map :
Trump Leads in Nevada
Senators Dominate Trump’s VP Shortlist
Trump Can’t Carry a Gun But Could Control Nukes
Trump Wants January 6 Committee Members Indicted
Biden Tries to Win with Old-School Campaign Offices
Headlines
Live Results: Primaries in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota
Several down-ballot races of note, along with the final state-run presidential primaries of this cycle.
Overview and Live Results: Texas Primary Runoff Elections
30 runoffs for U.S. House and State Legislative seats where no candidate received a majority in the March 5 primary
Idaho Democratic Caucus Results
Joe Biden received 95%, winning all 23 pledged delegates
Live Results: Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon Primaries
Four states hold their down-ballot primaries this Tuesday, with presidential contests also on the ballot in Kentucky and Oregon
Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 20 Special Election
The winner will complete the term of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who resigned at the end of last year.
Customize your map by changing one or more states. Return here to share it. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Share or Embed your Map: