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Who’s ahead in the Michigan ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 15, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

May 9-16
482RV
May 9-16
482RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

10%

West

2%

Stein

2%
42%
TrumpBiden+2
May 9-16
482RV
May 9-16
482RV
Biden
52%
Biden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Biden+4

May 12, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

May 6-13
606LV
May 6-13
606LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
May 6-13
606LV
May 6-13
606LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%
43%
TrumpTrump+3

May 11, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

May 8-12
704RV
May 8-12
704RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+3
May 8-12
704RV
May 8-12
704RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Biden+1
May 8-12
704RV
May 8-12
704RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

2%

West

1%
40%
TrumpBiden+2

May 8, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 28-May 9
616LV
April 28-May 9
616LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Biden+1
April 28-May 9
616LV
April 28-May 9
616LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%

Mapstead

1%

West

0%
39%
TrumpBiden+3
April 28-May 9
616RV
April 28-May 9
616RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+7
April 28-May 9
616RV
April 28-May 9
616RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

1%

Mapstead

1%

West

0%
38%
TrumpTrump+2

May 3, 2024

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

May 2-4
522LV
May 2-4
522LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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