Donald Trump Would Crush Joe Biden in a Georgia Rematch in 2024: Poll

Donald Trump Would Crush Joe Biden in a Georgia Rematch in 2024: Poll

Former President Donald Trump enjoys a huge lead over President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 presidential rematch in the state of Georgia, according to a new poll published on Wednesday.

A Blueprint Polling survey found Trump with 51.6 percent support among Georgia residents who said they would be voting in the 2024 presidential election, while just 36.8 percent backed Biden.

Biden flipped Georgia in 2020 in what was widely viewed as an upset, after Trump had won the state with relative ease in 2016. However, it appears the Peach State could be poised to move back to the former president again.

The poll was conducted among 635 voters from February 15 to 16 and had a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percent.

A significant number of voters (some 9.9 percent) said they were undecided on who to vote for in 2024, while just four percent backed a third-party candidate.

While Trump enjoyed a substantial lead over Biden among respondents who said they were "definitely voting" in 2024, that advantage appeared to evaporate among voters who said they were "probably voting."

Among this group, Trump had 34 percent support compared to Biden's 32.1 percent, while 26.9 percent of respondents said they were undecided and seven percent opted for a third-party candidate.

Trump had a marginal lead over Biden when it came to college educated voters, recording 46.1 percent to the president's 43.4 percent, while the former president leads among non-college educated voters was 51.9 percent to Biden's 32.5 percent.

However, the president enjoyed a substantial lead among African American or Black voters with 74 percent saying they would vote for him in 2024, compared to just 9.6 percent opting for Trump and 14.9 percent undecided.

Black voters were key to Biden's 2020 election victory and they are an extremely important voting demographic for Democrats nationwide. Caucasian or white voters backed Trump by 72.6 percent to Biden's 18.1 percent, while only 4.6 percent were undecided.

Biden's 2020 victory in Georgia came as a surprise in a state that has long been considered deep red. The president won Georgia with 49.5 percent of the vote, while Trump won 49.3 percent. Voters in the state subsequently elected two Democrats to the U.S. Senate in elections in January, 2021.

One of those senators, Reverend Raphael Warnock, is running for reelection to a full term in November and the Blueprint Polling poll showed a tight race against Republican candidate Herschel Walker.

Walker leads Warnock 50 percent to 45 percent among voters who say they will definitely vote, but Warnock leads among voters who say they will probably vote, with 53 percent to Walker's 33 percent.

Georgia's 16 electoral college votes were not essential to Biden's national victory, however. If former President Trump had carried the state, Biden would still have had more than the 270 Electoral College votes necessary to win the White House.

Composite Image Shows Trump and Biden
A composite photos shows former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden. A new poll shows Trump with a substantial lead over Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup in Georgia. Getty Images

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

About the writer


Darragh Roche is a U.S. News Reporter based in Limerick, Ireland. His focus is reporting on U.S. politics. He has ... Read more

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