Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 5/10/24 - PickDawgz

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 5/10/24

San Francisco Giants (17-22) vs Cincinnati Reds (16-21)

Game Info: Friday, May 10, 2024 at 10:15 pm (Oracle Park)

Logan Webb (3-3) (3.50) vs Andrew Abbott (1-4) (3.32)

Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants -155 / Cincinnati Reds +135 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 10th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Reds recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Giants recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Cincinnati and San Francisco 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cincinnati and San Francisco 

Reds Cannot Buy a Win 

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-21 this season and they have lost eight games in a row. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss against the Diamondbacks, where they lost all three games and allowed 15 runs in the series. Prior to that series, the Reds were swept by the Orioles, lost two out of three against San Diego, and lost two out of three against the Rangers. Cincinnati has lost 11 of their last 13 games and they are fourth in the NL Central behind the Brewers, Cubs, and Pirates. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 161 runs with a .211 batting average and a .290 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .264 with eight home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has allowed 26 runs in their last four games, while scoring two runs or fewer in five of their last seven. 

Giants Trying to Find Momentum 

The San Francisco Giants are 17-22 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. San Francisco is coming off of a series win against Colorado, where they won two out of three games, despite losing 9-1 in game three. Prior to that series, the Giants were swept by the Phillies in four games, lost two out of three against Boston, and won two out of three against Pittsburgh. San Francisco has won back to back games just once in their last 14 games and they are fourth in the NL West behind the Dodgers, Padres, and Diamondbacks. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 146 runs with a .240 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Michael Conforto is batting .275 with seven home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Giants this year. San Francisco has allowed at least five runs in five of their last six games and they are 25th in team ERA on the season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 1-4 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this year. Abbott has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Logan Webb, who is 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 46.1 innings pitched this season. Webb has allowed eight earned runs and 16 hits over his last two starts (7.2 IP). 

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Logan Webb has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Giants as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Logan Webb has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael Conforto has hit a home run in each of the Giants' last two games as favorites.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded an RBI in four of the Giants' last five games against NL opponents.
  • Wilmer Flores has recorded a Double in four of the Giants' last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Austin Slater has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances with the Giants as favorites against the Reds.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants' last nine games as favorites.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one total base in each of the Giants' last nine games as favorites.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one Single in each of the Giants' last nine games as favorites.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded an RBI in four of the Reds' last five games against NL West opponents.
  • Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded a hit in each of the Reds' last nine road games against NL opponents.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded a Double in three of the Reds' last four road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (23) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Francisco Giants rank 29th in the league for steals this season (13).
  • The San Francisco Giants rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.260).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (251).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.211).

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this game trying to snap their long losing streak, but they are just 7-8 on the road this year. The Reds have allowed a ton of runs over their last four games, but they will turn to Andrew Abbott, who has been very solid for them. San Francisco is not much better than Cincinnati right now and their pitching staff has also been a problem. Logan Webb is supposed to be San Francisco’s best pitcher, but he has been roughed up in his last two starts. With both teams struggling to stop runners from crossing the plate, my Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB First 5 Inning Picks & Predictions Sunday 6/2/24 | Picks for Every Game Today

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