National 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

National 2024 Presidential Election Polls

Biden vs. Trump

Source Date Sample Biden Trump Other
Average of 11 Polls† 43.8% 45.5% -
Bullfinch Group 5/24/2024 1,000 RV ±3.1% 45% 47% 8%
Emerson College 5/24/2024 1,100 RV ±2.9% 44% 46% 10%
Cygnal 5/23/2024 1,500 LV ±2.5% 45% 46% 9%
Marquette Law School 5/23/2024 902 RV ±4.6% 40% 44% 16%
Quinnipiac 5/22/2024 1,374 RV ±2.6% 48% 47% 5%
Economist / YouGov 5/22/2024 1,558 RV ±2.8% 40% 41% 19%
Bullfinch Group 5/21/2024 1,000 RV ±3.1% 39% 42% 19%
Morning Consult 5/20/2024 10,172 RV ±1% 43% 44% 13%
Harvard Caps/Harris 5/20/2024 1,660 RV ±2% 43% 49% 8%
Yahoo / YouGov 5/17/2024 1,201 RV 45% 45% 10%
Redfield & Wilton 5/17/2024 1,155 LV 43% 42% 15%
Echelon Insights 5/17/2024 1,023 LV ±3.7% 46% 49% 5%
McLaughlin & Associates 5/16/2024 1,000 LV 43% 47% 10%
Fox News 5/15/2024 1,126 RV ±3% 48% 49% 3%
Economist / YouGov 5/15/2024 1,582 RV ±2.9% 41% 42% 17%
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Including Third Parties and Independents

A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

Source Date Sample Biden Stein Kennedy West Trump Other
Average of 7 Polls† 38.6% 2.2% 10.9% 1.8% 41.0% -
Bullfinch Group 5/24/2024 1,000 RV ±3.1% 37% 2% 10% 2% 41% 8%
Cygnal 5/23/2024 1,500 LV ±2.5% 38% 2% 9% 2% 41% 8%
Marquette Law School 5/23/2024 902 RV ±4.6% 37% 3% 17% 3% 40% 0%
Quinnipiac 5/22/2024 1,374 RV ±2.6% 41% 2% 14% 2% 38% 3%
Economist / YouGov 5/22/2024 1,558 RV ±2.8% 40% 1% 5% 1% 41% 12%
Bullfinch Group 5/21/2024 1,000 RV ±3.1% 39% - 13% - 42% 6%
Harvard Caps/Harris 5/20/2024 1,660 RV ±2% 39% - 12% - 43% 6%
Echelon Insights 5/17/2024 1,023 LV ±3.7% 38% 3% 9% 1% 43% 6%
McLaughlin & Associates 5/16/2024 1,000 LV 36% 2% 11% 3% 38% 10%
Fox News 5/15/2024 1,126 RV ±3% 40% 2% 11% 2% 43% 2%
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†The average includes all polls within seven days of the date of the most recent poll, limited to one poll from any source. If there are fewer than five, the window is expanded to 30 days or five polls, whichever comes first. In the latter scenario, if there are multiple qualifying polls on the same calendar date as the oldest poll used, those will also be included.