Polymarket 2024 Presidential Election Markets
Current as of Map Timestamp
This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. It will be updated every four hours.
Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Biden or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+).
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Map :
Tale of Two Electorates
Democratic Senate Candidates Are Outperforming Biden
Miriam Adelson to Fund Colossal Super PAC for Trump
DeSantis Hopes to Raise $10 Million for Trump
Menendez Has the Signatures to Run as an Independent
Headlines
Overview and Live Results: Texas Primary Runoff Elections
30 runoffs for U.S. House and State Legislative seats where no candidate received a majority in the March 5 primary
Idaho Democratic Caucus Results
Joe Biden received 95%, winning all 23 pledged delegates
Live Results: Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, and Oregon Primaries
Four states hold their down-ballot primaries this Tuesday, with presidential contests also on the ballot in Kentucky and Oregon
Overview and Live Results: California Congressional District 20 Special Election
The winner will complete the term of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who resigned at the end of last year.
Live Results: Maryland, Nebraska, West Virginia Primaries; North Carolina Runoffs
Senate Democratic Primary in Maryland is the marquee race, although there are several competitive House races of interest
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