Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2024

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Connecticut's 4th Congressional District
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: June 11, 2024
	Primary: August 13, 2024; General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
	Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.; Voting in Connecticut
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic; Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
	Connecticut's 4th Congressional District; U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th; Connecticut elections, 2024; U.S. Congress elections, 2024; U.S. Senate elections, 2024; U.S. House elections, 2024; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Connecticut 2024 elections

U.S. Senate • U.S. House • State Senate • State House • Special state legislative • State ballot measures • How to run for office

All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Connecticut, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary is August 13, 2024. The filing deadline is June 11, 2024. The outcome of this race will affect the partisan balance of the U.S. House in 2025.

All 435 seats are up for election. Republicans have a 217 to 213 majority with five vacancies.^[1] As of May 2024, 44 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 64.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 33.8%.^[2]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:

Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies

General election

The primary will occur on August 13, 2024. The general election will occur on November 5, 2024. Additional general election candidates will be added here following the primary.

General election for U.S. House Connecticut District 4

Jaden Skudlarek is running in the general election for U.S. House Connecticut District 4 on November 5, 2024.

		Candidate
		Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

	There are no incumbents in this race.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4

Incumbent Jim Himes is running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4 on August 13, 2024.

		Candidate
		Jim Himes

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4

Michael Goldstein, Robert MacGuffie, and Daniel Miressi are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Connecticut District 4 on August 13, 2024.

		Candidate
		Michael Goldstein
		Robert MacGuffie
		Daniel Miressi

	There are no incumbents in this race.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Jaden Skudlarek

Party: Independent

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography: "I’m 28 years old, was born and raised in Bridgeport Connecticut, I own a small business, I’m a senior in college majoring in History (with minors in Political Science and Finance), and I like helping strangers whenever I can."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

Restoring the American Dream

Reduce the National Debt and Budget Deficit

Healthcare and Education are Fundamental Human Rights

Voting information

See also: Voting in Connecticut

Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Please list below 3 key messages of your campaign. What are the main points you want voters to remember about your goals for your time in office?

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/JadenSkudlarek2024.jpeg

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

Restoring the American Dream

Reduce the National Debt and Budget Deficit

Healthcare and Education are Fundamental Human Rights

What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

Healthcare

Education Economics National Security/Military

Who do you look up to? Whose example would you like to follow, and why?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

Many people, you’d just have to start a conversation with me and find out.

What characteristics or principles are most important for an elected official?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

Honesty, integrity, natural leader, strong morals, and the desire to be there for the service not the paycheck.

What qualities do you possess that you believe would make you a successful officeholder?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

I’ve been a leader since childhood. I fight for the things that I care about. I care about serving and protecting my constituents, not how much the job will pay. I will push for results with or without support.

What legacy would you like to leave?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

That I gave all that I could to the betterment of humanity.

What is the first historical event that happened in your lifetime that you remember? How old were you at the time?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

9/11 and I was 6 years old at the time in first grade. I had visited the towers a year prior with my parents so thats something I still remember vividly even today.

What was your very first job? How long did you have it?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

My very first job was working for my paternal grandfather as a teenager in high school. He owned a small logistics business and I helped with deliveries and truck maintenance.

What is something that has been a struggle in your life?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

My childhood living in poverty and persistent issues with anxiety and ADHD symptoms

What do you perceive to be the United States’ greatest challenges as a nation over the next decade?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

There are many but I’ll list a few. Our nations debt and deficit, political extremism, the rise of competing global superpowers, increased poverty, climate change, and cybersecurity risks.

What are your thoughts on term limits?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

Term limits are a must. Being a politician is a service to our nation, not a career.

Do you believe that compromise is necessary or desirable for policymaking?

Jaden Skudlarek (Independent)

Compromise is a necessity

Campaign finance

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Jim Himes	Democratic Party	$1,201,605	$850,336	$2,010,568	As of April 23, 2024
Michael Goldstein	Republican Party	$100,558	$7,323	$93,236	As of April 30, 2024
Robert MacGuffie	Republican Party	$88,653	$14,942	$73,711	As of April 30, 2024
Daniel Miressi	Republican Party	$434	$214	$220	As of April 30, 2024
Jaden Skudlarek	Independent	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election. * Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[3]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[4]^[5]^[6]

Race ratings: Connecticut's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	May 21, 2024	May 14, 2024	May 7, 2024	April 30, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic	Solid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe Democratic	Safe Democratic	Safe Democratic	Safe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Connecticut in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Connecticut, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Connecticut	U.S. House	Ballot-qualified party	2% of registered party members in the district	N/A	6/11/2024	Source
Connecticut	U.S. House	Unaffiliated	1% of votes cast for the office in the last election, or 7,500, whichever is less	N/A	8/7/2024	Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Competitiveness
Presidential elections

State party control

Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section will contain primary election competitiveness information for this state's U.S. House elections. It will be updated after the candidate filing deadline. For more information about Ballotpedia's Competitiveness Analysis of state legislative elections, please click here.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is . This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were the national average. This made Connecticut's 4th the district nationally.^[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Connecticut's 4th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
64.8%	33.8%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[8] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
58.6	40.2	D+18.4

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Connecticut, 2020

Connecticut presidential election results (1900-2020)

15 Democratic wins
16 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	R	R	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Connecticut's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Connecticut
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	2	5	7
Republican	0	0	0
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	5	7

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Connecticut's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Connecticut, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Ned Lamont
Lieutenant Governor	Susan Bysiewicz
Secretary of State	Stephanie Thomas
Attorney General	William Tong

State legislature

Connecticut State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	24
	Republican Party	12
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		36

Connecticut House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	98
	Republican Party	53
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		151

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.

Connecticut Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	I	I	I	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
Senate	D	D	D	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
House	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.