Independent Thinking: What's next for Israel after events at the ICC and ICJ?

The ANC is creaking at the seams and wounded by the success of Jacob Zuma’s MK. Alliance with the DA may be tricky to sell to party members.

The ICJ has ruled on Israel’s offensive in Rafah and Israeli and Hamas leaders may face arrest warrants from the ICC. What does this mean for Israel’s standing, the war in Gaza and international law?

China, Japan and South Korea have held their first trilateral summit in nearly five years. But amid the positive noises, distrust remains.

Any security deal would have significant implications for both countries and the Middle East. It deserves more serious attention than it has received so far.

India’s democratic credentials have been reaffirmed during the election cycle. But an erosion of India’s secular credentials could pose challenges for its global image.

By identifying and understanding the connections between gendered cyber harms, states can take steps to better counter and mitigate these harms.

Whoever wins the UK general election will face significant challenges in foreign affairs. How will they feature in the campaign?

This paper provides a detailed analysis of how and when states can respond to violations of international law through the use of countermeasures, with a particular focus on the cyber context.

Georgia has been captured by a tiny elite – and, one way or another, by Russia.

Explaining the history of democracy in Turkey, prospects for its future trajectory and the key factors behind the current crisis in the country’s democracy.

President Joe Biden’s choice of Kenya for a first African state visit in more than 15 years is no coincidence, but both countries must be clear on what is driving this increasing strategic dependence.

The prime minister’s choice of timing for a general election thrusts foreign policy to the fore and will expose the parties’ differences on migration, Europe and Gaza.

For the UK, backing the use of emerging technology for development goals should extend to support of local leadership and stewardship.

A generational divide in the US is pushing Biden towards pressuring Tel-Aviv. But the ICC’s intervention brings pressure from the right. The president must stay focused on bringing peace to Gaza and the region.

Speculation that the ruling African National Congress (ANC) could lose its majority and usher in a new form of politics has garnered international attention. Through this complex transition, the country’s electoral system and civil society observers can and should be trusted.

The Court is yet to decide whether to issue the warrants against Hamas and Israeli leaders.

Centrists like Mette Frederiksen are talking tough on migration. But adopting right-wing policy may make it harder to manage the issue.

In this episode, His Excellency Timothy Musa Kabba, Foreign Affairs Minister for Sierra Leone, shares insights into his country’s key priorities during its tenure on the Security Council.

The international community neglected Israel–Palestine until violence exploded. They should not make the same mistake with the region’s other conflicts.

After this year’s general election, the UK will have to make tough decisions in its foreign policy, especially towards China, the United States and Europe.

Russia makes a growing contribution to China’s economy. And the war in Ukraine helps Beijing undermine US diplomacy.

The collapse of negotiations reveals the flawed logic of Israel and Hamas calculations – but the international community must now step up.

Russia’s courting of the Global South goes beyond an attempt to avoid sanctions. It is seeking to de-Westernize the global order.

Refusing to hold Israel to the same standard as others undermines US objectives in the region and empowers others receiving military aid to act without fear of repercussions.

Labour and the Conservatives each place unusual emphasis on foreign policy in this election year. A new Chatham House paper advises what the next government must prioritize.

Whichever party wins the general election, limited resources will prevent an expansive foreign agenda. ‘Realistic ambition’ should be the guiding principle, with a focus on adapting to risks around the US and China, improving relations with the EU, and strengthening the UK’s role in international governance and development.

The next six years will show whether Putin is willing to allow technocrats outside his personal sphere to take over the system he created.

Israel’s latest operation in Gaza has created two serious threats to Egypt’s government.

The new Patronage continues a long history dating back to 1926.

Backing down in the face of Russian threats is the worst option. The UK should join France in using strategic ambiguity.