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Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game Hardcover – May 10, 2003

by Michael Lewis (Author)

4.6 6,883 ratings

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"One of the best baseball―and management―books out.... Deserves a place in the Baseball Hall of Fame."―Forbes

Moneyball is a quest for the secret of success in baseball. Following the low-budget Oakland Athletics, their larger-than-life general manger, Billy Beane, and the strange brotherhood of amateur baseball enthusiasts, Michael Lewis has written not only "the single most influential baseball book ever" (Rob Neyer, Slate) but also what "may be the best book ever written on business" (Weekly Standard).

I wrote this book because I fell in love with a story. The story concerned a small group of undervalued professional baseball players and executives, many of whom had been rejected as unfit for the big leagues, who had turned themselves into one of the most successful franchises in Major League Baseball. But the idea for the book came well before I had good reason to write it―before I had a story to fall in love with. It began, really, with an innocent question: how did one of the poorest teams in baseball, the Oakland Athletics, win so many games?

With these words Michael Lewis launches us into the funniest, smartest, and most contrarian book since, well, since Liar's Poker. Moneyball is a quest for something as elusive as the Holy Grail, something that money apparently can't buy: the secret of success in baseball. The logical places to look would be the front offices of major league teams, and the dugouts, perhaps even in the minds of the players themselves. Lewis mines all these possibilities―his intimate and original portraits of big league ballplayers are alone worth the price of admission―but the real jackpot is a cache of numbers―numbers!―collected over the years by a strange brotherhood of amateur baseball enthusiasts: software engineers, statisticians, Wall Street analysts, lawyers and physics professors.

What these geek numbers show―no, prove―is that the traditional yardsticks of success for players and teams are fatally flawed. Even the box score misleads us by ignoring the crucial importance of the humble base-on-balls. This information has been around for years, and nobody inside Major League Baseball paid it any mind. And then came Billy Beane, General Manager of the Oakland Athletics.

Billy paid attention to those numbers ―with the second lowest payroll in baseball at his disposal he had to―and this book records his astonishing experiment in finding and fielding a team that nobody else wanted. Moneyball is a roller coaster ride: before the 2002 season opens, Oakland must relinquish its three most prominent (and expensive) players, is written off by just about everyone, and then comes roaring back to challenge the American League record for consecutive wins.

In a narrative full of fabulous characters and brilliant excursions into the unexpected, Michael Lewis shows us how and why the new baseball knowledge works. He also sets up a sly and hilarious morality tale: Big Money, like Goliath, is always supposed to win... how can we not cheer for David?

Amazon.com Review

Billy Beane, general manager of MLB's Oakland A's and protagonist of Michael Lewis's Moneyball, had a problem: how to win in the Major Leagues with a budget that's smaller than that of nearly every other team. Conventional wisdom long held that big name, highly athletic hitters and young pitchers with rocket arms were the ticket to success. But Beane and his staff, buoyed by massive amounts of carefully interpreted statistical data, believed that wins could be had by more affordable methods such as hitters with high on-base percentage and pitchers who get lots of ground outs. Given this information and a tight budget, Beane defied tradition and his own scouting department to build winning teams of young affordable players and inexpensive castoff veterans.

Lewis was in the room with the A's top management as they spent the summer of 2002 adding and subtracting players and he provides outstanding play-by-play. In the June player draft, Beane acquired nearly every prospect he coveted (few of whom were coveted by other teams) and at the July trading deadline he engaged in a tense battle of nerves to acquire a lefty reliever. Besides being one of the most insider accounts ever written about baseball, Moneyball is populated with fascinating characters. We meet Jeremy Brown, an overweight college catcher who most teams project to be a 15th round draft pick (Beane takes him in the first). Sidearm pitcher Chad Bradford is plucked from the White Sox triple-A club to be a key set-up man and catcher Scott Hatteberg is rebuilt as a first baseman. But the most interesting character is Beane himself. A speedy athletic can't-miss prospect who somehow missed, Beane reinvents himself as a front-office guru, relying on players completely unlike, say, Billy Beane. Lewis, one of the top nonfiction writers of his era (Liar's Poker, The New New Thing), offers highly accessible explanations of baseball stats and his roadmap of Beane's economic approach makes Moneyball an appealing reading experience for business people and sports fans alike. --John Moe

From Publishers Weekly

Lewis (Liar's Poker; The New New Thing) examines how in 2002 the Oakland Athletics achieved a spectacular winning record while having the smallest player payroll of any major league baseball team. Given the heavily publicized salaries of players for teams like the Boston Red Sox or New York Yankees, baseball insiders and fans assume that the biggest talents deserve and get the biggest salaries. However, argues Lewis, little-known numbers and statistics matter more. Lewis discusses Bill James and his annual stats newsletter, Baseball Abstract, along with other mathematical analysis of the game. Surprisingly, though, most managers have not paid attention to this research, except for Billy Beane, general manager of the A's and a former player; according to Lewis, "[B]y the beginning of the 2002 season, the Oakland A's, by winning so much with so little, had become something of an embarrassment to Bud Selig and, by extension, Major League Baseball." The team's success is actually a shrewd combination of luck, careful player choices and Beane's first-rate negotiating skills. Beane knows which players are likely to be traded by other teams, and he manages to involve himself even when the trade is unconnected to the A's. " `Trawling' is what he called this activity," writes Lewis. "His constant chatter was a way of keeping tabs on the body of information critical to his trading success." Lewis chronicles Beane's life, focusing on his uncanny ability to find and sign the right players. His descriptive writing allows Beane and the others in the lively cast of baseball characters to come alive.
Copyright 2003 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Booklist

Unlike professional football and basketball, Major League Baseball has no cap on the amount of money a team can spend on its players, which makes it nearly impossible for "small market" clubs to compete with the behemoths in Gotham and L.A. On the other hand, as Lewis shows us in his engaging saga of the Oakland Athletics, there are always ways to win on the cheap. The hero of Lewis' tale is Oakland General Manager Billy Beane, a bust as a player but a deft judge of talent. Lewis was granted what appears to be unlimited access--he often found himself in the Oakland executive offices when a big trade was going down--and his book reads like it. He also does a wonderful job of picking the brains and explaining the motives of the baseball statistics geeks who are helping redefine the way the game will be played in the twenty-first century. With so many baseball books to choose from, it is difficult to single out a few as must-haves, but this one comes pretty close. Kevin Canfield
Copyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved

Review

"The single most influential baseball book ever."
― Rob Neyer, Slate

"Another journalistic tour de force."
― Wall Street Journal

"Engaging, informative, and deliciously contrarian."
― Washington Post

"Anyone who cares about baseball must read Moneyball."
― Newsweek

"An extraordinary job of reporting and writing."
― San Jose Mercury News

"You have to read Moneyball.... Amazing anecdotes... an entertaining, enlightening read."
― Baseball America

"Ebullient, invigorating... provides plenty of action, both numerical and athletic, on the field and in the draft-day war room."
― Time

"One of the most enjoyable baseball books in years."
― New York Times Book Review

About the Author

Michael Lewis is the best-selling author of Liar’s Poker, Moneyball, The Blind Side, The Big Short, The Undoing Project, and The Fifth Risk. He lives in Berkeley, California, with his family.

Print length

288 pages
Language

English
Publisher

W. W. Norton & Company
Publication date

May 10, 2003
Dimensions

6.5 x 1.1 x 9.6 inches
ISBN-10

0393057658
ISBN-13

978-0393057652
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Popular Highlights in this book

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There was, for starters, the tendency of everyone who actually played the game to generalize wildly from his own experience. People always thought their own experience was typical when it wasn’t.
Highlighted by 2,488 Kindle readers
That the ability to control the strike zone was the greatest indicator of future success. That the number of walks a hitter drew was the best indicator of whether he understood how to control the strike zone.
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“Managers tend to pick a strategy that is least likely to fail rather than pick a strategy that is most efficient,” said Palmer. “The pain of looking bad is worse than the gain of making the best move.”
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Product details

Publisher ‏ : ‎ W. W. Norton & Company; First Edition (May 10, 2003)
Language ‏ : ‎ English
Hardcover ‏ : ‎ 288 pages
ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 0393057658
ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0393057652
Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 2.31 pounds
Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 6.5 x 1.1 x 9.6 inches

Best Sellers Rank: #35,192 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #10 in Sports Industry
- #38 in Baseball (Books)
- #432 in Business Management (Books)

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Michael Lewis, the best-selling author of The Undoing Project, Liar's Poker, Flash Boys, Moneyball, The Blind Side, Home Game and The Big Short, among other works, lives in Berkeley, California, with his wife, Tabitha Soren, and their three children.

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Felix Delgado

Wow!

Reviewed in the United States on January 29, 2024

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I'd seen the movie "Moneyball" and was very curious about the source material. I work in aerospace, and we have similar parameters for "winning," all based on B.S. ( And I'm not talking about an educational degree.) Getting to the meat of the issue is always the problem. I faced "experts" (i.e. "talent scouts") telling me that my ideas would never work. Well, I proved them wrong and like Billy Beane, I've never looked back. Great writing that kept me turning the pages.

Reviewed in the United States on January 24, 2024

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Very interesting way to look at finding hidden value through an understanding of the problem. The numbers don't lie, people just don't want to see things not aligned with their beliefs..

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Hamilton Beck

What are the lessons?

Reviewed in the United States on December 17, 2013

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As someone who scans the headlines but does not otherwise follow baseball, I was hoping to learn lessons from this book that could be applied to sports in general, or at least football and soccer. Let me say first off that while there may be such lessons (though fewer for leagues with a salary cap, like the NFL), one thing I quickly discovered is that there sure are a lot of baseball players I never heard of.

So, what are the sports lessons? On the one hand, Moneyball is about statistics, the key insight being the importance of “inefficiencies in the system.” To a large degree this means determining which stats are the key to winning and – here’s a point that does not get emphasized enough – putting a dollar value on them. The implication is that a player’s total value can be calculated by figuring out the dollar amount you can assign to each of his individual skills. Then see which players on your team are overvalued, sell them and replace them with unknowns who are undervalued by the market but can perform just as well at lower cost. Billy Beane phrases it this way (he’s talking about replacing a player): “The important thing is not to recreate the individual. The important thing is to recreate the aggregate.” Because in Beane’s eyes that’s all a player is: an aggregation of skills. When in the course of time these younger players start to demand big bucks, they too are let go. It’s all about winning on a shoestring. Which makes sense if you’re managing a low-budget outfit like the Oakland A’s.

What’s the downside? Evaluating players by stats alone may be efficient, but it’s also ruthless. It exposes management’s eternal mantra that “we’re all a family” as mostly claptrap. It leaves little room for rewarding loyalty. Whether we’re talking about baseball, football, soccer or basketball – the point is that these are all team sports, obviously. And that means there are certain intangibles such as team spirit and leadership which cannot be quantified. Think of the franchise players on your favorite team – would you trade them virtually at the drop of a hat if you could find a couple of no-names who, according to a spreadsheet, had the potential to produce just as well? Well, you would if you really believed, like Beane does, that there’s nothing you can’t put a dollar figure on. Followed to its logical conclusion, you might end up having less a cohesive team than a bunch of misfit toys. It’s no accident that Moneyball lacks a chapter on team chemistry.

On the other hand, this book is not just about baseball stats – a subject which would not automatically appeal to a wider audience. You’ve got to have some human interest. Where does Michael Lewis find it? Aside from Beane and some members of his staff, he discovers it in the stories of those who benefit from the system: the unsung players, diamonds in the rough who don’t look like marquee players or even think of themselves as being very good. Players nobody else wants, who are taken on board and turned into winners. The chief joy of Moneyball comes from reading about these underdogs.

But if they are the winners, who are the losers in this system? I missed the stories about those who, either through talent or hard work or both, have risen to the top and can command high salaries, only to find themselves traded for no other reason than “inefficiency in the system.” We’re not necessarily talking about players who have stopped producing either. Where are Lewis’s tales about the shock of being a star one week and finding yourself on the trading block the next? No heart-warming human interest there – to Lewis (and Beane), those guys are like overpriced stocks, to be unloaded before their value starts to decline. No matter how much these players have contributed to the team, or how much we fans have come to like them, no matter if they are still performing at a high level, evidently once they get that oversized paycheck, it’s time to start thinking of how best to cut them loose. The movie is actually much better about this aspect than the book. It goes a long way towards humanizing Beane, who appears somewhat callous in the book, by showing that he acknowledges this fact and tries to rationalize it – “They’re professionals,” Brad Pitt says, “they can handle it.”

Many reviewers praise Moneyball for the business lessons it contains. Of course there are useful tips such as – “don’t accept something just because that’s the way we’ve always done it,” and “it pays to think outside the box,” and “dare to be different” – all commendable. At the same time, it should be kept in mind that the advice given in Moneyball pertains best to organizations like the Oakland A’s: undercapitalized firms that are forced to compete with the big boys. The book shows you how to punch above your weight for a while – but is not a formula for on-going success. As Beane himself puts it, “When you have no money you can’t afford long-term solutions, only short-term ones.” He didn’t manage his team this way because he liked to, but because, given his budget constraints, he had little choice. I worry that the chief lesson CEO’s will take away is: In the name of rationality, it’s okay to treat your employees as though they were members of your fantasy team. The movie makes it explicit that this is one reason Beane does not like to watch his team play – if he did, he might form an emotional attachment to some players he’s inevitably going to trade away. The other reason being: superstition – his presence might jinx the team.

Keep in mind, too, that this book was written long before the Great Recession, when CEO’s were not as obsessed with cutting costs as they are today – and for most companies, labor is the top expense. It’s perhaps not entirely coincidental that one of Moneyball’s gurus, Paul DePodesta, has joined the board of Sears, according to Bloomberg Businessweek (July 11, 2013 – the whole article, by Mina Kimes, is well worth reading.). Eddie Lampert, Sears’ chairman and an Ayn Rand acolyte, “wanted to use nontraditional metrics to gain an edge, like DePodesta did for the Oakland Athletics in Moneyball and is trying to repeat in his current job with the New York Mets. Only so far, Lampert’s experiment resembles a different book: The Hunger Games.” How so? The company is now “ravaged by infighting as its divisions battle over fewer resources.” Talk about learning the wrong lessons.
But that’s not the fault of Michael Lewis. I give the book four stars for being thought-provoking.

By the way, Moneyball is soon going to appear in Russian translation. I don’t envy the person tasked with writing explanations of technical terms for an audience that for the most part has probably never seen so much as a single inning of baseball. It’s been years since the sports channels have broadcast an MLB game with commentary in Russian. The movie was released here under the title, “The Man Who Changed Everything.”

Finally, here’s a stat that’s pretty amazing for a book that first came out about a decade ago – almost 30% of the reviews on this site were written in the past twelve months!

5 people found this helpful

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Jiang Xueqin

A Brilliant Achievement

Reviewed in the United States on November 8, 2008

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Aristotle once argued that there are three main purposes to art and writing: to teach, to delight, and to inspire. Rare is the book that accomplishes all three but Michael Lewis's "Moneyball" does exactly that: it is all at once a readable economics textbook, a classic good guys versus bad guys page-turner, and an edifying epic.

"Moneyball" is the story of three obsessive-compulsives -- Bill James, Billy Beane, and Paul DePodesta -- who re-imagined baseball from a game of stars and heroics into one of numbers and discipline.

An unemployed self-declared baseball critic Bill James understood that baseball statistics weren't just numbers and trivia: they were fundamentally a myth and a morality that sought to explain the game. Consider the statistic "error" which sought to eliminate luck from the game, and is a moral statement on who is at fault. This statistic, like most statistics in baseball, Bill James argued, was pig-headed, wrong, and irrelevant: it neither discounted luck from the game nor properly accounted for why a team won nor helped predict if they would win.

So what does? Here Bill James turned from critic to metaphysic: what really is baseball? It's a game where each team must score as many runs as possible without getting three outs. In other words, while great fielding is beautiful to watch, baseball is fundamentally an offensive game, and Bill James discovered that "on-base percentage" (the times a hitter gets on base divided by the times a hitter goes to bat) and "slugging percentage" (the number of runs a team generates each inning divided by the number of batters a team sends to the plate each inning) were the best indicators of a team's future performance.

Of course it didn't matter if Bill James was right or wrong because he was irrelevant. Baseball was a club that was dominated by those who played the game. Players became coaches and general managers and sports commentators, and they all thought alike and treated baseball as a sacred temple only they could access. Since the mid-eighties fantasy baseball players had taken James and made him into a self-publishing phenomenon, and amateur baseball theorists who counted among them expensively-educated and expensively-paid statisticians were constantly proving and refining James' theories -- but who listened to geeks anyway? The revolution needed to come from within, and it did.

Billy Beane should have been a baseball Hall of Famer -- with his build and athletic prowess he could have been the baseball Hall of Famer. That's what baseball scouts kept on telling him, and while Billy Beane did make the major league his heart really wasn't into baseball, and he was only a little above mediocre. At age 28 -- usually the prime of a baseball player's career -- he did the unthinkable, quit playing, and asked for a scouting job in the Athletic A's organization. And while Billy Beane was a member of baseball's sacred fraternity he had first-hand experience that they could at times be all wrong, and when he became the Oakland A's general manager he began systemically to prove that they were in fact all wrong.

As general manager Billy Beane hired a Harvard number-cruncher Paul DePodesta to implement and refine Bill James' theories. DePodesta made the critical insight that "on-base percentage" was three times as important as "slugging percentage," and used this new knowledge to draft college baseball's most undervalued players. What Billy Beane and Paul DePodesta found was what Bill James had long argued: that the market for baseball players was incredibly inefficient. Players who could get on base and wear out an opposing pitcher -- a team's most important contributors -- were underpriced, and the players who could hit jaw-dropping home-runs after striking out many times and make terrific catches that nevertheless did not alter the inexorable logic of the game were overpriced. By exploiting this market inefficiency Billy Beane and Paul DePodesta created one of baseball's most winning teams on one of baseball's smallest budgets.

And Billy Beane and Paul DePodesta saved some of baseball's best players from obscurity. Take, for example, Chad Bradford, one of baseball's most consistent closers. But why did no teams want him? He threw underhanded. Baseball teams couldn't dispute the facts -- Chad Bradford was a winner -- but in the end they decided aesthetics were more important than facts.

Then there's Scott Hatteberg, one of baseball's smartest players, and definitely the most patient and disciplined: for him baseball was a mental game, and as the game's most consistent hitter he wore down opposing pitchers by raising the ball count, gleaming valuable information in the process. What was his problem? He wasn't man enough -- not aggressive and reckless enough in the batter's box. In other words he didn't strike out enough -- and it was again Billy Beane who saw the absurdity of mainstream baseball's reasoning and snapped up Scott Hatteberg as soon as he could.

In many ways "Moneyball" is even more "Fountainhead" than Ann Rayn's best-selling classic. Like Howard Roark Billy Beane is not a person you'd like to meet. Nevertheless, motivated by his insatiable need to win, he is fighting against the forces of stupidity and unreason, and in so doing making a world a better place. And it is a credit to Michael Lewis's patience and discipline as a writer to just let this great story tell itself.

"Moneyball" is a brilliant achievement.

8 people found this helpful

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N. Tiwari

Review from a non-baseball person ---- it's a good book

Reviewed in Canada on October 19, 2023

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I like this book and I like Lewis' writing style.

That said, if you aren't a baseball fan - and I am not - then there will be parts that will drag. But that isn't really a fault of the book or the writer in the least bit. I can't see this book being marketed as anything other than a book about baseball, for baseball fans. It literally is exactly what it sells itself as.

That said, if you can sit through the bits that drag to the parts that could serve some value for non-baseball fans (like me) then I think you are in for a rewarding experience. The book just barely touches 300 pages so it's not particularly long either.

Barbara

Regalo apprezzato

Reviewed in Italy on November 12, 2023

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Lo cercavo da tempo, conoscevo la storia. Molto apprezzato dalla persona alla quale l’ho regalato

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Cliente Amazon

Todo perfecto

Reviewed in Spain on September 23, 2022

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El libro llegó perfectamente y a tiempo.

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Renato Ruas Pinto

Excellent book

Reviewed in Brazil on November 7, 2020

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I have seen the movie and enjoyed it so I decided to read the book. As always, the movie only scratches the surface of a fascinating history. I know very little about baseball (as a matter of fact, I think it is really boring), but Lewis writing made it easy for me to understand the principles behind the management system proposed by Billy Beane. As an engineer, it was cool seeing science and hard and cold data driving the decision-making process and get good results out of it.

Marco Odasso

Wow!

Reviewed in Germany on September 30, 2021

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When reading about sabermetrics in baseball, you either are so much into it or you start and wish to suicide immediately after page 1o or 2. Well, this book is a greatly entertaining adventure about baseball and how some “nerds” changed this beautiful game forever. The author has this weird gift to make you feel as you were there when Beane is negotiating a trade on the phone or when players discuss how to face what seems to be their Moby Dick more than a tough pitcher. Everything while explaining how data drove a club to success while surrounded by teams with tons of money the A’s didn’t have. Beautiful book!

2 people found this helpful

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