NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 5, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Ravens (14-5)
Kansas City Chiefs (15-6)		Unknown
Unknown		46.9%
53.1%
+130
-145
+130
-145
+2½+102
-2½-115
+3-110
-3+100
21.7
23.0		44.7
o46½-108
u46½-108
o47-110
u47½-110
Games for Sep 4, 2024
Games for Sep 6, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City Chiefs		56.7%
43.3%
-125
+120
-125
+115
-2-105
+2-105
-2-105
+2-105
22
25		-0.79851-0.78592-0.83665
Detroit Lions
San Francisco 49ers		30.7%
69.3%
+295
-350
+300
-340
+7½-108
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-110
31
34		-0.28178-0.28030-0.36602
Kansas City Chiefs
Baltimore Ravens		36.4%
63.6%
+198
-210
+200
-205
+4½-105
-4½-108
+5-110
-3½-110
17
10		-1.10482-1.10407-1.01079
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills		37.2%
62.8%
+130
-145
+128
-145
+2½+100
-2½-108
+2½-105
-2½-105
27
24		-0.85918-0.85416-0.98886
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions		30.6%
69.4%
+235
-270
+245
-278
+6-105
-6-108
+6+100
-6+100
23
31		-0.34293-0.33226-0.36458
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers		22.5%
77.5%
+400
-480
+412
-460
+10½-108
-10½-108
+10½-105
-10½-105
21
24		-0.21645-0.21330-0.25427
Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens		19.6%
80.4%
+395
-440
+400
-475
+10-108
-10-105
+10-108
-10+100
10
34		-0.22149-0.21680-0.21816
Philadelphia Eagles
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		55.2%
44.8%
-155
+145
-155
+140
-3+100
+3-108
-3+105
+3-110
9
32		-0.91198-0.89968-0.80243
Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills		20.5%
79.5%
+415
-510
+415
-485
+10-110
-9½-108
+10-110
-10+100
17
31		-0.20883-0.21042-0.22944
Los Angeles Rams
Detroit Lions		37.1%
62.9%
+145
-160
+152
-165
+3+102
-3-115
+3+110
-3-110
23
24		-0.50878-0.49307-0.46329
Green Bay Packers
Dallas Cowboys		26.7%
73.3%
+305
-350
+320
-330
+7-103
-7-113
+7½-110
-7-110
48
32		-1.42312-1.44058-1.32129
Miami Dolphins
Kansas City Chiefs		39.7%
60.3%
+197
-225
+205
-222
+4½-105
-4½-105
+5-105
-4½-110
7
26		-0.39632-0.38904-0.50584
Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans		52.7%
47.3%
-136
+120
-132
+120
-2-108
+2+100
-2-105
+2½-110
14
45		-0.81880-0.81171-0.74788
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins		51.3%
48.7%
-144
+130
-145
+128
-2½-108
+2½+105
-2½-110
+2½+100
21
14		-0.55199-0.55450-0.66715
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers		28.1%
71.9%
+160
-175
+160
-175
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½-110
13
12		-0.97625-0.97625-1.27068
Denver Broncos
Las Vegas Raiders		47.5%
52.5%
+160
-170
+160
-170
+3+105
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-120
14
27		-0.47678-0.47678-0.64474
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/28/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWC WinDiv. Rd WinConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1San Francisco 49ers (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%56.8%
2Kansas City Chiefs (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%43.2%
3Baltimore Ravens (13-4-0)13.04.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Detroit Lions (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Green Bay Packers (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Buffalo Bills (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Houston Texans (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8-0)9.08.00.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Miami Dolphins (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Philadelphia Eagles (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Cleveland Browns (11-6-0)11.06.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Los Angeles Rams (10-7-0)10.07.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Dallas Cowboys (12-5-0)12.05.00.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15New York Giants (6-11-0)6.011.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Denver Broncos (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17New England Patriots (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18New Orleans Saints (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Chicago Bears (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Atlanta Falcons (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22New York Jets (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23Cincinnati Bengals (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Arizona Cardinals (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Carolina Panthers (2-15-0)2.015.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Minnesota Vikings (7-10-0)7.010.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Seahawks (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Los Angeles Chargers (5-12-0)5.012.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Tennessee Titans (6-11-0)6.011.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Las Vegas Raiders (8-9-0)8.09.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Indianapolis Colts (9-8-0)9.08.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Washington Commanders (4-13-0)4.013.00.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

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