New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
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New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: Candidates seeking pre-primary designation February 6, 2024; All other candidates March 12, 2024 |
Primary: June 4, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in New Mexico |
Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd New Mexico elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of New Mexico, are holding elections in 2024. The general election is November 5, 2024. The primary is June 4, 2024. The filing deadline for candidates seeking pre-primary designation was February 6, 2024.[1] All other candidates had to file by March 12, 2024.[2] The outcome of this race will affect the partisan balance of the U.S. House in 2025.
All 435 seats are up for election. Republicans have a 217 to 213 majority with five vacancies.[3] As of May 2024, 44 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 54.4% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 43.6%.[4]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 4 Democratic primary)
- New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 4 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
The primary will occur on June 4, 2024. The general election will occur on November 5, 2024. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Incumbent Teresa Leger Fernandez is running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Teresa Leger Fernandez |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Sharon E. Clahchischilliage is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | ||
Sharon E. Clahchischilliage |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in New Mexico
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Teresa Leger Fernandez | Democratic Party | $1,439,730 | $657,117 | $818,932 | As of May 15, 2024 |
Sharon E. Clahchischilliage | Republican Party | $34,339 | $25,495 | $8,844 | As of May 15, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]
Race ratings: New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
May 21, 2024 | May 14, 2024 | May 7, 2024 | April 30, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in New Mexico in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Mexico, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
New Mexico | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 2% of votes cast for all the party's gubernatorial candidates in the last primary election (within the district) | N/A | 2/6/2024 if seeking pre-primary designation; 3/12/2024 if not | Source |
New Mexico | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 3% of all votes cast for governor in the last election (within the district) | N/A | 6/27/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in New Mexico.
New Mexico U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2022 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2020 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2018 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2016 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2014 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 33.3% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in New Mexico in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 18, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Seven candidates filed to run for New Mexico’s three U.S. House districts, including three Democrats and four Republicans. That's 2.3 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 2.67 candidates per district in 2022, 6.3 candidates per district in 2020, and five in 2018.
No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. There was one House seat open in 2020 and two in 2018, the only two election cycles this decade in which House seats were open.
Three candidates filed to run for New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024. The candidates included Democratic incumbent Melanie Ann Stansbury and two Republicans.
The Republican primary in the 1st Congressional District was the only contested primary, tying with 2016 as the fewest this decade. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 2.4 primaries were contested.
No incumbents faced primary challengers in 2024. The last year an incumbent was in a contested primary was 2014, when then-incumbent Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D) and Robert Blanch ran in the 3rd Congressional District.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all three districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is . This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were the national average. This made New Mexico's 3rd the district nationally.[9]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in New Mexico's 3rd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | Donald Trump | |||
54.4% | 43.6% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[10] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline | Republican Baseline | Difference | ||
56.0 | 42.1 | D+14.0 |
Presidential voting history
New Mexico presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 12 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of New Mexico's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New Mexico | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Republican | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in New Mexico's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in New Mexico, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | Michelle Lujan Grisham |
Lieutenant Governor | Howie Morales |
Secretary of State | Maggie Toulouse Oliver |
Attorney General | Raul Torrez |
State legislature
New Mexico State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 27 | |
Republican Party | 15 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 42 |
New Mexico House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 45 | |
Republican Party | 25 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 70 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.
New Mexico Party Control: 1992-2024
Seventeen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Incumbent Teresa Leger Fernandez defeated Alexis Martinez Johnson in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) | 58.2 | 134,217 | |
Alexis Martinez Johnson (R) | 41.8 | 96,565 |
Total votes: 230,782 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Incumbent Teresa Leger Fernandez advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Teresa Leger Fernandez | 100.0 | 46,940 |
Total votes: 46,940 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Alexis Martinez Johnson advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Alexis Martinez Johnson | 100.0 | 28,729 |
Total votes: 28,729 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Teresa Leger Fernandez defeated Alexis Martinez Johnson in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) | 58.7 | 186,282 | |
Alexis Martinez Johnson (R) | 41.3 | 131,166 |
Total votes: 317,448 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Teresa Leger Fernandez | 42.8 | 44,480 | |
Valerie Plame | 24.8 | 25,775 | ||
Joseph Sanchez | 11.8 | 12,292 | ||
Marco Serna | 8.0 | 8,292 | ||
Laura Montoya | 6.1 | 6,380 | ||
John Blair | 4.4 | 4,533 | ||
Kyle Tisdel | 2.1 | 2,176 |
Total votes: 103,928 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Mark McDonald (D)
- Dineh Benally (D)
- Gavin Kaiser (D)
- Rob Apodaca (D)
- Jaymeson Pegue (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Alexis Martinez Johnson defeated Harry Montoya, Karen Bedonie, and Angela Gale Morales in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Alexis Martinez Johnson | 36.7 | 16,512 | |
Harry Montoya | 35.4 | 15,919 | ||
Karen Bedonie | 27.8 | 12,477 | ||
Angela Gale Morales (Write-in) | 0.1 | 30 |
Total votes: 44,938 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Audra Brown (R)
- Ben Bateman (R)
- Anastacia Golden Morper (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Incumbent Ben Ray Luján defeated Jerald Steve McFall and Christopher Manning in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ben Ray Luján (D) | 63.4 | 155,201 | |
Jerald Steve McFall (R) | 31.2 | 76,427 | ||
Christopher Manning (L) | 5.4 | 13,265 |
Total votes: 244,893 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Incumbent Ben Ray Luján advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ben Ray Luján | 100.0 | 63,909 |
Total votes: 63,909 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Jerald Steve McFall advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jerald Steve McFall | 100.0 | 20,480 |
Total votes: 20,480 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Christopher Manning advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Christopher Manning | 100.0 | 201 |
Total votes: 201 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Major party candidates in New Mexico may choose to file to participate in their party's nominating convention. Candidates receiving at least 20% of the vote at the convention will be certified to the ballot as convention-designated. Candidates who do not receive a minimum of 20% of the convention vote or who do not file for pre-primary designation may file for office by the primary filing deadline.
- ↑ New Mexico Secretary of State, "2024 Candidate Information Guide," accessed February 7, 2024
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
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