14 day UK weather forecast

Changeable but warmer later 

Issued Saturday 8th June 2024

14 day video

Issued 4th June 2024

The 14 day video forecast is usually updated weekly.

14 day discussion

The 14 day discussion is usually updated twice each week.

Changeable and cool

Week 1: 09/06 to 15/06

Sunday: Outbreaks of rain push into Northern Ireland and through the course of the day they spread into Wales and much of central England. Scotland has a mix of sunny spells and showers. Southern England should be mostly dry, but cloud builds after a bright start.

Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday: Sunny spells and showers. Most of the showers will be in central and northern areas, with the south often remaining dry and bright. Temperatures remain on the low side, particularly in the north.

Thursday, Friday, Saturday: Outbreaks of rain push northeastwards early in the period. Showery conditions follow, but there should be a reasonable amount of dry and bright periods. In the south temperatures will be higher than recently. 

Forecast confidence is high falling to medium.

Changeable

Week 2: 16/06 to 22/06

Showers or longer spells of rain are likely to affect all regions through the course of the week. However, there should be a fair amount of dry and bright weather too. There are indications of it turning significantly warmer at times and there is a possibility of thundery conditions developing, especially in the south and east. However, temperatures over all of the UK are likely to be close to the average when taken over the week as a whole.

Forecast confidence is low.

Expected developments

Week 1

An area of low pressure pushes southeastwards across the UK early in the period. As it moves away, a northerly flow returns with high pressure centred to the west. Towards the end of the week the area of high pressure is expected to decline and that allows low pressure to push in from the west. It also leads to the northerly flow being cut off.

The chart below is from the UK Met Office Global model. It shows pressure and precipitation at 12:00, Tuesday 11th June.

Week 2

An Atlantic flow is forecast to remain in place for much of the week. Despite that, there are some signs of low pressure areas stalling to the west of the UK and, were that to happen, it would allow much warmer air to begin feeding northwards. 

The chart below shows the GEFS forecast mean surface level pressure on Tuesday 18th June. 

Key weather developments

Temperatures remain below the norm for the first few days. Through the rest of the forecast period they are likely to trend upwards and some warm days are possible. Nonetheless, the general theme is a changeable one.

The UKV chart below shows temperatures at 15:00 on Tuesday 11th June.

Hourly weather

Frequently requested locations. Use the Place or postcode picker at the top of the page for all other locations.

• London
• Birmingham
• Glasgow
• Cornwall
• Cairngorm
• Lake District
• Peak District

16 day weather

Frequently requested locations. Use the Place or postcode picker at the top of the page for all other locations.

• London
• Birmingham
• Glasgow
• Cornwall
• Cairngorm
• Lake District
• Peak District

Computer models

For a huge range of data see the Model inventory which provides output from the Arpege, Arome, CFSv2, GEM, GFS, GEFS, Icon, ECM, ECM ENS, UKV, UM and Fax models.

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