Why are there so many FJ40's still for sale? | Page 8 | IH8MUD Forum

Why are there so many FJ40's still for sale? (1 Viewer)

Why are fj40's not selling?

  • Bad economy

    Votes: 32 71.1%
  • Gas prices

    Votes: 1 2.2%
  • Everybody decided to sell at once

    Votes: 3 6.7%
  • Nobody can drive a manual anymore

    Votes: 9 20.0%

  • Total voters
    45

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Reading back through the thread, reminds me of a similar discussion on the BMW forums I used to follow when I was working on my 2002, with plenty of the same sentiments... All of that is probably true of any marque or niche of the hobby. Muscle cars, vintage 4x4s, you name it. As far as the classic car market is concerned, one's guess is as good as another, but as an investment I personally consider it a happy if unlikely outcome if you get your money back. I only wish I had more space to buy up more of the good ones as prices drop!

At least in my own case, working on this old stuff is therapy, a complete departure from my desk job, and a way to introduce my kids to working with their hands and making a machine run and work. This has a long history in my family, primarily making things out of wood and building houses, furniture, etc.

There are plenty of days when I'm under the rig wrenching and my son is on the workbench goofing off with his model steam engine or RC car. It's pretty cool to see him getting into robotics and mechanical engineering, marrying up the maker legacy with math, physics and computer science. That's a decent ROI, I think. ;) Plus, for many of the reasons articulated previously, I think this inoculates the kids a bit from the vagaries of the economy - you can offshore or AI a lot things, but not the guy who goes around to fix the robot, or designs an improvement on the fly, etc.

EDIT - I'm not as active with the BMW community as I was before, but Rob Siegel (known as The Hack Mechanic on Hagerty) is one of the best. I played a bit part in a mitzvah restoration / sale that he was handling on behalf of a widow who was selling her late husband's car, trading an original patina floor mat from my '02 for three of his books, signed and delivered.

From one of his articles, though he's repeated this story in multiple places, I find it convenient justification for this sickness:

Although my wife and I lived in my mother’s house from 1984 to ’92, it was my family’s house for 40 years. Those memories will ring in my mind forever. The automotive aspect was narrow by comparison (it wasn’t as if I went back there and wrenched in the garage). But there’s no question that my life would’ve been very different had Maire Anne and I done what most folks would’ve had to do when we moved back from Texas—find a regular apartment with no garage.

I said above that it’s a mystery to me why I had free run of my mother’s garage, but that’s not true. I know why. My mother, who I routinely describe as the wisest person I’ve ever met, used to offer this parenting advice: “If your child shows interest in something, treat that like a flower. Because if you don’t, you’ll kill it with neglect, or worse.” It took me years to understand, but letting me monopolize the garage with a pampered classic and a series of highly questionable project cars while she and my sister parked on the street in the winter was one of a long list of times she “enabled the flower.”
 
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I deal in tangible investments and men's toy's is a huge part of that market and it's all on the downside lately. Guns, trains, cars.....all off their high. Available disposable income combined with a lack of time is significant. Add in the fact that younger generations want cheap stuff--cheap guns, cheap cars with fart cans, never heard of a toy train,....I could go on and on. The only thing keeping most of these markets alive is passion.
Time has to be a major factor; or lack there of it. My impression during Covid is that those with money weren’t afraid to spend it and a lot of that money went towards filling their free time. Fast forward to today and for many that itch (whatever that itch was) has been scratched. I’m sure there has also been loads of buyers remorse as well resulting in the desire to unwind their investments. The market will always find equilibrium and those trying to get their money back will either give up or lower their expectations. Pretty simple S&D economics at work.
 
The International Scout was one cool rig. I heard that some IH dealers would throw in a free scout to any farmer that bought a top on the line tractor or combine.
The Scout, unlike Jeep and Land Cruiser nearly died for lack of aftermarket support. The one thing that keeps the Jeep and 40 going is the ability to
keep it on the road almost indefinitely. There are tons of shops dedicated to Jeeps and Land Cruisers as well as a healthy aftermarket parts industry.
In the past six or seven years a few Scout specialists seem to have popped up but from what I've seen it's harder to find good used stock parts for a resto
than it is for the 40.
Scout 80 Axle Shaft Dana 27 -USED -   , 870971 R2, 870972 R2
Scout 80 Axle Shaft Dana 27 -USED - , 870971 R2, 870972 R2
Years: 1961 - 1966
Price: $1123.65 - $1123.65 1123.65
 
I think the next few years are going to have a really interesting (mildly terrifying) dynamic for those of us in the “boring middle” part of our career.

Certainly, a lot of what has been said about the economy, inflation, housing, stagnating wages, etc. play into the decline in collectible/antique values (really, driven by a lack of a pool of viable buyers with disposable income).

On the flip side, by luck or skill, I’ve managed to remain gainfully employed, finding work in the 08 recession, buying a house right after the housing crash for cents on the dollar, refinancing to a 3% rate a few years later, so I feel like I’m doing ok. That said, I’m hesitant to buy any more “toys” these days because of the constant feeling of existential dread, that the bottom could drop out any day now… so I find myself hesitant to part with any savings I’ve scraped together.

I have seen a subtle but significant shift in buying trends in younger generations that gives me some hope - away from disposable junk toward higher quality, more robust offerings. Hopefully this translates to a renewed appreciation for antique stuff - when stuff with built with pride and wasn’t almost exclusively single use garbage. The trouble is, quality costs more, and disposable income is declining - so I’m not sure we’ll see the quality revolution I'm hoping for.
 
Reading back through the thread, reminds me of a similar discussion on the BMW forums I used to follow when I was working on my 2002, with plenty of the same sentiments... All of that is probably true of any marque or niche of the hobby. Muscle cars, vintage 4x4s, you name it. As far as the classic car market is concerned, one's guess is as good as another, but as an investment I personally consider it a happy if unlikely outcome if you get your money back. I only wish I had more space to buy up more of the good ones as prices drop!

At least in my own case, working on this old stuff is therapy, a complete departure from my desk job, and a way to introduce my kids to working with their hands and making a machine run and work. This has a long history in my family, primarily making things out of wood and building houses, furniture, etc.

There are plenty of days when I'm under the rig wrenching and my son is on the workbench goofing off with his model steam engine or RC car. It's pretty cool to see him getting into robotics and mechanical engineering, marrying up the maker legacy with math, physics and computer science. That's a decent ROI, I think. ;) Plus, for many of the reasons articulated previously, I think this inoculates the kids a bit from the vagaries of the economy - you can offshore or AI a lot things, but not the guy who goes around to fix the robot, or designs an improvement on the fly, etc.

EDIT - I'm not as active with the BMW community as I was before, but Rob Siegel (known as The Hack Mechanic on Hagerty) is one of the best. I played a bit part in a mitzvah restoration / sale that he was handling on behalf of a widow who was selling her late husband's car, trading an original patina floor mat from my '02 for three of his books, signed and delivered.

From one of his articles, though he's repeated this story in multiple places, I find it convenient justification for this sickness:

Although my wife and I lived in my mother’s house from 1984 to ’92, it was my family’s house for 40 years. Those memories will ring in my mind forever. The automotive aspect was narrow by comparison (it wasn’t as if I went back there and wrenched in the garage). But there’s no question that my life would’ve been very different had Maire Anne and I done what most folks would’ve had to do when we moved back from Texas—find a regular apartment with no garage.

I said above that it’s a mystery to me why I had free run of my mother’s garage, but that’s not true. I know why. My mother, who I routinely describe as the wisest person I’ve ever met, used to offer this parenting advice: “If your child shows interest in something, treat that like a flower. Because if you don’t, you’ll kill it with neglect, or worse.” It took me years to understand, but letting me monopolize the garage with a pampered classic and a series of highly questionable project cars while she and my sister parked on the street in the winter was one of a long list of times she “enabled the flower.”
WOW! Great reply and thoughts. I used to love wrenching on things with my grandfather, and my dad. 21 years ago I was restoring a 1934 Coupe and a 1934 four-door at the same time. Like you said, for me it was like therapy after long frustrating days at work. I had a perfect space to work in and had gotten great bargains unused equipment and had a air compressor, welder, engine, hoist, engine stands, air tools, and I even build myself a homemade system to lift the body off the frame out of landscaping, timbers for $4 each and some tow straps and a $19 chain hoist. Unfortunately I was 80% done with the coop, with the engine completely done and ready, and 95% done with a four-door. When I got the call that my grandfather was in his last days. Days. I left be by his side Aunt for the military funeral and got back home a month later to roll the door on the shop up and discover everything was gone. All of it stolen. That broke my heart and I never touched a wrench and couldn't even bring myself to watch. Car shows on TV until recently. Now being forced to retire due to disability. I know I need to do something to keep myself busy and that's when I got interested in doing this project.

Unfortunately, my wife and I met late, and we had our two sons late. My grandfather was when I was my oldest son's age. Same age difference. I feel like a grandfather but I just don't get to spoil them and then send them home. LOL. They are fantastic boys, but unfortunately after far too many surgeries and now with Parkinson's syndrome symptoms. My hands shake and don't cooperate. But I'm thinking perhaps they can be my hands and I can guide them in the process. Maybe I'll hit the lottery and be able to buy a second one and we can build the two together and someday I'll give them each one as a wedding gift. If I live that long. LOL!
 
With the current demand for the 60 series that used to be dirt cheap 15 years ago, the demand has shrunken on the fj40’s a bit. I think it’s cyclical demand. Trends in all things ebb and flow. Add all the lower demand from less of disposable income and the demand for fj40’s will continue to decline a bit in the current market. All said and done it’s the best time to buy if possible. All it takes is a resurgence in the economy and let trends pass and we could right back up in value. I loved my three fj60’s I used to own but the forty just stands out from all the other series. Time to sit on what you have for now.
 
With the current demand for the 60 series that used to be dirt cheap 15 years ago, the demand has shrunken on the fj40’s a bit. I think it’s cyclical demand. Trends in all things ebb and flow. Add all the lower demand from less of disposable income and the demand for fj40’s will continue to decline a bit in the current market. All said and done it’s the best time to buy if possible. All it takes is a resurgence in the economy and let trends pass and we could right back up in value. I loved my three fj60’s I used to own but the forty just stands out from all the other series. Time to sit on what you have for now.
Thank you.
 
The Scout, unlike Jeep and Land Cruiser nearly died for lack of aftermarket support.
After International broke up in the 80s parts because impossible to find for their trucks, especially before the internet.

Lots of international Loadstar grain trucks in use around here but parts are hard to come across. All the mechanical parts like the engine, water pump, and transmission don't go bad, but the rubber parts rot away after 40 years. Thats why most of the old international trucks rolling around here don't have hydraulic brakes.
 
I think I was about 10 when I went 4 wheeling in a little old 4 banger Scout back in the 60's. It was slow but you could get there. The axles/tranny/transfer were marginal in strength.
 
Looks like values have been flat for the last ten years to me, data from Hagerty

All Photos - 1 of 1 (8).jpeg
 
People need money so they try to sell. Not enough people that are interested have the money to buy, so the market is saturated.

Prices will drop. Basic price/demand economics.
 
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Been a cruiser enthusiast for over 10 years. My son @Jdc1 has been an inspiration and I have been fortunate to work with him on several builds. Our cruiser journey has taken us to some very interesting and thrilling places. We met some really great people and made some lifelong friends. Went and pulled a 72 fj40 off the side of a mountain in West Virginia and brought it home for a full nut and bolt restoration. Decided to try to build the best truck we possibly could and finished it after 10 years. Sale price was not our priority. Got to cross the winners circle with that truck at the Detroit Concours show, quite possibly the only Japanese 4x4 to ever do that. It would be difficult if not impossible to build what we have because of the OEM parts availability. Prices we are seeing are a result of a lot of Central American trucks crossing into our market. Truly US spec restored 40s with reputable people doing them will always have value. You may not recoup all of your investment in a resto, but that is not the only reason we do what we do. In falling prices the smart owner/seller holds what he has, the smart buyer upgrades or acquires. And there are only so many quality trucks out there. May you find what makes you happy.
 
Been a cruiser enthusiast for over 10 years. My son @Jdc1 has been an inspiration and I have been fortunate to work with him on several builds. Our cruiser journey has taken us to some very interesting and thrilling places. We met some really great people and made some lifelong friends. Went and pulled a 72 fj40 off the side of a mountain in West Virginia and brought it home for a full nut and bolt restoration. Decided to try to build the best truck we possibly could and finished it after 10 years. Sale price was not our priority. Got to cross the winners circle with that truck at the Detroit Concours show, quite possibly the only Japanese 4x4 to ever do that. It would be difficult if not impossible to build what we have because of the OEM parts availability. Prices we are seeing are a result of a lot of Central American trucks crossing into our market. Truly US spec restored 40s with reputable people doing them will always have value. You may not recoup all of your investment in a resto, but that is not the only reason we do what we do. In falling prices the smart owner/seller holds what he has, the smart buyer upgrades or acquires. And there are only so many quality trucks out there. May you find what makes you happy.
Thank you so much. I really appreciate your response.

20 years ago my passion (on my days off) was working on and restoring classic cars). While gone for a month to be by my grandfather's (and HERO) side in his last days, make arrangements, and the 30+ military honors funeral, I arrived home to roll up the door on my shop and find EVERYTHING gone! Air compressor, air tools, mig welder, engine hoist, engine stands, 4 engines (2 rebuilt, balanced, and blueprinted) an 80% completed 1934 Coupe and a 95% 1934 4-door... All gone. Since they are in my garage and not on the road, insurance didn't cover. I was heartbroken and never touched a wrench or watched a car show on TV sense. But now I've got the bug and would like to teach my sons. Unfortunately, at the ripe old age of 55, after 25 surgeries and now with Parkinson's Disease symptoms, not only do I not have the shop or the tools, but I've been robbed of my hands. My "hope" is that the boys can be my hands. They seem excited about it. And "IF" I'm blessed enough, on a TIGHT disability budget (forced to retire last month due to disability) ultimately I'd like to get 2, teach my boys and restore them not to be trailer queens but good users, and then give each one of them one for their wedding gift someday. That's my "Hope / Plan".

Thank you again for your response. If you have any advice for us, since we are new to this, I would greatly appreciate it.

Thank you,
Don
 
Hey Don
Your welcome. It sounds like you have a wealth of mechanical knowledge. And old cruisers have a lot in common with old Fords. Simple but not easy. I hope your sons find the interest to do this with their Dad. Your inability to wrench may be an asset to them learning to do it with guidance. Hopefully this market drop will allow you to get a good project. My advice is get as good of a frame and body as complete as possible and start from there. Starting and stopping are first priorities. Be reluctant to fix what doesn’t need it.
 
..... Same logic applies to the truck whilst l have the means l'll do whatever work needs done now as l don't know what's around the corner tomorrow. Tbh from what l see things are going to get worse before they get better, so it makes sense to stock up on essentials...
Don't forget tin foil. ;)
 
@dlzadl Well, @Jdc1 is your son? I admire him for his knowledge and integrity especially the answers to tech questions he hands out. He carries his Internet personality with virtue. My first comments to him were when I saw a guy who looked like Wayne Carini standing next to a fantastic looking green FJ40…his comment was, “that is Wayne Carini”

Could have knock me over with a feather as they say. I would have never thought he had an interest given those exotics you always see him with. Nice to say hello!
 

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