The draft is done. The schedule is out. So how many wins will this team have this year. 

Let's see what Fox Sports says we will have as our record:

Washington Commanders

Final record prediction: 5-12

Welcome to the NFL, Jayden Daniels. For your first assignment, you get a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team coached by defensive whiz Todd Bowles that ranked seventh overall in defense and 10th in sacks. After that, you get to come home to face a Giants team that added stud pass-rusher Brian Burns in the offseason. And then you have to face the Bengals, Browns and Ravens in three of the next four weeks. Things will get a little easier after that. In late October, Daniels can take a deep breath with a three-game stretch against the Panthers, Bears and Giants. But there are really no easy games for a rookie quarterback and a rebuilding team. The Commanders are the homecoming game on every team's schedule, until Daniels proves he's the star the franchise thinks he's going to be. —Vacchiano

 

Link: https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/2024-nfl-schedule-release-win-loss-predictions-analysis-for-every-team

 

I highly doubt we will only win 5 games. I am going to go with, 9-8 and a wild-card spot.  

 

Not sure they are very far off but I do like that they say playing the Giants early is going to be tough but them the Giants later are part of an easier stretch. 

 

I have not gone game by game yet but I have them in the 7- 10 range. Too many pieces to come together for them to be a playoff team this year. WHat I hope and expect is a very slow start and then pick up steam as the season ends. Then next year after they fill a few more holes and the systems are in thier 2nd year then we have a chance to be a PO team. 

 

It does all hinge on Jayden. Wishing him the best. 

7-10. Strong competitive finish has us super optimistic for 2025.

I have us going 7-10 too.  I think we'll look much better than last year on the defensive front, and the offense will look somewhat better with JD behind center, but the thing that will keep this team from competing for the postseason will ultimately be the OL.  This OL has got to be at minimum bottom 5 in the league at the current moment in talent level, with a chance to be the worst OL in the league if things break down further next year.  That's the one area we didn't really address too aggressively during the offseason, and I think that it's unfortunately going to show as we play the season out.  JD should be well equipped enough to escape pressure and use his legs, but he can't be Michael Vick 2001-2004 running the rock for us at his size.  It's eventually going to take a toll on him to escape the pressure and make plays via his feet when the OL breaks down in protection.  Because our schedule gets better towards the end of the season, I think we'll start off something like 2-5, and then we'll go on a stretch to get to 7-10 at the end.

Edited May 16 by samy316

2 hours ago, goskins10 said:

Not sure they are very far off but I do like that they say playing the Giants early is going to be tough but them the Giants later are part of an easier stretch. 

 

I have not gone game by game yet but I have them in the 7- 10 range. Too many pieces to come together for them to be a playoff team this year. WHat I hope and expect is a very slow start and then pick up steam as the season ends. Then next year after they fill a few more holes and the systems are in thier 2nd year then we have a chance to be a PO team. 

 

It does all hinge on Jayden. Wishing him the best. 

 

Slow start is expected and other teams will have to figure him out and try to defend a dual threat QB and we might win a few that we are not supposed to. That is what I am banking on. One thing that I didn't account for is how our D will play this year though. A lot of games we lost last year was because of our D. 

6 and 11 and we are competitive 

7 is the over/under number for me. 

The "way-too-early to make any realistic" prediction thread - seems earlier than normal.  I'll play later.

 

BTW, if anyone makes the statement "they should be x-number games better than last year because ...", the predicter should be spanked.  This is a major overhaul with now, basically, a completely different team.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Rook

11-6

 

 

Bucs W

Giants W

Bengals L

Cardinals W

Browns L

Ravens L

Panthers W

Bears W

Giants L

Steelers W

Eagles L

Cowboys W

Titans W

Saints W

Eagles W

Falcons W

Cowboys L

 

finish the year very strong and on a roll headed into the playoffs. Franchise QBs can turn around a team pretty quickly and I think a lot of the pieces are in place to succeed year one. Oline and secondary are still a major concern but hopefully the Michigan DB is our honey badger and creates a lot of short fields with timely turnovers. 

Edited May 16 by BayouBrave86

10 hours ago, The Rook said:

BTW, if anyone makes the statement "they should be x-number games better than last year because ...", the predicter should be spanked.  This is a major overhaul with now, basically, a completely different team.

 

The Rook

 

Different yes. But the players they got this year means they want a winning season. JD5 gives you a faster start.

 

They better win more than last year though lol

Hopefully this is the season they finish with a winning or .500 record against the NFC East opponents

4-2 or 3-3 would be great 

I'll be shocked if we even fall behind in a game this season. 

 

20-0.

Last year, I said they would win 3-5 games and they won 4.  This year, I was going to say 5 but I chose 6 in the poll.  How they play from week to week will be as important as their win/loss record.  I wouldn't be upset if they managed to win 8 games but I can't even imagine that right now.  They could be competitive in 2025 if Jayden progresses and they get their franchise LT in next year's draft while also filling more needs.

I’m thinking 10-7, we surprise the league and make the playoffs. I think we sweep dallas and giants. If we split with the eagles we will win the division 

I think the ceiling is 8 wins.  I think realistically, we finish with 6 or 7.  I'll take that.  

 

A lot of fans tend to forget when their team drafts a rookie QB, that growing pains are inevitable.  The kind that cost you games.  If Jayden can stay healthy, I believe he's the real deal.  Doesn't mean he's ready to win though.   And that's fine.  I love the dude, and it's gonna be fun to watch him grow.

 

I think the offense will be legit fun to watch, and Jayden will keep us in games with his legs.  But there is so much new: schemes, coaches, players.  There's a ton to learn.  And we have a brutal start to the season.   I also think we very well may have the worst starting CB tandem in the league this year.  Can't fix everything in one offseason, and it'll be a Code Red spot on the team next offseason for sure.  I think that's gonna cost us big time in a lot of games this year.  It is what it is.  I trust this AP implicitly.  

 

Bottom line is that I don't care about the record this year.  I'm already thrilled at what ownership has done.  For the first time in forever, we have real football people in charge.  I'm just looking forward to sitting back and watching this thing grow!

On an aside man is Ben Standig a wet blanket about the season.

 

Likes to say he expects a top 10 pick, maybe top 5

 

Giants > Commanders

 

Predicts 6-11

 

Goes through their schedule and wonders who they can beat

 

Much better chance they go 5-12 than anything close to 10 wins, etc.

 

He runs with the false narrative that the texans roster was stacked compared to ours so even if Daniels has the Stroud like season it won't have the same effect.

 

https://texanswire.usatoday.com/2024/03/10/texans-overcame-leagues-highest-injury-total-in-2023/

Texans overcame league's highest injury total in 2023

The Houston Texans struggled with injuries as far back as August when they found out two 2022 offensive line starters would miss the season. Former starting center Scott Quessenberry tore his ACL on Aug. 3, and then first-round pick Kenyon Green suffered a season-ending shoulder injury.

Houston’s injury luck didn’t improve in the regular season as the Texans led the league in injuries to significant players, according to the adjusted games lost metric (AGL) from FTN Fantasy.

Despite the rash of injuries, Houston finished 10-7, won the AFC South and made the playoffs for the first time since 2019. The Texans then beat the Cleveland Browns, who also had several injuries of their own, in the wild-card round.

 

FTN Fantasy charted the AGL for each team and found that injuries declined in 2023. However, the Texans did not have that luxury — especially on the offensive line.

 

Houston set a new record with 82.1 AGL, which surpassed the previous record set by the Los Angeles Rams in 2022. The Texans shuffled constantly throughout the regular season, starting seven different offensive line combinations. No group up front played more than four consecutive games together.

Texans right guard Shaq Mason was the only lineman to play all 17 regular season games. Green, tackle Tytus Howard, and rookie linemen Jarrett Patterson and Juice Scruggs each accounted for 10 AGL.

The lack of continuity up front likely contributed to the running game struggles. Houston averaged 3.7 yards per carry, tied with the Las Vegas Raiders for fourth-worst in the league. The Texans’ pass blocking was slightly better, with 47 sacks surrendered — just outside the bottom-10 in the league.

 

The injury bug also bit Houston’s defensive back room. Eric Murray, Jimmie Ward, Tavierre Thomas and Derek Stingley combined to account for 33.4 AGL. General manager Nick Caserio made savvy moves on the waiver wire, like signing safety DeAndre Houston-Carson to plug the holes caused by injury.

Houston receivers accounted for 17.2 AGL, the fifth-most in the league. Noah Brown and rookie Tank Dell were the biggest contributors to this metric.

 

Brown, who signed in 2023, was hampered by a multitude of injuries throughout the regular season as well and ended the year on injured reserve with a shoulder injury he suffered in the wild-card round. Dell sustained a broken fibula in the Texans’ Week 13 victory over the Denver Broncos and missed the rest of the season.

Don’t forget about quarterback C.J. Stroud, either. His two-game absence from a concussion accounted for 2.3 AGL.

 

In total, the Texans collected 159.1 AGL — 30 more than the New England Patriot, who finished with the second-most significant injuries. Houston’s offense contributed 106.6 AGL, again, 30 more than the second-highest team. New England had the most AGL on defense, with the Texans having the fourth most.

Injuries are extremely volatile, and there is little ability to predict them year over year. Houston finished 2022 with 70.2 AGL, the 14th fewest in the league. Some teams, like the Arizona Cardinals, battled injuries in back-to-back seasons, having the fifth most significant injuries in 2023 and fourth most in 2022.

 

 

Edited May 17 by Skinsinparadise

I will have a stab at 7-10. 

10-7. Jayden has the smarts and work ethic that changes this franchise for a veey long time. This year is just the start of a dynasty. 

Worst Case Prediction

9/8: @Bucs- L : 0-1

9/15: Giants- W: 1-1

9/23: @Bengals- L: 1-2

9/29: @Cardinals- L: 1-3

10/6: Browns- L: 1-4

10/13: @Ravens- L: 1-5

10/20: Panthers- W: 2-5

10/27: Bears- W: 3-5

11/3: @Giants- L: 3-6

11/10: Steelers- L: 3-7

11/14: @Eagles- L: 3-8

11/24: Cowboys- W: 4-8

12/1: Titans- W: 5-8

12/8: Bye Week

12/15: @Saints- L: 5-9

12/22: Eagles- L: 5-10

12/29: Falcons- W: 6-10

1/5: @Cowboys- L: 6-11

 

Worst case, we start really slow but finish respectably to end season at 6-11.

 

Best Case Prediction

9/8: @Bucs- L : 0-1

9/15: Giants- W: 1-1

9/23: @Bengals- L: 1-2

9/29: @Cardinals- W:  2-2

10/6: Browns- W: 3-2

10/13: @Ravens- L: 3-3

10/20: Panthers- W: 4-3

10/27: Bears- W: 5-3

11/3: @Giants- L: 5-4

11/10: Steelers- L: 5-5

11/14: @Eagles- L: 5-6

11/24: Cowboys- W: 6-6

12/1: Titans- W: 7-6

12/8: Bye Week

12/15: @Saints- W: 8-6 

12/22: Eagles- L: 8-7

12/29: Falcons- W: 9-7

1/5: @Cowboys- L: 9-8

1/12: Wild Card 7th Seed: Lose playoff game

 

Best Case: An up and down season but we do well enough that we earn the 7th seed with a 9-8 record but lose the wild card playoff game. 

 

More than likely we finish somewhere in between with 7-10/8-9 record.

I think we'll do one better than the RR mediocrity. 9-8

  

 I just don't see a busting-outta-the-gate season, especially with Daniels. He will learn very quickly that the NFL is much faster, and i'm just not sold on Campbell as HC.

 

Naturally we'd like to see vast improvement but being behind the curve so long will rear its ugly head; they won't be the joke of the NFL but alot of new FAs mixed in with a group of rooks will take time to gel.   5-12 is realistic. 

8 minutes ago, skins island connection said:

  

 I just don't see a busting-outta-the-gate season, especially with Daniels. He will learn very quickly that the NFL is much faster, and i'm just not sold on Campbell as HC.

 

Naturally we'd like to see vast improvement but being behind the curve so long will rear its ugly head; they won't be the joke of the NFL but alot of new FAs mixed in with a group of rooks will take time to gel.   5-12 is realistic. 

 

Wait, what? We traded Dan Quinn to the Lions for Dan Campbell? Did we also get Ben Johnson too? 🤪

 

Edited May 23 by zCommander

I went 8-9 but I don't feel as confident as I did last year that I know this team because of the high turnover and first year staring QB (though we had a first year starter last year).  Last year I went 9-8 which looks wildly optimistic in hindsight, but which at the time seemed reasonably as it was just predicting a small jump (half a game) from the 8-8-1 season in 2022.  Jayden Daniel is a bit of an unknown variable, as is the high high roster turnover, as is the new coaching staff.   If all those things swing for us, we could go 11-6 and be this years Texans.  But we could also go 4-13 again.  I don't have a strong gut feeling.  I felt much more confident in my prediction last year (though it proved to be way off).

10-7.

 

10-7 and a playoff spot. 

 

Our run game and defense is going to both be top 10 and that is how you get through the tough spots and how you win the games that you're suppose to.