Met Office has say over UK facing 'three months' of hot weather and sunshine

James Rodger
·2-min read

The Met Office has had its say over the UK facing "three months" of sunshine this summer. Forecasters have predicted a "hotter than average" summer with June, July and August earmarked for heatwave after heatwave with Britain set to sizzle.

This summer has a 35 per cent, 1.8 times the norm, chance of being hot, according to the Met Office. That is compared to a mere five per cent chance of being cool. El Nino­­ – a warming of the eastern Pacific which set in last summer­­ - is expected to pendulum swing into a counterpart La-Nino cooling.

A Met Office spokesman said: “Drivers relevant to the current outlook include warming of the UK climate consistent with wider global warming trends. The El-Nino Southern Oscillation is expected to transition towards neutral or a La Nina in the outlook period with continued cooling of tropical East Pacific waters.

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“And looking at stratospheric winds, the normal spring transition from a westerly to an easterly direction is delayed this year, slightly favouring more settled conditions in the upcoming three months.” Looking ahead to the medium-term, the Met Office has issued a forecast from June 1 to June 15.

It said: "There is nothing to suggest that conditions will be massively different to climatology at the end of the current month and though the first half of June. That said, both temperatures and rainfall are more-likely to be a little above average overall, with further rain or showers (possibly heavy/thundery at times) but also some spells of warm sunshine."

The BBC says June 2 to June 16 could trend "warmer", adding: "In the second week of June high pressure to the north-west of the UK and low pressure over north-west Europe could persist, with a cooler north-westerly flow initially. Later that week the low pressure could shift west of Iceland, with the renewed build-up of high pressure over Scandinavia.

"This would signal a continuation of the rather changeable but slightly warmer conditions with a more westerly or south-westerly flow developing. However, north-eastern and eastern parts of the UK could see slightly drier and calmer conditions as the Scandinavian high pressure extends westwards.

"By the third week of June conditions could continue to be quite changeable on average as low pressure near Iceland spreads towards the UK. There is also the possibility of areas of low pressure moving generally north of the UK, allowing the high pressure from the Azores High to spread across the UK and parts of western continental Europe. This would be a warmer, calmer and drier pattern on average."

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